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QQQ trade ideas

Calling the Macro Blow-off Top: 2.5x returns in only 4 years?Today I see the QQQ struggling to break another ATh on it's winning streak. Like many investors, I have no reason industrially to believe that the entire information technology sector is worth 2.5x what it was worth in 2020 spring. It was overvalued then, and now, well, goldilocks is about to meet the bears and say - well, I want it that way (pointing to the cold bowl of oatmeal). Listen. When a blow-off-top manifests, it's easy to buy in. Just like the head and shoulders doesn't seem like a head when you are standing on the head. But srsly - we are standing on the head, and boyo jack is going to cut htis beanstock now, and either the giant falling down is going to crush us, or we'll make off with the golden goos. My current allocations: 58% Treasuries earning north of 5% in the "BIL" etf (a much better hedge than bonds, now that correlation has resumed between bonds and stocks), and 42% Value Equities, with no holding having a P/E above 30, and with all holdings having positive Earnings, Positive Growth, and ROE above 20%. That is what fundamental investing is, folks. I own companies that earn money and project to earn money. I don't own hope. Anyone owning hope is in delusion. Own fundamentals. And join me on the side with all your potfolio in AMEX:BIL , and laugh at the next 10 years of consolidation. I estimate nearly 0% overall growth in the tech sector over the next 5 years, and AI will create as many problems as it solves - a net loss, in my opinion.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by MikaelZg
1
QQQ & the market are heading higher! BULL RUN CONTINUATION! NASDAQ:QQQ and the overall markets are heading higher based on our High Five Setup Trading Strategy and what the charts are telling us! - Ascending triangle breakout_retest_next is higher. This was a tricky one as we broke out and over shot the rest area but we are now back above the breakout area and set for ATH push this upcoming thanksgiving week IMO. - Dropped down to our support zone and caught a bid as we anticipated due to AVP shelf and the 9ema. - Williams R% needed that pullback last week, and now we have a retest of support and a bounce higher in our consolidation box. Giving us a strong signal we will build on the week we just had and head towards ATH's once more. Measure move for the Ascending Triangle is: $560 Measure Timeframe is: March2025 For everyone that is calling a TOP across social medias. I say NO SIR! The charts DON'T LIE! NFA
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by RonnieV29
Nasdaq100 ETF - $QQQ - LET ME TALK TO YA!Nasdaq100 ETF - NASDAQ:QQQ - LET ME TALK TO YA! 🗣️ The charts know better than any FUD FURU just using whatever data to get their point across (metrics, valuation data, economic data, and valuation formulas). Unless you can get everyone on this planet to align to include the charts you or me don't know what this market will do at the end of the day/week/month/year! Now that we got that out of the way as a follow up to all the fear spreading top callers, lets talk about the charts! Just like with NASDAQ:AMZN we need to give room for retests, we had an ascending triangle, our H5 Indicator stayed green and so we gave the candlestick and ascending triangle pattern retest some wiggle room! Thus allowing for the bounce off the H5/ 9Ema and breaking back out over top of the pattern which is HIGHLY BULLISH as we have a successful retest now. I expect to claw back to ATH's now very soon! Williams R% is also respecting the consolidation box and uptrend at the same time as seen on the chart. No bullet points just a lot of words and thoughts! Here's a chart too: 🎯$560 🎯$580 NFA
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by RonnieV29
$QQQ Today's Trading range for 12.5.24In QQQ, we are overbought, overextended, and the 35 EMA is underneath the implied move for the day which often signals down or flat day The implied move for today is between 519 and 527 and that is from options The 30 day average volatility between 515 and 532 And the implied move on Friday’s contract 518 to 529. Here, we are also just under all-time highs we made that in the last candle yesterday that is the only level to the upside and then 527 is the top of the implied move. We have the 35 EMA underneath the implied move within that up gap from yesterday that does signal down or a flat day normally 519 is the bottom of the implied move. Bottom of that gap is, 517 and 518 bottom of the implied move on Friday’s contract
NASDAQ:QQQ
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
1
