EV Stocks Are Back on Track: Who’s Got the Juice in 2025?This year is big for the EV sector so we figured let’s do a piece on it and bring you up to speed on who’s making moves and getting traction — both in the charts and on the road.
What we’ve got here is a lean, mean lineup of real contenders. Let’s go for a ride.
🚗 Tesla: Still King of the Road (for Now)
Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA isn’t just an EV company. It’s a tech firm, an AI shop, a robotaxi rollout machine, and an Elon-flavored media event every quarter. Even so, when it comes to margins, global volume, and name recognition, Tesla is still the benchmark everyone else is chasing.
In 2025, Tesla’s bounceback is fueled not just by EV hype but by its push into autonomous driving and different plays into the AI space.
The stock is down about 13% year-to-date. But investors love a narrative turnaround. Apparently, the earnings update didn't help the situation as shares slipped roughly 5%. Well, there's always another quarter — make sure to keep an eye on the Earnings Calendar .
🐉 BYD: The Dragon in the Fast Lane
BYD 1211 is calmly racking up sales, expanding across continents, and stealing global market share without breaking a sweat. The Chinese behemoth is outselling Tesla globally and doing it with less drama and more charge… literally .
Vertical integration is BYD’s secret weapon — they make their own batteries, chips, and even semiconductors. The West might not be in love with BYD’s designs, but fleet operators and emerging-market governments are. And that’s where the real growth is.
⛰️ Rivian: Built for Trails, Not Earnings (Yet)
Rivian NASDAQ:RIVN still feels like the Patagonia of EV makers — rugged, outdoorsy, aspirational. Its R1T pickup truck has cult status, but the company had to tone down its ambitions and revised its guidance for 2025 deliveries to between 40,000 and 46,000. Early 2025 projections floated around 50,000 .
The good news? Rivian is improving on cost control, production pace, and market fit. The bad news? It’s still burning cash faster than it builds trucks. But for investors betting on a post-rate-cut growth stock rally, Rivian may be the comeback kid to watch. It just needs a few solid quarters.
🛋️ Lucid: Luxury Dreams, Reality Checks
Lucid NASDAQ:LCID , the one that’ll either go under or make it big. The luxury carmaker, worth about $8 billion, came into the EV game promising to out-Tesla Tesla — with longer range, more appeal, and a price tag to match.
But here’s the rub: rich people aren’t lining up for boutique sedans, especially when Mercedes and BMW now offer their own electric gliders with badge power and a dealer network.
Lucid’s challenge in 2025 is existential. The cars are sleek, the tech is strong, but the cash runway is shrinking and demand isn’t scaling like the pitch deck promised.
Unless it nails a strategic partnership (Saudi backing only goes so far), Lucid could end up as a cautionary tale — a beautifully engineered one, but a cautionary tale nonetheless. Thankfully, Uber NYSE:UBER showed up to the rescue ?
💪 NIO : Battling to Stay in the Race
Remember when NIO NYSE:NIO was dubbed the “Tesla of China”? Fast forward, and it’s still swinging — but now the narrative is more about survival than supremacy. NIO's battery-swap stations remain a unique selling point, but delivery volumes and profitability are still trailing.
The company’s leaning into smart-tech partnerships and next-gen vehicle platforms. The stock, meanwhile, needs more than just optimism to get moving again — it’s virtually flat on the year.
✈️ XPeng: Flying Cars, Literally
XPeng’s NYSE:XPEV claim to fame used to be its semi-autonomous driving suite. Now? It's working on literal flying vehicles with its Land Aircraft Carrier. Innovation isn’t the problem — it's execution and scale.
XPeng is beloved by futurists and punished by spreadsheets. It’s still getting government love, but without a clear margin path, the stock might stay grounded.
🏁 Li Auto: The Surprise Front-Runner
Li Auto NASDAQ:LI doesn’t get the headlines, but it’s quietly killing it with its range-extended EVs — hybrids that let you plug in or gas up. A smart move in a country still building out its charging infrastructure.
Li is delivering big numbers, posting improving margins, and seems laser-focused on practicality over hype. Of all the Chinese EV stocks, this one might be the most mature.
🧠 Nvidia: The Brains of the Operation
Okay, not an EV stock per se, but Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA deserves a spot on any EV watchlist. Its AI chips are running the show inside Tesla’s Full Self-Driving computers, powering sensor fusion in dozens of autonomous pilot programs, and quietly taking over the brains of modern mobility.
