NVDA continues to dive deeper on Inflation etc. worries...LikelyOn lower times frames, there's a Gap at 120, so likely that's where she's headed...
NVDA trade ideas
$NVDA Earnings SetupNASDAQ:NVDA
Nvidia needs to absolutely dominate the market with both earnings and guidance. Last time they beat by 10% and sold off. Right now is a very difficult time in the market. Many tech companies are beating earnings, then selling off. Shay expects Nvidia to report strong earnings, however, he sees Nvidia having a pullback quarter but the timing is uncertain. As long as it holds the 200 MA, he remains in position. Nvidia has cemented its position in the AI and quantum computing thematics, with its CUDA platform and NVDL Link being essential for future workloads. Doubt remains though about lowered AI cloud workloads due to compute restraints. Demand is still way higher than supply, but questions remain surrounding easing of supply constraints and whether Nvidia has another leg left for exponential growth.
Here are our key levels to watch through earnings:
Under bullish trendline and $130.56, aim for $114.
Over bullish trendline and $130.56, aim for $140.
NVDA Technical Analysis & GEX Options Setup for February 26, 202📌 Key Observations from the Charts
1. Market Structure & Price Action:
* NVDA recently broke down from 141-143, currently consolidating around 135.01.
* Support Levels:
* 134.27 (current price zone, short-term support).
* 129.08 (major support & put wall zone).
* 123-120 (critical gamma zone, could see acceleration if breached).
* Resistance Levels:
* 136.84 (POC, first resistance).
* 141.46 (VAH & key rejection level).
* If NVDA loses 129, expect a sharper decline to 123-120.
2. Volume Profile & Auction Levels:
* Point of Control (POC): 136.84 → Key resistance level that needs to be reclaimed for upside.
* Value Area High (VAH): 141.46 → Major resistance zone.
* Value Area Low (VAL): 134.27 → Must hold for buyers to prevent further decline.
3. Indicators Review:
* MACD: Bearish, downward momentum is still present.
* Stochastic RSI: Oversold, but no confirmation of a reversal yet.
🛠️ Options GEX Analysis
* Call Resistance:
* 145-150 → High gamma resistance, strong call walls.
* Put Walls & Support Zones:
* 129 → Highest Put Wall & Negative NETGEX Support.
* 120-118 → Strong Put Wall—if broken, NVDA could drop significantly.
* Implied Volatility (IVR & IVx):
* IVR 51.9 | IVx Avg 79.4 → Higher volatility, larger price swings expected.
* Call Positioning 23.7% → Weak bullish positioning, suggesting more downside risk.
📈 Trade Setups & Game Plan
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Preferred Setup)
🔹 Entry: Short below 134 confirmation.
🔹 Target 1: 129.08 (Put Wall Support).
🔹 Target 2: 120-118 (Put Wall Breakdown Level).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Above 138 (invalidates breakdown).
🔹 Options Strategy:
* Buy PUTS 135/125 expiring 1-2 weeks out if breakdown confirms.
* Debit Put Spread (Bearish 135P/120P for risk control).
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Less Likely)
🔹 Entry: If price reclaims 138-141, targeting 145+.
🔹 Target 1: 141.46 (POC, first resistance).
🔹 Target 2: 145.00 (major resistance).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Below 134 invalidates upside move.
🔹 Options Strategy:
* Sell 120/115 Put Credit Spread for a bounce play.
🎯 My Thoughts & Suggestions
* Main Bias: Bearish, unless 138+ is reclaimed.
* Gamma Risks: Below 129, strong gamma exposure can push NVDA lower quickly.
* Options Play: Puts look stronger based on GEX positioning & technical weakness.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please do your own research and consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NVDA | $100 supportNASDAQ:NVDA update on how price action is looking like compared to the last post. We mainly saw price stalling out around $120 after the gap was made, and then a anticipation for movement back to resistance.
After analyzing how buyers did over time we expect more strength in sellers as buyers lost a bit of steam and also created lower highs.
Could imagine a selloff back to $100 then a quick move back up to resistance once again.
A bit too soon to tell but will keep an eye out.
NVDA TA - Earnings Week 2/24### **NVIDIA (NVDA) - 1D Chart Analysis (Earnings Consideration)**
---
### **1. Key Observations**
#### **NVDA Closed at $130.28 (-3.09%)**
- **Bearish pullback from resistance at $135 - $138**, rejecting near recent highs.
