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INVESCO QQQ TRUST

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QQQ: Annual outlookHey Friends, Here is the annual outlook for QQQ! Annual Levels: Ref: 550.31 (Reference Target) High 1: 575 High 2: 622.009 High 3: 668.81 Range Ceiling: 725 Low 1: 462.92 Low 2: 420.57 Low 3: 374.57 Range Floor: 322 ARIMA Forecast Point Forecast at Day 252: 532.2314 80% Upper Confidence Level at Day 252: 707.6069 95% Upper Confidence Level at Day 252: 800.4451 80% Lower Confidence Level at Day 252: 356.8559 95% Lower Confidence Level at Day 252: 264.0177
NASDAQ:QQQ
by Steversteves
5
Prediction: Markets back to All-Time Highs in TWO WEEKS! NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY I won't lie to you friends, this is MAXIMUM FUCKERY FRIDAY! It sucks across the board but lets just zoom out and look at all the data. We are still in an uptrend, still holding above the 9ema, and still GREEN on the H5 indicator. I'm buying the DIP. MY BULLISH PREDICITON: NASDAQ:QQQ & AMEX:SPY BACK TO ATH's WITHIN TWO WEEKS! Yes, I bought 5c NASDAQ:QQQ Jan. 10th 2025 $520 Calls I'm doing this only to put my money where my mouth and prediction is. I am ok with losing if I'm wrong. Don't get these NASDAQ:QQQ short term calls and prediction twisted with me being a forever bull. I understand how markets work and I'm simply going off my TA, knowledge, and GUT. I'm fully ready to exit every trade that goes against me if I'm wrong on the markets rebounding and continuing higher into January friends. When we do signal the bigger correction is happening through our strategies I will exit every RED H5 indicator or stock that goes against my rules. I'm simply giving a little bit of excess rope due what the FED did last week that kicked this whole thing off. I still don't see the Bull Market being over and If i'm wrong, I'm wrong. I will still be up massively on the year and I'll count it as one of the few times that I've been wrong. Still winning more than losing which is the only goal to strive for in trading. Not financial advice
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by RonnieV29
7
We already bottomed, you just don't know it yet! NASDAQ:QQQ We already bottomed, you just don't know it yet! Daily Chart analysis: A look back at 2024 shows us that every time we have come down to the Green support line on the Wr% we've bounced hard all the way back up to the red barrier. It coincides with every time we've went below the 9ema that this occurs then we rocket back up. This time could be different but what I'm seeing on the weekly chart as well it doesn't look like it to me as we've already rebound back above the 9ema to this point. I'm just a nerd who loves all things stock market, I'm no oracle but from my TA and my GUT we should bounce hard heading into the new year and back up to ATH's in January friends! Not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by RonnieV29
5
QQQ Technical Analysis (1-Hour Chart). Jan 2, 2025Price Action * QQQ is trading in a descending channel, showing a clear downtrend over the short term. * The price has tested the upper trendline resistance and failed to break above, confirming continued bearish pressure. * The price is now near the middle of the channel, consolidating with slightly declining volume. Indicators * MACD: Bearish momentum persists as the histogram shows red bars and the MACD line remains below the signal line. * Stochastic RSI: The indicator is nearing oversold territory, which may indicate a potential bounce or consolidation before continuing the trend. Key Levels * Resistance: $517 (upper channel resistance) and $514 (HVL resistance as per Options GEX). * Support: $505 (lower channel boundary and put wall support from GEX data). Trading Plan 1. For Longs: * Wait for the price to break above $514 with strong volume and confirmation from MACD (crossover) and Stochastic RSI moving out of oversold. * Entry: Above $514. * Stop Loss: Below $505. * Target: $522 (near next resistance level). 