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FORD MOTOR COFORD MOTOR COFORD MOTOR CO

FORD MOTOR CO

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F - Is it going to be a good Christmas with Ford? Is it time for a reversal for NYSE:F ? Since early 2022, Ford's Price Performance has not been pretty good for their investor. In the recent stages, the price has formed a consistent Downtrend Channel since July 2022. Potential Bullish Divergence from its weekly chart MACD Oscillator might hint us at a reversal but surely need trend reversal confirmation from the daily chart. If the price cannot break $10.64 as its neckline in an imaginary double bottom potential, then we need to at least see any bullish divergence potential in the daily chart from the oscillator. For bullish divergence to appear, the price needs to go lower than $9.63 but the oscillator keeps making a higher low. If the price can break $10.64, the nearest target is the double bottom pattern target at $11.61 You may also manage your risk for entry when the price breaks the minor downtrend as shown in the picture below: Performance-wise, in the last 20 years, December only has a 40% rate of Positive Return with only a 20% winning rate in the last 10 years. There are still 2 weeks in November, and it has 67% winning history since 20 years ago and 73% winning history in the last 10 years. I'd probably go Long for this opportunity until the end of November 2023.
NYSE:FLong
by dhimaswppr
Ford Slides After New Profit Forecast, UAW Strike-Cost TallyFord pegged the cost of the six-week UAW strikes at $1.7 billion, more than rival GM's $1.1 billion estimate, while issuing an updated 2023 profit forecast. Ford Motor (NYSE: F) - shares moved lower Thursday after the carmaker followed General Motors (GM) - Get Free Report in reinstating its full-year profit forecasts while noting it will lose around $1.7 billion from the United Auto Workers strike that ended late last month. Ford said it sees adjusted full-year profit in the region of $10 billion to $10.5 billion, down from its July estimate of between $11 billion and $12 billion. Free cash flow should improve to between $5 billion and $5.5 billion. The group reached a deal with the UAW on October 26 that will see members receive a 25% pay increase, including an initial boost of around 11% and a further 30% increase in cost-of-living adjustment payments. Ford said the contract would add $8.8 billion in costs over the 4 1/2-year contract. GM said the six-week UAW strike would would clip around $1.1 billion from the group's bottom line. But as at Ford, GM said it would ultimately improve free cash flows thanks in part to strike-related shutdowns at various facilities around the country. GM said it saw full-year adjusted profit in the region of $11.7 billion to $12.7 billion, down from its prior forecast of $12 billion to $14 billion. Diluted earnings, GM said, would likely come in between $7.20 and $7.70 a share, compared with its prior range of between $7.15 and $8.15 per share. The carmaker also said it would boost its quarterly dividend by 33%, to 12 cents a share, starting in 2024 while immediately retiring $6.8 billion in GM stock through its new $10 billion buyback.
NYSE:FLong
by DEXWireNews
FORD MOTOR CO (F) 1M NYSE:F FORD MOTOR CO (F) 1M ### Current Situation: - **Stock Price:** $9.84 - **Moving Averages:** Below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day Moving Averages (MA) - **Volume:** 508 million - **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** Between 50.00 and 40.00 - **Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD):** Signals below the histogram ### Analysis: 1. **Price and Moving Averages:** - The stock trading below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day MAs typically indicates a bearish trend. - This positioning suggests a lack of upward momentum and possibly a bearish sentiment among investors. - These MAs might act as resistance levels if the stock tries to move upwards. 2. **Volume:** - A high trading volume of 508 million can indicate strong interest in the stock. However, the interpretation depends on the price movement context. High volume with a price decline can signal strong selling pressure. 3. **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** - An RSI between 50 and 40 is often considered a neutral zone. However, trending towards 40 can indicate that the stock is approaching the oversold territory, which sometimes precedes a potential upward reversal. - It's important to watch for whether the RSI crosses below 40, as it could reinforce the bearish trend. 