As self-driving becomes less sci-fi and more of a supply-chain item, Nvidia's value-add grows with every mile driven by data-hungry EVs.
🔋 ChargePoint & EVgo: Picks and Shovels
If you can’t sell the cars, sell the cables.
EV charging companies were once seen as the “safe bet” on electrification. Now they’re just seen as massively underperforming.
ChargePoint BOATS:CHPT : Still the leader in US charging stations but struggling with profitability and adoption pacing. Stock’s down bad from its peak in 2021 (like, 98% bad).
EVgo NASDAQ:EVGO : Focused on fast-charging and partnerships (hello, GM), but scale and margin pressures remain.
Both stocks are beaten down hard. But with billions in infrastructure funding still flowing, who knows, maybe there’s potential for a second act.
👉 Off to you : are you plugged into any of these EV plays? Share your EV investment picks in the comments!
TSLACO trade ideas
Tesla - A story of an underdogSeveral of the Mag 7 are getting over heated, so I like to look at the ones that haven't caught up.
Since I don't have a crystal ball, I must consider the bearish and bullish scenarios.
As an investor I must pivot accordingly as one of these scenarios gets invalidated.
So on my charts you'll always see both scenarios. Today I'm leaning towards the bull.
Tesla just needs a narrative shift (ie -new invention etc), & price action changes in a heart beat.
Yet, price action really has less to do with the news making Elon a hero, then a villain and then back and forth...but moreso to do with price action patterns that just keep repeating.
So if we don't get a dead cat bounce, I believe Tesla could eventually head towards it's ATH, if this bull market continues.
WXY structure with a double topTesla has been in a uptrend with a corrective structure WXY. I am not sure if the WXY is a part of wave 5 terminal structure or a B wave. However expecting a double top or 78.6 retrace to 425-430 range as a minimum. For this scenario, an impulsive upside move is expected within the next few weeks. However the price needs to move back into the channel next week as a first step.
$TSLA ~ Elliott Wave Updates.This whole wave is Wave C(Black) that started when Wave B(Black) was completed. This Wave C(Black) expresses itself in 5 main waves shown in Green. Wave 2(Green) was a Zigzag and a Flat should be expected for 4(Green). Meanwhile, Wave 3(Green) expresses itself in a 5 wave move shown in Black- with Wave 2(Black) being a Zigzag, our 4 was a Flat. This Flat is shown as Blue ABC. When Wave 4(Black) completed, our Wave 5 began which upon completion, would be Wave 3(Green) of the main wave. Wave 2(Red) is a Flat and a Zigzag should be expected after 3(Red).
Go to for more information of the same.
SLA Moderate Bullish Setup – Weekly Play for 08/01 Expiry
## ⚡ TSLA Moderate Bullish Setup – Weekly Play for 08/01 Expiry
🎯 *"Volume confirms it. RSI supports it. Time to strike—or stand by."*
---
### 🔍 Market Intelligence Snapshot:
📊 **Consensus**: Moderately Bullish
📈 **Weekly RSI**: Rising
📉 **Daily RSI**: Still Neutral (momentum building)
📉 **VIX**: Low → Great environment for call buying
📦 **Volume**: Strong institutional activity across models
---
### ✅ Recommended Trade Setup:
**TSLA \$340 CALL (Exp: Aug 1)**
💰 *Entry*: \~\$0.88
📈 *Target*: \$1.38
🛑 *Stop*: \$0.35
📆 *DTE*: 3 Days
🎯 *Entry*: Market Open
⚖️ *Confidence*: 65%
---
### 🔧 Model Blended Strategy Notes:
* Meta & Anthropic: Suggest ATM/ITM (\$327.50–\$330) → safer, higher cost
* Google & xAI: Prefer \$340–\$342.50 for a better risk/reward
* DeepSeek: Targets \$320 but with heavier premium
🧠 *Takeaway*: \$340 offers a balanced shot — affordable, but still responsive to upside flow.