2. For Shorts: * Enter if the price rejects at $514 or breaks below $505 with strong bearish momentum. * Entry: Below $505. * Stop Loss: Above $514. * Target: $500 or lower channel boundary. QQQ Options GEX Analysis (Daily Chart) Gamma Exposure Levels * Call Wall Resistance: $517 and $522, indicating strong resistance levels where call activity is concentrated. * Put Wall Support: $505, marking a significant area of support from high put open interest. * HVL at $514 is a critical pivot point that aligns with both GEX and price action resistance. Volatility Insights * IV Rank (IVR): 17.8, indicating relatively low implied volatility compared to historical levels. Options premiums may be cheaper for strategies like long calls or long puts. Options Strategy 1. Bullish Strategy (If QQQ breaks above $514): * Buy the $520 Call (weekly expiry) to capitalize on momentum toward $522–$525. * Stop Loss: Close the position if QQQ falls below $514. * Profit Target: Exit at $522 or $525. 2. Bearish Strategy (If QQQ breaks below $505): * Buy the $500 Put (weekly expiry) to benefit from a drop toward $500 or lower. * Stop Loss: Exit if QQQ reclaims $505. * Profit Target: $500 or lower. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence and manage risk appropriately when trading stocks or options.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
1
QQQ 1-Hour Technical Analysis and GEX Insights-Jan. 3Technical Analysis (1-Hour Chart) * Trend and Price Action: * QQQ is trending downward on the 1-hour chart, respecting a descending trendline. * The price has tested the $505.34 support level and is attempting a minor recovery. However, the overall structure remains bearish. * Volume: Moderate volume during recent declines suggests continued selling pressure. * Indicators: * MACD: Signs of a potential bullish crossover, which could indicate a short-term recovery if confirmed. * Stochastic RSI: Rising from oversold levels, signaling a possible bounce or consolidation. * Key Levels: * Support Levels: * $505.34: Critical support level; breaking below this could lead to further declines. * $500.00: Psychological support and significant GEX activity zone. * Resistance Levels: * $511.87: Immediate resistance aligning with the descending trendline. * $515.00: Secondary resistance with CALL wall activity, marking a critical breakout level. GEX Insights for QQQ * Gamma Exposure (GEX): * Positive GEX Zones: * $515.00: Key CALL wall, acting as a significant resistance zone for upside movement. * Above $520.00: Positive gamma increases, signaling a strong resistance cluster. * Negative GEX Zones: * $505.00: Highest negative gamma exposure and a critical support zone. * Below $500.00: Gamma exposure becomes more negative, increasing downside volatility. * Options Metrics: * IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 20.1%, indicating relatively low volatility pricing. * Options Flow: * Calls: Modest activity near resistance levels at $515-$520. * Puts: Concentrated near $505 and $500, reflecting strong protective positioning by investors. Trade Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: * Entry: Above $512.00 with confirmation of momentum. * Target: $515.00 (initial), $520.00 (extended). * Stop-Loss: Below $510.00 to limit downside risk. Bearish Scenario: * Entry: Below $505.00 with strong volume. * Target: $500.00 (initial), $495.00 (extended). * Stop-Loss: Above $510.00 to cap losses. Conclusion QQQ is at a pivotal level, with $505 acting as a critical support zone. A breakout above $515 could trigger bullish momentum, while a breakdown below $505 could lead to further downside pressure. GEX levels provide clear zones to monitor for potential trading opportunities. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk responsibly.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
QQQ Short-Medium Term PathsQQQ just broke below its uptrend from the August low, it did break once before but that lasted less than a day below. This looks bearish to me, expecting a move down to the previous ATH around $503 and then back to where the election gap was if that doesn't hold. The most important level for longer term will be the trendline below from November 2023, seems bad if that breaks. If it can reclaim the trend from the August low instead it should set the stage for another new ATH soon after.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by AdvancedPlays
