NVDA: Options GEX & Technical Setup for Jun 161️⃣ Options Gamma Insights
* Strongest gamma resistance sits in the 140–145 zone, with a hefty 3rd CALL wall (~79%) and consistent NETGEX/Call shelf near 145.
* IV is ultra low (~6.4 vs avg 46.5), meaning traders benefit from moves more than decay—especially as price nears gamma protection levels.
* GEX exposes (call $5.8 put $94) show mild call skew, favoring small upside tilt.
* Trade idea: Look to buy short-dated (~5DTE) calls or a call spread below 140–142, targeting fade/exercise pressure at 145; or consider put protection if NVDA breaks below 140 with bearish momentum.
2️⃣ 15-Minute Chart Analysis
* Price anchored near top of short-term consolidation range (140–145), after breaking below previous range high. Structure shows lower lows & lower highs → bearish tilt.
* Resistance: 142–145 overhead zone.
* Support: Near 140 (stop level), followed by 137 and previous BOS at ~140.86.
* Trend direction: Downward pullback within afternoon range.
3️⃣ Trade Setup Suggestion
* Bias: Bearish if price fails to reclaim above 142–145 gamma region. Bullish only on reclaim + clear BOS structure.
* Options plays:
* Buy 5DTE–10DTE put spread below 140, targeting 137–135 with tight risk.
* Alternatively, buy call spread if price breaks and holds above 145 with volume.
* Stops & Sizing: Risk 1–2% per trade; place stop-loss just outside your entry trigger zone.
🧠 My thoughts?
* Gamma alignment: Gamma walls act as structural support/resistance—145 is reinforced by call wall.
* Low IV: Minimizes premium decay and makes directional moves more profitable.
* Chart context: Lower-highs structure gives bearish edge; bearish setup aligns with downside call-to-put skew.
🚨 Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. All trades carry risk. Manage position size carefully and be aware that options are risk assets—especially with low IV.
NVDA trade ideas
Nvidia - 100% new all time highs!Nvidia - NASDAQ:NVDA - is just too bullish now:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Honestly it was not unexpected that Nvidia is now the most valuable company in the world. The chart is just so strong and perfectly following structure; it seems to be just a matter of days until Nvidia will create a new all time high. If this happens, a breakout rally will follow.
Levels to watch: $150
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
NVDA: Fractal Wave BreakdownBreaking above Rounding Top Pattern after rejections.
Wave transformed from pullback to impulsive one, which implies that the emerging structure needs to be routed to relative cycle.
Waveform
Referral structure looks like compressed version of decline after ATH.
As if the movement of big magnitude that pierces through SL levels, causes "shockwaves" that resets frequency of reversals of forthcoming waves.
Fibonacci interconnection of ATH and Bottom
NVIDIA (NVDA) – Ending Diagonal at the Top? 126 Next?NVDA is currently trading inside a potential ending diagonal, often signaling a reversal or strong correction. With multiple Breaks of Structure (BoS) and a visible Fair Value Gap (FVG) left behind, this setup is aligning with Smart Money Concepts.
📉 Bearish Rejection Expected?
Price might sweep liquidity and revisit the 126–129 demand zone, where strong unmitigated orders sit. If this zone holds, a bullish continuation toward 152+ is likely.
🔍 Key Highlights:
⚠️ Ending Diagonal pattern near local top
📊 Multiple BoS confirming internal structure shifts
📉 Unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) near 129
🟩 Strong demand zones at 129–126 and 108
🔄 Potential liquidity sweep before reversal
🧠 Smart money footprint visible
📅 Watch for price reaction around 129.8–126.1.
📈 Breakout above 145 with strength may invalidate the drop.
NVDA (NVIDIA) False Breakout and Synchronized Pullback with SPYNVDA printed what appears to be a false breakout at the 1.0 Fib extension level ($143.49), now reversing sharply — potentially aligning with SPY's projected retracement. This presents a high-probability mean reversion setup.
📉 Technical Breakdown
Current Price: $135.13
False Breakout Zone: 1.0 Fib extension ($143.49)
Key Breakdown Zone: 0.786 Fib ($133.12)
Probable Retest Zones:
0.618 Fib: $124.98
0.5 Fib: $121.25
Target: $119.25 (confluence with SPY's demand zone)
🔍 Probabilistic Trade Outlook
⚠️ False breakout + bearish engulfing = 80% probability of continued downside.
📉 Targeting $119.25 = 65% probability as it aligns with institutional levels and SPY’s projected retrace.
