NVDA - I'm not trading this until stock gets above trendline.NVDA above 127.57 could be a nice long trade again. Ugly candle yesterday.
NVDA trade ideas
NVIDIA (NVDA): Wave 1 Nearly Complete – New Entry Opportunity?After a break, we’re taking another look at NVIDIA, which is now around $100 — which sounds like a much more attractive level compared to $1100. But it isn't, as in the meantime we witnessed a stock split. We still see more upside for NVIDIA as we believe we are in Wave (5) of the current cycle, if our count is correct.
Zooming in, the past surge doesn't need much commentary as it was mostly upward movement without significant corrections. Now, it looks like we’re getting into the intra-wave structure. We expect Wave 1 to finish after one last leg up to complete the five-wave cycle for Wave 1.
Afterward, we could look for entry points at the end of Wave 2. If this scenario plays out with the bearish divergence on the RSI, we will update you on how we plan to position ourselves.
NVIDIA (NVDA) Technical Analysis and Forecast for August 23, 20Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance:
$131.00: This is a significant resistance zone. We’ve seen strong selling pressure here, which aligns with the volume profile indicating heavy trading activity around this level. Breaking above $131 could open the door to higher levels.
$125.83: A near-term resistance level that has acted as a ceiling over the last few sessions.
Support:
$124.52: This is immediate support. The price has bounced off this level before, and it's crucial for bulls to hold this to avoid a deeper pullback.
$118.00: If $124.52 fails, $118.00 is the next key support. This level is critical as the volume profile suggests less trading activity below this, meaning a break here could lead to a swift decline.
Trend Analysis:
The uptrend has been broken, as evidenced by the price falling below the ascending trendline. This break indicates a potential shift in sentiment from bullish to bearish unless the price quickly recovers above it.
MACD is showing signs of a bullish crossover on the hourly chart, hinting that a short-term bounce could be on the horizon. However, confirmation is needed, and this should be watched closely.
Entry and Exit Strategies:
Bullish Setup:
Entry: Consider entering around $124.52 if it shows strong support, especially with a MACD crossover confirming bullish momentum.
Targets:
First target: $125.83, where profit-taking is likely.
Second target: $131.00, if the momentum continues.
Stop-Loss: Place a stop just below $124.00 to minimize risk.
Bearish Setup:
Entry: If $124.52 breaks down with strong volume, a short position could be considered.
Targets:
First target: $122.00, an area of minor support.
Second target: $118.00, where stronger support lies.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop just above $125.83 to avoid being caught in a short squeeze.
News Impact and Market Sentiment:
with Fed Chair Jerome Powell speaking at Jackson Hole tomorrow, the market could see increased volatility. Traders should be prepared for potential market-moving headlines, which could impact NVDA’s price action.
Forecast for Tomorrow:
Tomorrow’s trading will likely be influenced by broader market sentiment and any further news or developments. If the market reacts negatively to any comments from the Fed, we could see NVDA testing lower supports. However, if the sentiment is positive, and the MACD crossover gains strength, NVDA could attempt to reclaim higher resistance levels.
Summary: NVIDIA is at a pivotal point. Keep an eye on the $124.52 support and the $131.00 resistance as key levels for tomorrow's trading. The stock could go either way depending on market sentiment.
NVDA - Pullback to mean?A follow up on my previous post about NVDA returning to BB mean.
We hit VAH, and got a good bounce, but now it seems like we are getting rejected from channel center line. If we start breaking the channel and go below VAH, next area to be aware of is POC around 45. This aligns with my previous post of NVDA could go to visit BB means.
This won't of course happen in a day or two, but over longer timeframe.
Or this could just be an imagination of my mind.
NVDA - RE-TEST 95 AGAIN; MAKE OR BREAK FOR BEARSSee my previous posts last few days. I've been skeptical of this rally, and have been holding through this fake breakout.
$125 is a major support level for bears to break for any movement.
My opinion is that Wave C could have happened at "A".
Bullish bounce off the $95.68 level if re-tested, would invalidate this correction wave structure.
If there is a bearish breakthrough 95, i see it testing $80 FAST.
The risk of going long on NVDA here is too high for any appeal. If price action starts to slow down after reaching ATH's, it is natural to be wary if the rally still has any steam. A good example is Apple in Dec 2023 until Apr 2024. Apple re-tests ATH, and a slow steady decline after ATH Rally runs out of steam.