QQQ Testing Major Zones! Scalping, Swing, and Options OpportunitScalping Analysis for QQQ: 1. Support and Resistance Levels: * Support at $520 (key gamma wall and recent horizontal level). * Resistance near $523 (HVL) and $531 (call wall and gamma resistance). 2. Key Indicators: * 9 EMA & 21 EMA: Price is below both EMAs on the hourly timeframe, signaling short-term bearish momentum. * MACD: Bullish crossover forming, suggesting potential upward momentum if confirmed by price action. 3. Scalping Plan: * Bearish Scenario: * Entry: On rejection near $523-$525. * Target: $520, $515. * Stop Loss: Above $526. * Bullish Scenario: * Entry: Breakout above $523 with strong volume. * Target: $526, $531. * Stop Loss: Below $521. Swing/Day Trading Analysis for QQQ: 1. Trendlines: * QQQ recently broke below a short-term upward trendline but is attempting to retest support at $520. Watch for a breakout or breakdown to confirm direction. 2. GEX Analysis: * Strong resistance at $531 and $535 (gamma resistance). * Major put support at $520 and $515. 3. Trade Scenarios: * Bullish Swing: * Entry: On a breakout above $523 or bounce from $520 with confirmation. * Target: $526, $531. * Stop Loss: Below $519. * Bearish Swing: * Entry: Below $520 with a retest. * Target: $515, $510. * Stop Loss: Above $522. Options Play with GEX Insights: 1. High GEX Areas: * Call Wall: $531, $535. * Put Wall: $520, $515. 2. Suggested Options Strategy: * Bullish Play: * Buy Jan 5th $525 Call if QQQ breaks and sustains above $523 with volume. * Target: Move toward $526-$531. * Risk: Below $521. * Bearish Play: * Buy Jan 5th $515 Put if QQQ breaks below $520. * Target: $515-$510. * Risk: Above $522. 3. Options Oscillator Metrics: * Low IVR (15.5%) indicates relatively cheap premiums, favoring directional trades. * Puts skew (36.9%) suggests stronger bearish sentiment near current levels. Insights: * QQQ is at a key inflection point between $520 and $523, with major resistance overhead at $531. A breakout or breakdown will signal the next major move. * Volume Importance: Monitor for a surge in trading volume to validate directional moves, especially near $520 or $523. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage risk.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
Nasdaq (QQQ): Ready to Go Higher; Buy Signal Alert 💡 Setup Overview: This bullish setup is perfect for those who love buying dips. The green box highlights an ideal entry zone supported by Fibonacci retracement levels. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: Entry Zone: $489.88 - $501.27 Stop-Loss: $488.67 Targets: First Target: $526.47 Second Target: $551.80 📊 Strategy: The focus remains on buying dips for indices like SPY and QQQ, avoiding shorting positions. This plan leverages Elliott Wave patterns and Fibonacci extensions for precise entry points. 🕒 Expected Timeline: Medium-term hold.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by MrStockWhale
Still Bearish on QQQThis just a follow on post for our Dec 20th post. Markets do not correct in a straight lines so just drew a probable market course. This follow on post is just an iteration to reduce the anxiety if you are short. Ignore the noises on the social media. The area between 515 and 510 is a good support area which is already hit once. It would eventually breakdown and timeframe is still by Jan 21st. All the best. Marketpanda Disclaimer: The information provided is for general informational and educational purposes only, and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. None of the content shared should be relied upon as the sole basis for making investment decisions. Prior to making any financial or investment decisions, it is strongly recommended that you consult with a qualified financial advisor, accountant, or other professional who is familiar with your individual circumstances and risk tolerance. Any reliance you place on the information presented is strictly at your own risk, and we are not responsible for any losses, damages, or liabilities resulting from your investment or trading activities.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by marketpanda123
QQQ Fib Levels - just touched 2.0I used to be a big advocate for Fib levels, but I feel like the lead me astray more times than helped, but none the less here is a high-level look with my estimate of fib levels. If I did it correctly, QQQ just touched off the 2.0 level. This could explain the weakness we saw this holiday season instead of the normal "Santa Claus Rally". Will we get a sizeable correction in 2025? Don't know, but there is clear weakness with some form of pullback coming. Just short term or something bigger, hard to know yet. I'm in the camp of a pump and dump on the Trump administration. How does it go, buy the rumor, sell the news. Feels like it to me. Happy New Year!