QQQ on the Edge: Breakout or Reversal? Key Levels to WatchTechnical Analysis & Price Action * Trend Overview: QQQ continues its bullish momentum, reaching $523.52 before consolidating near $522. This upward channel is intact, with buyers maintaining control, but caution is warranted as it approaches resistance. * Support Levels: * $517.50: Immediate support aligning with recent pullbacks. * $513.33: Strong support where buyers previously stepped in. * $510.00: Key psychological support, failure here may lead to further downside. * Resistance Levels: * $523.52: Immediate resistance, a breakout above this level could push toward $530. * $527–$530: Major resistance zone to watch for profit-taking or rejection. Liquidity Zones & Order Blocks * Liquidity Zone: $516–$517, high trading volume with significant activity, acting as a pivot zone. * Order Block: $520–$522; a breakout here could signal bullish continuation. Scalping Playbook 1. Bullish Setup: * Entry: Above $523.52 with increasing volume. * Target: $527 (partial) and $530. * Stop Loss: Below $520. 2. Bearish Setup: * Entry: Below $517.50 with a strong breakdown. * Target: $513.33 (partial) and $510. * Stop Loss: Above $520. Swing Trade Strategy 1. Bullish Swing: * Entry: Close above $523.52 with volume and bullish momentum. * Target: $530 (short-term) and $535 (medium-term). * Stop Loss: $520. 2. Bearish Swing: * Entry: Close below $513.33 with strong selling pressure. * Target: $510 and possibly $505. * Stop Loss: $515. Thoughts & Projections * QQQ’s strong uptrend shows no immediate signs of reversal, but volume at resistance needs to be monitored closely. * The MACD histogram indicates slowing momentum, suggesting a potential pullback before the next leg higher. * Focus on intraday volume and watch for rejection near $523 or a breakout confirmation. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence and manage risk effectively.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
QQQ Approaches Critical Resistance: Is a Breakout or Reversal?QQQ is trading near significant resistance levels after a strong rally. Here's a comprehensive analysis and trading plan to help traders navigate the current price action. 1️⃣ Price Action & Chart Analysis * Trend Overview: QQQ is in a rising wedge pattern, which often signals potential exhaustion of the current uptrend. * Key Levels: * Resistance: $518.30 (current high), $525.00 (psychological resistance). * Support: $513.30 (recent breakout level), $511.40 (previous strong support). The current price is testing the upper trendline of the wedge, indicating a crucial area for decision-making. 2️⃣ Liquidity Zones & Order Blocks * Liquidity Zone: Watch for price activity between $516.00–$518.30, where sellers could gain strength. * Order Block: Strong demand identified near $511.00–$513.00 from prior accumulation. 3️⃣ Scalping Strategy For intraday opportunities: * Entry (Breakout): Buy above $518.50 if volume confirms the breakout. Target $520.50–$522.00. * Stop-Loss: Below $517.00 to limit losses. * Rejection Play: If $518.30 acts as resistance, consider a short trade targeting $515.00–$513.30. 4️⃣ Swing Trade Strategy For multi-day setups: * Entry Option 1: Go long on a confirmed breakout above $518.30 with increasing volume. * Entry Option 2: Wait for a pullback to $513.00–$515.00 for better risk-reward. * Targets: * Initial Target: $525.00 * Extended Target: $530.00 * Stop-Loss: Below $511.00 for a more conservative approach. 5️⃣ Momentum & Indicators * MACD: Positive momentum persists but shows signs of weakening, hinting at potential consolidation or pullback. * Volume: Slightly decreasing volume may indicate hesitation among buyers. Game Plan for Tomorrow * Scenario 1: A breakout above $518.30 with strong volume could lead to further upside toward $525.00. * Scenario 2: Rejection at $518.30 might result in a pullback to $513.00 or lower. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always perform your own research and consider your risk tolerance before trading.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
QQQ Analysis: Scalping and Swing Trade Strategies for Dec. 3QQQ has displayed strong bullish momentum, breaking out of its recent consolidation. This analysis provides a detailed trading plan, highlighting critical support and resistance levels, price action insights, and actionable strategies for both scalping and swing trading. Technical Analysis and Price Action 1. Trend Overview:
