F trade ideas
Ford valuation looks greatA New Product Shows Ford Is Finally Taking Electric Seriously
Ford just announced the release of its Lightning all-electric F150, due 2022. Available at essentially the same price point ($39,974) that Tesla has advertised for its Cybertruck, due late 2021. A Ford rep dropped this little bomb on Tesla's triangle-shaped Cybertruck in a media interview: “Our customers told us they want something modern and advanced, but did not want their truck to look like a doorstop or a spaceship.” Boom.
The new F150 does look a lot better than the doorstop, and it has some cool features. Instead of an engine under the hood, it has a spacious storage space there, which they're calling a "frunk." The frunk has a 400-pound capacity and four 110-volt power outlets and two USB charging outlets.
There's a total of 11 outlets on the truck. Whereas Tesla will void your warranty if you try to power your home with your car battery, the F150 outlets are specifically designed to serve as backup power (9.6 kW and 3 days worth of power) for your home. If your F150 is plugged in and an outage occurs, your F150 will automatically switch to providing power to your home. Wow. You do have to buy an extra 80-amp wall box and home power system to make that work, though. The wall box also increases range and charging speed.
For charging away from home, Ford has a North American charging network with more than 63,000 plugs. These will charge an extended range F150 from 15 to 80 percent in about 41 minutes. The standard-range truck has a range of 230 miles, while the extended-range truck can go 300 miles. The F150 offers hands-free highway driving to compete with Tesla's autonomous driving features.
The Valuation on Ford is Insane
Most of the "cheap" companies out there are trading at a price to free cash flow ratio around 7 or 8. Ford is trading at 2 P/FCF, making it cheaper on that basis than just about any other company I follow. Forward P/E is around 12, with P/S at 0.38 and P/B at 1.46. Get this: according to Fidelity, the 5-year PEG ratio for Ford is 0.25. 0.25 !!!! Ford has also been crushing analyst estimates on recent earnings reports.
Sentiment is Strong
Ford has an 8.8/10 analyst score and an 85/100 fundamentals score from S&P Global. Ford's ESG score leaves a little something to be desired, but maybe that will improve as the company electrifies. Put/call ratio is bullish at 0.66. Technicals look good. On the monthly chart, moving averages are pointing upward, and price is sitting right atop the 200-month EMA. Similar story on the daily. We popped through a resistance line the last few days. I am buying any dip to the 20- or 50-day EMA.
Weekly recently made a 50-200 bullish moving average cross:
With news, valuation, sentiment, and technicals all lined up, I bought both shares and a couple long-dated 2023 calls at the $12 strike, because YOLO.
Algorithms + Money to manipulate the the MarketIf you think it is a Coincidence, then no explanation will be enough
Looking for a bounce- Expecting a recovery from the bottom of this channel, oversold on the EV news
- Might look to add if it finds some support at the 100day SMA
- RSI is in the oversold range
Ford is the new Tesla, long to $80Price is looking like it wants to retest the top of this trading range at $19. If it breaks, Ford is going to Mars.
The market's trend has been bullish on companies moving to electric vehicles. Reference $NIO and $TSLA. Ford making this move and going "All in" on electric vehicles is respectfully in my opinion, uber-bullish.
Technical analysis: RSI in bullish territory on the weekly. Record level volume. Great support tap off the heartline of this trading range. All signs lead to higher prices.
I am long here. This is not financial advice, I am an ape.
Something also to note. Tesla's market cap is 600 billion, while Ford's is 58 billion. Tons of upside potential for Ford if they do this electric vehicle thing right.
Tesla cult members, the title is satirical, please do not kill me.
back testing FORDIm trying something new. Here we have Ford a very great bussiness with thriving in the car industry with the help of the FORD LIGHTNING
I am going to back test this for a month. I will review this in a month from now 7/1/2021
$F At reflection point after earnings between 10.5 and 12.75Mixed signals . Indicators showing bullish signals but chart pattern looks bearish . Monday will explain which way to go based on Ichimoku cloud, still didn't close below it!! Could consolidate between 10.5 and 12.75 for some time but bullish targets remain near by 15 . from other side, strong supports at 9.5 and 8.5 last one 7.5
Only sky is the limit for Ford. Ford is breaking multi-year trend line (since 1999) on strong catalyst. Above all SMAs = mega bullish.