- Currently testing **$130 as support**, a key short-term level.
- **Earnings are this week**, which could lead to **increased volatility and large price swings**.
#### **Volume & Momentum**
- **Higher volume selling** today, indicating some profit-taking before earnings.
- RSI is cooling off but still within **neutral territory**, leaving room for further downside if earnings disappoint.
---
### **2. Key Support & Resistance Levels**
#### **Resistance Levels (Upside Targets)**
- **$135 - $138** → Major resistance. Needs a breakout to confirm bullish continuation.
- **$140.87 - $144.90** → Strong resistance zone if NVDA rallies post-earnings.
#### **Support Levels (Bearish Targets)**
- **$127.69** → Short-term support. A break below could trigger further downside.
- **$124.50 - $121.50** → Strong demand zone.
- **$118.04 - $114.78** → Key level for a deeper correction.
---
### **3. Earnings Consideration & Strategy**
#### **Scenario 1: Bullish Earnings Reaction**
- If NVDA **beats expectations** and provides strong guidance:
- **Break above $135 - $138** could target **$140 - $145**.
- **Calls or shares breakout play** on confirmed strength.
#### **Scenario 2: Bearish Earnings Reaction**
- If NVDA **misses or provides weak guidance**:
- **Break below $127.69** could lead to a drop toward **$124, then $118**.
- **Potential hedge play with puts or selling covered calls near $135 resistance**.
#### **Scenario 3: Neutral / Mixed Reaction**
- If earnings are **in line but not a major catalyst**:
- NVDA may **chop between $127 - $135**, leading to range-bound action.
- A **straddle or strangle options strategy** could capture post-earnings volatility.
---
### **4. Hedge Strategy for Long-Term Investors**
💡 **Selling Covered Calls on Big Green Days**
- If holding NVDA long-term, consider **selling covered calls** into resistance near **$135 - $140** on any strong green days this week.
- **Expiration:** Post-earnings, to capture elevated IV.
- **Risk Management:** Be prepared to roll the calls if NVDA spikes post-earnings.
---
📌 **Conclusion:**
NVDA is at a **critical level ahead of earnings**, currently holding **$130 support** while rejecting **$135 resistance**. **Earnings will be a major catalyst**, with a **bullish reaction targeting $140+, and a bearish reaction potentially bringing $124 - $118 into play**. **For long-term holders, selling covered calls into strength this week could be a smart hedge.** 🚀
Its crazy but possible Short $NVDA targeting 70sOf course it is difficult to short NVDA :) but watching RSI weakness and high volume with red candles suggest short term bearish trend or correction move - the stock in consolidation for almost a year - the idea is to short after earning report on Wednesday - Main supports at 113-104-94 strongest one then the gap at 70
NVDA: Buy ideaOn NVDA we are in a bearish channel situation. This means that we would have a high probability of having an upward trend over a time unit of 15 minutes. This trend will be confirmed by the forceful breaking of the resistance line and the vwap by buyers.
NVIDIA's Run is done!?With growing tensions between the two economical titans in U.SA & China further exasperated by the new administration in the white house & their looming tariff charges, we arrive at a major junction with what seems to be the worst possible time as Nvidia a major pillar of the recent success enjoyed by the tech industry and no doubt world economy as a by product gears up its financial data at a time where stains are being spotted on the floor leading to early signs of blood on the streets. Technical analysis shows that decline in price action could see a weak end of the month for Nvidia, the market is showing signs of fear with a large selloff in the tech sector with the S&P dropping 2.25% week ending 21/02, if financial data released by Nvidia is not pleasing to shareholders a major sell of could continue what was started in December and see price head to as low as $46. Eyes will also be on the situation of Taiwan and how hostile the relationship becomes between the USA, China & Taiwan.
Never Nvidia, No? Surely Not!I hadn't looked at the NASDAQ:NVDA chart for months until today and I simply can't unsee this.
NVDA appears to be in the final stages of a Weekly Double Top pattern.
You can clearly see two near equal highs from November 24 and January 25.
After the neck of the Double Top was breached, the price attempted to reach a new high but failed. The failed high was powered by 3 consecutive weeks of declining volume which suggests momentum exhaustion.
