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NVDA Supply Concerns are Overrated Increased military activities by China around Taiwan raise concerns over potential disruptions to semiconductor supply chains, especially since Taiwan hosts TSMC, Nvidia's (NVDA) primary chip manufacturer. While no immediate direct impact on Nvidia's stock price or operations is reported today, the risk of supply chain interruptions could lead to stock volatility, investor caution, and potential long-term strategic adjustments by Nvidia regarding manufacturing diversification.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by justin_p_mcfarland
Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Drops Amid Investigation in ChinaNvidia (NVDA) Stock Drops Amid Investigation in China On 21 November, our analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) stock price revealed: → The continuation of a long-term upward channel (illustrated in blue). → The significance of resistance at the psychological level of $150. Since then, NVDA’s stock price has failed to surpass the highlighted resistance level, despite stock indices reaching record highs, indicating Nvidia's relative underperformance compared to the broader market. It seems the AI-driven rally may be losing steam. Investor concerns were heightened yesterday by news that China has launched an antitrust investigation into Nvidia, suspecting the company of violating the country’s competition laws. In response, Nvidia stated that it complies with its obligations wherever it operates and is ready to cooperate with regulators. Following this announcement, NVDA’s stock price experienced a modest decline, further reinforcing a bearish outlook. Technical analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) stock chart indicates that if the price fluctuations since September are viewed as forming a channel with curved lines (drawn in black), it becomes evident (as marked by an arrow) that the lower line has shifted its role from support to resistance — a bearish signal. In this context, the situation appears balanced, with buyers and sellers consolidating NVDA's price within a range of $132 to $150. The eventual breakout from this range could result in a significant swing—but in which direction? According to TipRanks, analysts remain optimistic: → 37 out of 40 analysts recommend buying NVDA stock. → The average 12-month price target for NVDA is $176. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by FXOpen
2
Don't Miss the Second Wave of AI Opportunities!Are you still regretting missing out on NVIDIA's 10x growth? This time, you may not need to worry. The second wave of AI is forming, and this time, the opportunities are not limited to hardware, but are fully penetrating enterprise-level applications. For investors, this is an unparalleled new window of opportunity. A Look into the Future: The Development Patterns of AI Reviewing history, from the power revolution a century ago to the internet revolution in the 1990s, we see similar development patterns. Each revolutionary technology wave will go through three key stages. Let's take the internet revolution as an example: Infrastructure Construction Stage In the late 1980s and early 1990s, the internet was just emerging, and its applications were still very limited. The companies that benefited most were those in the foundation layer, such as Cisco and Intel. The first stage of AI development was similar, with chip giants like NVIDIA driving the construction of AI infrastructure. 2. B2B Application Rise Stage In the mid-1990s, the internet gradually entered the enterprise-level application field, with CRM and supply chain management software emerging, improving corporate production efficiency. AI is currently entering this stage, with companies optimizing operational processes using AI technology to achieve cost reduction and efficiency improvement. 3. C2C Consumer-Level Application Popularization Stage In the late 1990s, various C2C killer applications began to emerge, such as Amazon, PayPal, and Yahoo!, which became familiar companies. Now that the first wave has stabilized, the question is: when will the second wave arrive in B2B applications? Many ordinary people have a feeling that AI applications are limited to chatbots like ChatGPT, and that true killer applications have not yet arrived or will take a long time to develop. As a result, some people believe that AI investment is still too early, and that what's being blown up now is just a bubble. Indeed, we can see that C2C applications are still in development and will take a long time to mature. However, in B2B applications, AI has already been widely deployed and has shown significant effects in certain specific fields. It's just that ordinary people haven't yet felt it. As investors, we must be more sensitive than ordinary people because corporate changes will be critical to the second wave of AI. The Second Wave of AI: The Golden Era of Enterprise-Level Applications The following graph is a summary of the top-ranked industries in which AI-driven companies are most likely to benefit. As for software companies like ETFIGV, we can see from their financial reports that AI is driving significant improvements in corporate operating efficiency. The following graphs show the gross margin and EBITDA margin of three typical software companies: Shopify, Salesforce, and ServiceNow. Explaination: Gross margin reflects the main product profit of software companies, while EBITDA margin reflects the company's operating profit after deducting depreciation and interest. In other words, it represents a company's ability to generate profits from limited resources. We can see that these three companies have seen significant improvements in their EBITDA margins over the past two quarters while maintaining stable gross margins. Data does not lie; this may indicate that AI is already seeing effects in enterprise-level applications. • Shopify: By optimizing internal processes using AI, it maintained stable gross margins while improving EBITDA margins and directly driving stock price growth by 30% after reporting earnings. • Salesforce: It launched its "INS Instant" AI tool to automate 370,000 tasks, saving 50,000 hours of labor time and significantly improving employee efficiency. • ServiceNow: Its AI accelerated data extraction speed by 53%, work flow efficiency by 27 times, and RPO growth by 26%, providing more powerful workflow optimization services for enterprises. These data clearly show that AI is not just a buzzword but brings actual efficiency and profitability improvements to enterprises. Snowflake: A Breakthrough in Enterprise Data Analysis Snowflake's case is more representative. This data analysis platform focuses on providing intelligent operational support to enterprises using AI technology. This quarter's RPO increased from $52 billion to $57 billion, reflecting enterprise trust in its AI capabilities. CEO's "All-in-AI" strategy not only drives data mining efficiency but also drove its stock price up by 30% after reporting earnings. Insurance Industry Digital Transformation: AIFU and BGM's Strategic Cooperation The insurance industry is an important target area for AI transformation due to its information-intensive nature. It is at the forefront of digital transformation, especially with AI technology driving it forward. AIFU's smart future has already achieved insurance industry transformation through its core product "Duxiao" platform. "Duxiao" is an AI-driven insurance platform developed jointly by AIFU and Baidu. By combining big data and AI technology, it can provide personalized insurance solutions for customers. The platform analyzes customer health insurance needs, education planning, and wealth management needs in depth and generates highly customized insurance configuration plans. This has significantly improved agent productivity and accuracy while reducing operating costs. As of December 2023, AIFU's revenue reached $31.98 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 14.98%. Net profit was $2.89 billion with a year-on-year growth rate of 237.25%. AIFU's PE ratio (TTM) is only 3.5 times. In comparison to industry giants such as Prudential (PUK) and AXA (AXAHY), which have PE ratios above 12 times or even higher than AIFU. AIFU's strategic acquisition of two subsidiaries by BGM on Friday includes core technology assets such as "Duxiao" platform. BGM is a global pharmaceutical and chemical company that has actively promoted its AI strategy in recent years. By integrating AI with data analysis, BGM is reshaping its business model towards a more intelligent future. How to Seize Opportunities in the Second Wave of AI? What kind of companies will ultimately succeed? I can share with you my thoughts on what kind of companies need to possess these characteristics: Strong Competitive Moat: Companies that can continuously strengthen their competitive barriers through AI. Data Monopoly Advantage: Companies that build models using high-quality private data rather than public data. Flexible Business Model: SaaS platforms with pay-as-you-go pricing models have more scalability and profitability potential. Strong Execution Ability: Agile and decisive management teams that can quickly deploy technology. Conclusion: The future belongs to those who dare to layout!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by xugina78
NVDA Elliott Wave Analysis: Potential Bullish Reversal ZonesThis post analyzes NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) using Elliott Wave principles on the 4-hour chart. Key highlights include: 1. A corrective ABC pattern nearing completion, with Wave (4) projected in the blue target zone between $117.21 (1.382 Fib extension) and $125.36 (Wave 1 level). 2. Potential bullish reversal expected within this zone, aligning with a confluence of trendline support. 3. Upside targets for the next impulsive wave: $146.81 and $167.27, marking Fibonacci resistance levels. 4. Stop-loss level strategically set at $112.67 to manage risk effectively. This setup anticipates a continuation of the bullish trend upon confirmation of the reversal. Trade cautiously and follow your strategy!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by MrStockWhale
8
Thinks againCould it be that this stock will drop further? Today, a report came out stating that China has launched an antitrust investigation. However, it's clear that this is a positive step to maintain the technological leadership that the U.S. requires from its manufacturers. Therefore, this news is not a catalyst for a decline. What we can observe is a well-formed symmetrical triangle(B) at the apex of a megaphone pattern(A), similar to the one Bitcoin created a few months ago to reach 100K.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by AllAboutMoney
