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META PLATFORMS INC

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META trade ideas

Fallen Angels //// ATRWhat do we do with them? Ascending Triangle . All Triangles are neutral until broken and an ascending triangle can break down just as a descending triangle breaks up. Flag formed but was unable to reach full targets due to a prior falling window or a gap down. This is possibly due to the the resistance at the top of that window and price has been a bit stuck. Meta has been unable to break this resistance and if it does, I will update this post. Price is still inside the structure as I type. Triangles push price in to the narrowing nose of the structure like a vacuum. Eventually the structure will break one way or the other. No recommendation except be safe closer to earnings which is estimate to be early February. (Maybe they will give Z a break and he won't have to report but I do not think they can do that. Nothing surprises me these days though. LOL) Short is at 1.5% approximate. ATR is a volatility indicator. Periods of low volatility are often followed by periods of high volatility. The ATR % stop method can be used by any type of trader because the width of the stop is determined by the percentage of the average true range (ATR). A cautious trader may use 50% of ATR but someone who is less cautious and wants to hold the trade may even double the ATR, then add it to price in the direction they are trading (short or long) as a stop. ATR is a measure of volatility over a specified period of time. A higher ATR indicates a more volatile market, while a lower ATR indicates a less volatile market. ATR for Meta is 4.60. At this moment on Friday 12-30-22, there is a bearish Harami forming. This 2 day candle pattern would need confirmation. Today is a foggy Friday (O: Not quite raining just yet. I would say the market is in a "slow drizzle" and is a bit difficult to trade. I feel the pressure of a thunderstorms on the horizon. Happy New Year!
NASDAQ:META
by lauralea
6
META Short earningsLet's be honest from purely a probability perspective I see meta NOT beating earnings for many reasons. ad rev still down. covid reopening people using social less. snap will do poorly as usual the business model is failed. burning cash for meta oculus headsets. last time we had earnings it dropped over the 3 day rule around 35% FK Zuckerberg and short this thing to the ground. hopefully it'll recover once economy is sorted and their metaverse project pays off. target level 130, then all gaps on daily need to be closed.
NASDAQ:METAShort
by JamesFlem
4
Meta Big one for this week to watch. We saw a short term rejextion so far but there could still be some room up after a cool down period. My key reistance I am watching is 154.60. For me this area is huge Becuase before the drop we had to the new lows, this was a sideways bearflag channel that chopped around from 154.60 support to 182.50 reistance. For me meta should run into some Significant reistance here. This was a sideways range that potentially a lot of people who were buying that support, saw a big drop in there portfolios if they didn’t sell out. Also the fact of a lot of buying occurring in this zone, that causes for a reostance area to backtest and fail hard off of. I will be watching closely as we reach this level. If meta decides to have enough gas in the tank to reclaim that level it could open a new can of worms for the new range play but we cross that bridge if we get there. For now I’m looking for that key reistance If we pull a fib retracement from the last rejextion HIGH wick we saw after the blow off top to the low of the move, the 50% retracement is 162$ which would bring us back into the box if we decided to contiue going parobolic this will be something to watch as well While the .618 is 145.15,on a major pullback that could be a decent dip buy level
NASDAQ:META
by Erictaylor
Meta Platforms | Fundamental Analysis 🚀Meta Platforms, the social media giant formerly known as Facebook, became a trillion-dollar company in June 2021. Three months later, its market value peaked at $1.08 trillion. But Meta is currently worth only $370 billion. It has lost two-thirds of its value as a slowdown in its advertising business, continued losses in its virtual reality business and rising interest rates have scared away even the company's most ardent fans. These unfavorable factors aren't going away anytime soon, but Meta stock also looks historically cheap at 17 times earnings estimates. Can this company regain its former appeal and join the 12-Zero club by the end of this decade? In the first nine months of 2022, Meta earned nearly 98% of its revenue from advertising. It advertises in its "family of apps," which includes Facebook, Messenger, Instagram, and WhatsApp. That family of apps served 3.71 billion monthly active users in the third quarter of 2022, up 4 percent from a year ago. However, Meta's ad business growth did slow in 2022. This slowdown was caused by three main factors. First, Apple's iOS update disrupted Meta's ability to create targeted ads using third-party data, ByteDance's TikTok pulled users and advertisers away from Facebook and Instagram, and businesses began buying fewer ads as macroeconomic factors reduced their spending. To counter Apple, Meta is refining its algorithms to collect more first-party data to target ads. It is also actively expanding Instagram Reels to challenge TikTok but admits that short videos are much harder to monetize than traditional ads. Both strategies will require Meta to increase spending as revenue growth has slowed. In the meantime, Meta continues to invest billions of dollars in Reality Labs, a division that develops virtual reality headsets and software. In the first nine months of 2022, that division's revenue rose less than 3 percent year over year to $1.4 billion, but its operating loss rose from $6.9 billion to $9.4 billion. This pressure, along with a slowdown in the higher-margin advertising business, has caused Meta's operating margin to drop from 40% in 2021 to 27% in the first nine months of 2022. Analysts are overwhelmingly negative about Meta's near-term prospects. In 2022, they expect revenues to fall 1% to $116.3 billion, operating margins to fall 26%, and net income to fall 37% to $24.7 billion. However, this outlook could improve over the next few years as near-term adversity wears off. Meta's ad revenue could stabilize and grow again as the company collects more first-party data and monetizes more Reels. The broader advertising market may warm when inflation is contained and the Fed stops raising rates. An outright ban on TikTok in the U.S., which has been proposed by lawmakers, would lead to more Instagram revenue. Meta's investment in Reality Labs could also finally bear fruit when the company releases cheaper, lighter, and more powerful Quest VR headsets. Widespread distribution of these devices could attract more users to Horizon Worlds, Meta's metaverse, which, after its initial launch in December 2021, never really got off the ground But if Reality Labs continues to burn through billions of dollars without showing any sign of progress, Meta could either spin it off or shut it down. Either decision would likely be approved by Meta's investors, as it would instantly improve the company's operating margins and free up more cash to expand its core advertising business. Finally, Meta had $41.8 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities at the end of the last quarter. This huge reserve gives it plenty of room for new investments and acquisitions -- assuming antitrust regulators approve these deals. Right now, analysts expect Meta's revenues to grow 5% in 2023 and increase 12% to $136.3 billion in 2024. The company's net income is expected to fall 11% in 2023 as it increases its expenses but grows 20% to $26.2 billion in 2024. These long-term estimates, which we should take with a grain of salt, suggest that Meta will eventually be able to overcome its near-term challenges. If Meta's business stabilizes in 2024 and it continues to grow revenue and earnings per share (EPS) at a modest compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10% over the next six years, it could have revenue of $240 billion in 2030 with earnings per share around $16. If the company continues to trade at 17 times earnings and three times sales, its stock could reach $270 a share with a market value of $720 billion. However, a slightly higher valuation could easily cross the trillion-dollar mark. Simply put, if Meta survives the near-term downturn and starts growing steadily again, it could join the trillion-dollar club again by 2030.
NASDAQ:METALong
by FOREXN1
5