NASDAQ:QQQ
by Dr_Roboto
QQQ Strong Resistance - Won't Break Through on the First TryIn this analysis of QQQ, we observe a potential bearish correction in progress after completing an impulsive move to the downside. The setup aligns with Elliott Wave Theory, highlighting a corrective ABC structure forming. Key Levels: Short Zone: 533.01 - 535.54 Stop-Loss: 536.45 (above key Fibonacci extension at 1.618) Target 1: 524.27 (Fibonacci retracement support) Target 2: 516.16 (extension and structural support) Strategy: Short Entry: Within the short zone (533.01 - 535.54). Stop-Loss: Set at 536.45 to manage risk. Take Profit: Gradual exits at Target 1 (524.27) and Target 2 (516.16). Context: QQQ is showing signs of bearish momentum after a corrective wave. Fibonacci extensions and Elliott Wave structure suggest a continuation to the downside. 💡 Reminder: Always manage your risk and confirm signals with your strategy before entering trades. #QQQ #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #ElliottWave #Fibonacci
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by MrStockWhale
QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF 2025 Prediction - My Top 10 PicksIf you haven`t bought the recent dip on QQQ: My price target for QQQ in 2025 is $608, driven by the following fundamental factors: Strong Growth Potential in Technology: The QQQ ETF is heavily weighted towards technology companies, which are at the forefront of innovation and growth. Major constituents like Apple, Microsoft, and NVIDIA are not only leaders in their respective fields but are also expected to benefit from ongoing trends such as artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and digital transformation. Analysts project that the earnings growth for QQQ constituents will outpace that of broader market indices, with estimated one-year earnings growth rates around 17.31%. This growth trajectory supports a bullish outlook as these companies continue to expand their market share and profitability. Favorable Macroeconomic Conditions: Recent Federal Reserve actions, including interest rate cuts, create a conducive environment for growth stocks. The Fed's dovish stance is likely to lower borrowing costs and stimulate investment in technology sectors. As interest rates decline, the present value of future earnings increases, making high-growth tech stocks more attractive. The anticipated economic recovery and stabilization should further enhance investor sentiment towards QQQ. Historical Performance and Resilience: Historically, QQQ has outperformed the S&P 500 in bull markets, showcasing its resilience during periods of economic expansion. Over the past decade, QQQ has delivered an average annual return of approximately 18.59%, significantly outpacing many other investment vehicles. This historical performance suggests that as market conditions improve, QQQ is well-positioned to capitalize on renewed investor interest in growth stocks.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by TopgOptions
QQQ (Invesco Nasdaq-100 ETF) – Breaking Down in the Future📉 Overview: QQQ, which tracks the Nasdaq-100, is showing signs of exhaustion at the $535.55 resistance zone. A corrective pullback is anticipated as the ETF completes its 5th wave, aligning with overbought conditions and broader macroeconomic headwinds. 📊 Technical Analysis: Resistance Zone: - Key Levels: $527.78–$535.55 (88% Fibonacci retracement). This zone has capped recent bullish attempts, with a potential reversal into a bearish wave structure. Elliott Wave Count: - Wave 5: Likely complete, with a corrective wave (A-B-C) unfolding. A break below the support trendline could signal the start of a more significant decline. Targets: - Target 1: $515.55 – Near-term pullback zone aligned with Fibonacci confluences. - Target 2: $498.58 – Corresponds with the 1.0 Fibonacci extension of the corrective wave. - Extended Target: $480.28 – Major support zone and 1.618 Fibonacci extension. - Stop-Loss: Placed above $535.55 to avoid false breakout risks. 