QQQ has broken out of its descending channel, signaling bullish strength. The MACD confirms upward momentum, with volume increasing on the breakout. 2. Key Support & Resistance Zones: * Support Levels: * Primary: $511.35 (previous resistance, now turned support). * Secondary: $510.11 (gap-fill level). * Resistance Levels: * Immediate: $516.26 (current high). * Strong Resistance: $520.00 (psychological level and previous supply zone). 3. Liquidity Zones and Order Blocks: * Buyers are concentrated at $511.35, suggesting strong demand. * Sellers are active around $516.26, indicating a supply zone. Game Plan and Playbook Scalping Strategy * Entry: * Long: Above $516.26 with confirmation of strong volume. * Short: Below $511.35 if breakdown occurs. * Targets: * Long Target: $518.00 (minor resistance) and $520.00 (major resistance). * Short Target: $510.11. * Stop Loss: * Long: $515.00 (below breakout level). * Short: $512.50 (above breakdown level). Swing Trading Strategy * Bullish Setup: * Entry: Retest of $511.35 with bullish candlestick confirmation. * Target 1: $520.00. * Target 2: $525.00 (extension level). * Stop Loss: $509.00 (below support). * Bearish Setup: * Entry: Breakdown below $510.11 with increased selling volume. * Target 1: $502.00 (previous consolidation support). * Target 2: $495.00. * Stop Loss: $512.50. Projection: Where QQQ Could Head Next QQQ appears poised to test the $520.00 level if it sustains above $516.26. Failure to hold above $511.35 could trigger a pullback to $510.11 or lower. Volume will be critical in confirming the direction. Key Indicators to Watch * MACD: Bullish crossover supports further upside. * RSI: Near overbought, signaling potential caution at higher levels. * Volume: Watch for spikes to validate breakout or breakdown scenarios. My Thoughts and Suggestions QQQ is showing strong bullish momentum, but traders should exercise caution near resistance levels. Scalpers can capitalize on intraday volatility, while swing traders should wait for a retest of support or confirmation of a breakout. Patience is key to avoiding false breakouts. Conclusion The Nasdaq-100 ETF offers compelling opportunities for traders, with clear setups for both bulls and bears. By adhering to a structured plan, traders can maximize their edge while minimizing risk. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk carefully.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
Heavy Bearish Divs On QQQ, But...QQQ is sending clear warning signs in the form of strongly pronounced bearish divergences in the RSI, price-volume trend and other indicators. Of course, this does not necessarily mean that the market will now fall significantly. But if you look at other assets, you will see that the more pronounced the divergences, the greater the price movements. What should we look out for now? First of all, seasonality, which is very bullish here at the end of the year and usually in January too. We are looking at the daily chart here, so it may take some time for the divergences to ignite. Subsequently, a downward trend should establish itself in the subordinate time frames. The H1-H2 chart should be kept in view here. A pullback should then be awaited in order to find a favorable entry point. What we can say for sure: The bull train is currently still in full swing. We know that many traders are observing the divergences, but one should not try to short the high due to the seasonality. When the bears return, there will be time enough for considered entries.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by Ochlokrat
Last Correction for the Year and then we go back to sub 3% IR.We should see 1 more last correction during the holiday season before President Trump gets inaugurated. This might be one of the last golden eras where a president suppresses interest rates one last time to try to make the economy flourish again in these next 4 years. These last 4 years was a repeat of the 1970s great inflation with Jimmy Carter except now its with Joe Biden but instead of Donald Trump having a Paul Volcker fed chairman he has a very indecisive Jerome Powell whom will just kick inflation further down the road (via cutting interest rates back to sub 3%) for the next Fed chairman to deal with in 2026.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by christiandel410
5
