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KRE trade ideas

Is this showing us the end of regional banks in 2025?I saw a Head & Shoulder Pattern at the top of this chart. Then I saw another one on the left side. I measured the fractals of the patterns and saw a remacable match of several price actions at similar places. The ratios were nearly the same. So i looked right. I mean on the right side of the chart and saw the potential beginning of a new similar pattern? Am I biased or is it really the beginning of a nother left shoulder of a H&S pattern. This time the right shoulder of an overarching, bigger H&S pattern. The continuation would mean that we will have a potential break down on the right side of the chart around April next year. If it plays out the KRE, regional banking ETF could go to zero. Ok. Technically possible. What would be the story behind? Could the CBDC thing be brought in conjuncture with with the fall of the regional banks. Who would need them anymore? Or another big never seen reason crash? Show me a chart and I tell you the story is my motto. What I see is just potential. Just a thought. But IF it will develop and I see signs of acontinuation of this fractal structure, I would have much more confidence in the fall of the regional banking system in the USA. This will take time and is a long term view. Only Time will tell...
AMEX:KREShort
by Cashflowjaque
$KRE massive H&S top?Thanks to @TORNADOF5 for reminding me about this. A friend sent me a tweet last night about how banks are levered up on debt and that prompted me to look at the chart of KRE. As you might remember, AMEX:KRE was one of the worst performing ETFs at the beginning of this year with the failure of a ton of local banks. But since earlier this year, I haven't heard much talk about banks being in trouble. Well I pulled up the chart, I was surprised to see a massive H&S top forming. If price breaks $37-38, then I could see a big move down. The first target would be $29 and if price gets under that, it could get really bad. Could see price making it all the way to the lower support levels. Let's keep an eye on this because it'll be a great trade should it play out.
AMEX:KREShort
by benjihyam
3
Opening (IRA): KRE Sept 20th 42 Covered Call... for a 40.73 debit. Comments: Adding to my KRE (IVR/IV 50.4/28.6) position with a setup out in the September monthly that has a break even better than what I currently have on. Selling the -75 delta call against a one lot to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put with the built-in defense of the short call. Additionally, attempting to grab a little more June divvy if I can, with ex-dividend not having been declared yet. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 40.73 Max Profit: 1.27 ($127) ROC at Max: 3.12% 50% Max: .64 ROC at 50% Max: 1.56%
AMEX:KRELong
by NaughtyPines
US Bank about to implode! Regional Banking is gonna take a hit!First you have the FDIC come out and say no matter what we can whether a large US Bank failure - out of nowhere! Japan is stuck in a corner, can't sell bonds to defend its currency, and can't raise rates enough. Like every Central Bank they're stuck. So now a large US bank will be "allowed" to fail that will give Powell the excuse to cut rates - leading to a large reinflation boost (precious metals). Biden even hinted at rates coming down in July so this regional bank implosion has to happen soon. I don't see banking in the USA doing good long term because the banking structure needs to be consolidated to isolate and do away with cash so they can bring out CBDC's. At that point banks will be "stakeholders" which is fancy speak for fascist government control over corporations, but from an international level. Also, TTM Squeeze indicator is loaded on every TF except Monthly, which showed that it already went off and is gathering steam for the next leg down in the breakout, but a very powerful move since this is signaling on the weekly chart.
AMEX:KREShort
by EmptyEternity
1
Opening (IRA): KRE August 19th 44 Monied Covered Call... for a 42.98 debit. Comments: Hitting a little KRE (IVR/IV 42/28) on weakness here, looking primarily to grab the June dividend (March distribution: .38; 3.19% annualized). Selling the -75 call against a one lot to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 42.98 Max Profit: 1.02 ($102) ex. dividend ROC at Max: 2.37% 50% Max: .51 ($51) ex. dividend ROC at 50% Max: 1.19% Will primarily look to take profit at 50% max, roll out the short call on test ... .
AMEX:KRELong
by NaughtyPines
KRE: Regional Bank Collapse?Financials have been demonstrating some interesting price action. We believe financials in the near term could be in for some choppy negative price action. With yields now sitting at support during the recent selloff, banks haven't done all that well. Were now at a point in the inflation fight where we could experience an upside move in inflation. We just witnessed today the Canadian CPI came in much hotter. To make matters worse, were at a time when central banks like the ECB, BOC, PBOC, BOJ are all loosening policy. However this very laxy=daisy policy is what caused Oil to bottom on June 4th. Oil has since moved up 13% in 2.5 weeks. This will likely cause yields to have upward pressure since its inflationary to the economy. If the US CPI comes in hotter expect no 2024 rate cut...banks would hate that. Im eyeing the head and shoulders breakdown.
AMEX:KRE
by Trading-Capital
Natural Gas, Bitcoin & QQQ : Whats the next trade?Natural GAs has had a nice pullback over the last few days. Are we going to see this correction go deeper than the last pullback? Potentially we are observing a failed breakout on the daily chart. Bitcoin: has triggered bearish formations on the hourly chart. Sitting right at intermediate support, BTC needs to hold the 50MA or run the risk of flushing lower. BTC is still chopping in a sideways range that favors lower price action until we break the neckline. QQQ / Nasdaq : In the strongest uptrend. This looks likely to push a bit higher but its nearing major resistance in a very extended move.
AMEX:KRE
by Trading-Capital
KREDespite the feds continuing to say they won’t be cutting rates much or anytime soon , which lower rates is better for the banks, and many other interest rate sensative stocks, the KRE in my veiw is gearing up for a big move up. It’s slamming its head against the downtrendinf reistance. It’s got a double bottom holding up and now consolidating in a pennant right above the W pattern. Bank earning are next week or so and this could be why it’s looking ready, otherwise it’s Becuase the fed might have other plans then they are feeding the markets and the charts are showing ahead of time !!
AMEX:KRELong
by Erictaylor
10
Are Regional Banks Turning Higher?Regional banks had a big surge in late 2023. Now, after a period of consolidation, some traders may expect further gains. The first pattern on today’s chart of the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF is the falling trendline along the highs of January and early March. KRE is trying to clear that resistance, which may suggest a breakout is starting. Second, price action has been very tight. Bollinger Bandwidth shows a potential volatility squeeze. Also notice how the 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs) are less than 1 percent away from each other. Will this narrow range of movement give way to a period of price expansion? Third, the 200-day SMA has been rising since late December. That may reflect incipient bullishness over the longer term. Next, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has crossed above the 21-day EMA. That may reflect bullishness over the shorter term. Finally, the low in early February represented a 50 percent retracement of the move between October 27 and December 14. Holding that area may confirm direction is turning upward. Standardized Performances for ETF mentioned above: SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE): 1-year: +14.64% 5-years: -2.06% 10-years: +21.51% (As of March 28, 2024) Performance data shown reflects past performance and is no guarantee of future performance. The information provided is not meant to predict or project the performance of a specific investment or investment strategy and current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data shown. Accordingly, this information should not be relied upon when making an investment decision. Exchange Traded Funds (“ETFs”) are subject to management fees and other expenses. Before making investment decisions, investors should carefully read information found in the prospectus or summary prospectus, if available, including investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Click here to find the prospectus. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
AMEX:KRE
by TradeStation
Are the regional banks about to go under KRE will see March 11Remember when spy was 350 and regional banks getting crushed and a few went under, to stop the bleed Fed came came out with QE and called it The Bank Funding Program and injected tons money to loan them from collapsing, and today one of those banks went under. Know come March 11 comes the date those 186 regionals banks have to repay well guess what they are BROKE DEFAULTS. Know does the fed again interfere and do QE or will they let the banks collapse and finally re adjust and allow whole market drop back 350 or lower. So lets see what happens on 3/11. Read below I copied and pasted it Recently, a report posted on the Social Science Research Network found that 186 banks in the United States are at risk of failure or collapse due to rising interest rates and a high proportion of uninsured deposits' 3, 2024
AMEX:KRE
by john12
1
Opened: KRE March 15th 39/44/50/55 Iron Condor... for a 1.68 credit. Comments: ETF IV > 35% with 30-day IV at 37.9%. Collecting 1/3rd the width of the wings of a 5-wide; 1.68 credit on BPE of 3.32; 50.6% ROC at max; 25.3% at 50% max. It was kind of a toss-up between doing this as an iron fly or as an iron condor due to the size of the underlying, so compromised, going in somewhat aggressively with the short option legs (they're camped out at the 30 delta). This will allow me to adjust the setup somewhat before having to go inverted with the short strangle aspect (now I've jinxed it). Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; adjust sides on side test.
AMEX:KRE
by NaughtyPines
Bank Robbery?Everything TECH, AI, and somewhere in between rocketing to new highs for whatever reason. Two major wars related to fundamental human existence (East-West philosophy and fundamental religion) without end in sight. Housing, homelessness, food poverty in supposed "developed societies" reaching unprecedented levels. Economic reports show nothing wrong at all. I won't guess at anything else but this AMEX:KRE chart sure looks like !@#$. Makes me wonder what will unfold still after years & years of absolutely nothing interesting.
AMEX:KREShort
by supere
1