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NFLX trade ideas

NFLX Nov 22, Gameplan Short! Expected Opening: Netflix (NFLX) is anticipated to open at $474.39. Projected Range: Throughout the day, based on recent volatility, it might fluctuate between $465.09 and $484.81, suggesting a potential swing of +/- $9.86 (+/-2.08%). Possible Movement: If it hits the extreme points, the estimated range could be around 4.15%. Support and Resistance: There's no evident resistance above, and support is noted at accumulated volume @ $412.24, around 13.20% below the current price, making the risk-reward ratio seem favorable. Insider Trading: Insiders at Netflix have been selling more shares than buying recently, which is often seen as a negative signal, with 221.7 thousand shares bought and 321.66 thousand shares sold in the last 100 trades. The last trade, made by Barton Richard N, was a purchase of 280 shares 14 days ago, but in general, there's more selling than buying among insiders.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by MPWRTRADES
NFLX AnalysisPrice filled the fair value gap at 346.37 and did not respected the bullish OB at 375.87 according to my last analysis. However, if you've been following my analysis, you would have expected a bounce off the gap. Price is on a nice bullish momentum and has filled the fair value gap at 459.25 made in July. Right now, I'm expecting price to (1) make a bearish retracement, back into the bullish OB at 418.84, or (2) take out the highs at 485.00 and then follow the analysis in (1).
NASDAQ:NFLX
by Keeleytwj
3
Netflix respect the pitchfork levels Hello everyone, Since the beginning of November, I've taken a position on buying Netflix stock, and there are several reasons for that. First, there's the breakout of the bearish channel that persisted for weeks. Second, the volume indicates the momentum of buyers, potentially pushing the market to the red line of Pitchfork levels. It's evident that these levels are respected by the market, so there's a high probability that it could continue rising until it reaches this red line (around $500) for long-term investment (a few weeks). I hope you find my analysis beneficial, and don't forget to hit the like and follow buttons for more ideas.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by Abdessamadibrouri
2
NFLX ~ Snapshot TA (Daily / Nov 2023)NASDAQ:NFLX chart mapping/analysis. Bullish recovery back into ascending parallel channel (green). Bull target(s) Breakout descending parallel channel (white) + descending trend-line confluence resistance Overhead gap fills (~470 / ~506.93 / ~566.88) Golden Pocket Fib + gap fill (~506.93) confluence resistance zone Bear target(s) Underlying gap fills (~412.52 / ~354.79 / ~341.38) Ascending trend-line support (light blue dotted) 38.2% Fib 23.6% Fib
NASDAQ:NFLX
by BlueHatInvestor
5
Is Netflix Stock A Buy After Third-Quarter ReportsInternet television network Netflix (NFLX) has a commanding lead in the streaming video market but its growth has slowed. NFLX stock cratered in 2022 after the company reported two straight quarters of subscriber declines. However, after a corporate course correction, some people might be wondering: Is Netflix stock a buy right now? Subscriber Growth Drives Netflix Story Netflix stock has benefited from the cord-cutting trend as people quit traditional pay-TV services. Over the last several years, Netflix has been laser-focused on growing its global subscriber base. It wants to build a competitive moat with scale. It has been investing heavily in local-language original content production worldwide. Netflix stock performance is linked to its net subscriber additions. But Netflix stock tumbled 51% in 2022 as subscriber growth stalled. Growth has rebounded in 2023 thanks to the addition of a lower-cost, advertising-supported service as well as a crackdown on unpaid account sharing. In the third quarter, Netflix added 8.76 million subscribers worldwide, vs. forecasts for 6.06 million. It ended the third quarter with 247.15 million subscribers worldwide. Netflix also announced price increases for its ad-free service plans in the U.S., U.K. and France. Netflix stock soared 16.1% on the first trading day after it posted third-quarter results late Oct. 18. Netflix Stock Fundamental Analysis In the September quarter, Netflix earned $3.73 a share on sales of $8.54 billion. Analysts had called for earnings of $3.49 a share on sales of $8.54 billion. On a year-over-year basis, Netflix earnings rose 20% while sales climbed 8%. However, Netflix's financial guidance for the fourth quarter was a tad below Wall Street's targets. For the current quarter, Netflix predicted earnings of $2.15 a share on sales of $8.69 billion. Analysts had been looking for earnings of $2.17 a share on sales of $8.78 billion in the fourth quarter. In the year-earlier period, Netflix earned 12 cents a share on sales of $7.85 billion. After a humbling performance in 2022, Netflix says it is focused on profitability. It also is targeting increased revenue with a lower-priced, advertising-supported service tier. Plus, it is looking to monetize rampant account sharing on the service and turn freeloaders into paying customers. The next major catalyst for Netflix stock could be the company's fourth-quarter earnings report, due in late January. Netflix Content Draws Subscribers Since it started its original content push, Netflix has launched quite a few hit shows. They include "Stranger Things," "Squid Game," "Wednesday," "Ozark" and "Bridgerton." It also has premiered popular original movies such as "Bird Box," "Extraction," "Murder Mystery," "The Old Guard" and "Red