---
### ⚠️ Risk Notes:
* ⏳ Time Decay → Quick exits = better outcomes
* 📰 External news or earnings reactions = watch for sudden volatility
* 🎯 Position size = keep light due to only 3 DTE
---
### 📊 TRADE SNAPSHOT (JSON):
```json
{
"instrument": "TSLA",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 340.0,
"expiry": "2025-08-01",
"confidence": 0.65,
"profit_target": 1.38,
"stop_loss": 0.35,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.88,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-07-29 10:16:14 UTC-04:00"
}
```
---
### 🧠 Quick Captions for Social:
* “TSLA bulls waking up? \$340C looks lit for the week 📈🔥”
* “Call volume surging. RSI rising. Low VIX. This \ NASDAQ:TSLA 340C might run 💥”
* “Risk-managed breakout shot — in and out fast 🎯”
TESLA Lagging BehindA compelling reason to buy Tesla stock now—despite it being beaten down—is the asymmetric risk-reward setup driven by its depressed valuation relative to long-term growth potential. Sentiment is currently low due to concerns about EV demand, competition, and Elon’s distractions, but this pessimism is largely priced in. Meanwhile, Tesla still holds massive optionality: AI-driven autonomy, energy storage, and Dojo supercomputing. If even one of these verticals scales meaningfully, current prices may prove a generational entry.
At the moment, we are hitting some of my key support levels being the anchored vwap from the low , as well as the previous Value Area High range retest within the formation of this broader triangle, suggesting a potential continuation to the upside should we get a strong breakout.
I will be watching for further down side as the current risk is only approx 6-7% for a potential upside of 60%-70% , a massive Risk to reward.
Should this reclaim the downtrend vwap, it can be a strong sign of strength for this stock to move back to ATH's as tesla is massively lagging behind.
TSLA Weekly Bearish Play — August 2, 2025
🔻 **TSLA Weekly Bearish Play — August 2, 2025** 🔻
🚨 **Multi-Model Consensus Signals a Tactical Put Opportunity**
### 🔍 Market Snapshot:
* **Daily RSI:** 39.9 (Bearish)
* **Weekly RSI:** 53.2 → Falling
* **Volume:** Weak (0.8x last week)
* **Options Flow:** Neutral (C/P Ratio \~1.04)
* **VIX:** 20.38 → Favorable for Options Plays
* **Institutional Support:** Weak
---
### 🔮 Model Consensus:
📉 **All major models (xAI, Google, Claude, Meta, DeepSeek)** confirm:
* Bearish momentum on both daily + weekly RSI
* Weak volume = cautious institutional behavior
* Volatility setup perfect for short-dated puts
---
### 🎯 Viral Trade Setup:
**💥 Trade Type:** PUT (Short TSLA)
**🔻 Strike:** \$300
**📆 Expiry:** 2025-08-08
**💰 Entry Price:** \$6.65
**🎯 Target Exit:** \$10.64 – \$13.30 (60%-100% gain)
**🛑 Stop Loss:** \$3.99
**📊 Confidence:** 65%
**📍 Entry Timing:** Monday open
**🕒 Signal Timestamp:** 2025-08-03 01:33:56 EDT
---
### ⚠️ Key Levels:
* Support to watch: **\$297.82**
* News/event risks: Stay alert ⚡
* Use tight risk controls for weekly plays!
---
🔥 **If you trade TSLA — don’t sleep on this one.**
Bearish consensus + clean setup = **high-probability weekly play.**
Bearish Pennant & Long Term Bearish DivergenceBearish pennant formed and sharp bearish divergence on the RSI, Elon personally receiving billions from the pockets of the company. This alludes to possible instability on the inside, despite being up a significant amount this year. Companies are like icebergs, cracks on the surface run deep, negative information is repressed.
In my opinion, a drawdown of over 25% seems in order
TSLA Attempting Breakout – Watching $312 Key Level. Aug. 5TSLA Attempting Breakout – Watching $312 Key Level 🚀
Technical Overview (1H)
TSLA is consolidating just below the critical $312 resistance, aligning with the Highest Positive GEX and 2nd Call Wall (57.55%). A breakout above this level could trigger a gamma squeeze toward $317.5 and potentially $325.
Support sits at $300 (Major Put Support -58.42%). If this fails, bears could push toward $295 and $290. Price is currently forming a falling wedge, a bullish reversal pattern if confirmed.
GEX & Options Flow Insights
* Highest Positive GEX: $312 – Strong resistance; breaking above can fuel upside momentum.
* Major Call Walls: $317.5, $325 – Profit-taking zones for bulls.
* Major Put Support: $300 – Bears will defend here; losing it invites heavier selling.
* Call/Put Positioning: CALLs 31.3% vs Puts – Skew still leans slightly bullish, but gamma flip is near $300.
