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NVDA trade ideas

NVDA Exhaust NVDA has a unique way of going down to scale up in a multiple flag pattern towards each highs. Last time NVDA had a leg on it’s major trend-line was July 2024. This up movement it just did is changing the way NVDA usually scales back up and bring a similarity to when it dropped when it bounced of 131 resistance down to 110. My prediction is this high movement to the upside is a reaction before earnings, which will cause a reason to take liquidity on the remaining portion of the resistance to become bearish. NVDA can drop down to the FVP that never closed on the 120 area in order to make another leg on its bullish major trend-line. If the news are good enough after the chip issue then it invalidates my prediction. But I am feeling confident on this change of structure, since NVDA is moving differently in nature.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by soymundo21
NVDA | Unpacking NVIDIA’s Q3 FY25Building the Matrix, One GPU at a Time This week, NVIDIA unveiled its October quarter results, capturing global attention as analysts closely monitored the stock's movements. While Wall Street often emphasizes short-term performance, a broader perspective highlights NVIDIA's remarkable rise. Over two years, its stock value has multiplied tenfold, outpacing tech giants like Alphabet and Amazon in profitability and edging closer to Microsoft and Apple in net income—a meteoric ascent for the history books. The AI Inflection Point NVIDIA's transformation began in November 2022 when OpenAI launched ChatGPT, described by CEO Jensen Huang as AI's "iPhone moment." Fast-forward two years, and NVIDIA's latest Blackwell GPU architecture is scaling up production, meeting surging demand. As Huang explained, "The age of AI is in full steam," driven by foundational model training and inference advancements. Two major trends underpin this shift: -Platform evolution:Transitioning from traditional coding to machine learning. -Emergence of AI factories:New industries powered by generative AI applications. AI native startups are booming, and successful inference services are proliferating. If AI's trajectory mirrors the mobile revolution, this is akin to 2009 a pivotal moment with much more innovation ahead. Q3 FY25 Highlights NVIDIA's fiscal year ends in January, and the recently concluded October quarter (Q3 FY25) demonstrated strong momentum: - Revenue: $35.1 billion (+17% quarter-over-quarter), exceeding expectations by $2 billion. - Segment growth:** - Data Center: +17% QoQ ($30.8 billion). - Gaming: +14% QoQ ($3.3 billion). - Automotive: +30% QoQ ($0.4 billion). - Margins: Gross margin at 75%, operating margin at 62%. - Cash flow: Operating cash flow of $17.6 billion; free cash flow of $16.8 billion. - Q4 FY25 Guidance: Anticipates +7% revenue growth ($37.5 billion). Key Drivers and Insights -Data Center Dominance:Contributing 88% of overall revenue, driven by Hopper GPUs and the anticipated Blackwell production ramp. -Gaming Growth:Propelled by GeForce RTX GPU demand and back-to-school sales. -Automotive Innovation:Growth fueled by AI-powered autonomous driving solutions. -Margins:Slight compression due to Blackwell production ramp, with recovery expected as production scales. Looking ahead, demand for NVIDIA's Hopper and Blackwell GPUs outpaces supply, likely remaining constrained into FY26. However, challenges loom, including intensifying competition from AMD and custom AI chips. The AI Scaling Debate Skeptics argue AI scalability may be approaching its limits, but Huang is optimistic, citing advancements in reinforcement learning and inference-time scaling. He emphasized that AI's growth is driven by empirical laws, suggesting scalability could be extended through methods like post-training and test-time scaling. CEO and CFO Perspectives - Huang likens modern data centers to "AI factories," producing intelligence like power plants generate electricity. - The shift to "physical AI" unlocks applications in industrial and robotics sectors, powered by NVIDIA's Omniverse. - Blackwell GPUs are delivering significant cost reductions and accelerating AI workloads. Investment Outlook Despite valuation concerns, NVIDIA's profitability is tangible. However, the company's reliance on sustained GPU demand and a concentrated customer base presents risks. Meanwhile, competition from AMD is intensifying. Final Thoughts If ChatGPT was AI's "iPhone moment," the transformation is just beginning. Like the app economy in 2009, the AI-first revolution is poised to unlock entirely new markets and reshape industries. NVIDIA's leadership positions it at the forefront of this multi-trillion-dollar opportunity.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by moonypto
NVIDIA I Set for Potential 20%+ Upside – Key Level Buy Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** NVIDIA Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by BKTradingAcademy
1
NVDA Topping PatternUnlike the previous call, I made in NVDA that was corrective. This double-top pattern is signaling a reversal pattern. From a trading perspective, this is a great risk/reward setup that is relatively simple. A CRACK! here will likely lead to at least the right side filling, with the potential deeper pullback (reversal) If on the other hand, it pops above recent highs then no trade or an easy stop out. As you all know I don't do targets, I think they are silly and only used to pretend one has such insight not only can they call the move but also a "target" too. Yeah well, I'll leave that to the "experts" ;) Bulls don't be a dick for tick. Shorts take some early profits to improve cost basis but let this one ride!
