NFLXPrice consolidated since my last analysis. No changes to my original expectations, I'm expecting price to fill the fair value gap at 459.25 next before going lower.
NFLX trade ideas
NFLX-In Bearish Trend NFLX is making Head and Shoulder pattern,It indicates that market is in Bullish Trend.You can open your trade on your own TA and risk management.
Good pull back to $365 | Long BiasDaily Chart
Netflix NASDAQ:NFLX has downed from $485 to $431.6 now
Netflix has the support zone around $365 that is good level to buy for next bull run
Wait for next move
SHORTTargeting the first minor support at 385 price level
Stop should be tightly set around marked level with managed risk
Trade safe, good luck
NFLX AnalysisPrice consolidated since my last analysis. Price is currently on a bullish retracement to fill the fair value gap at 459.25. From there, we should see price continue lower following the bearish order flow.
$NFLX Pullback & Breakout?NASDAQ:NFLX looks to be breaking out after a short consolidation period. This pullback, even though it had big initial volume, has been orderly and shallow. I went long ½ size position on Friday July 28 on the gap up open and made it a full-sized position today. See notes on chart for my thinking.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Constructive comments always welcome. Thanks for looking. Hope this helps.
Netflix Overbought and Facing Resistance Netflix NASDAQ:NFLX
EARNINGS RELEASE TODAY (AFTER THE CLOSE)
Entry Pending Until:
- Break above overhead resistance, making it support
- A revisit of the 200 Day SMA
- In both, tight stop required
We are currently oversold on the RSI and whilst the stock could remain oversold for weeks the last 2 times we reached this exact RSI level we were rejected. For this reason I see no reason to be rushing into this trade. If you put on a trade you need a tight tight stop loss.
The head and shoulders pattern could take another year to play out. For the moment I am focused on the immediate resistance overhead, the overbought RSI signal and the 200 SMA.
Its amazing we don't see more Netflix in feeds, we are up 200% over the past 12 month period.
Hope this helps anyone trying to build a structure of the chart for a potential play.
PUKA
NFLX respecting weekly resistanceLooking at more consolidation in NASDAQ:NFLX and a possible formation of H&S to trigger a pullback to 350s then taking legs to push higher.
MACD showing bearish divergence in daily too.
NFLX setting up Fib retracement level bounce LONGNFLX up trended starting June 1st through an upper long term anchored VWAP
to the next higher VWAP line coinciding with earnings. NFLX dropped after
good earnings probably because investors expected even better. On the 30
minute chart, NFLX has more or less completed a 45-55% retracement of that
trend up and is now sitting on the VWAP line that it crossed back in early June.
Volumes are decent above their moving average. The zero-lag shows a line
cross under the histogram which just converted to positive. I analyze this as
suitable for a long entry targeting that higher VWAP band line at 495 with
a stop loss at 415, the recent pivot low. I will take both a stock trade of
10 shares and a call option striking 475 expiring 8/18 NFLX calls have treated
Nancy and Paul Pelosi quite well for a long period and I have enjoyed smaller profits
from smaller positions in the same time frame . This looks like another opportunity.
Netflix - I Hope You Like Catching KnivesNetflix is that $200 billion company trading at $441.44 that everyone seem to have forgot about, even though it more than doubled in a year.
Personally, I think these streaming services are a colossal waste of your time and money. What you're watching is the intellectual equivalent of a Big Mac or a bag of potato chips, and permeated with the things of socialism and atheism.
And Netflix is really quite woke and some of the content is unforgivably degenerate.
You shouldn't look at warped mirrors and shouldn't cast your eyes on ugly things, or they'll twist your heart and your soul.
When it comes to the markets-at-large, I believe we're definitely going to see a correction, rather than a new all time high, which I detail in the two calls below:
Nasdaq NQ - A Fundamental and Technical Warning Signal
SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar'
If there's to be a new all time high, let's wait and see what Q4 has in store for us.
