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ISHARES TRUSTII

ISHARES TRUST

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IWM trade ideas

IwmInteresting spot here near 200.00 Honesty it's the most oversold Stock/Index on my watchlist. Actually price has been trading inside this channel here After finishing up a H&S pattern Over the next 2weeks I think we can see a move back to 214 channel top and H&S neckline I don't think that move will be straight V shape either, maybe a pop to 206 or 207 gap close then a pullback ; if that pullback at holds 199 support then we could see 214, if we break below 198 then the move up is done and we keep sliding The bigger picture is this, IWM is headed back to trendline support of 15yr channel around 175-180
AMEX:IWM
by ContraryTrader
2
Is History Repeating on IWM?1. Historical Pattern Repeating? ✅ Symmetry Between 2021-2022 & 2024-2025 • Both price structures show an initial sharp rally, followed by a head-and-shoulders-type decline, then an extended bearish wave lower. • In 2022, IWM broke its long-term trendline (yellow) and crashed into a lower range. • Now in 2025, IWM is showing the same breakdown pattern below that same yellow trendline, suggesting another leg down. ✅ Fractal Pattern Match • The zigzag pattern (white lines) from 2021-2022 matches closely to the current market structure. • If this fractal pattern repeats, IWM could be heading for another prolonged decline toward $180 or lower. ✅ Major Resistance Held Strong • The yellow downward-sloping trendline acted as resistance in both 2021 & now in 2025. • This rejection in 2025 adds to the bearish probability of history repeating itself. ⸻ 2. Technical Indicators Confirm Bearish Bias 📉 Stochastic RSI (Momentum Indicator) • Currently oversold (~23.29), but no bullish reversal yet. • This suggests that momentum is still to the downside with no sign of a bounce. 📉 MACD (Trend & Momentum) • Bearish crossover confirmed, with the MACD histogram turning increasingly negative. • This reinforces that downward momentum is strong, aligning with the 2021 crash pattern. 📉 Moving Averages Acting as Resistance • The 200-day EMA (purple line) was broken & rejected, which is a strong bearish signal. • This rejection mirrors the 2021 rejection, which led to a deep sell-off. ⸻ 3. Price Targets & Potential Moves If IWM follows the 2021 fractal pattern, here’s where it could go: 🔴 Bearish Targets (If Breakdown Continues) • First Target: $190.00 → Minor support zone. • Second Target: $180.00 → Key historical support. • Final Target: $160.00 → Full fractal breakdown completion. 🟢 Bullish Reversal (Invalidation Point) • If IWM reclaims $204-$210, it could invalidate the pattern and start a recovery. • Breaking above the yellow trendline (~$210.85) would signal a bullish shift. ⸻ 4. How to Trade This Setup? 🔻 Bearish Trade Ideas (If IWM Stays Below $198.75 & Breaks $198.10) 1. 0DTE Put Option (High Risk, High Reward) • Buy IWM $195 Put (Exp. 3/14) • Target: $190.00 • Stop-Loss: If IWM reclaims $200. 2. Bear Put Spread (Safer Play) • Buy IWM $195 Put (Exp. 3/14) • Sell IWM $185 Put (Exp. 3/14) • Max Profit if IWM closes below $185. 3. Sell a Bear Call Spread (Credit Strategy) • Sell IWM $205 Call • Buy IWM $210 Call • Profit if IWM stays below $205. 🟢 Bullish Trade (If IWM Reclaims $204 & Breaks Above $210.85) • Buy IWM $210 Call (Exp. 3/14) → Target $217+ ⸻ 5. Conclusion – Is IWM Repeating the 2021 Crash? ✅ Yes, the fractal pattern suggests history is repeating. ✅ Downtrend confirmed, rejection at key resistance, and bearish indicators align. ✅ Watch for a break below $198.10 for further downside to $180-$160.
A
by ReadyFor401k
Time to Scoop up Small Caps?The Russell 2000 is down 17% from November highs. According to Bank of America, small caps are not pricing in a recession. Historical small-cap selloffs during recessions have been 35-40%, with forward P/Es dropping about 30%. Earnings are still 38% below their peak. Small caps trade at 14.2x earnings, slightly below the historical average, suggesting they reflect a mild manufacturing slowdown rather than a recession. P/E valuations suggest 9% annualized returns for the Russell 2000 over the next decade, compared to 5% for mid-caps and 1% for large caps. IWM Technicals: - Multi-year log trend support. - Vastly under the yearly average (yellow).
ALong
by Audacity618
1
IWM Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 031125Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 202/61.80% Chart time frame: B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: C A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
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by fibonacci6180
RUSSELL 2000 Chart Fibonacci Analysis 030425Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 206/61.80% Chart time frame: B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: A A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
A
by fibonacci6180
IWM Approaching Key Support! Reversal Incoming or Further Down?📊 Technical Analysis (TA): 1. Trend & Structure: * IWM remains in a strong downtrend, marked by multiple Break of Structure (BOS) signals. * A recent Change of Character (ChoCH) attempt suggests a possible reversal, but confirmation is needed. * Key Resistance: ~215-218 (supply zone) * Support Zone: ~205-208 (current demand area) 2. Indicators Suggesting a Possible Reversal: * MACD: Starting to flatten, showing potential for a bullish divergence. * Stochastic RSI: Deeply oversold, indicating a potential bounce. * Volume Spike: Increased volume at support suggests possible accumulation. 🔹 GEX & Options Flow: 1. Call Walls (Resistance) 🚧 * 218-222: Strong resistance where gamma resistance intensifies. * 230: Major call wall, unlikely to be tested unless a strong bounce occurs. 2. Put Walls (Support) 🛑 * 205: Highest negative NETGEX, meaning a breakdown could accelerate downside pressure. * 200-195: Next major support levels if 205 fails. 3. IV Rank & Skew: * IVR 45.2, indicating mid-range implied volatility. * Puts account for 34.4%, showing strong downside interest. * Implied move ±0.32%, suggesting potential large swings. 📌 Trading Plan & Suggestions: * Bullish Reversal Scenario: * If IWM holds 205-208, we could see a bounce toward 215-218. * Ideal trade: April 210C or 215C, targeting a reversal move. * Bearish Breakdown Scenario: * If IWM loses 205, downside targets extend to 195-200. * Ideal Put Play: Buy March-April 205P or 200P, targeting 190-195. ⚠️ Key Warning: If IWM fails to reclaim 210 quickly, bearish momentum could extend further. 🔥 Conclusion: IWM at a Decision Zone – Bounce or Breakdown? Russell 2000 is testing a key support area, with early reversal signals forming but heavy put positioning remains. The next few sessions will decide if we get a bounce or another leg lower. Watch price action near 205-208 closely before making a move. 🚀📉 🚨 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
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by BullBearInsights
IWM BUY ZONEMy trading plan is very simple. I buy or sell when: * Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones * Money flow spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands * Price at Fibonacci levels So... Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing. Price in Green buying zone Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under bottom of Bollinger Band I'm buying in this green zone, again if price hits $212 near the yellow zone or red line. Will sell and/or short when price reaches green zone overheard around $226.
ALong
by chancethepug