💡 Volume and momentum suggest profit-taking and supply absorption.
🌐 Macro Context (May 31, 2025)
AI bubble cooling: Rotation from AI mega caps into broader market value plays.
SPY & NVDA correlation: NVDA typically leads tech-heavy indices — the confluence here could signal broader market pullback.
Fed Policy Uncertainty: No rate cut priced in for June; July will be key.
🧠 Institutional View
This setup echoes the "buy-side trap" — liquidity engineered above previous highs, now reversing to collect resting orders below. This is textbook Smart Money Concepts (SMC) in play.
🧭 Trade Setup
Entry: On confirmed breakdown below 0.786 ($133.12)
Target: $119.25
Stop: $143.60 (above fakeout zone)
Optional Re-entry: Near 0.618 ($124.98) on confirmation
📌 If NVDA hits the $119–121 zone in confluence with SPY’s bounce region, a high-R:R reversal trade may follow.
#NVDA #FibonacciLevels #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #TechStocks #MarketReversal #AIStocks #TradingView #WaverVanir
NVIDIA stock : (Inverted H&S) We are confirmed bullish📈 NVIDIA Stock Analysis: Bullish Reversal Ahead! 🚀
🔍 Overview:
Today, we’re analyzing NVIDIA's stock chart, which presents a powerful inverse head and shoulders pattern—a classic bullish reversal signal!
🛠 Key Components of the Pattern:
- 🫳 Left Shoulder: Formed after a downtrend.
- 🧠 Head: The lowest point, indicating strong support.
- 🫴 Right Shoulder: Shows buyers stepping in, confirming momentum shift.
- 📏 Neckline Breakout: If price crosses this resistance level with volume, we expect an upward movement!
📊 Technical Details:
- 📉 Current Price: $144.78
- 🔝 Resistance Levels: $160.00, $152.77, $148.60
- 📉 Support Levels: $131.46, $121.08, $110.00
- 📢 Volume: 125.83M, validating market sentiment.
📈 Expected Market Behavior:
If NVIDIA maintains momentum above the neckline, traders could anticipate further price appreciation 💰✨. Strong volume will confirm the trend, making it an attractive opportunity!
🧐 Final Takeaway:
This bullish pattern suggests that investors might consider strategic entries 📊💡. Whether holding or entering positions, keeping an eye on market reaction & volume is key!
Is NVDA Building Strength Before a Breakout?After cooling off from its $150 highs, NVIDIA (NVDA) is consolidating in the $140–$145 zone. While some traders fear the AI hype has peaked, others see this as the calm before another rally. With solid fundamentals, continued leadership in AI, and strong institutional backing, NVDA remains a name to watch closely.
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry Points
✅ $142 – Current price zone (speculative buy)
✅ $135–$130 – Strong support (ideal swing entry)
✅ $125 (only if market-wide pullback occurs)
Profit Targets
📈 TP1: $149 – All-time high retest
🚀 TP2: $160 – Extension target
💰 TP3: $175+ – Long-term bullish scenario if momentum returns
💡 Strategy: This is a “buy-the-dip, trade-the-breakout” setup. Wait for confirmation above $146 if you're conservative, or accumulate gradually into weakness with a clear risk plan.
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and use proper risk management. I'm sharing my personal view for educational purposes.
Nvidia - Weekly Volatility SnapshotGood Afternoon! Let's talk NASDAQ:NVDA
Last week we saw HV10 (24.96%) increase above HV21 (23.67%) after starting what could be a regression towards HV63 (39.13%). IV (37.37%) entering this week reflects within 6% of it's sliding yearly lows and resonating around quarterly means. This could be showing a fair prediction to the regression potential and a volatility spike.
Here, the RSI has room but is elevated and hinged down with the MACD crossed red -- lagging indicators showing trend reversal. If bi-weekly values can find regression to quarterly; the implied range I would be watching is $135.47 - $148.47 with IV increasing affecting premium positively. If the grind up continues slowly, expect IV to melt and be watching for contracting HV10 ranges between $137.82 - $146.12 -- Keep an eye on the news, it will ever affect the broader markets and any underlying within.
Follow along through the week as we track our volatility prediction -- I will pull the charts back in at the end of the week to review!
CHEERS!
Nvidia into MAJOR resistance This will not be a popular opinion and that’s okay. The charts don’t lie and you can see it is into major resistance, highlighted by all the red arrows when it got rejected. It’s now broken down from a rising wedge which also lines up with said major resistance. I’ve also highlighted bearish RSI divergence, too many factors here for NVDA to keep going up. Could it break through? Of course it could but you have to look at all these factors I’ve highlighted and ask yourself what are the probabilities that it goes down here? High, very high and you want to take trades that put the probabilities in your favor.
