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MERCK & CO INCMERCK & CO INCMERCK & CO INC

MERCK & CO INC

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MRK trade ideas

MRK Rebound in sight MRK, along with many othe rpharma stocks has taken some serious beating. But we like fear - as an opportunity- and it’s here( I dare say it) based on the bottom most will rejection, aka a shooting star. So here are my forecasts in my crystal ball:: 1. Overall Trend and Structure • Longer-Term Trend: MRK peaked near the $115–$120 region in late 2022/early 2023 and has since been making lower highs and lower lows on the weekly timeframe. This suggests a downward bias over the past 12+ months. • Recent Price Action: Price is hovering around the mid-$80s, testing support in the $80–$83 zone. This area held as support a few times in 2021–2022 and is now being revisited. • Break of Structure (BOS) & Change of Character (CHoCH) Markers: • The chart indicators label potential break-of-structure levels where bulls and bears exchanged control. • Since late 2022, these BOS levels have mostly favored the bears, confirming the downtrend. • A bullish CHoCH would require a strong close and sustained trading above the most recent swing high (somewhere in the $90–$92 zone on the weekly). 2. Key Technical Indicators 1. Stochastic Oscillator (Lower Panel) • Appears oversold or near the lower region. On a weekly timeframe, this sometimes suggests that bearish momentum could be losing steam. A bullish crossover from oversold levels often points to a short-term rebound. 2. Momentum Oscillators (e.g., RSI/MACD, if present) • While not explicitly shown, the lower indicator panel with wave-like patterns suggests momentum has been negative but may be stabilising. 3. Support & Resistance Levels • Immediate Support: $80–$83 zone. A weekly close below $80 could open the door to the mid-$70s or even $70. • Initial Resistance: $90–$92 (recent swing highs). Price needs to reclaim this region to confirm a potential bullish reversal on the weekly timeframe. • Secondary Resistance: $95–$100. If the price clears $92, this would be the next zone of overhead supply from prior consolidation. 3. Possible Scenarios & Probability Estimates Below are hypothetical scenarios with rough probability estimates, assuming no major market-wide shocks and stable macro conditions. Bullish Reversal Scenario (Est. 55–60% probability) 1. Hold Support around $80–$83: • If MRK holds above this region on a weekly closing basis, buyers may attempt a short-term bounce. • Timeframe: Could take 2–5 weeks for a solid weekly close confirming support. 2. Upside Targets: • First Target: $90–$92 (key swing high + psychological level). • Second Target: $95–$100 if price breaks and holds above $92 on strong volume. 3. Catalysts to Watch: • A weekly close above $92 would be a “change of character” from lower highs to a potential new uptrend on the weekly. • Bullish crossover in the Stochastics or MACD on the weekly. Continued Downtrend Scenario (Est. 40–45% probability) 1. Failure at $80 Support: • If the stock breaks below $80 on a weekly close, the downtrend likely continues. • Timeframe: A decisive break can happen within 1–3 weeks if sellers remain strong. 2. Downside Targets: • First Target: $75 region, near previous support levels. • Second Target: $70 if selling pressure accelerates and overall market sentiment remains weak. 3. Catalysts to Watch : • Weak earnings, lowered guidance, or broader market declines. • Stochastics remaining in oversold territory without crossing back up, indicating persistent downward momentum. 4. Trade Direction & Time Estimates • Short-Term (1–4 weeks): • Expect choppy price action around $80–$83. A near-term bounce is possible if momentum indicators turn bullish. • If a bounce materialises, watch $90–$92 as a critical resistance. • Medium-Term (2–3 months): • If bulls successfully defend $80 and break $92, a run to $95–$100 could happen by mid-spring to early summer. • Conversely, if $80 fails, the downtrend may persist into the $70s in a similar timeframe. 5. Risk Management Considerations 1. Confirm Volume & Momentum: • Wait for a weekly close above (or below) key levels ($80 support or $92 resistance) to confirm the trend direction. 2. Position Sizing: • If going long near $80 support, consider a stop-loss just below $80 (e.g., $78–$79) to limit risk. • If anticipating a breakdown, watch for confirmation (weekly close below $80) before entering short positions. 3. News & Fundamentals: • MRK is a large pharmaceutical company sensitive to drug approvals, patent news, and broader healthcare developments. Technicals alone might not capture sudden catalyst-driven moves. Final Thoughts • Most Likely Near-Term Path: A technical rebound attempt from $80–$83, but the stock must decisively clear $90–$92 to signal a genuine bullish reversal on the weekly chart. • Overall Bias: The multi-month trend is still down, so the burden of proof is on bulls to show a structural change in character. Again, these are probabilistic views. Good luck out there
NYSE:MRKLong
by OG_Doge
Bounce Off the Bottom for Merck. MRKWe believe a downward impulse (Elliott) is finished and this is somewhat evident by the two candlestick price action. A change in the tone and flavor of candle sticks in momental OBOS area, overstretched VZO/StochRSI combo can be suggestive of a pivot and we believe this to be happening here. If the outlook is wrong then the obvious and tight stop will prevent large losses. Interstingly Ehlers StochRSI already produced a signal and momentum RSX "tipped."