Why NVDA was not a good candidate for Selling Short last weekBy Friday last week in NASDAQ:NVDA , Support of the Market created an inside day to reversal rebound white candle that engulfed, indicating that the minor drop down out of this trading range was just that: a minor slip of price to below fundamental levels. Volume was well above average and Volume Oscillators--TSV, TTVA or Chaikin Osc--ticked up along with money inflows. Never assume that a break to the downside from a stable sideways trend is going to continue down. Inside days are no longer a "sure thing" for selling short. Along with support from a bottom formation, the minor nudge before the black candle that dropped below the low of the sideways trend also was a factor in determining that NVDA was not going to run down. Sell short risk was exceedingly high based on these factors.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Nvidia (NVDA) Consolidation Continues Below Trend LineChart Analysis: NVIDIA stock remains in a broader uptrend, with price action bouncing off a rising trendline (black) while consolidating within a descending channel (green zone). 1️⃣ Rising Trendline: The trendline, established from early 2024 lows, continues to act as dynamic support, with the price rebounding from this level. 2️⃣ Descending Channel: Recent price action is contained within a descending channel, reflecting short-term consolidation within the broader uptrend. A breakout above the channel could signal a continuation of the primary trend. 3️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (blue): Positioned at 139.70, just above the current price, potentially acting as immediate resistance. 200-day SMA (red): Positioned at 116.64, confirming the long-term bullish structure. 4️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: At 52.29, reflecting neutral momentum and suggesting room for further upside if a breakout occurs. MACD: Below zero, indicating lingering bearish pressure, though flattening momentum suggests the potential for a shift. What to Watch: A breakout above the descending channel and the 50-day SMA could confirm a resumption of the uptrend, with resistance near 150–155. A failure to hold the rising trendline could shift attention to the 200-day SMA near 116.64 for potential support. NVIDIA remains in a bullish framework despite short-term consolidation, with key levels providing a roadmap for the next directional move. -MW
NASDAQ:NVDA
by FOREXcom
Nvidia poised for potential bullish breakout next week - Recent Performance: Nvidia has exhibited notable volatility in the market, managing to score over 3% gains within the past week. The stock has remained a central focus in the tech sector, demonstrating resilience despite broader market fluctuations. Analysts are now eyeing this volatility, viewing it as a precursor to further movements, especially as the stock approaches critical resistance levels. - Key Insights: Investors should consider Nvidia as a strong buy opportunity, particularly due to its ability to hold above crucial price thresholds. A breakout beyond the resistance range of $136 to $137 could catalyze a more significant upward trend. The continued strength in the AI sector serves as a major growth driver, underscoring Nvidia's potential in a rapidly evolving technology landscape. - Expert Analysis: The market sentiment surrounding Nvidia is overwhelmingly optimistic. Analysts agree on the high probability of a breakout, which if achieved, would mark a bullish shift for the stock. They stress that maintaining prices above key support levels is essential for sustaining positive momentum, as Nvidia continues to lead in the AI space amid rising market demand. - Price Targets: Based on current market analysis, the price targets for next week are as follows: - Next week targets: T1 = 138, T2 = 144 - Stop levels: S1 = 132, S2 = 125 - News Impact: Nvidia has recently gained attention due to its strategic partnerships aimed at enhancing AI capabilities, including significant collaborations in India. The company anticipates remarkable revenue growth driven by the demand for its AI-based products, forecasting a 79% increase. The introduction of the new Blackwell AI processor has further excited analysts and investors alike, reinforcing Nvidia's strong market position. Overall, solid performance metrics, expert optimism, significant support and resistance levels, and important partnerships collectively suggest Nvidia is well-positioned for growth in the upcoming week.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
$NVDA - Chip-up or taking a breather before another run?NASDAQ:NVDA has been in a long and wide consolidation, rectangle if you like, and has recently shown signs of a determined move up with breahces of the upper channel line. It showed a similar move back around June and july, but was at both instances pushed down by big, red candles. It has gained momentum, both in terms of EMAs and various indicators. If the break of resistance holds, and price keeps moving up, we might be in for a good run. Should (recent) history repeat, we might be looking at $100 once again. Keep in mind, the last visit to this level is only a couple months ago. Personally I am currently short Nvidia (yes, a dangerous place to be..), however I see both directions happening. So my point is look for signs of a break of the high of $144, or a rejection by way of significant red candles and a weakening of volume, RSI, MACD or other indicators you prefer.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by WeRideAtDawn
