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FEDEX CORPFEDEX CORPFEDEX CORP

FEDEX CORP

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FDX trade ideas

FDX 267.5 PUT Exp 2/21/25 (Win)Saw multiple confluences on higher timeframes. Broke a weekly uptrend to the downside, came back to retest the consolidation box it made, retested the weekly trend line break, Hit the 61.8% fibonacci retracement level, and formed a gap on a smaller timeframe. Broke a structure level and broke a mini counter trend on the 1HR timeframe, came back to retest the level it broke and the counter trend, and then tanked to my take profit level for the win.
NYSE:FDXShort
by JailynFerguson
Major Price Movement Incoming for FDXSignalist has detected a precise pattern in NYSE:FDX trading activity, signaling that a substantial price movement is imminent. This isn’t a random fluctuation—it’s a carefully analyzed precursor to a significant market event. 📅 What to Expect: ⌛ Timeline: Anticipate a major move within the next 1 to 4 upcoming 3-hour candles. 📈 Monitor the Charts: Keep an eye on FDX’s price action over the next few candles. Prepare Your Strategy: Whether you’re bullish or bearish, have your trading plan ready to capitalize on the move.
NYSE:FDX
by SIGNALIST_indicator
Long because of my algo and not this sh!tsh0w of a chartDo not adjust your eyes or screen. There are no parts of this chart missing. Either FDX management is horrifyingly poor at guidance or the analysts that follow this one are really poor at their jobs. No matter, this hopefully won't last long enough for me to worry about whoever is incompetent at their job. Full disclosure: I am not personally trading this. Not because of the freakish chart, but because I am already exposed to 3 other stocks in the shipping space and I'm already too heavily exposed. I was going to go long NYSE:GPN , but about 2 min before the close it went up a few pennies and ruined my plan. It was the difference for my algo between GO and NO. I have learned to follow it unquestioningly and hopefully that one will be a go tomorrow. So why FDX then? I screened every stock with a market cap of 2 billion and above and this one had the best track record with my algo. I only give you guys the best stuff...you're welcome. Also, earnings are in the rearview mirror at this point, which based on the chart, should be an obvious non-negotiable when trading this one. Anyway, here's the deal. Throughout the backtest history going all the way back to May of 1978, my algo paired with this exit strategy are a near perfect 1603-1 on NYSE:FDX , although that 1 is a trade from this past early December that would technically still be open. Think of all the chaotic times that covers and it turned a profit every time. The average gain per trade is 1.7% with an average holding period of 18 days. Now most of those trades closed in under a week, but some REALLY long trades during the Great Recession and others pooped in everyone else's punchbowl and ruined the average. Even with those, it has still produced an average gain per day held of .094% which is better than 2x the average daily return of SPY, historically. Oh by the way, for the chart worshippers out there, I guess you can hang your hat on the fact that it closed juuuuust above support (such that it is with a chart like this one). So IF I was trading this, per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” according to my algo, and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit. Even though I'm not trading it personally, I'll update it as if I were. 270.03 would be my initial entry price, though it traded lower after hours. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NYSE:FDXLong
by redwingcoach
Technical Analysis on FedEx (FDX)Despite the long- and short-term uptrend, FedEx stock displays some peculiar behavior, with frequent gap ups and gap downs, mostly occurring around earnings reports. Some gap downs have reached up to 20%, but were quickly filled shortly thereafter. Recently, the stock reached its all-time high, only to be rejected. Therefore, the $320 area serves as a strong resistance (RES) that needs to be broken for the stock to resume its bullish trend. Bullish Scenario Following the release of the latest earnings report and declining revenue, the stock dropped 15% in a single day, creating a new gap down. With this decline, the price is now approaching a key volume area, the POC zone around $250. This area could act as support, containing the price and potentially initiating a rebound. Bearish Scenario If the POC area fails to hold the price, the stock could continue its decline toward a static support zone around $200. FedEx remains an interesting stock to watch, especially considering how it reacts in the coming weeks and its ability to maintain key support levels.