My Thoughts
TSLA is coiling for a potential move. As long as price holds above $300, the risk/reward still favors a bullish breakout play. However, failure to clear $312 could see a pullback into $305–$300 range before another attempt.
Trade Ideas
Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: On a breakout above $312 with strong volume
* Targets: $317.5 → $325
* Stop-Loss: Below $305
Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: Rejection at $312 and loss of $305
* Targets: $300 → $295
* Stop-Loss: Above $315
15-Minute Short-Term Setup
* Intraday traders should watch for a mini breakout retest above $310 for scalps to $312+.
* If $307 fails intraday, momentum could stall toward $304–$302.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
TESLA: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
TESLA
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long TESLA
Entry Point - 302.63
Stop Loss - 296.98
Take Profit - 312.87
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Safe Entry Tesla1h & 4h Green Zones are safest entry Zones.
Stop loss Below.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock (safe way):
On 1H TF when Marubozu/Doji Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu/Doji Candle, because price will always and always re-test the
Unpack the Range, How to buy TeslaHello, I’m The Cafe Trader.
As part of our MAG 7 series, I’m going to show you how to find good pricing on TSLA for your long-term portfolio.
There’s a lot of hype surrounding Tesla right now — and for good reason. From a long-term investment standpoint, the future looks promising. But we still want to enter at the right price.
In my previous article, I gave TSLA a strong buy at $210–$220, and there were multiple opportunities in that range. But that was a few months ago. Let’s take a look at what the charts are telling us today.
⸻
🔲 In the Middle of a Big Range
With a range from $212 to $488, Tesla offers plenty of opportunity for traders — but for investors, it can stir up anxiety.
If you’re holding shares around $330+ and considering selling just to break even, here are three reasons you may want to reconsider:
⸻
1. 🚀 Future Prospects
Tesla is packed with upcoming catalysts:
• Grok AI release
• The highly anticipated Model Q
• Megapack energy storage scaling on an industrial level
These innovations, along with strong brand momentum, could drive the stock 2x, 3x, even 5x over the next few years.
⸻
2. 📈 Trending Up
While some may argue we’re forming a double top, a deeper look at the weekly or monthly chart shows no real signs of weakness. If you’re investing — not just trading — you need that longer-term perspective.
Tesla remains in an uptrend with healthy structure and plenty of strength in the larger timeframes.
⸻
3. 🛡️ Learn to Hedge Your Position
Even if we see 20–30% downside from supply zones, there are ways to protect yourself.
Hedging with options — such as buying puts — can reduce downside risk without selling your shares. If done correctly, you can turn a large drawdown into a smaller loss or even a profit on the hedge.
⚠️ Only do this if you understand how options pricing and time decay work.
⸻
🧠 Passive vs. Aggressive Sellers
Today (July 21st), TSLA tapped into a supply zone and rejected quickly — a sign that sellers are still active around $330, while buyers lack confidence to push through.
🔹 Passive Selling
These are quiet, standing orders — often from large sellers who don’t want to move the market. They sell gradually to avoid spooking buyers.
🔹 Aggressive Selling
This is intentional unloading — where sellers push to exit their position quickly, even at the cost of driving the stock down.
What we saw today looked like passive selling — I’ll cover this in more detail in my short-term TSLA article.
⸻
📊 My Buy Zones for TSLA
Fair Price: $296–$310
• $296 is the top of recent buying liquidity
• $310 is the bottom of the current uptrend
• This is where aggressive buyers may show up if sellers ease off
Good Price: $270–$284
• $284 is a strong support level where reinforced buyers have stepped in
• This has been a hot zone and a likely area for long entries to return
Steal Price: $220–$235
• Not marked on the chart, but this zone is high-demand territory
• Even with bad press or short-term issues, this would be a great long-term value buy
⸻
That's All for TSLA Long Term. Follow and stay tuned for a short term analysis.
@thecafetrader
Shorted TSLA 319 Look at TSLA hit 50 day and 200 day MA and failed and know under them
Look at the lower highs and see the stoch heading down
Know lets look weekly stoch heading down and lower highs
Target is 100 day ma 294.22 take some off. When it breaks will add back on
Have trailing stop in place
UPTADE TESLA -- 250 USD still potentialTesla is consolidating in a tight range, showing bearish pressure near the lower boundary of the formation. Moving averages (MA 5/10/30/60) are flattening, indicating a loss of bullish momentum, while the Wavetrend oscillator has issued a sell signal (bearish crossover below the zero line). A downside breakout from this range projects a potential move toward the $250 level, as illustrated by the measured move. This bearish scenario gains validity if price breaks below the $315 support level.