Is NVIDIA Ready to Break Out or Break Down?Good morning, trading family! How’s everyone feeling today? Got your coffee? Charts ready? It’s time to dive in and see what the market has in store for us. Here’s the vibe: NVIDIA’s setting up for something big—are we aiming for $142 or sliding to $119? It’s like a game of tug-of-war, and the market’s holding the rope. Quick Tip: Remember, trading is about patience and discipline. If you’re feeling stuck, step away, take a breath, and come back with a clear head. The market’s not going anywhere. If you want a closer look at these setups or other ideas I’m watching, feel free to check out my profile or send me a DM—I’m always happy to share insights or answer questions. Let’s make it a great day! Kris /Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Mindbloome-Trading
Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #1 - NVDA Head and ShouldersThis is looking like an epic setup for NVDA, make or break here. Recently we had a shorter term inverse H&S that failed, but the longer term H&S remains valid for now. We have several things going on here, all of which looks pretty clean. To summarize: - Major support at $131.50 that was previous resistance from August. - Head and Shoulders with the neckline right at said support. - Ascending wedge starting at the August low, price just barely broke below and closed below. - Major pattern is still riding momentum off of the big triangle breakout, projected target of ~$170 has not been hit. - Recent weakness, I'd call it extreme weakness considering what the mag 7 and names like AVGO have done while NVDA continues to fall. So how do I intend to play it? The great thing about this setup is how clean everything is, should be fairly straightforward to trade. If the neckline/support at $131.50 doesn't hold, it's a short down to a retest of the triangle at minimum. If neither trendline from the triangle holds, next target is at $90. I'd call it good and reassess at that point, but eventually I expect $70 to hit and finally we'll see it move down to about $50 which will probably be near the major bottom. If $131.50 holds, then the dump will be delayed to a future date, will look for longs instead. If it can bounce and reclaim the trendline from the August low, I'd look for longs on a retest there or any decent dips really. We may end up making a new ATH and hitting that $170 target from the triangle breakout. Should be a big move either way, definitely worth watching as it will have a big impact on the broader market as well.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by AdvancedPlays
NVIDIA Breaks Key Support: H&S Pattern Targets $116.10NASDAQ:NVDA NVDA just broke the $131.80 support zone, acting as the neckline for a head and shoulders pattern . Default targets for this pattern are now projected at $116.10, aligning with the 200% Fibonacci extension level and a convergence cluster of Fibonacci levels. With the bearish butterfly pattern failing by just a few points, a further correction seems likely. As we approach the holiday season, watch for a potential upward trendline support below the convergence cluster—could this be the calm before a deeper dip? NVIDIA (NVDA) broke the $131.80 support zone. Default targets for this pattern are now projected at $116.10,. As we near the holiday season, watch for a possible ascending trendline support below the convergence cluster, which could signal a reversal or continued downside.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Andre_Cardoso
Is the AI Revolution Built on a House of Cards?In the treacherous landscape of technological ambition, Nvidia emerges as a cautionary tale of unchecked corporate hubris and potentially unsustainable growth. What appeared to be an unstoppable technological juggernaut now reveals deep fissures in its seemingly impenetrable facade, with mounting challenges threatening to unravel its carefully constructed narrative of AI dominance. Specific challenges underscore this fragility: comments from Microsoft's Satya Nadella suggest a potential moderation in AI chip demand, while Alphabet's Sundar Pichai has highlighted that "the low-hanging fruit is gone" in AI model development. Beneath the glossy veneer of technological innovation lies a troubling reality of regulatory scrutiny and market volatility. Nvidia faces a perfect storm of challenges: a potential slowdown in AI chip demand, an aggressive antitrust investigation by Chinese regulators, and growing skepticism from industry leaders. The competition is intensifying, with Amazon developing its own Trainium AI chips, and Broadcom positioning itself to capture significant market share with custom AI chip solutions projected to reach $90 billion in the next three years. OpenAI co-founder Ilya Sutskever's stark statement that "we've achieved peak data" further undermines the narrative of unbridled AI growth. The broader implications are profound and deeply concerning. Nvidia's struggles represent a microcosm of the larger technological ecosystem—a world where innovation is increasingly constrained by geopolitical tensions, regulatory challenges, and the harsh economic realities of diminishing returns. Despite massive capital expenditures by tech giants—with Microsoft nearly doubling its spending to $20 billion and Meta increasing expenses by 36%—only 4% of US workers use AI daily. This stark disconnect between investment and actual utility exposes the potential fragility of Nvidia's market position, with analysts suggesting that 2024 may have been the peak in terms of percentage increase for AI-related infrastructure spending.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by UDIS_View
