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NETFLIX INC

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NFLX trade ideas

$NFLX Will Ad business save the stock? I think not ...Netflix , Inc operates as a streaming entertainment service company. The firm provides subscription service streaming movies and television episodes over the Internet and sending DVDs by mail. It operates through the following segments: Domestic Streaming, International Streaming and Domestic DVD . The main reason why we pay for a subscription service is to avoid having adds in between our streams. Netflix was winning in this because, you could choose what you want to see and not be disturbed or have to pay to have no adds. Now, they want to add ads and we now have to pay not to have ads... why would you ? While the news sounds bullish on revenue streams in the short term, they are likely to shed more subscribers due to this in long term, they were already losing subscribers due to competition. But I could be wrong. For now, I am short the stock till next update. Target price $145.51
NASDAQ:NFLX
by N_I_G
Netflix - SHORT (54% profit) / where to buy (NEW)In May 2022 Netflix has hit lows seen last time in September 2017. Since then NFLX has been on a steady rise. It looks like the price is in some kind of a rising channel. Indicators such as MACD or RSI are implying more upside in the next weeks. It looks good for bulls. Around $380 we may see a rejection as it's a huge resistance now. We expect bears to take over from there and the downtrend to resume. If the price drops 54 % from there we could see a potential higher low /double bottom which would be mega bullish and would help bulls to confirm the long-term uptrend. -Short at the strong resistance -exit for shorts / buy area: $177 - $170 Most likely it will take many months for a price to reach a buy area therefore patience is required . Good luck
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by vf_investment
13
NETFLIX IS AT A CRITICAL POINTThis asset is sited at a critical zone (confluence of support line and ascending trendline) I see this asset taking a bull ride to $335 zone and a possible pullback to $325 zone before taking the main bull run to $370 zone. This $370 zone happen to be FIB38.2 zone. I will wait for favourable price action and I will ride this asset up. Always remember to set your SL as to limit your loses. Follow me for more analysis, like and share your thought on the comment section.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by ForexClinik
NFLX ER SlumpYoY numbers are likely to fail, reports are rumored that their commercial version has been a failure and I do not believe that has been fully priced in. Adding in the current economical environment (eggs are a million dollars for 2), cheap subscription services are an easy thing to pull for the everyday consumer, aka NETFLIX customers. The only bullish argument I have on this is their subscription cost increased which could help offset some. As a content consumer of Netflix, I find myself looking less and less at that library as most of the good content has migrated to other services, but that's just me. I feel that PE is somewhat healthy in more stable economy, but high for where we are today. Analyst showing a low EPS but flat revenue. The miss on either and this could take a hard turn. On the TA side, gap filled from the ER plummet a few quarters back, this is outside of a standard bear flag ration (I Believe but could be wrong), however I believe it is in play. RSI MA moving to overbought, MACD starting to show confirmation of reversal on signal and histogram. Options P/C at 1.3+ and today had a bit of a spike OTM puts. As all things, I'm human and can often be proven wrong. Don't take this as financial advice, just me logging and sharing my thoughts. I am always open to an opposite opinion as those are the most valuable to me. Thanks!
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by MechanicalTrader13
3
CHANCE to SHORT or LONG for big profitIf you wanted to take a long or short position in Netflix stock you are in a perfect place right now. As you can see on the chart above there are 2 very good trendlines that hold Netflix stock for a couple of months. Now that we are trading at below support line it is important to point out that we could go either way from this range! Up big and down big. I am seeing $30 - 40 up or down potential from now on. Today we tried to move up by finding support from the trendline but because FED chair Powell will testify tomorrow investors are preparing for more hawkish and the entire stock market closed lower. Powell will testify before congress tomorrow at 10 EST and will give his perspective on how interest rates will be in the future! If he signals more interest hikes we will go down and finally break this support line, next support level is at $280. If Powell gives an optimistic view of inflation and interest rate support line surely hold and we might retest that high near future.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by TugsMM
NFLXNetflix's trading pattern has exhibited a notable uptrend and has remained within a channel, indicating potential for a bullish trade opportunity. However, it is important to exercise caution and implement effective risk management strategies, such as a tight stop loss, when dealing with a high-growth stock like Netflix. This approach will help to mitigate potential downside risks and safeguard against adverse market movements. Red level is resistance Purple is pivot level green is the buy zone
NASDAQ:NFLX
by Gtelli
Netflix Has Some Downside Risks- The new partnership with a major Australian studio bodes well for the company's ability to produce high-quality content. - Netflix's recent financials have left investors doubtful of its ability to turn a profit. - Netflix's high level of long-term debt is causing concern among investors. Competitive Advantage and Pricing of NFLX Netflix is a streaming giant that has seen tremendous growth in recent years. The company's earnings and revenue have consistently exceeded expectations, making it one of the most valuable companies in the world. Netflix's original content, such as "Stranger Things," "The Crown," and "Narcos," has been particularly successful in attracting and retaining subscribers. The company has also made strategic acquisitions, such as the purchase of the Animation studio “Animal Logic”. In addition to subscriber growth, Netflix's revenue is also driven by increasing prices. The company has raised its prices several times in recent years, and this will go into effect in 2023. This allows the company to generate more revenue per subscriber, which helps to offset the costs of producing and acquiring content. Despite the challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic, Netflix has been able to maintain strong financial performance. The company's ability to adapt to the changing market conditions and its focus on producing high-quality content have been crucial to its success. As the streaming market continues to