Microstrategy Bitcoin Halvening Hype FadesEveryone is gonna wake up some day and realize that the halving isnt a big deal anymore because it has a marginal impact on daily supply and demand.
The bigger factor now is institutional flows. theyve been on fire for a month or two since ETFs launched, but at some point theyre gonna decide to take profits and plan for retracement.
Look for MSTR to pull back soon to about $900, to form a new support level before rallying to $2,000 later in this year. Cheers to Michael Saylor he really is a courageous visionary.
MSTR trade ideas
MSTR: Likely To Fall Off Due to Heavy Dilution of ShareholdersMSTR is seen as somewhat of a BTC trust given its BTC holdings, however, over the last few years we've seen MSTR engaging in the obsessive dilution of its shareholders and in recent days it was announced that they would further dilute shareholders in order to buy more BTC at the highs. I see this as being totally against the deflationary limited supply spirit of Bitcoin and in my opinion, MSTR seems to be acting as more of a trap asset for those that are ignorant of Bitcoin itself. As a result of all of this dilution, I would expect MSTR to show weakness at these highs and retrace the majority of the move up it has had in recent weeks.
I will also add that dilution of shareholders going into a halving cycle, even if you though 1 share of MSTR represented 1 BTC, now would be a really bad time to be adding more shares given that BTC itself would actually be becoming more scarce during the same period, in many ways MSTR is more like your average Binance Smart Chain Scoin with the potential to add an infinite supply while Bitcoin itself has a fixed supply that can never be increased so all in all I find MSTR to be a very bad, misleading, and dangerous way to get Bitcoin exposure.
My preferred positioning on MSTR would be bear call spreads or bear put spreads, depending on the deals, I may choose one or the other or both.
MicroStrategy Announces Proposed Private Offering of $600 MilMicroStrategy® Incorporated (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSTR ) has announced its intention to offer $600 million aggregate principal amount of convertible senior notes due 2030 in a private offering. This strategic move underscores MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) commitment to expanding its Bitcoin holdings and pursuing innovative technology initiatives.
Empowering Bitcoin Acquisition:
MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) proposed private offering of convertible senior notes reflects its steadfast focus on accumulating additional Bitcoin holdings. The net proceeds from the sale of the notes will be utilized to acquire more Bitcoin, further solidifying MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) position as a prominent player in the cryptocurrency space. By leveraging its financial resources, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) aims to bolster its Bitcoin treasury reserve asset, aligning with its vision of becoming a leading Bitcoin development company.
Strategic Investment and Corporate Growth:
In addition to fueling Bitcoin acquisition, the proceeds from the notes offering will support MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) general corporate purposes. This includes funding technology innovation initiatives, advocacy efforts, and the development of AI-powered enterprise analytics software. MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) multi-faceted approach encompasses both its core focus on Bitcoin accumulation and its commitment to advancing technology innovation, positioning the company for sustained growth and value creation.
Navigating Regulatory Landscape and Market Dynamics:
MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) decision to pursue a private offering of convertible senior notes underscores its agility in navigating evolving regulatory landscapes and market dynamics. As the cryptocurrency industry continues to evolve, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) remains proactive in its strategic initiatives, leveraging its operational structure and financial flexibility to capitalize on emerging opportunities and mitigate potential risks.
Conclusion:
MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) proposed offering of $600 million convertible senior notes represents a strategic milestone in the company's journey towards enhancing its Bitcoin holdings and advancing its technology innovation agenda. With a steadfast commitment to Bitcoin accumulation, coupled with its expertise in enterprise analytics software, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) is well-positioned to drive value creation and innovation in the cryptocurrency ecosystem.
MSTR Long Momentum Seen: New High Possible?
Title:
MSTR Long Momentum Seen: New High Possible?
Overview:
Hello Traders,
MSTR is showing strong long momentum with high volume, fueling speculation of a potential push towards new highs.
NASDAQ:MSTR
Key Points:
- MSTR is exhibiting robust long momentum, supported by high trading volume, suggesting significant buying interest in the stock.
- The combination of strong momentum and high volume often indicates a continuation of the current uptrend, potentially leading MSTR to achieve new highs.
- Traders are closely monitoring MSTR's price action for confirmation of the bullish trend continuation and potential entry points for long positions.
Technical Analysis:
MSTR's price chart displays clear signs of bullish momentum, with price consistently making higher highs and higher lows. Volume indicators confirm strong buying pressure, reinforcing the bullish bias and suggesting further upside potential.