If NVDA price drops through $126, it is very possible that the price could fall towards $55.
Why is the price projection so low?
The last 1/4 low has already been breached, so this level is unlikely to serve as strong support, leaving the price to potentially falls freely towards 2024's low.
The green areas highlight the Bullish Fair Values Gaps for NVDA on the Weekly time frame. As you can see there are numerous and they are all underneath the current price!
Won't Earnings push it to ATH? It's of course it's possible. And if it did, it wouldn't necessarily invalidate this set up!
Let's see what happens!
NVDA Near Historic Highs: Awaiting Key Breakout SignalsI’m sharing a weekly chart analysis for NVDA, focusing on its current position near historical highs at $129 after a bounce from $90.
From the logarithmic scale chart, it's clear that NVDA has been in a long-term progression channel since July 2015. Currently, the price is positioned on the upper deviation line of this channel, indicating a potential resistance area. Given this position on the logarithmic scale, I am leaning towards a short bias as it suggests we could see a pullback or correction.
I’ve also identified two cup & handle patterns, each with their respective targets. However, these patterns will only be validated based on the next price movements.
While there is still a blue support trend and a red resistance trend in play, the price near its historical highs and its proximity to the upper boundary of the progression channel suggest that a downward movement could be more likely. However, due to the large time scale of the weekly chart, we should wait for further confirmation of a downtrend before taking a short position.
For now, I recommend caution and suggest waiting for a confirmed breakout or breakdown from the current channel before making any decisive trades. I’d love to hear your insights and thoughts on this setup.
NVDA, Long, 15m✅ NVDA is currently at a key support zone at 134, signaling a potential upward move. The price is expected to rise toward the key resistance at 137.10.
LONG 🚀
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NVDA Corrections that Conquer: Discover Your Key Entry PointsIn today's market, corrections can offer great opportunities for finding the right entry points. For example, if you notice a price pullback, you might consider looking at levels such as 126, 113, and 103.
At 126, you might see the first moderate correction, suggesting a potential spot to step in as the selling pressure eases a bit. Moving down to 113, the price action often indicates a more solid support level where the market seems to have absorbed a fair share of the selling, possibly setting the stage for a rebound. Finally, 103 could represent a deeper correction where the price has hit a point of significant support—this might be the moment where the market is ready to turn around and resume its upward trend.
Remember, these levels are just part of a broader analysis. It's important to combine them with other technical indicators and risk management strategies to make well-informed decisions.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves risks, and you should conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Calls on NVDAIt looks strong. Buy zone between 135-130. Below 132.50 it will see 130. 130 is the strongest so below that goes to 112. I think it’s a buy at 132.50 and definitely 130
NVDA huge correction drop cannot be ruled out!The tape reading is Bearish on a 30 min. chart! Hitting resistance while Banks are selling, and Net Volume is dropping etc .
NVDA correction to $105-112 range- NVDA has completed it's motive wave 1-5 and currently is under corrective wave ABC.
- Within ABC leg, it's under the leg C where it will eventually find a bottom and then start fresh motive wave 1-5.
- Chart looks interesting and monitor carefully for the entry when it corrects!
nvda is in critical levelshi
nvda if breaks out the highest level it will reach an other high price 185.5 then it will probably reverse down in order to take so breath.
Coinbase vs Nvidia 2001This is just theory. I have big description of this idea and fundamental view. Maybe I will share someday, because today is too lazy day :)
Look closed at the Coinbase - they know everything about market cycles and rules of the markets.
NVIDIA 2-21🔥 Market Overview:
Trend: Bullish, but facing consolidation near resistance.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $143.90, $145.00.
Support: $139.50, $137.00.
Indicators:
MACD: Weak bullish momentum, indicating a possible slowdown.
RSI: 57.29, approaching overbought conditions.
Supertrend: Bullish, but a potential pullback is forming.
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Momentum Scalping
Buy near: $140.00, targeting $143.50 (+2.5%).
Sell near: $143.90, targeting $140.50 (-2.4%).
Stop-loss: Below $138.90.
🩸 2. EMA Pullback Scalping
Buy near: $139.50 (EMA 9), targeting $142.50 (+2.1%).
Sell near: $143.90, targeting $140.00 (-2.7%).