Disclosure: Currently long NVD shares @ avg 1.70
NVIDIA Is Setting A Bull TrapWithin 14 days, NVIDIA shares have gained more than 43%. The normal madness of the tech star of the last two years.
A new ATH has been set. Now... We see things a little differently. We are currently assuming that NVIDIA (like the market as a whole) is setting up a bull trap. However, we initially expect NVIDIA to rise to the USD 132 area before the price turns down. We select the open gap at just over USD 112 as the target area.
In our view, this price target represents a minimum price target, as we expect a very pronounced correction in the overall market of 25-35% in the longer term (for the next six to twelve months).
NVDA Technical Analysis (for August 22, 2024)1. Price Action Overview:
Chart Overview: The image shows a 1-hour chart for NVDA, which indicates short-term price action.
Trend Lines: There are ascending channel lines that the price seems to be respecting, suggesting an upward trend.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $130.64
Support:
$128.52
$127.83
$125.83 (Critical support level)
2. Indicators:
Volume Profile: The chart has a visible volume profile on the right, showing areas where significant trading volume occurred. The highest volume node is around the $127.83 - $128.52 region, which suggests strong support.
MACD: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at the bottom of the chart, showing a potential crossover. This could indicate momentum building up, but it needs confirmation.
3. Price Action Analysis:
Recent Behavior: The price is currently moving upwards within the ascending channel. It is near the middle of the channel, having recently bounced from the lower trend line.
Short-Term Trend: The short-term trend is bullish, as indicated by the upward channel. However, the proximity to resistance at $130.64 may create some selling pressure.
4. Trading Strategy :
Scenario 1: Continued Uptrend
Entry: If the price breaks above $130.64 with strong volume, enter a long position.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss slightly below $128.52 (around $128) to minimize risk.
Target: Consider a target around $133-$135, which would be in line with the upper channel line.
Scenario 2: Pullback
Entry: If the price fails to break $130.64 and shows signs of reversal (e.g., bearish candle pattern), consider shorting.
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss just above the $130.64 level.
Target: The first target would be around $127.83. If the price breaks this level, the next target would be near $125.83.
5. Other Strategies Approach:
Options Strategy: Professionals might consider using options to hedge or enhance returns. For example:
Bullish Bias: Buy a call option with a strike price slightly above $130.64 if expecting a breakout.
Bearish Bias: Purchase a put option with a strike price around $128.52 if anticipating a pullback.
Scalping: Given NVDA's high liquidity and volatility, scalping within the channel boundaries might be profitable. Use the 1-minute or 5-minute charts to find quick trades.
6. Conclusion:
Bias: The general trend is bullish, but NVDA is nearing a key resistance level. Tomorrow's action will likely depend on whether NVDA can break through $130.64 or if it faces rejection.
Watchlist: Keep an eye on volume spikes, news, and broader market conditions as they will heavily influence NVDA's price action.
Would you like to explore a specific strategy in more detail or need any other insights? Let me know.
week of 8/21/24 es1!,nq1!, msft, nvdathe most important harmonic patterns and their perspective timeframe that I'm lookin at for the coming weeks. my guess is that nvda is going up on earnings.
$NVDA insider candle on daily NASDAQ:NVDA closed just below the trendline resistance once again with an inside candle. Resistance level are at $130.08. If the price breaks above the resistance, we could see it reach $140+ in the coming days possibly before earnings. If it gets rejected, support levels to watch are $125 and $121
Nvidia Q2 2024 Earnings PreviewAI Juggernaut Nvidia’s highly anticipated Q2 2024 earnings report is just one week away, scheduled for release after the market closes on Thursday, 29 August, at 6.20 am (AEST).
Q2 performance expectations
Revenue: $28.544 billion
Revenue growth: 211.31% year-on-year (YoY)
Earnings per share (EPS): $0.64.
Highlights of the previous quarter
Expectations are high for Nvidia’s Q2 earnings, given the company’s leadership in several key growth markets. Over the past year, Nvidia has experienced significant demand across various end markets, driven primarily by data centres and gaming.
In data centres, the adoption of AI and machine learning has propelled strong sales of Nvidia’s specialised GPUs and networking products. Additionally, the company has benefited from shifting enterprise workloads to the cloud. NVidia’s gaming segment continues to thrive, supported by the rise of eSports, game streaming services, and blockbuster game releases optimised for NVIDIA hardware.