How many times we need to get 1000%+ on this? Here's 3 more...NASDAQ:NVDA
We are currently trading above a significant Fibonacci retracement level of $143. We want to see price consolidate above $145, where we will target $194-$200 next. There are several ways to trade this from here.
* Short-term range from $145 to $150
* Breakout momentum trade over $153 targeting $193
* Long-term range between $103 to $140
NVDA Swing Trade – Overbought Reversal Setup (June 12, 2025)📉 NVDA Swing Trade – Overbought Reversal Setup (June 12, 2025)
Ticker: NASDAQ:NVDA | Bias: 🔻 Moderately Bearish
Strategy: Short-Term Swing | Timeframe: ~2 weeks
Confidence: 75% | Entry Timing: Market Open
Expiry: June 27, 2025
🔍 Market & Technical Snapshot
• Price: ~$144.67
• Trend: Weekly and M15 uptrend still intact
• RSI (Daily): ~70.63 → Overbought
• MACD: Bearish crossover on Daily
• Options Data:
– Heavy put OI at $140 (14,803 contracts)
– Max pain at $135 → potential pull lower
– High call OI at $145–$150 caps upside
🧠 AI Model Breakdown
🔼 Grok/xAI (Bullish Swing):
• Calls out strong technicals, 5-min momentum
• Suggests $155C for upside play
🔽 DeepSeek (Bearish Swing – Preferred):
• Overbought daily RSI + bearish MACD
• Strong put volume + options market pressure
• Targets pullback to $138–$140 → PUT @ $140
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Direction: PUT
📍 Strike: $140
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-27
💵 Entry Price: $2.09
🎯 Profit Target: $3.10 (+48%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $1.25 (–40%)
📈 Confidence: 75%
📏 Size: 1 contract
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
⚠️ Risk Considerations
• Weekly chart still bullish → risk of trend continuation
• Low VIX (17.26) = slower option premium movement
• Positive news surprise could cause upside gap
• Use tight risk controls and monitor intraday structure
💭 NASDAQ:NVDA : Extended or just gearing up for another breakout?
📉 Drop your play below — Put buyers vs. breakout chasers 👇
NVDA 15mins Short Market Context:
After a corrective decline, NVDA is showing temporary bullish momentum, forming higher lows on the lower timeframes. However, the overall structure remains bearish-biased, and this upside is likely part of a liquidity run rather than a genuine reversal.
Liquidity Magnet at $149
There is resting liquidity above recent highs near $149, a zone where retail buy stops are likely positioned.
Smart Money typically pushes price into such highs to induce late longs and liquidate early shorts before a major move.
Momentum Shift Already in Progress
The current bullish move lacks aggressive expansion — it's showing divergent momentum and weaker impulse candles compared to the prior leg down.
This signals the upside may terminate as a liquidity hunt, not trend continuation.
Structural Setup for the Short
Once price taps $149, observe for a sharp rejection or breakdown of internal short-term structure (i.e., break of a local low with displacement).
This signals the smart money exit and bearish intent.
The shift from engineered buy-side pressure into sell-side delivery confirms short bias.
I expect NVDA to run higher into $149 to sweep liquidity, then break down sharply toward $135. I will look for internal bearish structure to form right after the sweep and will short only upon confirmation of intent (displacement and lower low).
Nvidia (NVDA) Wave 3 Close to ConclusionSince July 4, 2025, Nvidia (NVDA) has been experiencing a robust rally. The rally is unfolding as a five-wave impulse structure according to Elliott Wave analysis. This upward movement began at a low on July 4, 2025, with wave (1) concluding at $115.44. A subsequent pullback in wave (2) found support at $95.04. This sets the stage for the ongoing wave (3), which has developed as another impulsive subdivision.
Within wave (3), the stock advanced in wave 1 to $111.92. A brief dip in wave 2 then followed to $104.08. The momentum resumed in wave 3, pushing the stock to $143.84. Afterwards, a corrective wave 4 settled at $132.92, as observed on the 30-minute chart below. Currently, Nvidia is advancing in wave 5 of (3). This wave has seen wave ((i)) peak at $144, followed by a pullback in wave ((ii)) to $137.88. The stock then surged in wave ((iii)) to $145, with a minor correction in wave ((iv)) completing at $140.46.
