DOW JONES OVERVIEW: JNJ HOLDS LONG TERM TREND, SHORT TERM RISKJNJ micro picture currently contradicts macro one.
On long term basis, JNJ has held the test of 10-year trend by falling below and then bouncing back up above the 10-year uptrend border (marked by 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean, now at 91)
On short term basis, however, price has fallen below 1st standard deviations from quarterly (66-day) and 1-year (264-day) means, signaling continued downside probability.
The downside risk remains until the price trades back up above short term risk border, marked by lower 1st standard deviation from 1-year mean (at 97 now)
JNJ trade ideas
Johnson & Johnson vs USDJohnson & Johnson has seen extreme price consolidation since last November. Since they are a highly diversified healthcare company, currency translations affect their bottom line quite substantially. With the recent contraction of the US Dollar, Johnson & Johnson has broken out of a prolonged trading range. If the dollar continues to contract against other foreign currencies, Johnson & Johnson will make better on their hedges and increase the bottom line substantially, thus increasing free cash flow and overall economic opportunity.
Watch this Level: Johnson&Johnson Weekly The next major weekly(medium term) Support level to watch for J&J. Watch for a rebound or a breakout.
Even if witness a breakout, usually short term bounces are highly probable before any sustained breakout.
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$JNJfundamentals:
from the start of 2013 to the present...
price: +49.96%
revenues: +7.42%
on the other hand, free cash flow is down from 10.105B in Q3, 2010 to 7.974B for Q2, 2014
technicals:
the monthly Williams %R hasn't been below -80 since mid-late 2010.
this is indicative of positive pressure.
J&J: Heading to sideways range ceiling!-After breaking below 90.00 support area and heading sharply lower, shares managed to rebound strongly back above that broken level
-The price has recently retested that level, before bouncing confirming the level as a new support.
-Rising volume on the rebound
-price is trading within a sideways range since august
I am looking for a move towards 94.40 and 96.00 resistance levels.
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