NVIDIA's Declined over 10%, Why? When will be the Buy timing? NVIDIA fell nearly 4% today before narrowing the loss to 1.22%. Since hitting a record closing high of $148.88 in early November, the AI chip maker's stock has dropped over 10%. So, what is causing NVIDIA's decline? Firstly, Supply Chain Issues and Challenges NVIDIA faces multiple challenges in its supply chain, a significant factor in its stock decline. First, according to the latest data, the order volume and schedules for the GB200 and GB300 have been adjusted. Particularly, the mass production and shipment of GB series products have been postponed until after the Lunar New Year in February, increasing market uncertainty. Additionally, the small-scale production plans for GB300 face tight deadlines, putting pressure on GB200's mass production. Specific supply chain issues include CoWoS-L packaging technology, heating problems, copper cable connections, and leakage issues. These not only affect product yield rates but also increase system integration time costs. Consequently, NVIDIA has suggested customers purchase the B200 8-card HGX as a transitional solution, and clients like Microsoft are considering switching their orders. These supply chain issues affect NVIDIA's product delivery capabilities and reduce market expectations for its future performance. Secondly, Market Competition and Narrative Changes ASICs are gaining market recognition as a competitive narrative. ASICs are chips designed for specific tasks, akin to custom running shoes for a race. For certain tasks, ASICs outperform NVIDIA's GPUs (widely used for computing tasks) and are potentially cheaper. OpenAI co-founder Ilya and industry leaders like Microsoft's CEO Satya have started discussing the importance of not only training AI models but also ensuring they can quickly and accurately make decisions in real applications. This shift in perspective gives ASICs an advantage in some scenarios, as they are designed for rapid, precise execution of tasks. This raises questions about the cost of NVIDIA's GPUs. While powerful, they are expensive and require significant electricity and cooling. As ASICs perform better at lower costs for some tasks, there's consideration of replacing NVIDIA's GPUs with ASICs. Additionally, changes in scaling law narratives and the strengthening of inference narratives pose threats to NVIDIA. Scaling laws suggest that increasing AI model size (e.g., more neurons or layers) typically improves performance, but these gains are not infinite and require significant computational resources. This means NVIDIA must continually invest resources to improve product performance, potentially increasing costs. Moreover, companies like BTC, Tesla, and Google are investing heavily in their own AI chips or solutions. This intensifies market competition and challenges NVIDIA's leadership. Thirdly, Market Sentiment and Capital Flows Market sentiment and capital flow significantly impact NVIDIA's stock price. As the year ends, retail investors, ETFs, and institutions adjust their portfolios. Fluctuations in tech giants like Microsoft, Apple, and Google affect tech stocks like NVIDIA. Investors are more cautious, favoring stable, promising companies. Given these conditions, NVIDIA faces pressure on its stock price due to supply chain issues and competition. Lowered expectations for NVIDIA's future performance lead to capital outflows and stock price declines. Fourthly, Future Outlook and Catalysts Despite current challenges, NVIDIA has opportunities for a turnaround. First, NVIDIA needs to resolve supply chain issues, improve product yield, and delivery capabilities. Second, strengthening its presence in software and applications is crucial to addressing market competition. Additionally, NVIDIA should explore new computing narratives to expand its computing potential. Fifthly, Technical Analysis and Price Divergence Previously, prices rose continuously, but volume and KDJ began to decline, showing divergence. Without capital support, upward momentum was insufficient, leading to a short-term adjustment and a break below the mid-term trend line, resulting in a mid-term callback. When Might a New Rally Occur? From a technical analysis perspective: After two prior mid-term adjustments, breaking the downward trend line may signal the start of a new rally. Thus, this new rally must first break the resistance line. From a catalyst perspective: While January's CES and the earnings release in late February may not bring major surprises, March's GTC is worth anticipating. NVIDIA needs to showcase new technologies and products at this event to restore market confidence. If NVIDIA can introduce groundbreaking innovations, a stock rebound is possible.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by xugina78