NYSE:MRKLong
by Rykin_Capital
MerkOk this looks oversold. In fact, Oversold on multiple timeframe So here’s a technical analysis with potential price targets and trade direction: Current Market Conditions & Observations 1. Trend Direction: Bearish • The stock is in a clear downtrend, breaking multiple levels of support. • Break of Structure (BOS) labels indicate lower lows forming consistently. • A recent breakdown below support at ~$94.23 suggests further downside pressure. 2. Support & Resistance Zones: • Current support: ~$85.50 (testing support level) • Next major support: ~$80.00 (potential downside target) • Major resistance: $94.00 (previous support turned resistance) • Further resistance zones: $100 - $105 (if a reversal happens) 3. Indicators: • Stochastic RSI: Oversold territory (possible short-term relief bounce) • Volume: Elevated selling pressure, confirming the downward move. • Liquidity zones & Order Blocks: Price has entered a demand zone near $85. Trade Outlook & Price Targets • Short-Term Bearish Bias: The breakdown suggests continued downward momentum. If $85.50 breaks, next downside target is $80.00. • Possible Relief Rally: A short-term bounce could occur if buyers defend $85.50, but upside is capped at $94.00 unless strong momentum builds. • Long-Term Reversal: Would require a break back above $100-$105 to shift into a bullish structure. Trade Strategy Ideas 1. Bearish Scenario (Short Trade) • Entry: Rejection near $90-$94 zone. • Target 1: $85.50 (current support). • Target 2: $80.00 (major demand zone). • Stop-loss: Above $96.00 (invalidate bearish setup). 2. Bullish Scenario (Reversal Play) • Entry: If price holds $85.50 with strong volume. • Target 1: $94.00 (resistance). • Target 2: $100 (trend change confirmation). • Stop-loss: Below $83.00 (breaks structure). Final Outlook • Bias: Bearish unless $85.50 holds. • Short-term: Expect further downside pressure. • Medium-term: A break below $85.50 could lead to $80.00. • Long-term: Needs a reclaim above $100 to flip bullish.
NYSE:MRKLong
by OG_Doge
Trade Plan: Long Opportunity in Q2-Q3 2025Optimal Entry Zone $90-$95: A strategic accumulation zone for long-term positions. Monitor for reversal patterns (double bottom, bullish engulfing candlesticks). Targets $110: First resistance zone (aligned with the 200-day SMA and Ichimoku Base Line). $124.65: Analyst average price target and major resistance. Represents a potential 27% upside from the current price. $140+: Long-term stretch target if bullish fundamentals align. Stop Loss Below $84, as a breakdown of this level could indicate extended bearish momentum. Patience is critical for this setup. Allow the stock to establish a firm bottom around $90-$95 and wait for confirmation of reversal via technical indicators or bullish news catalysts. If the sector strengthens or macroeconomic conditions favor defensive stocks, Merck could provide a solid long-term opportunity in 2025.