There's a lot of geopolitical risk in the markets right now. The War between the Russian Federation and NATO via Ukraine is a big one, and a bigger one is the situation in Mainland China with Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party.
More or less, I believe the globalists want to topple the Party to have their men from Taiwan go in and take control of China and depose Xi.
But I believe Xi is likely to topple the Party himself before that can happen.
Big gaps will come that day and things will be very hard because Wall Street won't be in any kind of a risk-on mood.
The 24-year persecution against Falun Dafa launched by former Chairman Jiang Zemin and the Shanghai toad faction is something Xi can weaponize to implicate the entire world.
Because to do business in Shanghai you've needed the Jiang Faction's approval. To get its approval, you've had to dirty your hands in the persecution and swear vows to the Flag of Blood.
And unfortunately, most of the world has wanted what the Party has. Read the story of British billionaire Neil Heywood, who decided to court Jiang's minion Bo Xilai.
Bo told Heywood that to prove his loyalty he had to divorce his wife. Heywood refused, and so Bo's wife poisoned him.
Heywood died in 2011.
Bo Xilai was ruined in Xi's Anti-corruption Campaign in 2013, stripped of all his assets, and sentenced to life in prison in a CCP dungeon.
Gambling with the Party is one foot in the grave and the other in prison. Live a virtuous life instead.
Moreover, they always say zoom out. Looking at Netflix on the yearly, it's hard to say you're not in the crosshairs of a savage trend reversal.
And you can see these daily bars far more clearly on the weekly chart:
There might be that fat gap above that you have your eye on, but you're dealing with a very long and very steep ramp in the first place, and this is in a stock which stayed away from a true gap between April and August of '22.
Another notable factor is that the FINRA short volume for Netflix, while still notably low, is the highest it's been in three months and posted its first green month since April and only its second of '23.
Short volume
This is quite notable in light of the fact that June was one of the best months for equities in a long time
Netflix doesn't have an ETF, except for a 3x levered ETF on the Mexico exchange. Insignificant except for it fell from 5 pesos to 5 pennies.
What's sad is even if it Netflix was to fall 50% in value the thing would still only be worth like 30 cents. % base levered ETFs will kill you.
So, here's the call.
Netflix printed a proper daily pivot in mid June (you'll have to look yourself because I can't zoom the chart in for the post) and has been flirting inside that range ever since.
If she makes a new high I suppose then it's time for more uppy and you can buy calls at the top and feel pretty good.
But if she breaks the $420 range the next area to watch is the June low, which Netflix printed on a green candle and on the first day of the month at $393
After that, things might happen and happen fast.
If bearish momentum and level breaking manifests, then where I believe it will return to is the $180 to $160 range.
For Netflix to have a chance to return above $500, it will have to hold the $162.71 bottom.
If you can catch that falling knife you'll feel pretty smart if you can hold the bag for a few months.
But if you try to go long before the bottom you'll cut your hands and cut your hands some more.
Short-term top of NFLX has already appearedShort-term top of NFLX has already appeared
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Netflix's stock over the past year. The graph overlays the recent bottom-up golden section. As shown in the figure, the recent high point of Netflix's stock is exactly 3.618 on the golden section in the figure! The weekly pattern of Naifei stock last week showed a very long up shadow, indicating that the short-term top has already appeared, and the probability of maintaining a relatively high level of major volatility consolidation in the future is likely to be maintained!
NFLX is rising from supportNFLX on the 2H chart is rising with the shortest EMA rounding up . Price is now above the
POC line of the volume profile showing buying pressure has extinguished bearish momentum.
The RSI indicator shows RSI to have trended down into oversold territory. Fundamentally,
NFLX revenues have increased with the household password crackdown. Traders and investors
have noted that. I see NFLX as setup for a long entry. I will determine the best entry on
a lower time frame either 5 or 15 minutes. I see targets as 485 and 560 based on horizontal
resistances on the 4H and daily charts and so a good potential reward compared with the
risk of a stop loss at 416 set below the POC.