4. **Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD):** - MACD signals being below the histogram, especially if the MACD line is trending downwards, suggests bearish momentum. - This might indicate that the downward trend is strong and could continue in the short term. ### Implications and Potential Strategies: - **Short-Term Traders:** - There might be opportunities for short-selling, given the bearish indicators. - Watch for any bullish signals or a reversal pattern as an entry point for buy positions. - **Long-Term Investors:** - It's essential to consider fundamental factors alongside these technical indicators. - If the fundamentals are strong, this bearish trend could present a buying opportunity. However, caution is advised until there are signs of trend reversal. - **Risk Management:** - Given the bearish indicators, risk management is crucial. Setting stop-loss orders can help mitigate potential losses. ### Conclusion: The technical analysis suggests a bearish trend for Ford Motors stock in the short term, with several indicators pointing to downward momentum. It's crucial for investors to monitor upcoming price movements and news that might affect the stock. Also, integrating this technical analysis with a fundamental analysis of Ford Motors and the broader market conditions is essential for a well-rounded investment decision. Remember, investing in the stock market involves risks, and this analysis does not constitute financial advice. It's always advisable to consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NYSE:FLong
by rodulfox
$F / FORD PEG Trade IdeaNYSE:F (Ford) Simplified Trading Blueprint Why Trade Ford: Quick Points High volume: Lots of trading after earnings report. Price dropped below $10: Big deal for traders. Bearish signs: Technical cues predict more drops. Key Levels to Watch: Immediate: $10.00 (critical psychological barrier) Below: $9.56, $9.11, $8.41 Special Note: $10.20 zone (major make-or-break area) How to Trade: Step-by-Step Set Up for Success: Add an Anchored VWAP on the chart, starting from the earnings moment. When to Jump In: Price dips below $10? Go short (sell, expecting to buy back cheaper). But: If it's heading toward the VWAP, pause. Wait for a clear sign. Protecting Your Capital: Set a stop loss at the VWAP level shown on a 1-minute chart (e.g., was $10.24 last Friday). Cashing In: The Smart Way: First target: $9.56. Hits it? Great! Sell half to lock in profits. Move your stop loss to where you entered the trade (break even). You're now playing risk-free! Holding On for More? Still got half your position? Watch those lower levels ($9.11, $8.41) for more profit-taking. What If Things Change? Price climbs above the VWAP or starts hovering around $10.20? Be alert! Big decisions happen here. If it starts breaking through the bearish patterns, that's the market telling you something new. Golden Rules: Keep These in Mind Trading's not about certainties; it's about playing the odds smartly. Stick to the plan, but be ready to adapt. Conditions change fast. Most importantly, don't risk more than you can afford to lose. There's always another trade.
NYSE:FShort
by thinkCNE
F Ford Motor Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought F here: or sold before the previous earnings: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of F Ford Motor Company prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 11.50usd strike price Puts with an expiration date of 2023-10-27, for a premium of approximately $0.31. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:FShort
by TopgOptions
F 5/13/2023F F me? No F you! Daily chart analysis The current Ford chart has a very familiar look to it. If you pull the BTCUSD and look at the period between Dec. 2017 – Nov. 2018, you will see the noticeable similarities. You have a Parabolic move to higher prices, a crash back down, following by price forming a descending triangle with lower highs into support level. The BTCUSD descending triangle broke down and price continued crash to lower prices. I am expecting the same to happen here. Downtrend + Descending Triangle (Bearish pattern) = Short trade. This will be my cue to enter trade short. Entry: 11.67 Stoploss: 13.20 (-13.11%) Target: 6.00 (+48.59%)*, 3.71 RR Ratio *Initial target is 6.00 but price could go as low as 4.75
NYSE:FShort
by rudcharts
$F: Going sub 11.34 would be the kiss of deathI think NYSE:F offers a very low risk short opportunity here, it merely needs to break under $11.34 to cascade down into a waterfall decline... Technical chart targets are clear, and indicate a substantial drop can take place, aided by declining fundamentals in the shape of UAW strikes and a rising trend in Union bargaining power, combined with rising costs for materials and declining sales in the face of NASDAQ:TSLA demolishing legacy competition make this a compelling short. In short: a sh#tstorm coming for ICE makers. We could see many bankruptcies in legacy automakers. Best of luck if taking the trade. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
NYSE:FShort
by IvanLabrie