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by RealMacro
6
NVDA Scalping & Swing Strategy: Liquidity Zones and Next MoveNVDA continues to show dynamic price action, making it an exciting candidate for both scalping and swing trades. Let's break down its current price structure, key levels, and potential trade setups based on technical analysis. Market Structure: 1. Current Range: NVDA is oscillating between $137 (major support) and $152.91 (key resistance). 2. EMA Analysis: The 9 EMA and 21 EMA on the hourly chart indicate a bearish crossover, showing selling pressure dominating in the short term. 3. Volume Trends: Declining volume suggests indecision. A volume spike near key levels will confirm the next move. Liquidity Zones: * Demand Zone (Support): $137–$137.50. Buyers previously stepped in here, and liquidity is concentrated at this level. * Supply Zone (Resistance): $152–$153. This is a critical zone where sellers rejected higher prices multiple times. Key Levels: * Support: $137.06, $141.77. * Resistance: $144.25, $152.91. Price Action Insights: 1. NVDA has printed lower highs, signaling bearish intent. However, the current support near $137 is holding firm, showing that buyers are active. 2. Two rejection wicks at $152 suggest that this resistance is a strong hurdle for bulls. 3. Watch for breakout momentum above $144.25 or a breakdown below $137 for confirmation of the next direction. Order Blocks: * Bullish Order Block: Around $137. A consolidation area where institutional buying may occur again. * Bearish Order Block: $152–$153 zone, where sellers aggressively defended the price. Entry & Exit Suggestions: For Scalping: * Entry: Look for a pullback entry near $141.50 if price shows bullish rejection wicks and volume supports upside momentum. * Target: $144.25 (partial profits), $152 (final target). * Stop-Loss: Below $140 to minimize downside risk. For Swing Trade: * Bullish Scenario: * Entry: Above $144.25 after a clear breakout with volume confirmation. * Target: $152.91, followed by $157 for a longer-term play. * Stop-Loss: Below $141 to protect against false breakouts. * Bearish Scenario: * Entry: On a break below $137 with strong bearish candles and volume. * Target: $130 psychological support. * Stop-Loss: Above $138. Thoughts & Projections: * Bullish Case: If NVDA holds above $141.77 and breaks $144.25, it could aim for $152. However, a lack of momentum above $152 might lead to sideways action. * Bearish Case: A breakdown below $137 could trigger significant selling pressure, targeting $130 as the next support. Playbook & Gameplan: 1. Pre-Market Prep: * Mark $137 and $144.25 on your chart. * Monitor volume and price behavior near these levels. 2. Scalping Checklist: * Wait for clear rejection wicks or engulfing candles. * Use the 9 EMA for short-term trend confirmation. * Take quick profits; NVDA can be volatile. 3. Swing Checklist: * Look for higher time frame candle closes above $144.25 or below $137. * Hold positions longer only if volume confirms breakout strength. Conclusion: NVDA is positioned for explosive moves as it consolidates near key liquidity zones. Scalpers can focus on quick trades between $141 and $144, while swing traders should wait for confirmation beyond the $137–$152 range. Stay disciplined and stick to your plan. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately before making any trades.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
Watch for Potential Reversal Amid VolatilityRecent Performance: Nvidia's stock has been caught in a bearish trend, breaking critical support levels with considerable volatility around earnings announcements. Although the latest revenue report surpassed expectations driven by strong demand in AI and data center operations, the market’s reaction has been lackluster, leading to a sell-off post-earnings. The broader tech sector also exhibits mixed performance, contrasting with upward stability in competitors like Tesla and Amazon. - Key Insights: Investors should remain cautious but attentive as Nvidia navigates significant support levels. The company's promising outlook in AI and robotics suggests long-term growth potential, yet concerns about its high valuation may create resistance against upward momentum. Watching the immediate support and resistance points will be crucial in gauging short- term viability for trades. - Expert Analysis: While many analysts retain a bullish perspective on Nvidia's long-term prospects, caution surrounds its high valuation coupled with the risk of an impending market correction. Revised price targets reflect a spectrum of optimism heavily influenced by the demand in the AI sector. The contrasting price targets highlight deeper market uncertainties, urging investors to monitor share price closely. - Price Targets: Based on professional traders' insights, next week’s targets are set as follows: - Next week targets: T1 = 160, T2 = 175 - Stop levels: S1 = 140, S2 = 137 - Ensure S2 < S1 < current_price (N/A) < T1 < T2 to comply with trading strategies. - News Impact: Nvidia's recent earnings report illustrated record revenue but failed to maintain momentum, triggering sell-offs due to investor hesitance about sustaining growth. The company's strategic investments in AI and robotics underline its commitment to future growth, but speculative risks loom. Furthermore, its addition to the Dow highlights increased market interest, warranting ongoing scrutiny from investors. This analysis strives to encapsulate Nvidia's present standing while preparing investors to react adaptively to market shifts and sentiment fluctuations in the coming week.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
