AAL trade ideas
American Airlines Record Revenues Failed to Impress InvestorsAmerican Airlines (AAL) delivered its Q4 2021 report on Thursday showing that its revenue reached its highest point since the beginning of the pandemic. Nonetheless, the company saw an overall loss in 2021 for the second consecutive year. The airline’s management said that it clearly saw a rise in demand for airline services in 2021, which was partially offset by new spikes of COVID-19.
The airline had a loss of $931 million in the fourth quarter on a revenue of $9.43 billion, which was down from $11.3 billion in sales over the last three months of 2019, before the pandemic. American Airlines’ adjusted per share loss was reported at $1.42 a share, compared with analysts’ estimate of a $1.48 per-share loss. For the first quarter of 2022, American Airlines expects revenue to be up 20% to 22% from the same period in 2019 when it generated $10.6 billion in sales. The company expects that the overall spending, excluding fuel costs, will rise by 15% this quarter, while projected capacity for the first three months is expected to be 8-10% less than it was during the comparable period of 2019. Rising fuel costs and personnel shortage are considered by the company as risks for its further development.
Technically, we may witness a downward trend that started in January 2018. American airlines stocks dropped to the bottom end of $8.25 per share in 2020. The stock price rebounded to $26.04 but dropped back down, failing to perform any significant upside correction to the overall drop from $59.08 to $8.25 per share. This means that stock prices are likely to drop to their lows and even further down.The nearest support level is at $16.15-16.27, or December 2021 lows. If this support is broken through, the next targets could be at $14.50 and within the $12.70-12.75 area.
We may resume that American Airline stocks should be put aside and left out of investors’ long-term portfolios as the company is clearly continuing to suffer from the COVID-19 pandemic and its consequences. The technical picture suggests that bears will continue pressuring stock prices. The time for American stocks is yet to come.
American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ: $AAL)American Airlines Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a network air carrier. The company provides scheduled air transportation services for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C., as well as through partner gateways in London, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. As of December 31, 2020, it operated a mainline fleet of 855 aircraft. The company was formerly known as AMR Corporation and changed its name to American Airlines Group Inc. in December 2013. American Airlines Group Inc. was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
American Airlines (NASDAQ: $AAL)American Airlines Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a network air carrier. The company provides scheduled air transportation services for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C., as well as through partner gateways in London, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. As of December 31, 2020, it operated a mainline fleet of 855 aircraft. The company was formerly known as AMR Corporation and changed its name to American Airlines Group Inc. in December 2013. American Airlines Group Inc. was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
American Airlines earnings tomorrow pre-marketAmerican Airlines Q4 December 2021 earnings are tomorrow 1/20 at 7am. American Airlines Gp (AAL) reported a Q3 September 2021 loss of -$0.99 per share on revenue of $9 billion. AAL chart looks terrible, so it would be easy to be bearish, especially since Omicron and the current market selloff. But with that said, anything can happen after earnings and the setup now is a better entry for bulls. So, I'm posting this as neutral, and we'll see what happens after the earnings announcement tomorrow morning. Here's important levels on the 1 day chart:
Q4 December 2021 Consensus:
EPS = -$1.54
Revenue = $9.05B
P/E = ---
Div /Yld = .634
52 week high = $26.09
52 week low = $15.02
SMA200 = $20.53
SMA150 = $19.81
SMA100 = $19.35
SMA50 = $18.63
breakout = $21.06
R3 = $20.49
R2 = $19.93
R1 = $19.37
pivot = $18.80
S1 = $18.24
S2 = $17.67
S3 = $17.11
breakdown = $16.55
Do your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. You win some or you learn some. Consider being charitable with some of your profit to help humankind. Good luck and happy trading friends...
*3x lucky 7s of trading*
7pt Trading compass:
Price action, entry/exit
Volume average/direction
Trend, patterns, momentum
Newsworthy current events
Revenue
Earnings
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American Airlines (NASDAQ: $AAL) Ready To Fly High In 2022 ✈️American Airlines Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a network air carrier. The company provides scheduled air transportation services for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C., as well as through partner gateways in London, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. As of December 31, 2020, it operated a mainline fleet of 855 aircraft. The company was formerly known as AMR Corporation and changed its name to American Airlines Group Inc. in December 2013. American Airlines Group Inc. was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
AAL Bearish inclined Naked Calls 14 Jan Expiry (Jan Track 2)Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought
AAL was one of the shortlisted companies from the shortlisted sectors that did not recover after the Omicron news and the Feb Interest Rate decisions. Their prices stayed below the Omicron gap. Further more with the increasing infections rates countries are getting more cautious and this will impact the sentiment of travel
I Feel
I do feel good about my bearish ranging stance especially for Travel. What surprises me is that while the other travel related counters are declining. AAL on the 20 Dec just locked a positive price move.
Imagine Yourself Taking The Other Side
Imagine Yourself Taking The Other Side
Imagine Yourself As A Neutral Observer
Trade has been thought through and AAL was a shortlisted sector. Happy with it’s entry
Look For New Information
No new information
How Do I Feel Now
One day after my entry had AAL moving up while most Travel companies fell. I’m abit confused. But I think I have this feeling of anxiousness from my tough early Dec. It really was a terrible trading period.
Trade specs
Sold 400 Calls @ 0.22 - Strike 20
% to Strike 17%
ATR % is around 97% (High)
BP used 68k
Max Gain: est $8.8k
AAL potentially moving to $25 soonIf AAL remains above $19, there's an extremely good chance it goes back to $25 where we'll reassess the price action and see if a continued run is in the cards. Bullish harmonic working on a type 2 return right now. Stoploss at $18 with a chance for tremendous upside
AALStruggling with the 100 & 50 sma's as well as the 0.382 retracement. I think the downtrend will continue as long as price is below $19.30. A close above invalidates.
AAL/ Looking for Wave C completionNice retracement at 50% of last impulse, waiting for break and retest of a previous HL to confirm entry, ideal entry is to pu SL at the begining of previous impulse but RR is not optimal.
AAL Buy................................................................................................v
AAL, 15 minAmerican Airline Group, AAL 15 min
Buy @ 16.83 - 16.84
Sell at Target 1 : 16.96, Target 2: 17.03
Stop Loss @ 16.78
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DISCLAIMER:
I am not a financial /investment advisor. All information i am sharing here is for entertainment purposes only and should not be considered personal investment advice. While the information provided is accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. Please, do your diligence when it comes to investing or trading in the market. You are responsible on your choice. Thank you
Breakdown out of channelAAL is now out of it's very stable range for the past year. The bulls were unable to pull it back in on the last rally and I believe they are out of steam, with the old support becoming the new resistance.
Daily Technical Analysis with Volume Profile and Volume. I see a clear rejection of AAL at this level. There isn't any market orders overtaking limit orders which shows that the dominant party got exhausted and will accumulate then jump.
American Airlines Analysis 06.12.2021Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
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AAL broadening triangle and straddle trades Long-Term:
In the long-term I'm looking to trade what appears to be a broadening triangle correction pattern. AAL has pretty slow moving macro-trends so there is no rush for an entry though. Once the shorter-term patterns shows solid evidence of a bottom I'll enter a position looking to capitalize on the re-trace to the top of the broadening triangle with ~Feb2022 calls
Short-term:
The new SA COVID variant news offers significant selling pressure, so I'll be straddling AAL with more 12/17 expiries while AAL looks for a bottom.
AAL BuyI'm looking at a potential buy on AAL with two potential entries. This is following my strategy requirements and this company is a very good long-term hold, in my opinion, if you get in at a discounted price it will be worth it as long as you sell before the potential market crash. This stock should go back up as vaccination rates climb, so it should be decently safe for a long-term hold if you decide to do that. You can also look at this for the short term and treat it as a day trade because it should just continue ranging until it breaks up higher (if the market agrees with my analysis.) I'm simply going to enter when I see proper price action, if I can get something like a bullish engulfing pattern to show me confluence with my entry then ill go for the trade. If not I might just leave this thing alone. This is just my opinion and idea for a stock, and this is not financial advice. Let me know what you think and let's see what happens with the trade tomorrow.
AAL Another opportunity of a life time Here we are again at the end of the year, Q4 presented by another variant + Fed tapering
alot of people who missed the May 2020 sell off always wondered if a opportunity will happen again, But here we are American Airlines presenting another discount for a long hull future.
Prior to the sell off we hit our 2 targets on options before shorting AAL back with $21.50 Shorts. We saw multiple reattempts at claiming the $22 level but failed resulting in sell off's, The mixture of the new covid tapering and failed attempt at a new level we saw a massive 30% correction AAL
AAL broke the .50 fib from the may 2020 covid low.
It appears we may head for the weekly structure, failure to hold the level will result in the monthly structure retest.
Significant options will be held at every single level from the people who's been holding long term options since 2020.
This show's the more bearish side of AAL
Long | AALNASDAQ:AAL
strong buy
Possible Scenario: LONG
Evidence: Price Action , Dark pool activity, Options flow.
TP1: 20.35$
entry point: 19.89
Call options 12/17/21 strike 22$
Call options 11/19/21 strike 20$
*This is my idea and could be wrong 100%.
AAL with good opportunity for a long positionThe trigger was done. Possible going up for next days or weeks.
My AAL IdeaHello again,
You know I like to keep things simple
I just trade on Price Action.
Airline stocks are still risky but it's worth a shot here.
As you can see 19-20$ is holding as support.
For me that's a buying opportunity.
Below 18.30 I would cut it
I'm going for a HH here so $30-31 would be my target
low risk entry!Entry: 19.35
Stop loss: 18.93
Reward/Risk: 6.36
Target range: 22
Time Frame: 4 wks
Possible gain: 13.18%
Possible loss:2.17 %
Position size: 5% of trading capital
You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
Airlines have buyers at these prices!Looking at the trading volume you can see all Major airlines traded with above the average volume at these prices!
I think in the next 4-6 weeks they have the potential to gain +10%!
You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