Conclusion:
With MSTR demonstrating strong long momentum and high volume, traders may anticipate a push towards new highs. However, it's essential to remain vigilant and monitor price action closely for confirmation of the uptrend continuation before entering into new positions.
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$MSTR Momentum IndicatorNASDAQ:MSTR Momentum Indicator had a buy signal on 2/8/24 A momentum indicator is a technical analysis tool used to measure the rate at which the price of a security is changing. It compares the current price of an asset to its historical prices over a specific period to determine the strength or weakness of the trend. Momentum indicators are typically represented as oscillators or line charts, with values fluctuating above and below a central line or between predefined levels. Traders use momentum indicators to identify potential trend reversals, confirm the strength of an existing trend, or generate buy and sell signals. Popular momentum indicators include the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), and Stochastic Oscillator.
The Case for OTM Puts on Crypto Exposed Stocks.In BTC right now we have a really interesting setup where if it comes to pass there’s a bearish reversal we can be almost sure of a rug pull event.
For a big bearish reversal thesis to be valid here the rally from the 15K low would have to be the Mother of all bull traps. If it is a bull trap > Then there has to be a rug pull. We can be almost certain of it. Like when SPX was much lower in 2023 and I said; If we rally > Then it has to be aggressive.
Certain things have certain signatures. And if this is a bull trap - there has to be a massive rejection. In the first section of this style of rug pull we typically see the drop taking the market down 50%. This is frequently in a “Crash” style. Something really big and strong. Even if not, these are our levels.
First drop takes out about 50%. Then there’s a bull trap and then the downtrend begins. It’s a three stage process.
Shock.
Relief/Optimism.
Downtrend.
So we can not know if the bear move will or won’t happen but we can very reasonable expect if the bear move happens it’s going to be something exceptional.
And because we’re trading at the 86 now we also have a fair case to make that even if the overall move is going to be bullish we can see a retesting of the previous fibs - and if this move happens, it will also almost invariably be in a strong down move.
At this point it’s quite reasonable to say if any bear move comes, we have a great case to expect it to be a sharp one. Puts benefit from such moves, so it makes sense to look for complimenting signals on anything related for put options where we can take small risks but have high pay off if it works out.
2nd view on $MSTR vs. $BTCUSDNormalized view on the NASDAQ:MSTR stock price vs. Bitcoin (BTCUSD). On this weekly timeframe you can see, that we're about to get an golden cross (blue MA 50 crosses red MA 200 to the upside).
If this price keeps on moving upwards and breaks the triangle/wedge to the upside, it's a clear indicator that one should be better in MicroStrategy than in Bitcoin itself.
MICROSTRATEGY Top of the Channel. Time for a shortterm pullback?MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR) has been trading inside a logarithmic Channel Up on the 1D time-frame since the December 30 2022 bottom. The price is currently at the very top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the pattern and that is a technical bearish signal on its own.
It gets increasingly relevant though if we consider the 1D RSI which is overbought and at its highest level since November 13 2023 and more importantly, the remarkable symmetry among the phases of the Channel Up.
As you ca see the price action from the October 04 2023 Higher Low until today is very similar with the price action from the December 30 2022 bottom until (so far) the April 14 2023 High. Both started on a +136.17% rise then -40% correction and a Channel Up rebound for a new Higher High. The symmetry is evident among the 1D RSI sequences as well.
If this continues to hold, we should be expecting a -22.88% pull-back followed by a +77.48% rally that will break above the long-term Channel Up, which would inevitably do at some point since the stock price is so positively correlated to Bitcoin's price.
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MSTR - Breakout at Pre Market - More to FollowIn my previous BTC post, I said I am starting to move more down the risk curve.
MSTR is breaking out of its 3 years resistance and honestly if BTC goes to 100k from here,
MSTR will blast past 2k.
Its previous high stands somewhere around 3.3k, that might be on too.
I would suggest stops around 760 and just let it run.
Goodluck!!
Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy Buys $155 Million In BitcoinMichael Saylor, the visionary executive chairman of MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ), has once again propelled the company into the cryptocurrency spotlight. With a bold purchase of $155 million worth of Bitcoin, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) continues to cement its position as a frontrunner in the realm of digital assets.
Expanding Bitcoin Holdings:
MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) latest acquisition of nearly 3,000 Bitcoins brings their total BTC holdings to an impressive 193,000. Executed at an average price of approximately $51,813 between February 15 and February 25, 2024, this move underscores Saylor's conviction in Bitcoin's long-term value proposition.