NVIDIA 200 BY 2025 Reasons Why NVIDIA Could Reach $200 by 2025 NVIDIA (NVDA) has been at the forefront of technological innovation, particularly in the realms of AI and graphics processing, positioning it well for significant stock price growth. Here are several reasons why NVIDIA's stock might hit $200 by 2025: Dominance in AI and Data Center Markets: NVIDIA's GPUs are the backbone for many AI and machine learning applications. Their leadership in this space, especially with the advent of AI-driven technologies across industries, is expected to keep revenue growth robust. The company's data center segment has seen exponential growth, with analysts predicting a continued upward trend due to the increasing demand for computing power in AI applications. Strategic Product Roadmap: NVIDIA's product pipeline, including the Blackwell architecture, is anticipated to propel the company forward. The Blackwell chips, expected to launch in 2025, are designed to push performance boundaries for AI applications, potentially capturing more market share and driving revenue. The expectation around these new architectures creates a bullish outlook for NVIDIA's stock. Strong Financial Performance: NVIDIA's financial results have consistently outperformed expectations. For instance, Q2 FY 2025 saw a revenue increase of 122% year over year, demonstrating the company's ability to maintain high growth rates. Despite a natural slowdown expected due to tougher year-over-year comparisons, the company's growth is still projected to be impressive at around 43% for FY 2026, supporting a narrative of sustained stock price appreciation. High Barriers to Entry and Market Moats: The complexity and performance of NVIDIA's offerings create high barriers for competitors, ensuring NVIDIA's market leadership. Analysts highlight NVIDIA's 24-month technological lead in AI GPUs, with high switching costs for customers locked into NVIDIA's ecosystem. This moat is expected to support premium pricing and market share retention, which could translate into stock value growth. Analyst Optimism: Numerous Wall Street analysts have set price targets for NVIDIA well above its current levels, with some predicting it could hit $200 or more by 2025. These forecasts are based on NVIDIA's strong fundamentals, technological edge, and market position in AI and computing solutions. Market Sentiment and Valuation: Even though NVIDIA's stock trades at a premium valuation (62 times trailing earnings as of recent data), analysts believe that its growth trajectory justifies this price. If NVIDIA continues to meet or exceed growth expectations, its valuation could expand further, driving the stock price towards $200. However, achieving this target would require either a significant earnings surge or a market sentiment favoring even higher multiples for tech growth stocks. Global AI Adoption: Posts on X highlight the ongoing global shift towards AI, with NVIDIA at the forefront. The demand for NVIDIA's computing solutions is expected to grow as AI becomes more integral to various sectors, from automotive to cloud computing, thereby supporting stock price growth.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
$NVDA NEOWAVE ANALYSIS Experimental analysis with the intention to follow back later on as I am still learning CRASH INCOMING!! The pattern is a Diametric A Diametric is a 7-legged formation NVDA has reached the target for wave G The action following a Diametric pattern does not depend on the Diametric itself. If the movement after wave-G is not more stronger and faster than waves-B, D, and F, then an X-wave is likely forming. If it is, then the Diametric could be part of a larger pattern in progress, or it could represent wave-1 or 3 in a Terminal formation.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by thekidtrader11
Selling Opportunity setup -NVDAIn general me and my brother, we are long on NVDA, but since we noticed multiple red flags, we believe that in the short term there are more odds in favor of a correction than a continuation. We take the upcoming earnings as a trading event and we access the risks versus the potential upside return. Our trading system gave us a signal for a long entry on the open of 19 November 2024. We will now show you the red flags: #1 Pattern similarity Feels like we traded this pattern before, see the current pattern of Nvidia VERSUS an old pattern of the SPY: You can clearly see, that there was a correction and a long sideway action, then the price did a NEW HIGH on a small upward channel of higher highs and higher lows. #2 Not the right volume pattern You would expect that when the price is rising and makes a new local highs, the volume will increase on the upside, but there is a rise on shrinking volume. Also most of the relative large volume is on the red bars down on the selling side. Let us do the following thought experiment, if a small edge fund wants to book profit on NVDA which I am sure such an edge fund exists since we are at all new time highs, they would put sell orders so a big edge fund will fill them and they will book a profit. This should be manifested as a large