Ford's (F) Q3 Earnings to Get a Boost From Blue and Pro SegmentsFord F is set to release its third-quarter 2023 results on Oct 26, after the closing bell. The focal point of the auto giant’s earnings release will be its global wholesale volumes from the Ford Blue and Ford Pro segments. Q2 Highlights Ford reported adjusted earnings of 72 cents per share for second-quarter 2023, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 51 cents and increased from 68 cents recorded in the year-ago quarter. Higher-than-expected automotive revenues resulted in the outperformance. The company’s consolidated second-quarter revenues came in at $44,954 million, rising 11.8% year over year. In the second quarter, total wholesale volume in the Ford Blue and Ford Pro segments increased 7% year over year to 720,000 units and 8% year over year to 365,000, respectively. EBIT from Ford Blue and Pro units came in at $2,308 million and $2,391 million, respectively. Ford reported adjusted free cash flow (FCF) of $2,919 million during the quarter. It had cash and cash equivalents of $26,406 million as of Jun 30, 2023. Long-term debt, excluding Ford Credit, totaled $19.17 billion at the end of the second quarter of 2023. Factors at Play While Ford Blue focuses on the firm’s legacy gas-powered business, Ford Pro deals with commercial vehicles and services. Expected higher year-over-year growth in global wholesale shipments and adjusted EBIT from these segments are likely to have positively impacted Ford’s upcoming results. Our estimate for global wholesale shipments from Ford Blue and Ford Pro segments is pegged at 750,000 and 382,000 units, suggesting a year-over-year uptick of 1.2% and 19%, respectively. Our forecast for third-quarter Ford Blue and Ford Pro adjusted EBIT implies an uptick of 6.2% and a whopping 370.1% on a year-over-year basis. The combination of Ford Pro's strong order books and the successful launch of the all-new Super Duty set the stage for promising results for the Ford Pro segment. In the quarter under discussion, Ford's commercial vans, led by the Transit van, continued to perform strongly. Transit van sales surged by 28.3%, with 34,006 vans sold, maintaining its position as America's top-selling commercial van. Ford E-Series vans also saw a 13.4% increase in the third quarter. Ford held the top spot in commercial sales, with a 40.5% market share, up 2.1% from the previous year. The Ford Pro segment is expected to have benefited from high demand for E-Transit vans. In the third quarter, the California Vanpool Authority (CalVans) announced the purchase of over 400 new Ford E-Transit vans through Model 1, a leading electric school bus distributor, expanding its fleet by 40% and reducing its fuel and CO2 emissions in California. Ford Blue segment is set to reflect benefits from high ICE-powered vehicles, which rose 5.4% year over year to 444,681 units in the third quarter of 2023. Notably, the 2024 Ford Mustang debuted in August and for the third quarter, it recorded 9,844 sales, with the first full month of sales occurring in September. Notably, 67% of the Mustang's third-quarter sales, equating to 6,575 units, were realized in September. Overall Earnings & Revenue Projections Our proven model predicts an earnings beat for Ford as it has the right combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a favorable Zacks Rank. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter. The company has an Earnings ESP of +14.57% as the Most Accurate Estimate is pegged 6 cents higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate. F currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
NYSE:FLong
by DEXWireNews
EDUCATIONAL: F 200%+ move in 82-84I want to start periodically sharing my retrospective analysis of market leaders, that made triple digits gains during bull markets in different time-periods. The purpose of this analysis is to find commonalities in price patterns and behaviour among the best-performing stocks, that repeat themselves in each and every up-cycle throughout market history. That will help new stock market participants to better exploit new emerging opportunities. As my stock market history teacher - John Boik - use to say it: "Study the past, so you can profit in the future". Retrospective analysis of Ford ( NYSE:F ) during 1982-194: 0. Great Relative strength. When SPX (see the upper chart) makes lower lows, FORD is making higher highs on noticeable pick-up in average daily volume. Also notice who price creates a flat-base and latter breaks out (BO) from it with volume surging above average; 1. First BUY could be made here with very tight 3% stop, a bit or right after W. O'Neil's «shake-out + 10%» rule (buy if price shakes you out and quickly reverse and runs higher by 10%) after the double bottom pattern in the bottom of the base. 2. Because of the bear market nature of the general index, quick 12-15% gain could be used to trim 1/2 or 2/3 of the position to guaranty profits, and selling the rest for break-even during the following re-test of break-out area; 3. Could be bought again during the BO of perfect VCP with tight 2.5% stop, and... 4. ...sold for the quick 5-7x return-to-risk gain. 5. When the index makes its final lower-low, F's price rebases, making a higher-low, and quickly runs higher and breaks out in Aug82 along with the SnP500. F could be bought and shaked out during initial BO attempt, and then re-bought after price follows through in two days with volume support. Notice how price pattern rhythms with prior Dec81-Mar82 base. 6. This big red reversal bar with substantial volume pick-up could be used to book another 15-17% gain with only initial 3-4% stop. 7. It is already clear that F is the new market leader of this new up-trend and it makes sense to track how the price acts if it corrects to 50MA (Red line) that coincides with re-tests of prior BO point. If to zoom in into the volume dynamics of this basing actions around 50D MA, accumulation (surge in volume with closes in in upper part of the bar dominate volume on corrective bars) becomes very evident. 