Potential TP still 250 USD
TSLA: 308.27Bullish Entries: 312.00/318.00 Stop 316.00 / Target 322.00–325.00
Bearish Entries: 304.00/300.00 Stop 302.00 / Target 296.00–292.00. Note: If the open starts above 312.00, we should wait for it to touch 318.00. Then, 320.00 is the entry for the previous day's bearish trend reversal and the new uptrend.
Cyclical Stocks vs Non-Cyclical Stocks: How Can You Trade Them?Cyclical Stocks vs Non-Cyclical Stocks: How Can You Trade Them?
Not every stock is created equal. One of the biggest distinctions is cyclical vs non-cyclical—those that grow or decline alongside economic conditions and those that are less sensitive. In this article, we explore the key differences between the two, how to analyse both, and how to trade them.
What Are Cyclical Stocks?
Cyclical stocks are those that rise and fall in line with the broader economy. They’re more sensitive to consumer spending and include those in the travel, automotive, construction, and luxury goods sectors.
Simply put, when consumers have more disposable income, they’re likely to buy new cars, travel abroad, or invest in home improvements. Demand boosts corporate earnings and pushes share prices higher. However, when consumers have less money or face economic uncertainty, they reduce and delay spending on these discretionary purchases, dampening company earnings and stock valuations.
Nike and Starbucks are good examples here—both are cyclical companies that see higher demand when consumers are in a stronger financial position and feel comfortable purchasing brand-name clothes or buying coffee on the go.
Cyclical stocks tend to be more volatile than non-cyclical ones. Their sensitivity to cyclical business conditions offers potential opportunities for traders to capitalise on a growth phase, but timing matters—getting caught in a temporary or prolonged downturn can lead to sharp drawdowns.
Cyclical Sectors
- Automotive
- Airlines & Travel
- Luxury Goods & Apparel
- Construction & Materials
- Banking & Financial Services
- Technology & Semiconductors
- Restaurants & Entertainment
- Retail (Discretionary Spending)
Is Tesla a Cyclical Stock?
Yes, Tesla is a cyclical stock. Demand for electric vehicles moves in line with economic conditions, consumer spending, and interest rates.
Is Amazon a Cyclical Stock?
Amazon is partly cyclical. Its retail business depends on consumer spending but its cloud computing division (AWS) sees constant demand and provides diversification.
What Are Non-Cyclical Stocks?
Non-cyclical stocks belong to companies that sell essential goods and services. Contrasting with cyclical stocks and their sensitivity to consumer spending, non-cyclical companies sell things people buy regardless of economic conditions. They’re often referred to as defensive stocks because they tend to hold up when the economy weakens.
Non-cyclical sectors include healthcare, utilities, and consumer staples. Supermarkets, pharmaceutical companies, and electricity providers see relatively steady demand because people still need food, medicine, and power whether the economy is growing or contracting.
For example, consumer non-cyclical stocks, like Procter & Gamble, which owns brands like Oral-B, Charmin, and Gillette, continue to generate revenue year-round because consumers still buy everyday household items. The same goes for Johnson & Johnson, which sells medical products that hospitals and pharmacies need.
Compared to cyclical stocks, non-cyclical stocks are usually less volatile because their earnings are more consistent. While their potential returns are relatively limited vs their more growth-oriented cyclical counterparts, non-cyclical stocks are believed to not dive as sharply during a downturn.
Non-Cyclical Sectors
- Consumer Staples (Everyday Goods)
- Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals
- Utilities (Electricity, Water, Gas)
- Telecommunications
- Grocery & Essential Retail
- Defence & Aerospace
How Traders Analyse Cyclical Stocks
In a market where going long or short volatile cyclical stocks is an option (such as with CFDs), many prefer to trade them over non-cyclical stocks. More broadly, traders analyse a few key indicators to determine whether cyclical stocks are in a growth phase.
Macroeconomic Indicators
When GDP expands, businesses and consumers spend more, and free-flowing spending boosts demand in cyclical sectors. Similarly, interest rates determine spending on more big-ticket purchases, like cars, homes, and luxury goods. Lower interest rates encourage borrowing and vice versa.