QQQ – Testing Resistance: Breakout or Fakeout?QQQ is testing a critical resistance level near $510, trading within a rising wedge pattern that suggests potential for both breakout and pullback scenarios. This analysis delves into key levels, technical indicators, and trade setups to navigate QQQ's next move. Market Structure & Price Action: * Recent Trend: QQQ has rebounded from the $494 support zone and is now retesting the upper resistance at $510. * Liquidity Zones: * Strong buyer activity near $501–$503. * Sellers are concentrated at $510–$511, marking the top of the current range. * Volume Profile: Volume has picked up during the upward push, but the absence of a clear breakout signal suggests caution. Key Levels: 1. Resistance Zones: * $510–$511: Immediate resistance and potential breakout zone. * $515: Next target upon a successful breakout. 2. Support Zones: * $503: Immediate support within the range. * $494: Strong demand zone, acting as a floor for recent pullbacks. Indicators: * MACD (1-hour): Bullish momentum with a crossover, though the histogram is flattening, suggesting a slowdown. * Volume: Watch for a volume spike at $510 to confirm a breakout or rejection. Trade Ideas: 1. Scalping Setup: * Entry (Long): Above $511 with confirmation of a breakout (volume surge and strong bullish candles). * Target: $513–$515. * Stop-Loss: Below $509. * Short Setup: If rejected at $510, short below $509 targeting $503, with a stop above $511. 2. Swing Trading Setup: * Bullish Case: * Entry: On a breakout above $511. * Target 1: $515. * Target 2: $520. * Stop-Loss: Below $509. * Bearish Case: * Entry: Short below $503. * Target 1: $498. * Target 2: $494. * Stop-Loss: Above $505. Thoughts & Outlook: QQQ is at a pivotal point, with $510 acting as a make-or-break level. A breakout above $511 could lead to significant bullish momentum, targeting $515 or higher. Conversely, rejection at $510 would suggest a move back to $503 or lower, offering opportunities for both scalpers and swing traders. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research and trade responsibly. Trading involves risk.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
Measured Moves: A Guide to Finding TargetsMeasured Moves: A Guide to Finding Targets Visualizing the boundaries of price movement helps anticipate potential swing points. The concept of measured moves offers a structured framework to estimate future price behavior, based on the observation that each swing move often mirrors the size of the previous one, assuming average price volatility remains consistent. While not exact, this approach provides a practical method to approximate the extension of a swing move. Background Determining profit targets across various methods and timeframes can be challenging. To address this, I reviewed the tactics of experienced traders and market research, noting key similarities and differences. Some traders relied more on discretion, while others used technical targets or predetermined risk-to-reward ratios. Levels of support and resistance (S/R) and the Fibonacci tool frequently appeared, though their application varied by trader. Based on current evidence, levels appear most relevant when tied to the highest and lowest swing points within the current price structure, for example in a range-bound market. In contrast, sporadic or subtle levels from historical movements seem no more significant than random points. The Fibonacci tool can provide value since measurements are based on actual price range; however, the related values have limited evidence to support them. To explore these ideas, I conducted measurements on over a thousand continuation setups to identify inherent or consistent patterns in swing moves. It’s important to emphasize that tools and indicators should never be used blindly. Trading requires self-leadership and critical thinking. The application of ideas without understanding their context or validity undermines the decision-making process and leads to inconsistent results. This concept formed the foundation for my analysis, ensuring that methods were tested rather than taken at face value. Definitions Trending price movement advances in steps, either upward or downward. This includes a stronger move followed by a weaker corrective move, also known as a retracement. When the corrective move is done and prices seem to resume the prevailing trend, we can use the prior move to estimate targets; this is known as a projection. For example, if a stock moves up by 10%, pauses, and subsequently makes another move, we can utilize that value to estimate the potential outcome. Well thats the idea.. Data Through manual measurements across various timeframes, price structures, and stock categories, I have gathered data on retracements and projections. However, this information should not be considered precise due to market randomness and inherent volatility. In fact, deviations—such as a notable failure to reach a target or overextensions—can indicate a potential structural change. As this study was conducted with a manual approach, there is a high risk of selection bias, which raises concerns about the methodology's reliability. However, it allows for a more discretionary perspective, enabling observations and discretion that might be overlooked in a purely automated analysis. To simplify the findings, the presented