Wave ((v)) higher should end soon, concluding wave 5 of (3). Following this, a larger-degree wave (4) correction is expected, potentially unfolding in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern. This pullback should precede a final ascent in wave (5), completing the cycle from the July 4, 2025 low.
NVDA at Gamma Cliff! Will Buyers Defend $143 or Drop to $140?🔬 GEX (Options Sentiment) Breakdown:
* Key Gamma Levels:
* CALL Walls / Resistance:
* $146.18 = Gamma Wall (currently rejected)
* $148.84 → 2nd CALL Wall
* $150+ = Higher GEX levels but unlikely short-term without breakout
* PUT Support Zones:
* $143 → active support (currently being tested)
* $140 → key gamma flip zone (GEX8)
* Below $140 → $138 / $135 → deep gamma pit
* GEX Metrics:
* IVR: 2.6 (extremely low = possible vol expansion coming)
* IVx avg: 38.8
* Calls Flow: 7.9% (weak call interest)
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢 (neutral-to-bullish positioning)
* Interpretation:
* NVDA is struggling at $146–147 gamma wall — rejection could cause dealer de-hedging toward $143 or even $140.
* IV is extremely suppressed → any large move could expand volatility and create rapid price shifts.
📊 15-Minute SMC Chart Breakdown:
* Current Price: $145.20
* Structure:
* Price broke bullish structure early session and reached supply near $146.18 → then CHoCH triggered at the top.
* Now pulling back into a minor demand box ($143.68–144.27).
* If demand fails here → eyes on deeper demand at $141.97 and $140.86.
* Major volume spike on pullback shows institutional selling near top.
* Trendline:
* Broke rising wedge → momentum flattening.
* Volume divergence (price up, volume down) followed by breakdown = warning.
🧭 Trade Setups:
🟥 Bearish Setup:
* Trigger: Break below $143.50
* Target 1: $141.97
* Target 2: $140 (GEX zone)
* Stop-loss: $146.20 (back inside supply = invalid)
Dealers could unwind hedges if price stays under $144, accelerating toward gamma-supported downside.
🟩 Bullish Reclaim Setup:
* Trigger: Reclaim and hold $146.20
* Target 1: $148.84 (2nd CALL Wall)
* Target 2: $150+
* Stop-loss: $143.60
This would trap late shorts and could cause a gamma squeeze toward $149–$150.
🧠 My Thoughts:
* NVDA is at the inflection, sandwiched between dealer defense at $146 and GEX vacuum under $143.
* If SPY/QQQ break lower tomorrow, NVDA could lead downside toward $140.
* Volatility is cheap (IVR 2.6), making options attractive if directional bias is strong.
* Ideal trade: wait for confirmation at $144–143 area before entering PUTs.
📌 Conclusion:
NVDA is showing short-term weakness under heavy gamma resistance at $146. A clean breakdown below $143.50 opens the door to $140 fast. Only a reclaim above $146.20 flips bias bullish again.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always trade your own plan and manage risk accordingly.
Expiration Dates for Options using Fibonacci Time ZoneThis is a way I use the Fibonacci Time Zone; it naturally leans into a balance of Gamma and Theta Decay. Choosing the right strike zone is up to your strategy. I prefer Covered Calls, Debit Spreads and Iron Condors for this strategy. Puts are fair game too. If you choose to roll something over, most recoveries occur after a month and a half after a 10% SPY drop off.
NVDA $148 VS $139 NVDA competing at the moment with bullish momentum dominating. am looking for rebound tomorrow from where it is to determine after ORB if price will head to next key level at $148 where previous buy and sell orders were withheld. If price fails to utilize this key level at $143 you can expect a quick cash grab for $139 with continuation to my level imbalance of $131 as mentioned before. Both key levels will be retested at some point. But for now, looking up with the trend.
keep an eye on 144.80 !boost and follow for more!💖
NVDA is hitting my bullish targets a mentioned in my last update from early April🎯, now watching my final short term price target of 144.80, if this can break and hold this week then a rally to new ATH/175-200 should follow.
if we reject here then a dip to 124-132 should come before the upside continues.
Nvidia - The breakout will eventually follow!Nvidia - NASDAQ:NVDA - will break out soon:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Over the course of the past couple of days, we saw a quite strong rally of +50% on Nvidia. Considering the market cap of this company, such a move is quite impressive. Following this overall very strong bullish momentum, an all time high breakout is quite likely to happen soon.
Levels to watch: $150
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)