SPXL trade ideas
SPXL trajectory SPX has a lot further to fall. In March 2020, was new pattern onset. Based on Sine Wave Theory, the downward trajectory will continue till it reaches the blue trend line. This will hold good if this months (November 2022) candle closes below 52.84 yielding a bearish continuation pattern.
SPXL , SHORT So , here's another trade that I'm really not confident in . But just following the wedge drop signal .
Also seems like bulls are having trouble taking out local daily resistance between 74.21 and 71.23 and making a higher high , we instead have 3 lower lows and seems like 3 times trying something and failing increases the probability of another leg down maybe ...
On the flip side however , we are in a range and the longer we stay in this range the more closer the odds of a break up come from favoring the bears slightly to being closer to even odds of up or down . I say that based on Al Brooks price action ,which I have found pretty helpful .
67.22 in
Stop 71.80
PT1 - 62.61 , sell 1/4 , raise stop to half risk
PT2 - 57.64 , sell 1/4
run balance ...
SPXL , SHORTJust taking the WD here on SPXL/SPY
I see that the volume on today for both spy and qqq is below average , so not distribution days even though the volume shown here on SPXL is high I think that SPY's volume take the precedence . That is one thing that I think is against this trade ...
None the less we still have a stage 4 downtrend wedge drop so took the trade .
Entry 67.41
Stop 74.86
PT 1 , 60.22 , sell half and stop to half risk
PT 2 , 52.98 , sell 1/4
S&P 500 down more than 20% half-yearStock costs dropped forcefully this previous week as the S&P 500 finished its most obviously terrible first 50% of any year in the greater part a long time.
The S&P 500 dropped 20.6% in the initial a half year of 2022, its most horrendously terrible execution in the initial two quarters starting around 1970. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is additionally down over 14% year-to-date, while the tech-weighty Nasdaq has fallen generally 30%.
On Monday, a few major U.S. banks declared they are raising their profits subsequent to passing the Federal Reserve's yearly pressure test. Bank of America raised its profit by 5%, Morgan Stanley raised its payout by 11%, Wells Fargo helped its profit by 20% and Goldman Sachs climbed its profit by 25%.
Kohl's portions dropped 21% on Friday morning after the organization pulled out from buyout discussions with Franchise Group. Establishment Group had recently proposed a buyout of Kohl's at a cost of $60 per share, yet Franchise had supposedly been thinking about bringing its proposition value down to around $50 per share before talks separated.
The greatest negative impetus at stock costs in 2022 has been tirelessly raised expansion, yet new information from the Bureau of Economic Analysis recommends the Federal Reserve may at long last be gaining a touch of headway in battling taking off costs. On Thursday, the BEA detailed the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) list was up 4.7% year-over-year in May, down marginally from a 4.9% increase in April.
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multiple scenarios for mondaydepending how futures market plays out tonight and if people keep buying a mondays open we cod have very different outcomes. the bull case is essentially if we see RSI, Double STOCH signal remain positive or if we hit resistance at gap close and continue lower or make a double bottom. even in the bull case we could rally for a couple weeks and then double bottom. bias cautiously bullish as there are more bull scenarios than bear. even the magenta path is a bull scenario for a few days. staying over TRAMA and causing VWMA to rise with it means strong support for bulls.
spx getting to oversold (SPXL)we are in technical conditions of a selloff and risk averse activity is driving the market. defensive sectors are even doing poorly. there is no reason to think price action will turn around here, vut the price doesnt go anywhere in a straight line. at least one last trip up to mid or upper 95s is a valid target.
probable tightening range (SPXL)given the amount of retracement if we stay over 97 and attract volume setting and confirmin this as a higher low around the .5 its likely we enter a tightening range going for a touch of vwma and then setting a lower high. id like to close that day around the highs for a bull daily case. horizontals are valid targets.
seems a lot like volatility has returned as the norm (SPXL)theres a chance that getting back to all time highs may take a lonh time, and when we get there we may be heading into another drop. if volatility has returned as the new norm there is a lot of evidence to suggest that we wont see a stronger market than 2021 until at least 2023. should we make a second break to the downside whether it is sooner or later a touch of vwma monthly is not unthinkable.