Notice." Recent buzzworthy shows on Netflix include TV series "One Piece," "FUBAR" and "The Fall of the House of Usher." Popular new original movies include action films "The Mother" and "Extraction 2" and comedy "You People." Meanwhile, Netflix is facing competition from traditional media companies. Max from Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) launched in May 2023. Paramount Global (PARA) debuted Paramount+ in March 2021. Comcast (CMCSA)-owned NBCUniversal launched Peacock in July 2020. Other services include Amazon (AMZN) Prime Video, Apple's (AAPL) Apple TV+, Walt Disney's (DIS) Disney+, Hulu and more. Netflix Enters Video Game Market To create a stickier service, Netflix added mobile video games as part of its subscription offering in November 2021. Subscribers can play the games on Android and Apple iOS smartphones and tablets. Since September 2021, Netflix has purchased four game studios. It bought Night School Studio, Next Games, Boss Fight Entertainment and Spry Fox. It also has opened two new game studios. Netflix currently offers about 80 games to subscribers. They include action, arcade, puzzle, racing, sports and casino games. Netflix Stock Technical Analysis On May 18, Netflix stock broke out of a cup-with-handle base at a buy point of 349.80. It climbed as high as 485 on July 19 before pulling back. Netflix hit its record high of 700.99 in November 2021. Price Momentum NFLX is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average. What does this mean? Investors have been pushing the share price higher, and the stock still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by DEXWireNews
Netflix Surges 28% Since Q3 EarningsNetflix's stock in 2021 has been a rollercoaster, starting with a strong 62% rise by July, nearing the $500 mark, before experiencing a sharp downturn. The stock fell below the crucial 200-day moving average to around $370, marking a significant 28% drop, but found some support at the weekly 50-day average near $350. The Q3 earnings report was a turning point, with actual earnings of $3.73 surpassing the estimated $3.49. This led to a positive market reaction, with the stock opening 16% higher post-announcement and climbing 28% since then. The surge in earnings was primarily due to robust subscriber growth, a key indicator of the company's future financial health and stock potential. Looking ahead, Netflix faces major resistance levels, first at the $500 psychological mark, and then at last year's high of $609. Overcoming these barriers could signal further bullish trends. As of November, the stock is showing strong performance with an 8% increase, adding to the positive outlook among investors. If you enjoyed this post, make sure to like, and follow for more quality content! If you have any questions or comments, comment below. We reply to every comment! See below for more information on our trading techniques. As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by Sublime_Trading
4
NETFLIX SHORT?NFLX short - take profit before earnings? I shorted Netflix at $430. Up 20% on the position. Take profit before earnings tomorrow? What's your opinion on NFLX? Bear or bull? The mainstream media seems quite ambiguous ahead of earnings. I took a lot of profit this year so I thought about sitting on it until next year. But I could also dump some of my NVDA short (325 avg) that I got over my head on. this is not a financial advice. Trade at your own risk. follow for more.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by D1GITALTRADES
1
netflix approaching a big jumping pointHoly smokes, this is lining up for one huge final pump. If she holds 365, there is potential to rocket all the way up to 436. It won't be in 1 night, you'll have time to buy and sell, but it won't be a lot of time. You'll likely start seeing big AH movements, and a bunch of solid green days in a row as it climbs. There is a chance it breaks down to 333, but again, there should be time to exit and reset your trade before it gets all the way down there. I would favor the upside pretty heavily on this trade, however, WAIT until it bounces off trend. If it hits the red trend, enter short on the rejection. If it climbs down and hits the green, go long on the support bounce.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by nicktussing77
5
The Netflix: Streaming The Stock's PotentialKEY POINTS a. Netflix now has 15 million subscribers in its ad-supported tier. b. The company is also rolling out new ad products. c. The success of the new subscription tier is just one of the reasons the stock has surged this year. The leading streamer just hit a key milestone with its ad business. Netflix (NFLX 1.80%) was one of the best-performing stocks of the 2010s, but for much of the current decade, the once-meteoric growth stock has struggled to achieve liftoff. The company got a temporary boost from the pandemic, only to give it all back and then some when the economy reopened in 2022, and it lost subscribers two quarters in a row. Since then, the streaming leader has regrouped, launching initiatives that some investors had long asked for, such as adding an ad-supported tier and cracking down on password sharing. The results of those moves have been overwhelmingly successful with the stock up 47% year to date, even as many of its streaming peers like Disney and Warner Bros. Discovery are trading near 52-week lows. With the help of paid sharing, Netflix has added nearly 15 million new subscribers over the last two quarters, beating its total additions from the previous five quarters. The stock jumped following the third-quarter earnings report in October on strong subscriber growth