Strategic Financial Maneuvers:
The funding for this substantial Bitcoin purchase originated from proceeds generated through the issuance and sale of shares, demonstrating MicroStrategy's adeptness in navigating the evolving financial landscape. Saylor's calculated decision-making stands in stark contrast to concerns surrounding potential negative impacts of Bitcoin ETFs on NASDAQ:MSTR , highlighting MicroStrategy's unique position as an operating company with a distinct strategic vision.
Robust Asset Management and Security:
MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) remains steadfast in its commitment to safeguarding its digital assets, entrusting 98% of its Bitcoin holdings to Fidelity Custody while diversifying its asset management and security through Coinbase Prime. This multi-faceted approach underscores MicroStrategy's dedication to maintaining the integrity and security of its cryptocurrency investments.
Market Performance and Outlook:
In tandem with MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) bold Bitcoin acquisitions, NASDAQ:MSTR stock (NASDAQ: MSTR) has experienced significant gains, surging by 6.77% trading at $733. With the prospect of surpassing the $700 mark once again, MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) strategic alignment with Bitcoin's upward trajectory continues to fuel investor optimism.
Reflecting on Success:
The meteoric rise of both MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) stock and Bitcoin price underscores the symbiotic relationship between traditional finance and the burgeoning cryptocurrency ecosystem. As NASDAQ:MSTR stock continues its ascent, propelled by Bitcoin's meteoric rise, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) remains at the forefront of revolutionizing the intersection of traditional finance and blockchain technology.
MicroStrategy's Market Cap and Potential S&P 500 InclusionMicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ), a Bitcoin development company, has seen a surge in its shares, driven by the rise in Bitcoin prices, and now holds over $10 billion worth of BTC. The company's market capitalization currently stands at approximately $12.4 billion, which is not too far from the $15.8 billion required for inclusion in the S&P 500 Index. This index tracks the large-cap U.S. equity market across 500 companies.
If it qualifies for the S&P 500 Index, MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) shares could see new demand from passive SPY investors, who are not necessarily seeking Bitcoin exposure. According to experts, inclusion in the index could trigger a positive feedback loop, benefiting Bitcoin, as MicroStrategy's primary goal is to acquire as much BTC as possible.
MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) has marketed itself to investors as a Bitcoin ETF with perks, including cash-generative operations and the ability to leverage capital markets. However, experts caution that using NASDAQ:MSTR as a proxy for Bitcoin exposure is misguided. The company is exposed to a wider range of variables, such as management expertise and lending environment.
Inclusion in the S&P 500 Index is not guaranteed, as eligible companies must fulfill several criteria, including being domiciled in the United States, boasting sufficient liquidity, and showing net positive earnings over their previous four quarters. Even Coinbase, a crypto exchange with a $39 billion market cap, has struggled with profitability over the past four quarters and has not made it into the S&P 500.
It's worth noting that exchange-traded funds, including Bitcoin ETFs, are also ineligible for the S&P 500.
MSTR Bitcoin Boom: Saylor's Bold Moves Yield 46% Surge in a WeekMicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) has emerged as a beacon of innovation and foresight, led by the visionary Michael Saylor. As the clamor for cryptocurrency reaches a fever pitch, Saylor's strategic maneuvers have positioned MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) at the forefront of the Bitcoin revolution, yielding a remarkable 46% surge in stock value within a single week.
Saylor's Revelations: Unveiling the Demand for Bitcoin ETFs
At the heart of MicroStrategy's meteoric rise lies Michael Saylor's keen insight into the burgeoning demand for Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). With investors clamoring for traditional avenues to access the digital currency, Saylor's bold assertion of a tenfold increase in ETF demand underscores MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) astute alignment with market dynamics.
MicroStrategy's Strategic Shift: From Software Titan to Cryptocurrency Leader
Gone are the days when MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) was solely synonymous with software solutions. Under Saylor's guidance, the company has undergone a seismic strategic shift, rebranding itself as a vanguard in the realm of cryptocurrency. By amassing substantial holdings of Bitcoin, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) has not only embraced the digital currency but has also cemented its status as a trailblazer in the field.
Despite this pivot, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) remains steadfast in its commitment to its core software and business intelligence offerings, which continue to serve as linchpins of revenue generation and client satisfaction. This delicate balance between tradition and innovation underscores MicroStrategy's versatility and resilience in a rapidly evolving market landscape.