Stop-loss: Below $138.50.
🩸 3. Breakout Scalping
If $143.90 breaks, enter long toward $145.00 (+2.0%).
If $139.50 fails, short toward $137.00 (-2.7%).
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks):
If price holds above $139.50, the uptrend remains intact with a target of $145+.
If it breaks below $137.00, expect a deeper correction.
Consolidation is likely before the next big move.
🔥 News & Market Context:
NVIDIA earnings report is scheduled for February 26, increasing market volatility.
Options traders are pricing a 9.12% move, signaling high expectations.
AI sector remains a driving force, keeping bullish sentiment strong.
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Scalping the $139.50–$143.90 range is ideal.
🩸 Mid-term: Wait for earnings before taking larger positions.
🩸 Ideal Play: Trade range-bound setups while monitoring volatility.
👑 Final Verdict:
Volatility is fuel for the skilled. Those who hesitate become liquidity—move with intent.
🔥 LucanInvestor:
"In a market driven by momentum, only the decisive thrive. Indecision is an invisible loss."
NVDA 140 PUT exp Feb 21 (Win)Saw NVDA was extremely bullish for the previous 2 weeks with nom signs of breathing. Price reacted to a strong daily key level signifying a retracement coming soon. Made a uptrend trend line on the 1HR and 4HR timeframe, price broke below at market close on the previous day, formed 3 lower highs and a retest off the trend line break on the 1HR timeframe. Shorted it down to the first mini key level for the win.
NVDA: Spring effect on SL: Buy ideaOn NVDA we would have a high probability of having an upward trend over a time unit of one (01) hour. This is explained by the fact that we have two (02) spring effects on the support line. Red candles with a small body and a long, low wick. This upward trend will also be confirmed by the breaking of the resistance line with force and the vwap by a large green candle accompanied by a large green volume.
Furthermore, we must be careful because there may also be a continuation of this downward trend in the event of a strong break of the support line by sellers.
Nvidia Closes the Gap—Where Next?Nvidia has stormed back from its early February lows, rallying more than 20% to erase January’s sharp gap lower. But with the gap now closed, the stock has hit its first real test of resistance.
DeepSeek Reaction: Panic Fades
The initial sell-off was triggered by fears that DeepSeek’s AI breakthrough could loosen Nvidia’s grip on the industry. However, those concerns have since eased. While DeepSeek’s model offers cost advantages, it still relies on Nvidia’s GPUs, and overall AI accelerator demand remains strong. Nvidia’s software ecosystem remains a significant moat, making it difficult for the industry to shift away from its technology on a large scale. The broader takeaway? The market likely overreacted.
The Technical Significance of Gaps
Price gaps aren’t just voids on a chart—they represent key areas of supply and demand imbalance. When a stock gaps lower, it often creates a resistance zone as trapped buyers look to exit when price returns.
After rallying back earlier this month, Nvidia finally posted its first red candle the moment the gap was filled, snapping a ten-session streak of higher closes. This suggests sellers are stepping in, and the battle over direction is heating up.
Forward Scenarios: Breakout or Breakdown?
Breaking Higher: If Nvidia can push beyond the gap close, the next resistance is the late January swing high—the level that triggered the breakdown. Above that, the major hurdle remains the double-top all-time highs from the turn of the year.
Pulling Back: The rally to close the gap has formed a steep ascending trendline. A break below this could open the door for a deeper retracement, with the February swing lows as a key downside target. Given Nvidia’s multi-year uptrend, choppy consolidation phases like this are normal—but if support gives way, it could shift momentum in bears’ favour.
Nvidia (NVDA) Daily Candle Chart
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NVDA at a Decision Point! Trade Setups for Feb. 20Technical Analysis (TA) Overview
NVDA is currently trading near 138-139, consolidating after a strong uptrend. It recently rejected from 141, which aligns with a key gamma resistance level. If bulls can push above 141, momentum could continue toward 143-150. However, failure to hold current levels may lead to a deeper pullback toward 130-123 support levels.
📌 Key Support & Resistance Levels:
* Resistance: 141 (gamma resistance), 143.44 (previous high), 150 (major call wall)
* Support: 137, 129-130 (first demand zone), 123 (major put support)
📌 Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish crossover—momentum is slowing.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold at 17.34, meaning downside may be limited, but no immediate reversal yet.
