IWM trade ideas
IWM Double BottomPrice has recently twice bounced off support at around $211 forming a double bottom. This signifies a reversal of the prior downtrend; the new uptrend, thus far, seems to be quite strong. Take most profits at $216.50 where, according to Fibonacci levels, we could see some resistance. If price breaks out above that it may be worth holding a few runners with a trailing stop. I would place a stop loss at $213; this number doesn't have much technical significance but with this particular setup I'm looking for price to shoot straight up in a relatively short period of time and a correction below the 213 level would invalidate this goal.
Opening (IRA): IWM February 25th 193 Short Put... for a 2.09 credit.
Comments: Emulating dollar cost averaging into small caps via a 17 delta short put in the contract nearest 45 days until expiry. Currently, the highest 30-day implied volatility broad market exchange-traded fund on the board with 30-day at 27.0% (although QQQ comes in a close second at 26.5%).
IWM Put Credit Spread (see related) into a ICIWM continued to fall today, so I decided to look on the call side to turn this into an Iron Condor.
Why?
1. Condors do not increase margin over a spread
2. IWM has been range bound
3. Large cushion past 2 resistance points
4. Additional Credit recieved
Opened Feb 2nd 236/238 IC for a 0.22 cent credit.
IWM - is stochastic warning of a major support break?IWM has been rangebound for almost one year now. Price was around highs of 170 before the "Covid drop." The 212 area is strong support, but it may break soon. Since price broke out of the upper resistance and fell right back into range, a break of support may soon follow.
Let me explain how I use stochastic %K warning signals, which usually lead price movement. My custom setting is 10-period %K and 7-period %D (I do not use D-slow), which I find to work well for my day and short swing trades. When %K (blue line) drops from above 80 to under 20 in 2-3 candles, it warns of more selling, and the corresponding price candles are usually innocuous. Usually I look for price to bounce first and then make a significant drop, as happened at the end of October (white oval). %K gave a warning signal and was followed by a quick reaction bounce before a larger selloff. Sometimes, as is happening now, %K will give a warning and it is followed by lower RSI and continued selling. This signal does not work 100% of the time, but I use it regularly with high success to enter long option trades. Also, the same is true in the upwards direction; a sharp rise in %K from under 20 to over 80 signals a stock will soon make a significant move up.
On 6 Jan I bought two put positions when IWM was 218-219: 21Jan 215 strike and 18Feb 210 strike. With markets dropping sharply right now, wait for a good entry. IWM should retest 212 and if it bounces up again instead of breaking support then I have plenty of time to exit Feb puts without a big loss.
210/208 IWM Put Credit SpreadIWM is one of my favourites due to its range in the last year. I have played this range many times with credit spreads and Condors.
Trade setup:
Simple Put Credit Spread here opened for a 0.205 credit. Goal with these trades is to be a minimum of 10% RoM and no longer than 30 days.
Entry Criteria:
1. Red day, for increased premiums
2. Trading within a range (clear)
3. Short put is far enough away (see multiple support points lower)
4. Credit received meets RoM (Return on Margin) criteria.
IWM shrt update shrt 233.61Lets look daily stochs srating roll over again look vol more selling then buying
Lets look see t cannot get above 100 200 day and hold staying shrt still small shres 210 took 3/4 off from 233.61 great shrt.
lets look know weekly starting to roll up, so I took some off still shrt