Future Growth Strategies: Pioneering Financial Planning for the Digital Age
Looking ahead, Michael Saylor has outlined a vision for MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) that transcends mere adaptation; it encapsulates a proactive pursuit of growth and value creation. By leveraging capital markets and exploring strategic initiatives such as stock splits and capital restructuring, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) aims to optimize its financial resources to fuel expansion and innovation.
Conclusion
In conclusion, MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) meteoric ascent amid the Bitcoin boom epitomizes the power of visionary leadership and strategic foresight. Under Michael Saylor's stewardship, the company has not only embraced the winds of change but has also harnessed them to soar to new heights of success and prosperity. As the cryptocurrency revolution continues to unfold, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) stands poised at the vanguard, a beacon of innovation illuminating the path forward for investors and industry titans alike.
MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Bet Pays Off BigMicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ), the pioneering business intelligence software giant, has been making waves in the financial world with its bold and unconventional investment strategy: accumulating Bitcoin as a reserve asset. Despite enduring a tumultuous journey through the volatile crypto market, the company's steadfast commitment to its Bitcoin accumulation strategy has paid off handsomely. With Bitcoin's recent surge past $47,000, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) finds itself sitting on unrealized profits amounting to billions of dollars. Let's delve deeper into this remarkable story of resilience, conviction, and staggering financial gains.
Unwavering Conviction Amidst Market Turbulence:
MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) journey into the world of Bitcoin began in August 2020 when it made its first substantial purchase of the cryptocurrency. Led by then-CEO Michael Saylor, the company declared its intention to continue accumulating Bitcoin regardless of market conditions. This unwavering conviction in the potential of Bitcoin as a store of value and hedge against inflation set MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) apart from traditional corporate investment strategies.
Navigating Through the Crypto Winter:
The road hasn't been without its challenges for MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ). The late 2022 and early 2023 market crash sent shockwaves through the crypto space, causing significant financial losses for the company. Despite enduring consecutive quarterly losses and multi-million BTC impairment charges, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) remained resolute in its commitment to its Bitcoin accumulation strategy. This steadfast determination to weather the storm has proven to be a defining characteristic of MicroStrategy's approach to investing in cryptocurrencies.
The Rise of MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Stash:
Despite the challenges posed by market volatility, MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holdings continued to grow steadily. With each purchase, the company employed a dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy, ensuring that it capitalized on opportunities presented by fluctuations in Bitcoin's price. This disciplined approach to accumulation has seen MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) amass a staggering 190,000 BTC over the past three and a half years, making it the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin.
A Lucrative Investment:
MicroStrategy's patience and persistence have finally borne fruit as Bitcoin's price surged above $47,000. With an average entry price of $31,464, the company's Bitcoin stash is now worth over $9 billion, representing a 50% increase in unrealized profits. Despite the temptation to realize these gains, MicroStrategy's CEO, Michael Saylor, has reiterated the firm's commitment to holding its BTC holdings for the long term, signaling confidence in Bitcoin's future potential.
Stock Performance Reflects Bitcoin's Trajectory:
The success of MicroStrategy's Bitcoin investment strategy is reflected in its stock performance. Despite facing criticism and skepticism from some quarters, MicroStrategy's stock price has soared by over 400% since implementing its Bitcoin-purchasing strategy. This remarkable appreciation underscores the symbiotic relationship between MicroStrategy's ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) stock performance and the trajectory of Bitcoin's price.
Conclusion:
MicroStrategy's bold foray into Bitcoin has proven to be a masterstroke, yielding unprecedented gains amidst the unpredictable landscape of the cryptocurrency market. Despite facing adversity and skepticism, the company's unwavering conviction, disciplined approach, and long-term vision have enabled it to emerge as a trailblazer in the realm of corporate Bitcoin investment. As Bitcoin continues to redefine the boundaries of traditional finance, MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) stands as a testament to the transformative power of bold decision-making and unwavering conviction in the face of uncertainty.
MSTR - POTENTIAL UPSIDE MOVEMENTMicroStrategy (MSTR) is a company that holds over 190,000 Bitcoins and could potentially see an upward movement to $1,100+.
Beyond the charts, Bitcoin will soon experience a macroeconomic event, the Bitcoin Halving, scheduled for April 2024, which could trigger a cryptocurrency bull run.
MSTR is a safe bet for those who don't want to invest directly in cryptocurrencies but wish to bet on the next bull run.
What do you think?