spike in volume, especially when the stock reached a new all-time high twice. But we did not see any spike in volume! This means as Jesse Livermore liked to put it, the stock is not acting right ! We wanted to see Nvidia making a new high on large volume and push forward to $180 as analysts forecast, but it didn't. We suspect that the rising in price, is a retail activity being allowed by the puppet master, so the puppet master could sell out Nvidia as high as he can. Hence he is the Master, and the public is the puppet. They are being played to believe that Nvidia will get to $180 right now. Somehow we feel it's a red flag, that NO VOLUME is entering the market on a rising price. This COULD happen in a case where all the market and public are so bullish on Nvidia that everyone just lifted up all their sell limit orders to $160 plus, so this explains the non existance of volume. However, the odds are not in favour of this behavior since it is not normal human behavior of profit taking. #3 No shakeout of the public Previously the market shaked out all the non believers, but now, they just let the stock price chip its way up with higher highs and higher lows to reach $150 but not break it? ... No stop loss hunting to get liquidity from the market? looks suspicious. #4 Options Chain Large Size on the long side (calls) At first we wanted to buy options to the long side, but since we saw we were less likely to profit from it since IV (Implied volatility) is 100%+ it made the options prices too expensive, and no room for a reasonable profit. The day after earnings, the IV will drop dramatically and we saw in our indicator that it is a losing bet UNLESS it will actually reach $180 after earnings is released and we are skeptical about it. See the options volume leaders: You can clearly see that Nvidia is a leader of sold call options above $150 (open interest). I don't know if you read the options book, but statistically most options end up worthless... This is how the market makers make their money... and it is profitable... to collapse the price of the stock... by selling hardly the stock... so all those options will end up worthless... Because it is PROFITABLE to make them worthless, we somehow find it hard to believe they will let all those options become at the money by a price jump to $180 right now as analysts say it expects to go. Because this means they will lose lots of money on those sold OUT OF THE MONEY options. There are substantially more amounts of Calls than Puts. (1.61 ratio). The volume of options is crazy, this is serious money. The options in the interesting prices ($150 for example) are 4 times larger calls than puts. There could be a possibility that if the market sentiment of Nvidia is so bullish that they can't sell the stock down, they will have no choice but to edge themselves, and buy the stock itself which will ultimately drive the price of Nvidia up. We estimate this low in likelihood, given recent other earnings that pushed the stock prices down when the earnings are released after hours. So what can you expect next? You can expect this for sure: If the post-earning movement will be to the upside, your portfolio of other stocks (the market) will not gain the same amount of return. If the post-earning movement will be to the downside, since all the indexes will get hurt (due to high weight of NVIDIA), the whole market will get HURT, so NVIDIA loss will be reflected also in other stocks in your portfolio. THE SELLING SETUP is to wait for NVIDIA to crush on earnings so it will crush the market, and then it is the happiest day for DAY TRADING ! to the short side... Since, the odds for short on the post-earning day, are very high, and it is like a present from the market, since you can prepare yourself to it by waiting for the money to be on the floor, so you just pick it up.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by ZoharCho
19
STILL MAKING HIGHER HIGHS BUT ALSO H&S If you had decided to hold the channel in the sideway movement, it would have worked both ways for you, as it did an excellent job for both bulls and bears. The sharper move it has made since joining the DOW is still yet to be seen, waiting for what many have called a run-up to 200. Until then, 131 remains solid support unless some may perceive this pattern as similar to a double top, even though it doesn't measure right for me. Short-term outlook bearish, long-term potential bullish.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by themoneyman80
2
NVIDIA’s Candle Shadows and Volume: A Tactical PerspectiveThe recent NVIDIA chart displays significant technical activity around critical levels. The shadow on the 1D chart, particularly below $140, signals buying interest. Key observations include: 1. Shadow Analysis: The large lower wick on the most recent candlestick tested $140 but closed above $142. This suggests buyers stepped in to defend this zone, creating a rebound effect. 2. Volume Surge: The day closed with over 300M in volume, a spike compared to the 20-day average of 200M, indicating heightened activity and interest in the $140-$142 range. 3. Historical Levels: A similar shadow pattern occurred on October 13, when the price tested $132 but quickly recovered. These areas are emerging as reliable demand zones for short-term trading. 4. Key Levels: • Resistance: $148 remains a tough level, marked by rejection candles with upper shadows. • Support: $140 is holding, with buyers repeatedly absorbing sell pressure. Consideration If the next candlestick closes above $145 with lower volume, it may signal a lack of selling pressure and confirm a short-term bullish reversal. However, a break below $140 with continued high volume could trigger further downside to $135.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by marcobustamanteriffo