as well. Building on this recent momentum, Netflix provided an update Wednesday that shows its new ad-based strategy is paying off. A key milestone It's been one year since the company launched its ad-supported tier in a handful of its biggest markets, and the company said the new service has now signed up 15 million subscribers, up from just 5 million in May. That news should not only tamp down concerns that growth from this tier has been weaker than expected but also show that the ad-supported option is clearly resonating with subscribers. Additionally, it's impressive to see those gains coming at a time when much of the digital advertising industry is struggling. That figure represents more than half of net subscriber additions over the last year, though some of the ad-tier subscribers likely traded down from the more expensive ad-free tiers, especially after Netflix just raised prices on some of its plans in the U.S., U.K., and France. Netflix has also refined its advertising product since launch and now offers five different ad lengths, ranging from 10 seconds to 60 seconds. It also offers targeting to mobile devices as well as options like more genres, time of day, and new audience demographics. Downloads are expected to be available by the end of the week, making Netflix the only ad-supported streamer to offer downloads. The company has more new features planned for next year, including a binge-watching bonus that gives ad-tier subscribers an ad-free episode after they've watched three episodes in a row. It will also begin offering QR codes in ads and is expanding its partnerships program globally, allowing advertisers to sponsor certain shows. Netflix's ad-supported tier may cannibalize some ad-free subscribers, but that's part of the company's strategy. Offering ads gives it cover to raise prices on ad-free tiers, as it just did, allowing the company to make more money from the ad-free side of the business (with the idea that the ad-supported tier should be revenue-neutral compared to the ad-free subscription, as it has been for Hulu). The ad-tier option also capitalizes on massive existing demand from advertisers. As former CEO Reed Hastings noted in an Oct. 2022 earnings call, advertisers have been left behind by the transition to streaming and are anxious to follow the eyeballs that have already gravitated over to streaming services. With more than 200 million subscribers globally, intimate knowledge of their viewing habits, and the ability to perform precise targeting, Netflix can offer advertisers much more than a traditional linear TV platform. Why it's a buy A little more than a year ago, investors seemed to think the growth story at Netflix was over. However, the recent rebound and strength from paid sharing and advertising shows the streamer's second act is well underway. The company forecast subscriber additions of around 9 million in the current quarter, showing the recent momentum should continue, and its subscription business model means that incremental revenue flows through to the bottom line. Indeed, management sees operating margin improving from 20% this year to 22% to 23% in 2024. If Netflix can continue to deliver subscriber growth, there's room for profits to go significantly higher. The success of the ad-supported tier will only make that easier.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by DEXWireNews
[EN] Netflix at all-time highs // GaliortiTrading NASDAQ:NFLX in late July attacked the 61.8% Fibonacci of the entire previous decline since November 2021 . It pulled back to its liquidity zone between $370-385 from which it has made a new impulse. Final target: new all-time highs . 1 M On a long term chart we note that NASDAQ:NFLX in July 2022 rested on its bullish trendline to develop a new bullish leg . Its final target for the next few years would be around $2,000. 1 W In the shorter term on a weekly chart we observe that NASDAQ:NFLX is developing a symmetrical triangle that is highly likely to break to the upside . The minimum target for such a breakout would take it to around $580 . It should be remembered that the first obstacle after that breakout will be the 61.8% Fibonacci ($492) so it is likely to make a pull-back to the breakout line. In addition, the bearish gap from the end of July will be a resistance to be taken into account. The 470-495$ is a great liquidity zone that will allow it to perform a new bullish wave with a first target at 580$ (target of the broken triangle) and a second target at new all-time highs. 1 D The company's third quarter results have led to a large bullish gap with a large volume (the second largest of the year), this translates a great strength as demonstrated by the verticality of the rise. It is logical that in the coming days there could be a correction as prices hit the medium-term downtrend line . It will be a healthy and necessary correction to develop a new momentum that will allow it to definitively leave the 61.8% Fibonacci level . Pablo G.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by GaliortiTrading
Netflix in a fall, unless it breaks the channelAn unlikely winner in the current recession, Netflix could continue a trend down unless it breaks out the trend channel within the remainder of October. Despite promising results earlier this week, Netflix bounced on the channel's upper edge. Now this could be only a resolution of a few targetted positions by a few traders aware of the channel, but if the trend isn't broken within the next five days, or the price comes back to the PEG ground, the downtrend of Netflix will continue.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by Johnny_TV
2