Netflix Long will move and reach Target 1 is 1200$,before....New 52-week highs this week, powered by the Dow which, on Friday, extended its streak of positive days to ten — something the blue chip index has not done in almost six years. The Dow has been powered by, among other things, a slew of corporate financial results, particularly from the banks, which showed not only improved profitability, but also strong guidance for the next quarter and full year.
I have explained 2 bullish scenarios,1 bearish(worse case).
Bullish:
higher highs higher lows
poc uprising
volume increasing
capital flow rising
In case the Take profits hit, and we have increased volume, I will ride the trend.
I will only take profit 10% of the microsoft portfolio and let the profit run.
Exit :Stop loss or trend change signal
The mid and long term horizon is bullish. If any Profit taking level reaches, and trend continuation is signalizing that the uptrend will be continued, I will increase agressively my positions and take only 10% profits of each position.I will let the prfoits run.
This trade setup is only for trend followers and on daily TF.
$NFLX with a bullish outlook following its earnings #StocksThe PEAD projected a bullish outlook for NASDAQ:NFLX after a positive over reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift B with an expected accuracy of 87.5%.
Netflix: Sizing Up Levels After EarningsNetflix rallied into quarterly results last week, only to fall on weak revenue. Today’s chart considers some potential points for dip-buyers looking to add the streaming giant.
First you have the rally that began on May 18 after strong demand for its ads in an “upfront presentation” to Madison Avenue. Retracing half the move would bring the shares back to roughly $412.50.
Next, that level is near the low on June 27. Traders may look for that price area to be retested as support.
Third, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is rising into the same zone.
Combined, those three points could represent triple convergence.
Stochastics are also oversold. That isn’t bullish per se, but it may attract dip buyers given NFLX’s recent surge.
Finally, you have tomorrow’s Federal Reserve meeting. Stocks often freeze before such events and then swing sharply. Will such volatility bring prices back toward $413 zone, followed by continuation to the upside?
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NFLX bull trap before more downside.Since revenue missed on earnings report. I would like it to retest its former support at $431 to confirm it as a resistance before going lower to fill the bottom gap at $422.89-420.88.
NFLX ANALYSISAfter the filling and rejection of the gap left by the market in the bullish trend we will see a reversal to fill the gap of the dump of the price
- ''GAP'' is a better trading opportunity take advantage of it
- Trading is probality control you risk management
Good Luck !
NFLXSpeculative short term trading opportunity. Following it's post-earnings decline, the share is approaching a gap fill from the Wednesday 28 June advance. Simultaneously, the share is outside of the lower boundary of it's rising 2SD 50 day linear regression trend channel, support the potential for an 'oversold' rebound. Do note that the US Federal Reserve is due to decide on interest rates this week thus the scope for wider ranges and high volatility remains. Time Stop: 07 September 2023. As always, short term/active traders can consider the following upon a subsequently rise in share price: (1) Raise their stop-loss to protect capital (2) Scale out of the position as it approaches the target. (3) Bank/Take Profit in full (and possibly get back in if it retraces).
NFLX AnalysisPrice played out nicely as analyzed last week, taking out the clean highs at 458.48 before giving us a 12.74% move to the downside. With the current bearish momentum, we should be looking at price potentially heading down to the bullish POI at 375.87 next.
Can NFLX rebound from the down turn after earnings?NFLX started a good trend up about June 25 and then pulled back in the day after the
earnings report. Although the earnings beat expectations, price continued to drop in
a VWAP breakdown shown here on a 2 hr chart. Over the 2 days that followed, price
has continued down at a slower rate and candle ranges are diminished. Importantly,
the zero=lag MACD shows a line cross under the histogram which has changed from
red /negative to green/positive. The lines have inflected upward. I see this as demonstrative
of bullish divergence and predictive of a reversal.