Employment rates also play a key role. More layoffs and a higher unemployment rate mean consumers dial back purchases of discretionary goods and services. Employment conditions, along with economic and policy uncertainty, drive consumer confidence. When optimism is high, cyclical stocks often rally.
Earnings Trends & Sector Data
Unlike non-cyclical companies, cyclical firms see earnings fluctuate based on economic cycles. Traders pay attention to quarterly reports and especially forward guidance. If a company expects strong sales growth due to rising demand, this can drive its stock price higher and possibly signal an upswing in the sector.
Industry-specific data, like auto sales figures or airline bookings, is also a useful gauge for assessing the future performance of a company.
Market Sentiment & Seasonal Trends
Cyclical stocks are prone to seasonal patterns—retailers surge in the holiday season, while travel stocks perform well in summer. Market sentiment is another important factor; for instance, if economic uncertainty is growing but investors on the whole believe it to be a temporary blip, then cyclical stocks may still rise.
Analysing Non-Cyclical Stocks
While traders often favour cyclical stocks for their higher potential returns, many still turn to non-cyclical companies as a possible form of short-term defence against downturns, to balance a long-term portfolio, or when unique occasions arise (earnings reports, company-specific news, etc.).
Earnings Stability & Cash Flow
Since non-cyclical companies sell essential goods and services, their earnings tend to be more consistent. Traders look at revenue trends, gross margins, and free cash flow to assess a firm’s ability to generate relatively steady income. Consistent earnings—even during downturns—can be a marker of a strong non-cyclical stock.
Dividend History & Payout Ratios
Many non-cyclical stocks pay dividends. That makes them attractive for those looking for income-generating assets. A company with a long track record of consistent or growing dividend payments is often a sign of financial strength. The payout ratio (dividends paid as a percentage of earnings) is another metric traders examine—too high, and it could indicate unsustainable distributions.
Market Conditions & Defensive Rotation
If economic uncertainty rises, investors will generally shift into defensive sectors like healthcare, utilities, and consumer staples. Many will monitor fund flows—where institutional money managing exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, and large portfolios is headed—to understand if risk aversion is growing.
Likewise, outperformance in certain sectors can be a signal. If sector indices like the S&P 500 Consumer Staples Index or the S&P 500 Healthcare Index outperform the overall S&P 500, it may indicate capital moving into non-cyclical stocks.
Trading Cyclical and Non-Cyclical Stocks
Now, let’s take a closer look at how traders engage with these stocks.
Short-Term Trading
Short-term traders generally focus on stocks or sectors expected to move over hours or days. One strategy might be to examine the broader conditions and trade ahead of earnings reports. If summer is approaching and the economy is doing well, Delta Air Lines could rise in the weeks before an earnings release as traders anticipate strong quarterly performance and positive forward guidance.
Another strategy is trading macro themes. If inflation rises, traders might focus on companies with strong pricing power, like consumer staples firms that can pass costs onto consumers. If economic data points to a slowdown, they might focus on healthcare stocks.
Medium-Term Trading
Medium-term traders take a broader view and typically adjust their portfolio weightings based on economic conditions. During expansions, they may overweight cyclicals like construction and travel stocks, while shifting into non-cyclicals as recession risks grow. That could mean just rebalancing a collection of ETFs, over/under-weighting a set of stocks, or a mix of both.
Here, the focus is usually on broader economic trends while also staying alert for possible strengthening or weakening consumer demand.
Long-Term Trading
Long-term traders often hold a mix of cyclical and non-cyclical stocks to maintain a balanced portfolio across economic cycles. While they may still adjust weightings over time, they tend to be more concerned with long-term sector trends and income generation.
With a longer time horizon, these traders may be more willing to allocate more capital to cyclical stocks during a downturn, especially to otherwise strong companies or sectors, to take advantage of potential rebounds months down the line.
The Bottom Line
Understanding the difference between cyclical and non-cyclical stocks is fundamental to trading them. Careful analysis—macroeconomic, sectoral, and company-specific—can help traders identify potential opportunities across all time horizons.
FAQ
What Are Examples of Cyclical Stocks?
Cyclical stocks include Tesla (TSLA), Delta Air Lines (DAL), Nike (NKE), Caterpillar (CAT), Marriott International (MAR), and Ford (F).
Which Industries Are Most Cyclical?