What to expect
Nvidia’s data centre segment, which includes sales of GPUs, networking gear, and AI software, is expected to grow further as major hyperscale customers like Amazon AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Alphabet GCP increasingly adopt Nvidia chips for AI workloads.
Ongoing demand for Nvidia’s latest GPUs for gaming and creative applications is anticipated to remain a key driver of revenue growth.
Nvidia’s automotive computing platforms are gaining traction with more electric and autonomous vehicle manufacturers, further boosting demand for the company’s chips. Additionally, the company’s Omniverse 3D simulation platform has seen triple-digit customer growth over the past year, indicating potential future gains in enterprise software.
Potential challenges to watch for
Supply chain constraints: while improving, may still limit upside potential. If foundry and component shortages persist, Nvidia might struggle to meet elevated demand, which could disappoint investors.
A slowdown in the PC market: due to challenging macroeconomic conditions may weaken performance in the graphics segment, dampening overall earnings growth.
Economic uncertainty: could also curb business spending if conditions deteriorate, disproportionately affecting Nvidia's data centre and enterprise segments.
Increasing competition: from companies like AMD and Intel, which are also investing heavily in AI-focused chips, along with big tech and automotive firms developing their own AI chips, could potentially reduce demand for Nvidia’s offerings.
Despite these risks, Wall Street remains bullish on Nvidia stock heading into the Q2 earnings report. Investors are focused on Nvidia’s long-term potential in AI, high-performance computing, autonomous vehicles, and the metaverse. Success in these areas is expected to drive share price momentum post-earnings.
Nvidia Technical Analysis
Nvidia’s share price is up over 159% year-to-date and has almost fully recovered its 35% drop from June to August. The recovery puts Nvidia’s all-time high of $140.76 firmly in focus in the lead-up to next week's earnings, with a sustained break above here opening the way for a push towards $150. On the downside, there is a strong band of support at $100 before the $90.69 low of early August. Not far below here resides the 200-day moving average at $85.26.
Nvidia's Stellar Rise Amidst the AI Gold Rush
Nvidia, the tech giant renowned for its high-performance graphics processing units (GPUs), has been riding a wave of unprecedented success. As the world dives deeper into the realm of artificial intelligence (AI), Nvidia's GPUs have become the indispensable hardware powering the most advanced AI models. This surge in demand has propelled Nvidia's stock to new heights, solidifying its position as a leader in the semiconductor industry.
The AI Revolution Drives Demand
The rapid advancements in AI technology have created a voracious appetite for computing power. Nvidia's GPUs, originally designed for rendering complex graphics, have proven to be remarkably efficient at handling the intensive calculations required for training and running AI models. Their parallel processing architecture allows them to perform multiple tasks simultaneously, making them ideal for the demanding workloads associated with AI.
As AI applications continue to expand across various industries, from healthcare and finance to autonomous vehicles and customer service, the demand for high-performance GPUs has skyrocketed. Companies like OpenAI, Meta, and Google are investing heavily in AI research and development, and Nvidia's GPUs have become a critical component of their infrastructure.
Nvidia's Strategic Moves
Nvidia has been proactive in capitalizing on the AI boom. The company has made significant investments in research and development to enhance its GPU technology and expand its product offerings. In addition to its traditional gaming GPUs, Nvidia has introduced specialized AI accelerators, such as the A100 and H100, which are optimized for AI workloads.
Furthermore, Nvidia has been expanding its ecosystem through partnerships and acquisitions. The company has collaborated with major cloud providers like Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud Platform to offer AI services based on its GPUs. This has made it easier for developers and businesses to access and utilize AI capabilities.
Challenges and Opportunities
While Nvidia's prospects appear bright, the company faces certain challenges. The semiconductor industry is cyclical, and there is a risk of a slowdown in demand for GPUs if the AI market experiences a correction. Additionally, competition from other chip manufacturers, such as AMD and Intel, is intensifying.
However, the long-term outlook for AI remains positive, and Nvidia's strong market position and technological leadership give it a significant advantage. As AI continues to penetrate various sectors, the demand for high-performance computing power is likely to grow, providing ample opportunities for Nvidia to expand its business.