Overall, I see NFLX rebounding with a potential 15% upside. My target is 480 in consideration
of the swing high on July 18th with a stop loss of 415 the swing low of late June.
Keepit easy: NETFLIX long goes to 1156USDNetflix uses jump massively amid account sharing ban
Sentiment is cautiously bullish into the next US CPI figure, due tomorrow, and the next FOMC decision due Wednesday.
Investors are flocking into call options because no one wants to miss a further rally in stock markets, but no one is sure that the rally will continue given the fact that the Fed has hiked rates at a record speed since last year, leading to the failure of a couple of US regional banks on the way.
Across the Atlantic Ocean, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to hike its interest rates by 25bp when it meets on Thursday, while the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is expected to keep its policy rate at the negative territory despite the rising inflation.
Netflix’s share price could benefit from a mild fall in the US economy. The logic is based on stay-at-home dynamics and fading competitors in tougher economic conditions
The risk to this outlook is that unnecessary subscriptions are one of the first expenses that consumers are likely to cut back on. Netflix fell significantly in 2021, but there has been a decent bounce recently.
Netflix Stock Forecast By Month
Year Mo Min Max Close Total%
2023 Jul 432 511 482 9.55%
2023 Aug 476 536 506 15.00%
2023 Sep 499 563 531 20.68%
2023 Oct 525 591 558 26.82%
2023 Nov 534 602 568 29.09%
2023 Dec 560 632 596 35.45%
2024 Jan 583 657 620 40.91%
2024 Feb 612 690 651 47.95%
2024 Mar 625 705 665 51.14%
2024 Apr 656 740 698 58.64%
2024 May 689 777 733 66.59%
2024 Jun 705 795 750 70.45%
2024 Jul 717 809 763 73.41%
2024 Aug 753 849 801 82.05%
2024 Sep 768 866 817 85.68%
2024 Oct 778 878 828 88.18%
2024 Nov 817 921 869 97.50%
2024 Dec 825 931 878 99.55%
2025 Jan 864 974 919 108.86%
2025 Feb 907 1023 965 119.32%
2025 Mar 914 1030 972 120.91%
2025 Apr 939 1059 999 127.05%
2025 May 986 1112 1049 138.41%
2025 Jun 1035 1167 1101 150.23%
2025 Jul 1087 1225 1156 162.73%
Impact of Netflix Subscription Increase on Stock PriceFirstly, let's acknowledge that as a leading global streaming platform, Netflix has experienced tremendous growth and success over the years. However, the recent announcement of a subscription price increase raises concerns about the company's future profitability and market dynamics.
While the subscription increase may seem logical to counter rising content production costs and maintain profitability, it is essential to consider the potential consequences. Historically, price hikes have been met with mixed reactions from subscribers. In some cases, these increases have resulted in customer churn as consumers seek alternative, more affordable streaming options.
Given the intensely competitive nature of the streaming industry, with established players like Amazon Prime Video, Hulu, and Disney+, it is essential to assess the potential impact on Netflix's subscriber growth. A possible slowdown in subscriber acquisition or an increase in customer churn could negatively impact the company's revenue and, consequently, its stock price.
Therefore, please exercise caution and consider holding off on buying Netflix shares until we have more clarity on the market's response to the subscription increase. Monitoring key metrics such as subscriber growth, churn rate, and competitive positioning will be crucial in making informed investment decisions.
As investors, it is our responsibility to assess risks and opportunities objectively. While Netflix remains a dominant player in the streaming industry, the potential repercussions of its subscription increase must be noticed. By adopting a wait-and-see approach, we can better evaluate the long-term implications on the company's financial performance and stock price.
In conclusion, I encourage you to exercise caution and closely monitor the developments surrounding Netflix's subscription increase. Holding off on buying Netflix shares until we have more visibility on its impact will allow us to make more informed investment decisions.