grow, Netflix is well-positioned to capitalize on the trend and maintain its position as a leader in the industry. In terms of the competitive landscape, Netflix faces competition from other streaming services, such as Disney+, Amazon Prime Video, and Hulu. However, the company has established a strong position in the market and has a large subscriber base. If the company is able to maintain its position in the market and continue to produce high-quality content, it could bode well for its stock performance. Netflix’s Q4 Earnings Analysis In the last quarter of 2022, Netflix reported revenue of $7.85 billion, a 2% increase from the previous year. The company also reported earnings per share of $0.12, a significant decrease from the $1.13 reported in the same quarter of 2021. EPS had been forecasted as $0.36 and therefore it was below expectations. The main reason why Netflix was not able to meet expectations is relevant to F/X measurement on EUR-dominated debt. However, NetFlix was able to hedge volatility on EUR/USD currency pairs for their debt based on EUR. How they are dealing with this is that the company approximately has $5B of EUR bonds which provides them a natural hedge mechanism on the relative value of the EUR net income. The main driver of Netflix's revenue growth is its subscriber base, which has been steadily increasing. In the last quarter of 2022, the company added 8 million new subscribers, bringing its total subscriber count to over 231 million. This strong subscriber growth is a testament to the company's ability to produce and acquire high-quality content that keeps its users engaged. NetFlix had targeted an operating margin of 19%-20% based on F/X rates at the beginning of 2022. Currently, the company targets to deliver roughly 21%-22% operating margin in 2023. However, due to the timing content spend, NetFlix expects their operating margin to be down year over year (20% vs (25%). Overall, Netflix's earnings and revenue have been consistently strong, and the company continues to grow. The company's focus on producing original content, strategic acquisitions, and raising prices has helped to drive revenue growth, which will likely continue in the future. This puts the company in a strong position to maintain its position as a leader in the streaming industry. Regional Breakdown In the United States, Netflix has the largest subscriber base of any country, with over 60 million subscribers. This is due in part to the fact that the company was founded in the United States, and it has been able to establish a strong foothold in the market early on. In addition, the high penetration of broadband internet in the US has made it easier for Netflix to reach its target audience. In Asia, Netflix has faced more challenges in establishing a strong subscriber base. The company has had to contend with stiff competition from local streaming services, as well as cultural and linguistic barriers. However, Netflix has been able to make inroads into the Asian market by producing local content and making strategic partnerships with local media companies. In Latin America, Netflix has been able to establish a strong presence in countries such as Brazil and Mexico. The company has been able to build a large subscriber base in these countries by producing localized content and making strategic acquisitions of local media companies. In Africa, Netflix has faced some challenges in building a subscriber base due to a lack of broadband internet infrastructure and low purchasing power in some countries. However, the company has been able to make inroads in the African market by partnering with local media companies and producing localized content. Overall, Netflix has a strong global presence, but its subscriber base and financial performance vary by region. The company has been able to build a large subscriber base in the United States, Europe, and Latin America, but has faced more challenges in Asia and Africa. The company continues to expand its global reach and adapt to regional market conditions. Cashflow and Capital Structure Netflix's cash flow and capital structure are closely related to its overall financial performance. The company generates cash flow through its operations, which it uses to fund its growth and expansion. In terms of cash flow, Netflix has consistently been generating positive cash flow from operations. In the last quarter of 2022, the company reported cash flow from operations of $443.858 Million, which was a decrease from $556.810 Million. This cash flow is generated primarily through subscription revenue, which accounts for the majority of the company's revenue. Netflix's capital structure is primarily composed of debt and equity. The company has been using debt to finance its growth and expansion. As of December 2022, Netflix's debt stood at $14.3 billion, with the majority of it being in the form of long-term debt. In terms of equity, Netflix has been using a combination of internal funds and equity offerings to raise capital. The company has been able to raise capital through several equity offerings over the years, which has helped it to grow and expand its business. As the company continues to invest in content and expand its global reach, it will continue to generate positive cash flow, but it is also likely to continue to rely on debt to finance its growth. Overall, Netflix's cash flow and capital structure are closely related to its overall financial performance. The company generates positive cash flow from its operations, which it uses to fund its growth and expansion. Its capital structure is primarily composed of debt and equity, with the company using a combination of internal funds and equity offerings to raise capital. Technical Snapshot of Netflix 2022 was a devastating year for Tech stocks due to the high inflation rates and demand for commodities. These might be some reasons why Tech stocks were not shining in 2022, but it is undeniable the fact that there are always opportunities to benefit from in the market. Therefore, having evaluated NetFlix’s current earnings ratios and expectations, it can be said that the Pivot point at $300 will be a determinant of which way the stock tends to move. Final Thoughts I expect a high level of volatility and believe that the current tendency for commodities will be maintained through 2023. Therefore, some hedging strategies might be used for technology stocks to locate yourself on the safe side of trading through earnings seasons. Netflix has already reached its mature growth phase therefore the company needs to come up with new ideas, projects, or acquisitions that make everyone impressed. According to Netflix’s latest financial report, the current Price-to-sales ratio is 4.78 whilst It is 1.92, 2.20, and 1.20 respectively for Amazon, Walt Disney, and Warner Bros. After having analyzed financial reports and these terms, I would be “Bearish” on the stock. As always, do your due diligence on any stock before buying and selling. Happy Trading! :)
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by UnknownUnicorn14317765