IBM trade ideas
Bullish IBM to $140No position currently but I'll be looking to buy calls tomorrow morning if this gets a pullback and goes red.
Mixed earnings but very solid free cashflow profile projection, a little growth and job cuts (cost savings).
Expectations:
software sales: Beat
Consulting: In-Line
Infrastructure: Small miss
PT: $140 (supply zone)
ABC/DPossible stop under c or under the 50% pull back level.
The target is D and when D is reached, then a pull back or reversal is expected.
No recommendation.
Earnings estimated to be on 4-18 and most analysts appear to have a negative forecast.
EPS (FWD)
9.48
PE (FWD)
13.69
Div Rate (FWD)
$6.60
Yield (FWD)
5.09%
Short Interest
2.84%
Market Cap
$117.66B
Bear FlagFlags are neutral patterns whether the pole is up or down.
Rising wedge at the top that has long since corrected coupled with an RSI diversion at the top. If these 2 technical technical patterns happen at a top, it is usually the top and time to run.
This one is Down and it appears IBM is going with the flow of a downward break from classic bear flag.
No recommendation/It can be more difficult to call a top than a bottom in my experience as bullishness will persist until the security is so over extended, it can be almost daunting.
For a bear flag, I take the pole and project it up or down in the opposite direction of where the flag is heading, I also use the opposite trendline. IE if it breaking down, if use the top trendline of the flag and project the pole down from that point.
There are different ways to calculate flag targets and we are all different.
M pattern may ne in formation which influence my targets. Good luck.
ibm analysis from a statistical perspectiveOn January 2017, IBM had a adj.close price of $124.89. On January 2023, ibm had a price of $133.09. This is obviously a mature company and doesn't currently see huge consistent growth at this point. The best approach would be a fundamental value play as opposed to statistical mean reversion. IBM has an expected average monthly return of 0.35%, with a 4.35% arithmetic annual average and a 1% geometric annual average return on your money. IBM currently has a 6.27% Required return and it currently doesn't make beyond that annually as stated by the geo annual average. That metric basically means that you're better off purchasing an index as opposed to owning this stock. However, that doesn't mean there isnt any opportunity. It has low volatility at 7.48% currently. I personally wouldn't buy this due to its lack of growth in stock price, and the other factors previously mentioned, but if you can anticipate the business decisions that they'll make, which may potentially change their position in the industry, then i say this is worth looking into from that perspective.
However i will state that the simple valuation i calculated values IBM at $160.83 even after everything i mentioned. Safe trading folks!
#IBM weekly long ideaHello dear Traders,
Here is my idea for #IBM
Price closed above yellow line
Targets marked in the chart
Invalidation level marked with red line
IV30 % Rank: 3% Subdued
Good luck!
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Ole' boring IBM an unsung hero with a measly market cap of apx $123B. Is ready to move up.
I was hoping to add more in the green box but it never came. Regardless it seems to have been in a long consolidation respecting supports as it works its way up.
There should be plenty of opportunities to get in as I believe we are going to break ATH over the next many months to years. first target around $170.
Big BlueThe Great Reset applies to the corporate world as much as geopolitics and society
The elites believe in rebirth
As such this is another stonk I believe is about to rise like the phoenix
With IBM Watson, IBM hybrid cloud, quantum computing and IBM impact (ESG) I believe reports of this juggernaut’s demise are premature
On the chart I have 5 pivots up and 5 pivots down over decades
I believe it has been in an uptrend since prior to the plandemic which will take it to aths and beyond
Send it
GRI 2023
Great Reset Investing: The Industry 4 Index The great tranny-sition from Industry 3 to 4 is upon us
What’s cute is they’re going to take these beaten down stonks and work their cheat sheet magick whilst you’re left hodling your Google bags at the top
Industry 4 needs web 3 software, next generation wireless tech and edge enabled hardware; and ofc quantum computing
Of all the biggest tech I can see only Meta (web 3/ metaverse/ crypto) and Tesla (ai/robotics/Elon) keeping up
But value wise these are I believe da bestest
GRI 4.0
IBM - Longer Term Short TradeThis stock was brought to my attention by one of my followers requesting my opinion.
WEEKLY Linear chart...
This looks juicy ..... I believe this is poised for a substantial drop. Capable of producing a return over 50%.
Longer term put option or a LEAP may be in order here.
I believe we have just completed the "B" wave on a long term Elliot Wave sequence. The target price will bring us back to the wave 4 termination in the mid $60 range.
A price move over the descending white channel line into the $160 range should be used as a stop. Good risk-reward at this point!