DIA trade ideas
US Downgrade, 3-5-10% Pullbacks But Still Bullish on S&PHappy Sunday!!!
US Futures open lower after Friday's close and Moody's downgrade.
Last time this occurred in 2011, the S&P dropped around 10% from the "news."
This is all interesting timing but I'm still liking pullbacks for opportunities to position
bullish in the US indexes (S&P, Nasdaq, Dow)
Because the melt-up continues to run (US/China gap last week and drift higher), I'm trying to stay patient for a pause or pullback
Trump and Bessent are still chirping about Tariffs and a government "detox" so a round of trade war related news may help calm the market's red hot advance post April 7 lows
I'm selling calls on owned positions for income. I'm waiting for more favorable levels to add new positions, but within 3-4% of all time highs for the S&P and Nasdaq I don't think anybody will be surprised to see the all-time highs revisited in the near to medium-term
Let's have a great week - thanks for watching!!!
-Chris Pulver
$DIA - Recap of Last Week April 14-17
Last week we had a shortened Trading week because of Good Friday.
We opened DIA with a gap up and over the trump tweet gap and we were met with resistance right at the downward facing 30min 200MA
You can see the three arrows all week — you don’t want to go long at a downward facing moving average.
Wednesday UHC and Jerome powell both took a toll on the Dow, and Friday we gapped down and traded near the bottom of the implied move.
I look to the Dow as a leading indicator of market health. When we started in slide down off of ATH’s we saw it in the DOW first. Dow had a rough week here last week. Red 35EMA rejected at the 30min 200MA
Technically a beautiful week. All while closing within the implied move.
ALSO - take a look at where we saw the signal line turn red.
$DIA Boom From the Bottom to the Top of the Implied Move
The entire Trading Range is sitting on top of the 200 Week Moving Average.
Alright - Yesterday - We stayed completely with in the implied move - you can see that both sides got tested which gave us some wild swings. Spreads on both ends paid. 10% intraday moves
We hit the bottom of the implied move, the top of the implied move and we saw resistance at the 35EMA.
$DIA Historic Drawdown Week in Review A historic drawdown week with unprecedented tariffs not seen since right before the great depression.
We broke many supports and are looking for Support
Stay Tuned - Today's Trading Range is coming out.
Don't rush into a trader just to trade - But also, if you see a great opportunity take it.
$DIA - Trading Levels for March 18 2025 AMEX:DIA - Trading Levels for March 18 2025
Not too much to write today because I’m on Spring Break and even though I am trading I’m not at my computer as much.
We are Neutral bearish here being above the 30min 25EMA but under the 30min 200MA - premarket taking it right to the 35EMA
Super interesting spot here - we closed right at the 200DMA. Just under it and then premarket is starting us off lower.
Grab this chart and let's GO!!!