Conclusion
Nvidia's success story is a testament to the transformative power of AI. The company's ability to leverage its GPU technology to meet the demands of the AI revolution has propelled it to the forefront of the semiconductor industry. As AI continues to evolve and reshape the world, Nvidia is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing market and maintain its leadership position.
NVIDIA _ Corporation _ Week 4 _ Distribution _ Prices: NVIDIA _ Corporation _ Week 4 _ Distribution _ Prices:
Lower Retest will be the following after the mid Distribution price:
Mid Distribution prices:
$129.06
$129.18
$129.70
$130.15
$130.30
$131.78
$131.68
____________________
After the above distribution we go down for finishing lower retest before making the Advance Stage Distribution which is = $141.57
NVIDIA Downtrend Line Breakout At $126.58 21.08.2024Apply risk management
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Disclaimer
Technical Analysis for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) August 21, 2024Based on the latest chart you provided, here’s a detailed technical analysis of NVIDIA (NVDA) for tomorrow and the rest of the week.
1. Trend Analysis
Channel: The price of NVDA is currently moving within an ascending channel, which indicates that the overall trend is still bullish. The price is closer to the lower boundary of this channel, suggesting a potential bounce back if the trend continues.
Ichimoku Cloud: The price is currently interacting with the Ichimoku Cloud. Typically, if the price remains above the cloud, it suggests bullish conditions, while below the cloud indicates bearish momentum. The price appears to be inside or near the edge of the cloud, which can be seen as a support area in a bullish scenario.
2. Support Levels
$125.88: This level is an immediate support level. If the price holds above this level, it could signal a continuation of the uptrend within the ascending channel.
$120.36: This is a stronger support level. A break below this could lead to a bearish move towards the lower levels. It's close to the lower boundary of the Ichimoku Cloud, adding strength to this support.
$97.37: This is a long-term support level, which is quite far from the current price. This would likely only be relevant in a significant bearish scenario.
3. Resistance Levels
$129.93 - $130.00: This is the immediate resistance level. Breaking above this could indicate a continuation of the uptrend and may attract more buyers.
$137.31: If the price manages to break above $130.00, this is the next resistance level to watch.
$140.99: This level is higher and represents a significant psychological and technical barrier.
4. Indicators
Volume: The volume has been relatively low, which might indicate a consolidation phase or lack of strong buying/selling interest at the current levels.
Moving Averages: If you’re using the 15 EMA (yellow line) and 161 EMA (purple line), check their interactions with the price. Crosses between shorter and longer EMAs can often provide buy or sell signals.
5. Trading Strategy
Bullish Scenario:
Entry Point: Consider entering a long position if the price bounces off the $125.88 support level with confirmation, such as a bullish candlestick pattern or a strong bounce on the 1-hour chart.
First Target: $130.00 - Secure partial profits here if the price tests this level.
Second Target: $137.31 - If the bullish momentum continues, this level could be your next target.
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss below $125.00 to protect against unexpected bearish moves.
Bearish Scenario:
Entry Point: If the price breaks below $125.88 and closes below the lower boundary of the Ichimoku Cloud, consider entering a short position.
First Target: $120.36 - This would be the immediate target if bearish momentum picks up.
Second Target: If $120.36 breaks, the next significant support is at $97.37, although this is a more extended move and may not happen within the week.
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss above $130.00 to protect against potential upside breakouts.
6. Market Conditions
Earnings: Note that there is an earnings report (indicated by the “E” on the chart) on August 27th. Be cautious with positions going into earnings as the price can become highly volatile.
Overall Sentiment: The semiconductor sector, which includes NVDA, has been under both technical and fundamental scrutiny. Pay attention to broader market sentiment, especially related to tech stocks.
Conclusion
For tomorrow and the rest of the week, NVDA is at a critical juncture. Watch for how it interacts with the $125.88 support level and whether it can break through the $130.00 resistance level. Employ appropriate risk management and be mindful of the upcoming earnings report, which could add volatility to your trades.