NYSE:FDX
by Giovanni_Bandini
1
Lower oil lower operation Cost? Lower Operating Costs FedEx relies heavily on fuel for its transportation network, which includes planes, trucks, and delivery vehicles. Fuel is one of FedEx's largest operational costs. If oil and gas prices are kept lower due to increased production, FedEx would benefit from reduced expenses in several ways: Fuel for Aircraft and Vehicles: Lower oil prices translate directly to cheaper jet fuel for their aircraft fleet and diesel for their ground vehicles, reducing overall shipping costs. Increased Margins: As fuel is a major cost component, lower prices improve profit margins without requiring significant adjustments in FedEx’s pricing or operations. Less Surcharge Pressure: FedEx (like other logistics companies) often imposes fuel surcharges on customers to offset rising fuel costs. When fuel prices drop, the company may reduce these surcharges, making its services more competitive without eating into profits. 2. Competitive Advantage With fuel costs declining, FedEx can maintain its prices at competitive levels or even reduce them. Lower fuel expenses allow them to price more aggressively in relation to competitors such as UPS, DHL, and Amazon, especially in bulk shipments and long-distance international deliveries. It can also use the extra cash flow to invest in network improvements, further increasing its competitive edge. 3. Increased Demand for Shipping Services Lower Shipping Costs Encourage Demand: Lower operating costs could enable FedEx to pass savings on to consumers and businesses, making shipping services more affordable. This could drive increased demand for shipping and logistics services, particularly in the e-commerce space. Fuel-Intensive Business Models Benefit: Companies in sectors such as retail, manufacturing, and wholesale that rely on FedEx for shipping could see their own costs decrease, increasing their reliance on FedEx for cost-effective deliveries. 4. Boost to Consumer Spending Lower gas prices generally boost consumer disposable income. With more money in consumers' pockets, they tend to spend more on goods, especially through e-commerce channels. Since e-commerce is a major driver of FedEx’s revenue, increased consumer spending can lead to more packages being shipped, benefiting FedEx’s bottom line. 5. Global Economic Growth Low oil prices can stimulate broader economic growth by reducing transportation and production costs globally. As a company with international operations, FedEx is well-positioned to benefit from rising global trade and shipping volumes as businesses grow and expand in a lower-cost environment.
NYSE:FDXLong
by Cidoguy
FedEx Shares Drop 13% Amid Weak Demand for Priority DeliveriesFedEx Corp (NYSE: NYSE:FDX ) witnessed a significant 13.28% tumble in its stock price as weak demand for high-margin priority delivery services led the company to slash its annual revenue forecast. This drop has raised concerns among investors, highlighting challenges faced by the global logistics giant. But is this decline a buying opportunity? Let’s break down both the fundamental and technical aspects of the situation. Weak Demand and Forecast Downgrades FedEx (NYSE: NYSE:FDX ), often seen as a bellwether for global trade, has struggled with declining demand for its priority shipping services, particularly between businesses, as companies look to cut expenses. CEO Raj Subramaniam cited weaker-than-expected industrial demand as a primary reason for the reduced profits, signaling a slowdown in global economic activity. Key challenges that have impacted FedEx's financials include: - Lower Revenue Forecast: The company downgraded its revenue growth forecast for fiscal 2025 to low single digits, compared to the previous expectation of low-to-mid single-digit growth. - Profit Decline: FedEx also reduced the upper range of its full-year adjusted earnings per share (EPS) forecast to $20-$21, down from the previously projected $20-$22, reflecting a more competitive pricing environment and ongoing economic challenges. - Contract Loss: The winding down of its contract with the U.S. Postal Service (USPS), FedEx's largest client, is expected to result in a $500 million hit to revenue in the current fiscal year. This is another significant blow as it reduces a critical revenue stream for the company. However, amidst these difficulties, FedEx (NYSE: NYSE:FDX ) is undergoing a major restructuring with its **DRIVE program**, aimed at cutting billions in overhead costs and improving operational efficiencies. While the program’s savings are expected to accelerate over the coming quarters, analysts remain cautious about the near-term outlook, noting that FedEx's pricing power is constrained, especially in the competitive logistics market. Despite these challenges, some analysts see a silver lining. JP Morgan’s Brian P. Ossenbeck mentioned there is “room for optimism” as cost savings from the DRIVE initiative take effect, particularly during the upcoming peak holiday season. Technical Outlook: Gap Down Pattern and Potential Buy Zone From a technical standpoint, FedEx’s sharp 13% drop has created an interesting