* Volume Profile: Price is at a high-volume node, meaning consolidation or a breakout attempt is likely soon.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) & Options Sentiment
🔹 Call Walls (Resistance):
* 141: Strong gamma resistance—breakout level for bulls.
* 150: Major call wall—tough level to break unless momentum strengthens.
🔹 Put Walls (Support):
* 130: First put support—likely to hold on a pullback.
* 123-120: Deeper put walls—if 130 breaks, downside could accelerate.
🔹 Options Sentiment:
* IVR: 42.3 (moderate implied volatility—expect bigger moves).
* Call Open Interest: 19.1% – Moderate bullish bias, but not extreme.
Trade Scenarios for Tomorrow
✅ Bullish Setup:
* If NVDA breaks above 141, expect a push toward 143-150.
* Ideal entry: Above 141, stop-loss below 139.
* Profit targets: 143.44, 145, 150 (extension).
❌ Bearish Setup:
* If NVDA fails at 141 and breaks below 138, expect a move toward 130-123.
* Ideal entry: Below 138, stop-loss above 140.
* Profit targets: 130, 127, 123.
Probability Estimate for NVDA’s Next Move: Bullish Move Above 141 (Targets 143-150)
Scenario Probability (%): 50%
Reasoning: NVDA is in a strong uptrend but faces key gamma resistance at 141.
• Needs strong volume to break through 141-143 levels. | | Choppy/Sideways (Range 137-141) | 30% |
Volume profile suggests heavy trading activity around 138-140, meaning price may consolidate.
* MACD suggests weak momentum, signaling possible chop before a breakout. | | Bearish Breakdown Below 138 (Targets 130-123) | 20% | - Bearish MACD crossover signals weakening momentum.
* If 138 fails, expect downside toward 130-123 levels. |
Final Thoughts
* NVDA needs to break 141 to continue higher toward 143-150.
* If 138 breaks, selling pressure could increase, pushing price to 130-123.
* IVR is moderate, meaning larger moves are possible, but momentum needs to pick up.
🔹 Best Trading Plan:
* Bullish Play: Look for a breakout above 141 → target 143-150.
* Bearish Play: Watch for rejection at 141 or a break below 138 → target 130-123.
🚨 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade with proper risk management.
NVIDIA - Scalping + Forecast (2-19)🔥 Market Overview (NVIDIA - NVDA)
Trend: Bullish recovery after a consolidation phase.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $142.04 (Supertrend level)
Support: $132.88 (200 EMA), $138.29 (Intermediate support)
Indicators:
EMA 9: $140.21 (Price hovering around short-term trend)
EMA 200: $132.88 (Strong support)
MACD: Bearish momentum fading, but still negative.
RSI: 59.19, approaching overbought zone.
🔥 Scalping Strategy
🩸 1. Range Scalping (Preferred Strategy)
Buy near: $138.50-$139.00, targeting $142.00.
Sell near: $142.00, targeting $138.50.
Stop-loss: Below $137.50.
🩸 2. Breakout Scalping (If $142.50 Breaks)
Buy above: $142.50, targeting $145-$147.
Stop-loss: Below $141.50.
🩸 3. Momentum Scalping (For Quick Trades)
Short near: $142.00, targeting $138.50.
Buy near: $138.50, targeting $142.00.
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
NVDA needs to break $142.50 to confirm a continued bullish rally.
If rejected at $142.00, expect a pullback to $138.50.
MACD shows signs of recovery but remains weak.
🔥 News & Market Context
NVIDIA remains a market leader in AI and GPU sectors, with high institutional interest.
Investor sentiment remains strong, but macroeconomic factors could influence movement.
Earnings and sector-wide tech performance will play a role in confirming a breakout.
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Range scalp between $138.50-$142.00.
🩸 Mid-term: Wait for confirmation of $142.50 breakout.
🩸 Ideal Play: Short near $142.00 if rejection; buy on a confirmed breakout above $142.50.
👑 Final Verdict:
NVDA is at a key resistance zone. A breakout above $142.50 could push towards $145+, while rejection could bring a pullback to $138.50.
🔥 LucanInvestor's Quote:
"The market is a battlefield—know when to strike, and when to hold." 👑
