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IWM trade ideas

Small CapsA lot of speculation regarding small caps being a 'catchup trade'. Perhaps it will play out that way. Perhaps it wont. A few observations: Weekly chart has held long term trend, well, over the past 20 years. Small caps are sensitive to Fed Funds Rates. The circumstances of the rate change is important. My expectation: Small caps upward move will precede the FFR cut. Small Caps should fade from long term trend, given 'higher for longer'. Stock pickers would be better suited to hand select small caps with strong balance sheets, as opposed to a shelf item small cap ETF.
AMEX:IWM
by WillNixTrading
Opening (IRA): IWM July 19th 190 Short Put... for a 2.33 credit. Comments: Targeting the shortest duration <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market. (This is actually at the 18 delta, but it was either the 190 or the 185 where I wanted to pitch my tent from a delta standpoint). Starting to slowly deploy third quarter rungs here in broad market (IWM, QQQ, SPY) while I piddle around with shorter duration higher IV sector ETF stuff.
AMEX:IWMLong
by NaughtyPines
Opened (IRA): IWM June/July 182/180 Short PutsComments: Added at strikes better than what I currently have on in weakness, targeting the <16 delta strikes in the respective expiries paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the small cap ETF. June 21st 182: Filled for 1.89 July 19th 180: Filled for 2.22 I also briefly looked at QQQ and SPY, but couldn't get in at strikes better than what I currently have on, so am leaving those positions alone for now.
AMEX:IWMLong
by NaughtyPines
Watching for IWM to bounce off support IWM is currently in a strong accumulation area based on the volume profile delta. The indexes were a bit oversold after yesterday's CPI report and FOMC minutes, leading to a bounce in the afternoon. I am skeptical as to whether today's PPI report and fed speakers will have the same effect so I closed my puts. Here is my reasoning: VIX keeps rejecting above $16.25. If it does not move up sharply at market open, I expect it to reject again and move back down towards $13.00. The 10y bonds chart looks like yields have topped out for the week after hitting the R3 fib pivot point. I see it retracing down the channel until next week. Same situation with the Dollar. I expect a small rally into the weekend or early next week. Timing will depend on the reaction to today's PPI report. I'd like to see a dip in the morning so I can minimize risk in case there is not enough momentum to get to $206. I expect some choppiness there so we can either continue moving up next week or head for new lows. Also thinking this looks like another bullish wedge on NYSE..
AMEX:IWMLong
by ap769
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