NVDA is the NOK of the 2000 Tech BubbleIn the year 2000, if you said Nokia as a bubble and would correct you were called insane. It was not even possible for bulls to consider that the leader in Cellular phones with no competition would ever go down. NVDA is in a similar position today. The leader has everything to loose. They get over confident, make stupid investments, and the competion becomes more focused and innovative. The bubble growth leads to investor complacency and foolishness' to the point they don't even consider the Macro environmental factors degrading. All of this sets up for massive bear markets in such stocks.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Earthmatrix
14
How Will Nvidia's Stellar Quarter Impact the Future of Tech InveNvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) experienced a rollercoaster ride as investors grappled with its impressive third-quarter earnings report. While the chip giant delivered a strong performance, the market's reaction was somewhat muted, highlighting the high expectations placed on the company. A Quarter of Record-Breaking Growth The surge in revenue was primarily driven by the robust demand for Nvidia's high-performance GPUs, which are essential for powering artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning applications. The company's data center segment, in particular, saw exponential growth, fueled by the increasing adoption of AI in various industries. A Cautious Market Response Despite the impressive results, Nvidia's stock price fluctuated throughout the day. While the initial market reaction was positive, with shares rising in pre-market trading, the momentum soon faded. Some analysts attributed this to the high expectations set by Nvidia's consistent outperformance in recent quarters. Another factor that may have influenced the market's reaction was Nvidia's outlook for the fourth quarter. While the company provided a revenue forecast that exceeded analyst expectations, some investors may have been hoping for even more aggressive guidance. Long-Term Growth Prospects Remain Strong Despite the short-term volatility, Nvidia's long-term growth prospects remain robust. The company's dominance in the AI and machine learning market, coupled with its strong financial position, positions it well to capitalize on the ongoing technological revolution. As AI advances and becomes more pervasive, the demand for high-performance computing solutions is expected to soar. With their superior performance and energy efficiency, Nvidia's GPUs are ideally suited to meet this growing demand. Key Takeaways from Nvidia's Earnings Report • Record Revenue: Nvidia's third-quarter revenue of $35.08 billion surpassed expectations and marked a significant year-over-year increase. • Strong Data Center Performance: The data center segment was a major growth driver, fueled by the increasing adoption of AI and machine learning. • Cautious Market Reaction: Despite the strong results, the market's reaction was muted, reflecting high investor expectations. • Long-Term Growth Potential: Nvidia's strong market position and focus on innovation position it well for future growth. As Nvidia continues to push the boundaries of technology, its stock price will likely remain volatile. However, the company's strong fundamentals and promising growth prospects make it an attractive investment opportunity for long-term investors.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by bryandowningqln
$NVDA is headed back to $80sIt was a fun run for NVDA but it looks to be coming to an end. We've reached max stupid in the stock market and the correction is about to be painful. Not sure what's going to cause this type of a move, maybe SMCI news ends up being a bigger deal in earnings than what was initially let on, maybe people finally realize the hype cycle in AI is way ahead of where the tech is, or maybe, people just realize the company is way overvalued. Whatever happens during earnings, looks like the same outcome. Price is going to trade back in the 80s. This is likely the top. Hoping we see a move back to $145 on Monday to enter some puts. Let's see how it plays out over the coming weeks. NASDAQ:MSFT looks horrible too. Will likely do a chart on that next.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by benjihyam
2
NVDA Analysis – Watching Key Levels! Hello Folks Alright, here’s what I’m seeing on NVDA. We’re still bullish for now, but I’ve marked the level where things could shift if it breaks. First Entry: Around $140, expecting support to hold and price to bounce. Second Entry: If price breaks $151, I’ll look to add at $148 after a retest for continuation. Targets : TP1: $151.69 TP2: $162.66 Stops below $136, keeping it tight in case the CHOCH level breaks and we start heading lower. For now, the setup looks solid. Let’s see if $140 holds, or if we dip lower before the next move. What’s your thought, folks?
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by QuantumFusion
2