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AVGO trade ideas

THE WEEK AHEAD: AVGO EARNINGS; EWZ, GDX, XLooking at what's left of the trading week post-Labor Day ... . AVGO (announcing earnings on Thursday after market close) is the only fairly liquid underlying that interests me for an earnings-related volatility contraction play (rank 57/30-day 37). The 63% probability of profit Sept 21st 200/205/235/240 iron condor pictured here is preliminarily going for 1.65 with a theta of 5.17 and a net delta of .67 with wide bid/ask showing in the off hours. Unfortunately, those 5-wides aren't available in the October monthly at the moment, so be mindful of the fact that you may experience difficulty or have to adjust on roll out if you have to since there aren't any 205's or 235's in the October yet. EWZ is still in a state of high anxiety with a 52-week rank in the 90's and the 30-day above 40%. The 72% probability of profit October 19th 28/38 short strangle camped out around the 20 delta is still paying over a buck (1.28), which is nice in a sub-$35 underlying. GDX (rank 44/30-day 26): Gold and silver have had the bejesus beaten out of them, so it's no surprise that the implied is relatively high here. Given the beat-down: October 19th 19 short straddle, 1.37 credit, 18.21 delta (bullish assumption). Alternatively, October 19th 19 short put (synthetic covered call), .87 credit, 59.74 delta. Lastly: another underlying that's gotten a smack-down -- X (earnings announced 31 days ago). The October 19th 27/33 neutral assumption short strangle is paying 1.06, but I could also see going plain Jane 30-delta short put (bullish assumption) -- the October 19th 28's paying .83; going 70 delta synthetic covered call -- the October 19th 32's paying 2.94; or going skewed short straddle -- the 40 delta October 19th 32 short straddle's paying 3.67, with the strategy selected matching the strength of your assumption ... .
NASDAQ:AVGO
by NaughtyPines
AVGO: Sort opportunityAn intraday high potential, Back Tested Sort Analysis. We ll try to enter into the correction of the uptrend movement tracking trend oscillators as below: Price is likely to move within the parallel channel having the potential to break it down. CCI triple top divergence breaking down the zero level. Triple top resistance level. A Breakaway gap at the end of a price pattern and signaling the beginning of the reversal. We ll try to find an entry price within the expected pull back zone 257.90 - 260.60 as previously being back tested. DETAILS ON THE CHART NOTE: Entry range area above the entry point, is calculated upon 80% of the recorded pullback back tested past performances DISCLAIMER: This is a technical analysis study, not an advice or recommendation to invest money on.
NASDAQ:AVGOShort
by TradingStatistics
1
AVGO ShortAVGO, after forming a 4 month flat base last year, broke out on big volume . After reaching its peak around 285, it's been struggling for 2 months, coming back to the breakout level. Then it finally gave up and plunged through the breakout level on big volume . After coming back from the bottom of the previous base (on really low volume ), it tried to break out again, but failed on a huge volume , falling back to the same level, which acts as a neckline in the forming head & shoulders pattern. It had 2 attempts to break above the 200 day MA, both resulting in failure. It will probably consolidate between the neckline and the Moving Averages for a while, but when it breaks the Neckline, it is clearly going to be in a downtrend.
NASDAQ:AVGOShort
by BenedekBokor