NVIDIA following AUG'28 earnings report and NOV'5 US Elections Top performing NVIDIA stock set for correction as piled up inventories ans increased receivables + ongoing R&D investment expenditures
Healthy price correction until US elections and FED Stepping in with possible rate cut due in September
8 months mid-term investment opportunity with 3 levels of consecutive entries and exit strategy
Minimum req'd capital USD100.000
NVDA reclaimed the daily 50 SMA along with QQQ.NASDAQ:NVDA broke out of a wedge consolidation at $109 earlier this week and has closed above the daily 50 SMA, along with NASDAQ:QQQ and many other technology leaders. There has been a shift in market tone since the jobs report last Thursday, 8/8. Since then, all data points have been bought by the bulls, and QQQ reclaimed the daily 10 SMA, giving signs that the bull-thesis was valid. The longer QQQ and other major technology names build above the daily 50 SMA, the more likely they are to continue higher.
All really depends on the price action in the next 7 sessionsWe've all seen it before, but there is a certain precedent surrounding the volatility of this stock going in one direction. My thoughts are that a correction is on the cards but how low could it go as a sign of strength not weakness.
go long NVIDIA (NVDA) stockTechnical Analysis
Current Price: $127.47 (down 1.95%)
Stock is trading above 50-day, 150-day, and 200-day moving averages
RS Rating: 97, indicating strong relative strength
Meets all criteria in the Mark Minervini template
Recent earnings growth: 461% YoY (May 2024)
Recent sales growth: 262% YoY (May 2024)
Conservative Trading Plan
Entry Strategy
Wait for a pullback to the $120-$122 range
This area is closer to the 50-day moving average ($115.1) and provides better risk/reward
Position Sizing
Assuming $10,000 capital with maximum risk of $1,000
Enter with 1/3 of intended position size at initial entry point
Add remaining 2/3 on confirmation of upward momentum
Stop Loss
Set initial stop loss at $114, just below the 50-day moving average
This represents about 5-6% downside risk from the suggested entry range
Profit Targets
First target: $136.15 (previous high)
Second target: $140.76 (52-week high)
Final target: $150 (psychological level)
Exit Strategy
Scale out 1/3 of position at each profit target
Trail stop loss as price moves up, using the 20-day moving average as a guide
Risk Management
Strictly adhere to position sizing and stop loss rules
Monitor overall market conditions and sector performance
Keep an eye on upcoming earnings reports and company news
Analysis
NVIDIA shows strong technical and fundamental characteristics, making it an attractive long candidate. However, the stock has had a significant run-up, so a conservative approach is warranted.
The company's impressive earnings and sales growth, coupled with its leadership in AI and graphics processing, support a bullish outlook. The stock's high RS rating and adherence to the Minervini template further reinforce its potential.
However, potential risks include:
Overall market volatility
Potential sector rotation out of technology stocks
Valuation concerns given the recent price appreciation
This conservative plan aims to capitalize on NVIDIA's strength while managing risk through careful entry points, position sizing, and a disciplined exit strategy. Always adjust the plan based on changing market conditions and your personal risk tolerance.
NVDANvidia Corporation is an American multinational corporation and technology company headquartered in Santa Clara, California, and incorporated in Delaware.
Short NVDA for a little +33%...This trade is purely psychological revenge...
Long AAPL and TSLA, short NVDA haha
NVIDIA's (NVDA) Stock Expected to Plummet to $82 Post Q2 Earnings
1. Overestimated AI Chip Demand
2. Data Center Growth Slowing Down
3. Vulnerabilities in the Gaming Sector
5. Product Innovation Fatigue
6. Supply Chain Vulnerabilities
Nvidia breakout pullback area, Buy timing NOW!!!!Overall speaking, Nvidia stock price is moving in a bullish market.
It just break above the pullback area, signaling a potential rally.
The price soared after break above the previous pullback area, which confirmed the high winrate of this buy point.
Market Analysis and Projection: NVIDIA Stock OpportunityI WILL BUY NVIDIA STOCK AT $112.
On the 5th of this month, NVIDIA (NVDA) experienced a significant downturn, with its stock price plunging to approximately $90—a day marked by widespread volatility in both the financial markets and cryptocurrency sectors.
As of now, NVDA has rebounded to $115. Based on my market analysis, I am anticipating a pullback to $112, at which point I plan to initiate a buy position. My target for take profit is set around $126.
For investors and traders, NVDA still presents a strong potential for growth, making it a stock worth monitoring closely.
NVDA - pre earnings price targetNVDA - Stock about to break and hold $130 level. Stock in a very nice uptrend with earnings end of the month. Next resistance above $130 at $136.31 and $140.76. calls above $130 look good. stock is strong on indicator level.