setup for investors. The stock was already showing signs of exhaustion after its recent rally, and with this premarket decline, FedEx (NYSE: NYSE:FDX ) is entering oversold territory. Key Technical Indicators: As of yesterday, FedEx had an RSI of 64.97, placing it in the upper range but still not yet overbought. However, with the sharp premarket drop, the RSI will now head towards a sell zone, indicating potential overselling pressure. Also, FedEx's stock chart has exhibited multiple gap-up patterns that have remained unfilled since December 2023, March, and June 2024. With the current gap down in premarket trading, these unfilled gaps are now being addressed. Historically, gap patterns tend to be filled, suggesting that a rebound may occur once this downward gap is complete. FedEx (NYSE: NYSE:FDX ) is now approaching a key technical support level formed in June 2024, around the $265-$270 range. This level could act as a floor, providing some price stabilization and potentially a buying opportunity for long-term investors. Buying Opportunity? With FedEx (NYSE: NYSE:FDX ) now approaching a significant gap down pattern and entering oversold conditions, it could be an opportune time for investors looking for a potential bounce. As the saying goes, "everything that goes up must come down and vice versa," and with FedEx (NYSE: NYSE:FDX ) filling these long-standing gap-up patterns, a reversal might be in the cards. However, caution is warranted as market sentiment will likely remain fragile in the near term, especially as FedEx (NYSE: NYSE:FDX ) grapples with weak industrial demand and the upcoming USPS contract loss. That said, the DRIVE initiative’s cost-cutting efforts, coupled with a possible rebound in demand during the peak shipping season, may help FedEx recover. Conclusion: FedEx’s sharp 13% drop reflects deeper concerns about weakening demand and competitive pressures, but the company’s restructuring efforts and cost-cutting initiatives provide a glimmer of hope. On the technical side, the stock is approaching oversold conditions, and the filling of gap patterns suggests that a bounce could occur. For long-term investors, this dip may present a buying opportunity, especially if FedEx (NYSE: NYSE:FDX ) can successfully execute its DRIVE program and regain pricing power in the quarters ahead.
NYSE:FDXShort
by DEXWireNews
$FDX - Gapped into it's bullish range, but over extendedFDX has spent time in this range before, thing is, it's at the top, and the path there was a massive gap up. Unlike it's other entrances into this range, this gap up over extended the crap out of the stock. It can live in this range, but it needs to cool before it's next move up, unless it's just defying gravity, which most stocks tend not to do. FDX is an old company. Weird to have so much volatility. not trade advice
NYSE:FDXShort
by mike-ai-automation
Watch out FDX, ZION and HLNE - Prices are ready to soar!FedEx The stock price has been following a downward trend within a parallel channel. After reaching a base near the 145 level, the price started to move in an upward direction. With the support of a trendline, the stock managed to break through its trendline resistance with strong volume. As long as the price remained below the 50 EMA, it faced resistance from the 50 EMA. However, once it broke above the EMA, it found support from the 50 EMA multiple times. The current RSI is above 60, indicating the strength of the buyers. The MACD line recently crossed over the signal line from below, signalling a bullish sentiment. Zions Bancorporation After the Symmetrical Triangle pattern breakout, the price surged and reached a high near the 75 level. However, the stock failed to sustain the uptrend and dropped to its support zone. A Head & Shoulder pattern emerged, signalling bearish sentiment. When the neckline was breached, the price significantly dropped to its previous support level near 22. The stock then moved up with higher trading volume. It later formed an Ascending pattern and recently experienced a sharp breakout. The current RSI is above 60 and trending upwards, indicating buyer strength. Hamilton Lane Before, the stock price made an Ascending triangle pattern and after breaking out, the price consolidated before going up. The stock price encountered a sharp rejection around the 115 level and fell significantly. Following a substantial consolidation, the stock formed a Cup & Handle pattern. When this pattern appears on the chart, it typically signals a continuation of the trend. After the breakout, the stock price is on the rise. The current RSI is above 60 and the RSI line is also trending upwards, demonstrating the strength of the buyers.
NYSE:FDXLong
by NaranjCapital
FDX FedEx Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought FDX calls ahead of the previous earnings: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of FDX FedEx Corporation prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 260usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2024-12-20, for a premium of approximately $19.30. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NYSE:FDXLong
by TopgOptions