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EWZ trade ideas

EWZ: Viking is back in townI've been working for 5 hours to estimate the trend turns for the next six months. To gain the knowledge to do those five hours are countless. Now, it will not be 100 % accurate in timing. I still have a lot of cycle work to be completed to fine-tune. But it will be quite accurate as I have gone back in time and checked out what EWZ has done in the past. And since the past tells us about the future as history repeats, confidence level is high. Please allow a day or two on each side of the green bars. Price is a different story. I have no clue how to deal with that. But its better to know when price can turn than how high it can go, if you catch my drift?
AMEX:EWZLong
by UnknownUnicorn540299
$EWZ $BVSP $IBOV Brazilian Stocks Under PressureWith market volatility back in the global markets with a vengeance, and the US Dollar remaining strong, one EM equity market that has been hit particularly hard this year has been the Brazilian Stocks (EWZ). Sluggish growth forecasts, combined with waning support for the Brazilian President, has sent Brazilian Stocks to its lowest level of the year so far, down -2.94%. The sharp declines have also been fueled by uncertainty over the US-China trade talks on a macro level. The combination of these two forces, the external macro headwinds and weak domestic economy, have both been a perfect storm for the under-performance of Brazilian stocks in 2019 thus far. Furthermore, on a technical basis, the EWZ continues to show deterioration within the equity market, with the 50-day EMA acting as a strong resistance March 2019 and the price action failing to break above since then. We believe that is these headwinds continue, there will be more downside for Brazilian stocks to come. We caution investors against this equity market.
AMEX:EWZShort
by EconomicsGlobal
OPENING: EWZ JUNE 21ST 34.5/37.5/44/47 IRON CONDOR... for a 1.04/contract credit. With implied volatility fairly low across the board, going small, defined in the exchange-traded fund with the highest background implied volatility on the board (30.9%) to keep powder dry for something sexier to come along ... . Shorts nearest the 25 delta strike, longs nearest the 10 with slightly more than one-third the width of the wings collected. Shooting for that ol' 50% max. Go 37.5/44 short strange in June, and you'll collect 1.60 or so. Metrics: Max Profit: 1.04 ($104)/contract Max Loss: 1.96 ($196/contract) Break Evens: 36.46/45.04 Delta/Theta: -2.36/1.18
AMEX:EWZ
by NaughtyPines
THE WEEK AHEAD: EWZ, XOP, MU, IWMTrade of the Week (May Cycle): Pictured here is an EWZ (29/34) May 17th 37/45 short strangle: 1.14 credit, .57 at 50% max, break evens at 35.86/46.14, delta -1.46, theta 2.87. Obvious Alternatives: EWZ May 17th 41 short straddle, 3.91 credit, .98 at 25% max, break evens at 37.09/44.91, delta -4.6, theta 4.01. Notes: Pros: High implied, high implied relative to broad market (i.e., SPY 16/13), non-closely correlated with broad market (.4 3-month SPY correlation). Cons: Preference is for implied to be higher within 52-week range. Exchange-Traded Funds XOP (20/30): May 17th 31 short straddle, 2.67 credit, .67 at 25% max, break evens at 28.33/33.67, delta 1.89, theta 2.73. Obvious Alternatives: May 17th 29/33 short strangle,* 1.15 credit, .57 at 50% max, break evens at 27.85/34.15, delta 2.07, theta 2.29. Notes: Pros: High implied relative to broad market, non-closely correlated with broad market (.3 3-month SPY correlation). Cons: Preference is for implied to be higher within 52-week range. XBI (21/26): May 17th 84/97 short strangle,** 2.48 credit, 1.24 at 50% max, break evens at 81.52/99.48, delta -.26, theta 5.62. Obvious Alternatives: May 17th 79/84/97/102 iron condor, 1.65 credit, .83 at 50% max, break evens at 82.35/98.65, delta -3.15, theta 2.47. Notes: Pros: High implied relative to broad market. Cons: Preference is for implied to be higher within 52-week range. Single Name With Earnings in the Rear View Mirror MU (10/40): May 17th 37/47 short strangle, 1.36 credit, .68 at 50% max, break evens at 35.64/48.36, delta .86, theta 3.41. Notes: Pros: High implied relative to broad market, non-closely correlated (.42 3 month SPY correlation). Cons: Preference is for implied to be higher within its 52-week range. Other Passing Observations: Broad market volatility remains in low gear here with VIX finishing the week with a 13.71 print, although VXN is at 16.62, and RVX at 17.80, so "the frisk" is in small caps with the IWM (20/18) short strangle nearest 25 delta in the May cycle -- the 147/159 -- paying 3.02 at the door and 1.51 at 50% max and the 142/147/159/164 iron condor paying 1.76, .88 at 50% max. * -- I'm in a May 17th 28/33 short strangle. (See Post Below). ** -- I'm in the May 17th 80/85/98/103 iron condor. (See Post Below).
AMEX:EWZ
by NaughtyPines
Brasil scenariosScenario 1: Scenario 1 would be S-H-S tacking into account the real movement which will probably go to 3.90/3.95 y n short run and if there's no agreement between US-China it will hav further pressure and will go to circa 4.20 again in order to complete a new S-H-S in the long cycle. After that will follow a commodities super cycle. Scenario 2: Scenario 2 will b a consequence of a trade deal between US-China which will lead EM's to new high and a super cycle thanks to China's yuan appreciation. I will go for Scenario 1 Trade safe!
AMEX:EWZShort
by showerreport