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ARKK trade ideas

The most significant decline in ARKK's historyToday we will take a look at ARKK. The main element we have to comment on is the current decline, the biggest in the ETF history. The current drawdown is at 51%, and we have three other situations in the past where we observed declines of 30% or more. Here are some key ideas you can use to increase the odds of engaging on a successful setup on the ETF, assuming that eventually, we will have a new bull run. * AVOID trading below the descending trendline . A trendline is telling you something "above assume X, below assume Y" in this case, the price is clearly below the descending trendline. Therefore we should avoid any type of swing setup mainly because there are no signs that the current bearish trend has finished. If we have to take a really bad scenario for the ETF based on the current technical elements, we can observe a -60% decline with a major bearish target on the highs of 2020. * Study the 3 previous scenarios . IF you want to catch the next massive movement of the ETF, then you need to study how the transition happened in the past, where the price was on a severe drawdown, and then we saw new impulses. So, if you want to understand what's going on, start studying the previous 3 scenarios and look for patterns. My current view is that assuming the trending characteristic this asset has, I'm more than interested in developing swing setups here. However, at the moment, I'm WAITING; my two filters are: 1) The price has reached the major bearish target at 62-61 (start thinking in bullish opportunities) 2) The price is getting close to breaking the descending trendline (start thinking in bullish opportunities) Thanks for reading! Feel free to share your view in the comments.
AMEX:ARKK
by ThinkingAntsOk
51
Rolled: ARKK February 18th 89.22 Short Call to 82.22... for a 2.51 credit. Comments: More defense as this underlying continues to implode. Total credits collected of 16.99 (See Post Below) plus the 2.51 here equals 19.50. The resulting inversion is, unfortunately, 22 strikes wide -- 2.50 greater than the total of credits I've collected. This means that I won't be able to scratch it out during this cycle regardless of what happens with price, but will have to roll out for duration if I want to attempt to do that until I've collected more credits than the width of the inversion. Alternatively, I can consider taking the loss and moving on, but the best case loss scenario at the moment is a 2.50 loss (assuming price moves back between the strikes).
AMEX:ARKK
by NaughtyPines
7
Cathie Wood Deflation ARKK: ShortCathie has been in over drive selling we book with her deflation theory and innovation stocks as the principal reason her fund will outperform. The in period her fund is down almost 50%, Warren Buffet’s Berkshire Hathaway is up almost 35%. In order for Cathie’s ARK fund to beat Berkshire should would need a 85% turnaround. Usually takes years to achieve this performance Looks like deep contraction will confine for ARK. It is in a 5 wave impulse down and getting pressed down further by the moving averages. Recently had a death cross on the 50/200 MA. Cathie’s response, in a recent interview, to the poor performance was a result of the Algo traders. Sounds like the classic example governments use to explain when the ccy is taking a hit. Ie the speculators.
AMEX:ARKKShort
by Tez8
$ARKK AnalysisAs mentioned above in last weeks post I was expecting a reversal off of $93, and while the bounce did happen out of my projected buy zone, it was met with relentless selling pressure once reaching the $98 level. Price is still in an overall downtrend, but as we approach the key $80 level I am certainly watching for a bounce out of the demand zone depicted in the chart. If $80 is lost, there is no telling where the selling may end, thus it is the only support level I have noted for this week. $ARKK needs to reclaim $90 for any bullish action to ensue. 
AMEX:ARKKLong
by BensStocks_
$ARKK - Weekly TF analysis-Primary W4 target zone (38.2 - 50) -Nearing channel bottom -Reached 1st fib target for Y leg of W4 (-23.6) -Confluent support of 38.2 fib and channel bottom -Weekly RSI at march 2020 covid lows -Downside risk defined at 72.50 From the looks of it, we might be nearing a bottom on growth stocks. Keep in mind this is a weekly chart so if we do continue down, it could drag out for another few weeks. However, downside risk is defined at the 50% fib, at 72.50. I would start building a position from here and continue building as long as ARKK is above 72.5. ARK's time horizons are 5 years, and market jitters will last 5 months, maybe a year if we're really fucked. Ask yourself, did Cathie Wood and her team suddenly become stupid over night, or does the market work in cycles?
AMEX:ARKKLong
by ir-rizzle
12
Rolled: ARKK February 18th 94.22 Short Call to 89.22... for a 1.74 credit. Comments: Yowsa. This continues to implode, so continuing to manage it defensively ... . As of my last roll, I'd collected 15.25 in credits. (See Post Below). With this roll, I've collected a total of 16.99 for what is now an inverted 15-wide: the 89.22C/104.22P with a downside break even of 104.22 - 16.99 or 87.23 relative to today's closing price of 85.58, so I've still got some work to do to get my cost basis at or below where the underlying is currently trading. Alternatively, I need the markets to do some of the work for me by giving me a bounce.
AMEX:ARKK
by NaughtyPines
Starting to buy ARKK here.Not a big stock guy but shifting capitol from crypto to diversify into some investments that actually represent tangible companies that make things lol. Strategy is to buy stocks/ETF's at standard classical pattern supports that are down 30-60% and let it ride. I am betting that 8 out of 10 stocks I am about to punt will not go to zero and that 40-60% discounts is a good deal. Falling wedge here and a nice dogi daily candle forming. Not advise archiving thoughts.
AMEX:ARKKLong
by A5gamakatsu
ARKK forecast in the next 1-2 months..!10 months ago when I published my views about ARKK, I received so many bad comments..! I did not change my mind and never published a Buy analysis on ARKK, Why? Because I studied ARK invest at least for one year and I read the CEO background and her track record from the beginning! So many people who believe in ARK invest just looking at the last 5 years, but CEO has a fascinating story in 2008..! "Worst Performance" in 2008 and she did repeat it in 2021: -24% (40% from all-time high) in a year all indexes were positive between 13.7% to 27%..! Now the question is what is her big plan for 2022??? This year will be much more difficult..! I think her position as CEO of ARK invest will be challenged sooner or later in 2022..! She was wrong about Energy and Financial sectors and paid the price for that..! I think ARKK will go down to 70 in the first quarter of 2022..!
AMEX:ARKKShort
by Moshkelgosha
6
ARKK Stage 4 MarkdownToday, the Fed released their "Fed Minutes" and showed they're planning on acting more hawkish than everyone previously thought. The market sold off hard, with growth taking the biggest hit for obvious reasons. Looking at ARKK and a bunch of other growth names, it appears that we're in the semi-early innings of a stage 4 markdown if the Fed continues down this hawkish route. If so, think there's a decent shot that we head towards the pre-pandemic high as the Fed unwinds and the market prices this in. In 2018, the taper tantrum lasted 3 months from peak to trough. Obviously depends on what the Fed does from here, but be prepared for this scenario (posted on chart) Btw, if this plays out, all risk assets will get hit hard including crypto.
AMEX:ARKKShort
by ZenTradesRW
ARKK - Hydrophones Picking Up NoiseWood's Hole has been busy with the creaking sounds from the Deep Blue. Small Caps within the Covenant have been leaking badly, some now down 70&. Full bubble engaged. _____________________________________________________________________ Innovation Spec, Meta, and Cathy all wondering why, of course, it will be another dip buy for Future Value. We disagree with her Thesis and believe recalibration of her Grift is needed. A carnie is a carnie. The Big Top fire is spreading, Noah is loading the critters, while the mid 60s appear to be too much of an angle for the ARKK sub to withstand. ______________________________________________________________________ 100% CASH on Close.
AMEX:ARKK
by HK_L61