🌐 Macro Analysis: Tech Sector Challenges: - Rising interest rates are a headwind for growth-oriented sectors like technology, which dominate QQQ. - Valuations appear stretched, leaving little room for error as earnings season approaches. Economic Data: Market sentiment is fragile amid concerns over slowing economic growth and potential Fed tightening in early 2025. Nasdaq-100 Dependency: Heavy reliance on a few mega-cap tech stocks makes QQQ vulnerable to concentrated risks. ⚡ Trade Plan: - Short Entry Zone: $527.78–$535.55. Risk-Reward Setup: - Stop-Loss: $535.55. - Target 1: $515.55 (RR ~ 2:1). - Target 2: $498.58 (RR ~ 4:1). - Extended Target: $480.28. 🔍 Considerations: Look out for Nasdaq-100 earnings reports, which could act as a catalyst for volatility. Monitor economic releases, such as inflation and jobs data, which could shift sentiment. Is QQQ poised for a reversal, or could the bulls defy the odds? Share your thoughts in the comments! 🚨📉
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by MrStockWhale
2
QQQ Poised for a Breakout! Scalping, Swing & Options Strategies Market Structure: * QQQ has formed an ascending wedge pattern, suggesting potential breakout or breakdown scenarios. * Price is consolidating around $529 after recovering from $505 lows, with the 9 EMA and 21 EMA trending upwards, signaling bullish momentum. * A key resistance zone is evident at $531–$533, with strong support at $527. Key Levels to Watch: * Support Zones: * $527: Immediate support aligned with the 2nd PUT wall from GEX and prior price pivot. * $526: Major support near the 3rd PUT wall and ascending wedge base. * Resistance Zones: * $531: Immediate resistance; breaking above opens the door to $533 and $535. * $535: Strong resistance and potential breakout target. Indicator Insights: * MACD: Flat but holding bullish territory; watch for crossover to confirm momentum. * Volume: Lower during consolidation; expect volume spikes near key levels for directional confirmation. * Options Oscillator: IVR (4.9) and net GEX suggest relatively low volatility but key resistance lies at $531 and $533. Scalping Strategy: 1. Bullish Setup: * Enter on a break above $531 with volume confirmation. * Targets: $533 and $535. * Stop Loss: Below $530 to limit risk. 2. Bearish Setup: * Enter on a breakdown below $527 with bearish momentum. * Targets: $526 and $524. * Stop Loss: Above $528 for risk control. 3. Tools to Use: * VWAP for intraday levels and RSI for momentum confirmation. * React quickly to price movements at GEX-determined levels ($527, $531). Swing Trading Strategy: 1. Bullish Scenario: * Enter on a daily close above $531 with high volume. * Targets: $533 and $535 for a short-term swing. * Stop Loss: Below $529 to minimize downside risk. 2. Bearish Scenario: * Enter if QQQ closes below $526 with bearish continuation. * Targets: $524 and $520. * Stop Loss: Above $528. 3. Indicators to Monitor: * EMA (9/21) crossover and RSI levels for trend confirmation. * Volume spikes at support or resistance levels. Options Strategy Based on GEX: 1. Bullish Options Play: * Buy a Call Option with a $530 strike expiring in 1-2 weeks. * Target: Exit at $533 or $535 based on price action. * Stop Loss: Close the trade if QQQ falls below $528. 2. Bearish Options Play: * Buy a Put Option with a $527 strike expiring in 1-2 weeks. * Target: Exit at $526 or $524. * Stop Loss: Close the trade if QQQ rises above $529. 3. Neutral Strategy: * Sell a Put Credit Spread at $527/$525, profiting from QQQ holding above $527. * Maximum profit if QQQ remains above $527 by expiration. 4. Advanced Gamma Strategy: * If QQQ holds above $531, consider selling a Call Spread at $533/$535 to collect premium while capping risk. Actionable Plan for QQQ: * Scalpers should focus on intraday moves between $527 and $531 with quick reactions to price action. * Swing traders can capitalize on breakouts or breakdowns from $531 and $527, respectively. * Options traders should leverage low IV and key GEX levels for directional plays or premium collection strategies. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights