AAPL in Risk of Bear MarketApple is having a tough period with weakening China demand, lack of growth and innovation, AI lag, regulatory challenges that threaten its lucrative walled garden business model and other headwinds. These challenges weigh on the stock, which shed more than 10% in the first quarter. Along with Tesla, they were the only stocks to fall, among the Magnificent Seven.
The situation deteriorated further in April, as AAPL hit the lowest levels in a year and is now in risk of a bear market . Moves below $160 would mean losses of 20% and more from the December record high, which is generally viewed as the threshold for a bear market.
On the other hand Apple is still one of the most valuable companies in the world and investors are unlikely to give up on it and there are reasons for optimism. iPhone sales have shown resilience and the smartphone market is poised for a rebound. Its CEO appears determined to not let China fall, but also looks to India, which has significant untapped potential. Apple also launched the Vision Pro AR headset this year, looking for an early entry to a nascent market, while AI progress could be showcased soon.
AAPL is having a good week and although we could see further rebound, the upside contains multiple roadblocks. Closes above the EMA200 would be required for the downside momentum to halt.
The stocks trajectory will be influenced by the upcoming earnings report, which is due on May 2. Top and bottom lines, China & India performance, guidance and AI progress, will be some of the focal points.
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