TSLA got new rival with much better production capabilities. News about new F-150 truck and increasing battery capabilities look very promising.
Enter here for monthly swing with targets at 18 and 21 and 30.
F $27Finally a major trend change after a decade bear market. Will it stay in the current fib channel and hit $27 by next year or push on through this year.
Ford Breaking out.Ford is breaking out and i see this hitting 20 dollars maybe even 30. Daily chart shows a nice uptrend channel and the MACD is widening green. RSI is heading up in the overbought territory and a lot of volume for today. Interesting to see how tomorrow shapes up to be and see where it opens. If we can open above the line of resistance then that confirms the break of the line of resistance, and has potential to go higher. F150 electric looks nice and despite the mustang Mach E not looking great i still see alot of them out on the road. Ford has already announce there EV plans and I am starting to see alot of attention which is good. My price target on Ford is 50 dollars for the long term.
F Dot Com BubbleWHat's going on with retail reminds me of what happened with every stock during the Dot Com bubble. F valuation more than doubled and of course it tanked right back to where it belongs.
While we're on the subject, F looks like it's got an inverted H&S pattern and might head back into bubble territory too. I do like the electric truck though.
Long Ford $FFlag is done, growth with volumes, Long term trend improved, golden cross = goal as take profit at 16 looks easy to reach.
Market Manipulation, a Conspiracy theory or a Provable fact?Those who run this show using the same technique over and over to benefit from beginner traders' sense of FOMO..!
They are ready before the news comes out already bought their options, and run the show.
look at other examples:
1- NYSE:SPCE
2- NYSE:RBLX
The price pattern and the Price*Volume patterns are very identical..!
F - long term holdFord looks great both technically and fundamentally. Breaking out on volume
With all good news in EV sector it's a long temr hold for me (= no stop loss)
Ford - Down to $12 for Support!-Wall Street has high expectations for Ford Motor’s first investor day under CEO Jim Farley on Wednesday.
-The company’s stock price has roughly doubled since Farley took control of the company on Oct. 1. That includes a 12.6% increase last week after the debut of the company’s new electric F-150 Lightning pickup truck.
-Investors will be watching the highly anticipated investor event to see if Farley can keep up the momentum. He has promised to provide details his management team’s direction for the automaker.
-Farley’s predecessor, Jim Hackett, was criticized by Wall Street for failing to detail his turnaround plan and having an unclear vision to fix Ford’s operations. Farley’s plan will have to be detailed to appease Wall Street.
-“Since Jim Farley has taken over as CEO, Ford has promised increased transparency and measurable so we can track Ford’s progress and execution,” RBC Capital Markets analyst Joseph Spak said in a note. “We expect those, along with financial targets, to be detailed at the event.”
-One of the main targets analysts want to see is a long-promised 8% global adjusted profit margin target, including 10% in North America and 6% in Europe. The 8% was promised by Hackett as well as his predecessor, Mark Fields, as part of a “2020 vision” that never happened.
-Before the coronavirus pandemic, Ford’s adjusted profit margin was 4.1% in 2019, followed by 2.2% in 2020. Due to an imbalance of supply and demand in new vehicles due to an ongoing global semiconductor chip shortage, it was inflated to 13.3% during the first quarter of this year.
-For comparison, General Motors’ adjusted profit margin was 6.1% in 2019, 7.9% in 2020 and 13.6% during the first quarter of this year.
Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan expects Ford to reaffirm its long-term margins at the event, and mostly focus on the “future mobility themes” such as electric and autonomous vehicles and data monetization.
F 1HRBULLISH Deep Crab
price need to follow Green Trend line & hit target
If price Breaks Red Trend line is where EXIT before SL hits
POTENTIAL BUY
F 4HRBULLISH BAT
price need to follow Green Trend line & hit target
If price Breaks Red Trend line is where EXIT before SL hits
POTENTIAL BUY
$F - multi-year down trend break out target $16 Ford is at a very strong resistance. A break above $13.60 could propel the stock to $16.
Best case is $18.
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How to read my charts?
- Matching color trend lines shows the pattern. Sometimes a chart can have multiple patterns. Each pattern will have matching color trend lines.
- The yellow horizontal lines shows support and resistance areas.
- Fib lines also shows support and resistance areas.
- The dotted white lines shows price projection for breakout or breakdown target.
Disclaimer: Do your own DD. Not an investment advice.