values below represent a combination of all the data. Retracement Tool In the context of price movements within a trend, specifically continuation setups, retracements typically fall between 20% and 50% of the prior move. While retracements beyond 50% are less common, this does not necessarily invalidate the setup. From my observations, two distinct patterns emerge. First, a shallow retracement where the stock consolidates within a narrow range, typically pulling back no more than 10% to 20% before continuing its trend. Second, a deeper retracement, often around 50%, followed by a nested move higher before a continuation. For those referencing commonly mentioned values (though not validated), levels such as 23.6%, 38.2%, 44.7%, and 50% align with this range. Additionally, 18% frequently appears as a notable breakout point. However, I strongly advise against relying on precise numbers with conviction due to the natural volatility and randomness inherent in the market. Instead, a more reliable approach is to maintain a broad perspective—for example, recognizing that retracements in the 20% to 50% range are common before a continuation. This approach allows flexibility and helps account for the variability in price action. Projection Tool When there is a swing move either upward or downward, we can utilize the preceding one of the same type for estimation. This approach can be used exclusively since it is applicable for retracements, projections, and range-bound markets as long as there has been a similar price event in recent time. In terms of projection, the most common range is between 60% and 120% of the prior move, with 70% to 100% being more prevalent. It is uncommon for a stock to exceed 130% of the preceding move. Frequently mentioned values in this context include 61.8% and 78.6% as one area, although these values are frequently surpassed. The next two commonly mentioned values are 88.6% and 100%, which are the most frequent and can be used effectively on their own. These values represent a complete measured move, as they closely mimic the magnitude of the prior move with some buffer. The last value, 127%, is also notable, but exceeding this level is less common. Application The simplest application of this information is to input the range of 80% to 100% into the projection tool. Then, measure a similar prior move to estimate the subsequent one. This is known as the measured move. There are no strict rules to follow—it’s more of an art. The key is to measure the most similar move in recent times. If the levels appear unclear or overly complicated, they likely are. The process should remain simple and combined with a discretionary perspective. Interestingly, using parallel channels follows the same principle, as they measure the range per swing and project average volatility. This can provide an alternative yet similar way to estimate price movement based on historical swings. The advantage of this method is its universal and adaptable nature for setting estimates. However, it requires a prior swing move and is most effective in continuation setups. Challenges arise when applying it to the start of a new move, exhaustion points, or structural changes, as these can distort short-term price action. For instance, referencing a prior uptrend to project a downtrend is unlikely to be effective due to the opposing asymmetry in swing moves. In some cases, measured moves from earlier periods can be referenced if the current range is similar. Additionally, higher timeframes take precedence over lower ones when determining projections. This is nothing more than a tool and should be used with a discretionary perspective, as with all indicators and drawing tools. The true edge lies elsewhere. Example Use 1. Structure: Identify an established trend or range and measure a clear swing move. 2. Measured Move: Apply the measurement to the subsequent move by duplicating the line to the next point or using a trend-based Fibonacci extension tool set to 100% of the prior swing. The first two points define the swing move. The third point is placed at the deepest part of the subsequent pullback or at the start of the new move. 3. Interpretation: While this is a simple tool, its effective use and contextual application require experience and practice. Remember, this process relies on approximation and discretionary judgment.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by StockLeave
12
QQQ A Fall Expected! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for QQQ below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 505.79 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 502.68 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by AnabelSignals
1