NYSE:MRKLong
by AxiomEx
1
Merck & Co Inc - USD (Extended Hours) | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Merck & Co Inc - USD (Extended Hours) - Double Formation * 121.00 USD | Area Of value | Subdivision 1 * A+ Set Up)) | Completed Survey & Entry Bias | Subdivision 2 - Triple Formation * Not Numbered Retracment | Downtrend Continuation * ((Triangle Structure)) | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Sell
CAPITALCOM:MRKShort
by TradePolitics
Prescribing ProfitsMerck & Co. (MRK) is exhibiting strong bullish momentum, with a gap forming around the $95.00 level. A breakout above the $106.07 daily resistance would confirm continued strength, positioning the stock to target $120.30. This setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio, with a stop-loss set at $92.74 to manage downside risk. As a leader in the pharmaceutical industry, Merck is poised for growth driven by its innovative pipeline, strong demand for its key products like Keytruda, and strategic advancements in oncology and vaccines. With consistent revenue growth and a global footprint, MRK remains a cornerstone in the healthcare sector. For a deeper dive into this setup, check out my YouTube breakdown, where I analyze the technical setup and discuss the fundamentals supporting this trade. With a combination of technical momentum and robust market fundamentals, MRK presents a compelling opportunity for traders and investors aiming for $120.30. NYSE:MRK
NYSE:MRKLong
by The_Trading_Mechanic
Merck Could Be SicklyMerck has struggled for most of the year, and now some traders may look for another push to the downside. The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of higher lows from mid-November through early last week. MRK has dropped below that line, which may be viewed as a bear-flag breakdown. Second, prices tested the 50-day simple moving average and stayed below it. That may suggest its intermediate-term trend is headed lower. Next, compare this price action with similar patterns in September. Also note that Wilder’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) slipped below its 14-day average both times. (See white arrows.) Finally, MRK is pushing against the $99.14 level where it bottomed in 2023. Are double digits the new normal for the pharmaceutical giant? TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:MRK
by TradeStation
$MRK Long-Term BuyHealthcare could possibly be the next rotation coming out of this tech bull run. Using the Trade Jeanie (Jeanius Screener/Indicator), I was able to see the current technical buy signals happening on NYSE:MRK : Inside a HTF fair value gap (12M timeframe) Testing a HTF uptrend line (3M timeframe) Larkuidity (Liquidity) Sweep The Jeanius Indicator shows green 'Combo' labels every time this same combination of signals happened The Jeanius Screener lets me filter my favorite tickers to see which ones are currently sweeping liquidity
NYSE:MRKLong
by jeanius_tech
Merck & Co., Inc. (NYSE: MRK)1. Financial Performance Q3 2024 Results: Merck reported strong Q3 earnings with worldwide sales of $16.7 billion, reflecting a 4% year-over-year increase. This performance was driven by growth in its oncology and vaccines divisions, particularly from products like Keytruda and Gardasil. The company remains optimistic about its pipeline expansion, projecting 2024 full-year sales between $63.6 billion and $64.1 billion, supported by demand in both human and animal health sectors. Profitability Metrics: Merck’s operating margin is approximately 24%, with a profit margin around 19%, indicating strong profitability within the sector​. 2. Pipeline and Strategic Developments Product Innovations and Pipeline Expansion: Merck has a robust pipeline with several late-stage drugs in areas like oncology and infectious diseases. Recently, Merck completed the acquisition of Curon Biopharmaceutical’s CN201, expanding its capabilities in precision oncology. The company also gained FDA approval for sotatercept, a drug for rare lung diseases, signaling potential future revenue from rare disease treatments​. Oncology and Vaccine Market: Keytruda, Merck's flagship immunotherapy, continues to lead in oncology sales, especially for lung cancer treatments. Gardasil, a vaccine against HPV, also achieved strong growth, with international demand contributing significantly to Merck’s revenue​. 3. Stock Performance and Analyst Sentiment Current Price and Target: MRK’s stock currently trades near $102.92, with analysts forecasting a 12-month target average of $130.86, representing potential upside of 27%. Analyst sentiment is broadly positive, with the consensus rating as “Buy.” Analysts remain optimistic about Merck’s growth trajectory, despite some recent stock price fluctuations due to macroeconomic factors. Recent Volatility: MRK shares have shown some volatility, influenced by sector-wide trends. The stock remains 24% below its 52-week high, providing potential for growth if Merck continues its revenue trajectory and pipeline progress​. 4. Outlook and Risks Growth Prospects: Merck’s growth strategy focuses on oncology, vaccines, and emerging markets, with projected revenue increases of around 7.8% in 2024 and 6.3% in 2025. Keytruda and Gardasil are expected to drive these gains, along with new products from recent acquisitions. Challenges: Risks include competitive pressures in the pharmaceutical sector and regulatory challenges that could impact new drug approvals. Operational costs, such as R&D expenditures, are substantial as Merck invests in expanding its drug portfolio and new therapies​. Overall, Merck’s current financial health and strategic growth efforts position it well within the pharmaceutical industry. The company's diversified pipeline and strong product portfolio provide it with resilience against market fluctuations, though future success depends on continued innovation and successful product launches.
NYSE:MRKLong
by putraworks