8. New BUY coming from this low cheat BO with massive volume support. Because the average cost was so low, one may want to move stop to break-even or tracing 50D MA. 9. Price closed in the upper third of the day - good supportive actions on the 50D MA. If stopped-out, shares could be re-bought by the end of the day or on next day BO with tight stop and low of the day. 10. Shares could be sold into this kind of climactic run above the 7 month channel line + the general market barely moves to old highs indicating relative divergence and lack of overall momentum in the market. 11. Good tight area. Could have been bought at BO and sold at BE after the BO proved to be fake one. 12. New BUY under shake-out + 10% rule with stop bellow 50D MA after it crosses the buy price. Massive volume advance on BO day acts as confirmation of large institutional interest in the stock (notice how these green volume sky-scrapers bars tend to dominate the red selling bars latter-on until the up-trend changes). Notice again how the price shows the same character shake-out pattern it made during Dec81-Mar82 and May-Aug82. As Nicolas Darvas observed that "stocks have characters just like people". 13. Perfect selling area: price moves above the channel line in negative divergence to the market (index is not making higher-highs). 14. Same type of character behaviour with shake-out and Mark Minervine's «slingshot» move on volume support, where «shake-out +10%» buy rule could be used to establish the position with tight stop bellow the short-term 8/21emas. 15. Sell 3/4 of position or all in this first evident distribution bar + the market seems tired and is loosing momentum. Very noticeable distribution bars starting to appear - some heavy selling and not much buying. Important sign of character change. 16. This low volume pattern during this up-move shows that late retail buyers are stepping in with no institutional support. That is the hint that price advance is prone to failure. 17. Definite selling signal. Price dives bellow 50MA with substantial distribution started dominating the volume pattern.
NYSE:FEducation
by artemfedorov
F (FORD) Wait For BuyAnalyzing Ford on the daily time frame, you can see that over the course of a month, Ford has fallen sharply after breaking out of the target completion corner pattern (price limited to $15). And its price return from the 11 range is not strong and you can see uncertain doji candles that there is a high probability that it will reach the 11 dollar range again. And since this range is a strong support zone, we could see a sharp bounce to the upside in the $11 range. In this pattern, double bottom are formed. And we chose the TARGET POINT based on this scenario. If it falls below $11, this scenario is violated !!.
NYSE:FLong
by currenceland
6
Buying Ford at trend of higher lows.Ford - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 11.71 (stop at 11.11) Trend line support is located at 11.60. Preferred trade is to buy on dips. The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows. 11.58 has been pivotal. We look for a temporary move lower. In our opinion this stock is undervalued. Our profit targets will be 13.21 and 13.61 Resistance: 12.35 / 12.91 / 13.20 Support: 12.16 / 11.90 / 11.58 Please be advised that the in formation presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group
NYSE:FLong
by VantageMarkets
FORD Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 091923 Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 12.8/61.80% Chart time frame : B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress : B A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) Hit the bottom D) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provide these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day
NYSE:F
by fibonacci6180
Ford "Run & drive" 16,09 and more "Regarding my trading strategy, it is currently bullish. Until we are above the Hoss window that formed on May 25th, I will remain bullish. Specifically, at the point where we could reach the closure of the Hoss window, I will place my 'conditional' stop-loss (in the form of an alert). If two bearish candles close below the level of 11.52 with their bodies, only then will the trade be closed. If one candle goes below the specified level but the bulls show their strength the next day, I will stay in the game. I'm placing my first take profit at 16.09, where the first part of the semi-closed Bess window is located. Further actions will be updated in the trading view." Translate chatgpt ;) Please note that this translation might require some context about the specific trading terms and indicators you're using for a more accurate translation.
NYSE:FLong
by Scythe_