Highly cyclical industries include automotive, airlines, hospitality, construction, luxury goods, and consumer discretionary retail.
Is Coca-Cola a Cyclical Stock?
No, Coca-Cola is considered a non-cyclical stock. Demand for its wide range of products remains stable regardless of economic conditions.
Is Starbucks a Cyclical Stock?
Yes, Starbucks is a cyclical stock. Coffee purchases aren’t essential, so demand fluctuates based on disposable income and consumer confidence.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Tesla (TSLA) | Short-Term Compression, Long-Term ExTesla’s daily chart is coiled, with price currently trading at $316, sitting along the 200-day moving average. This looks like a consolidation phase with significant moves building up.
Price Action Snapshot
TSLA sold off last week, rejecting the $335 resistance level before finding footing around $300. The previous range of $280 and $365 is now tightening.
Immediate resistance sits at $335 with a clean breakout above that zone likely triggering momentum back toward the upper range of $365.
The recent drop does not seem like a capitulation move; it's likely institutional redistribution. Smart money is repositioning, not exiting.
Market Is Focused on the Wrong Data
Tesla’s Q2 earnings were objectively weak. Revenue fell 12%, deliveries dropped, and operating margins got clipped.
But this correction isn't all about fundamentals. It is about the market adjusting to a company evolving beyond traditional valuation models.
While most investors are trying to value Tesla like a car company, it’s spending this entire phase retooling itself into an AI and autonomy-first enterprise. That transition doesn't show up in EPS yet (but it will).
The Bigger Picture is Being Missed
The robotaxi rollout in Austin is live. Expansion into California, Phoenix, and Florida is on the roadmap.
Tesla is building a vertically integrated, owner-driven ride-hailing model that could eventually bypass both Uber and legacy OEMs entirely.
Optimus is no longer a lab prototype—it’s moving toward scalable production by 2026.
If Tesla even partially succeeds in general-purpose robotics, it will unlock a Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) that dwarfs the current EV narrative .
Daily Technical Outlook
We’re currently in a bullish compression, with higher lows forming against the resistance area of $365. If $280 holds and the price continues to grind within this wedge, it sets up a volatility breakout scenario.
The breakout level to watch is $335. A daily close above that reopens $365. And beyond that, the resistance level is at $426.
My View
Tesla is compressing, both in price and narrative.
The long game is quietly coming into focus, where the risk/reward skews asymmetrically in favor of the upside.
This daily compression won’t last forever, and when it resolves, the move will likely be outsized.
A Strategic Long Opportunity Amid VolatilityCurrent Price: $316.06
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $324.00
- T2 = $328.50
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $312.50
- S2 = $308.00
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Tesla.
**Key Insights:**
Tesla’s stock presents both short-term risks and long-term upside opportunities. Despite recent earnings misses and margin compression, its pivot into AI and robotics offers significant growth opportunities. Upside resistance zones near $325-$330 create favorable price targets, while support levels at $307-$310 suggest strong buying interest. This environment could favor a long trading strategy, provided disciplined risk management is maintained.
**Recent Performance:**
Tesla recently experienced notable sell-offs following disappointing earnings, attributed to compressed margins and weaker EV demand. However, the stock rebounded 3.5% from last week’s lows, signaling resilience amid uncertainty. Year-to-date, Tesla remains one of the top-performing stocks with a 54% price increase, reflecting strong underlying investor confidence in its long-term story.
**Expert Analysis:**
Market experts are divided on Tesla’s trajectory. Near-term fundamentals appear challenging with declining revenue (-12% YoY) and price cuts impacting profitability. However, bullish projections from analysts such as Kathy Wood highlight Tesla’s potential for disruptive innovation in AI and robotics. Its ambitious initiatives like robo-taxi deployment add speculative appeal but also introduce scaling and regulatory risks.
**News Impact:**
Tesla’s upcoming robo-taxi launch in San Francisco is poised to impact market sentiment significantly. While safety drivers will be required during the initial rollout, scalability and regulatory challenges could limit the project’s immediate impact. Meanwhile, recent disappointing earnings results may weigh on sentiment in the short term while providing an opportunity for potential retrishments off support levels.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Given the current setup, Tesla appears poised for long-term growth, with upside resistance levels suggesting a viable rally opportunity. Investors should consider taking a bullish position while maintaining stops near key support zones to mitigate downside risks. This balanced approach aligns well with Tesla’s speculative appeal and broader investor sentiment.