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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-7-25: Where's The Deep-VShortly after I created the morning video, the markets opened with a BANG. First rallying, then rolling over - just as I predicted. Granted, I never expected the markets to rally above 606 before rolling downward, but the breakdown move into a potential Deep-V looks to be playing out very nicely right now. Come Monday (2-10), and possibly carrying into the 13th, we could see a very sharp deep-V type price move that pushes the SPY below 580 for a period of time. That could be a very big move from the 606+ levels we saw this morning. And you know I'll be saying, "Just as I predicted," for at least 3 to 5 days starting early next week if that happens. Again, I put my research out to the public like this to either live or die by my work. Very few people are able to do this - or they flip/flop all the time (every 2-3 hours). My research is different. I'm really trying to make a difference by telling traders what to expect now and in the future. I know I'm starting to make a difference for many people because I'm getting emails and messages from individuals who use my research to identify great trade opportunities. Are you going to be the next person to share your success story with me? Remember, have a safe weekend and GET SOME come Monday morning. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
Plan Your Trade : Behind The Scenes - Learning PerspectiveI created this video to help answer a question from a follower. One of the biggest concerns for traders is how to use my research/info in a way that benefits them. My Plan Your Trade videos are based on Daily & Weekly price patterns/cycles. I won't delve into the Intraday research much because it is almost impossible to predict 2 to 10-minute price bars/action throughout the day when new hits and external price data may dramatically change how price moves throughout the day. I would have to continue making videos every 30 to 45 minutes to help you understand the dynamics of intraday price action. Either way, watch this video to learn a bit more about my research and why I'm trying to help traders learn to make better decisions. I'm really not here to tell you what to trade - or when to trade. I'm here to help you learn to make better trading decisions ON YOUR OWN. I try to help you learn to become a more knowledgeable and skilled trader by sharing some of my advanced research and demonstrating patterns, setups, price levels, and Cycle Patterns. The only thing I can do to help you become a better trader is to help you learn better skills and techniques. If you treat trading like gambling, you'll go broke (often). If you understand trading as a process of grabbing profits when efficient and limiting risks, you'll survive and grow your account over time. It's really that simple. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
8
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-6-25: Counter-Trend RALLY Today's pattern is a counter-trend Rally pattern. I read this as a downward trending type of rally phase/bar. Much like yesterday's rally in the markets. Today should be just the opposite - a downward trending bar. I believe this is a move downward setting up the Deep-V pattern which should hit early next week. I suggest traders prepare for a rollover-topping pattern near this upper resistance area and prepare for the markets to move downward - seeking support. Gold and Silver will likely move downward as well if the market does roll over, as I suspect. Gold and Silver tend to move downward when the markets shift into a downward trend. Bitcoin is trapped within a range (again), and it appears that over the next few days, it will attempt to move downward with the markets. Again, the next four to five days will be a do-or-die type of move. I've been telling all of you this Deep-V breakdown will happen for more than thirty days, so I'm watching to see if it really does happen. Either way, it is now a bad idea to take some profits near these highs in preparation for any potential breakdown. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 5 2025AMEX:SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders We are sitting right at the 35EMA above the 30min 200MA which is still bullish. We have a green signal line, and we are above the 50 Day Moving Average. We do have a bearish signal which is the 1hr 200MA trading underneath the 50 Day moving Average So we are have mixed signals today, leaning bullish but not fully bullish. Implied move on the day is 596 to 607 - let’s go, y’all
AMEX:SPY
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Feb 3, 2025 Afternoon UpdateWell, it seems everyone did quite well playing my prediction of a breakdown (again) in the markets today. Last week, I continued to warn the markets were very fragile and would likely break downward aggressively. Of course, the political drama (tariffs) helped to move the markets a bit this weekend. But, still, it was great to hear from everyone who made a healthy profit today. GET SOME. I also have been getting questions about the RALLY - RALLY - (counter-trend) RALLY setting up on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday this week. So, I created this video to help you understand why I believe those RALLY days will be rather muted on Wednesday/Thursday and maybe a type of topping pattern on Tuesday. I see the markets as breaking downward (breaking away from the dual Excess Phase Peak patterns), and because of that, I see the markets should attempt to move aggressively downward over the next 15+ days. I don't see any reason for the markets to mount a big rally right now - unless we are talking about a pullback in a downtrend. So, watch this video, pay attention to what I see, and then we'll see how things play out. Go GET SOME. This is a true trader's market. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 4 2025So in today’s trading range, we are just a little bit above the 50 day moving average that level is in focus above that we have the 30 minute timeframe 30 minute trading under the 35 EMA that is still bullish. There’s not a whole lot of momentum Here right now we got pushed back from all time highs last week and pushed right back to the 50 day moving average, which is flat, and the one hour 200MA which is also flat. (From down) We do have a support level after filling that gap at 590 on the day. Overall, the general momentum looks pretty flat with a bar gap in the upper part of the trading range . I have iron condors, and iron butterflies on from yesterday so the flatter the better today for me.
AMEX:SPY
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
SPY Faces Key Support Test! A Reversal or Breakdown Ahead? Jan3Technical Analysis: 1. Trend Overview: * SPY is consolidating within an ascending wedge pattern but is now testing critical support levels near $598. * MACD shows bearish momentum as the histogram dives deeper into negative territory. * Stochastic RSI has entered oversold territory, hinting at a potential bounce but no confirmation yet. 2. Support and Resistance: * Immediate Support: $598. * Key Resistance: $610, aligned with the highest positive NETGEX wall. 3. Volume: * The recent decline is supported by increasing volume, signaling strong selling pressure. GEX and Options Perspective: 1. Gamma Levels: * Resistance: $610 (highest positive NETGEX), followed by $615. * Support: $598 and $595 as critical PUT walls with -59.64% and -67.37% negative gamma concentrations, respectively. * Extreme Bearish Zone: Below $590, where PUT dominance may accelerate downside moves. 2. Implied Volatility and Sentiment: * IVR: 19.4 indicates moderate volatility. * IVx average: 15.7, showing slightly elevated implied volatility compared to historical norms. * PUT$ dominance at 70.3% highlights bearish sentiment in the options market. Trade Scenarios: 1. Bullish Setup: * Entry: Above $601 with confirmation of strong buying volume. * Target: $610, with a stretch target at $615. * Stop-Loss: Below $598. 2. Bearish Setup: * Entry: Below $598, confirming a breakdown from support. * Target: $590, with an extended target at $585. * Stop-Loss: Above $601. Actionable Suggestion: * Watch for a reversal signal at $598, potentially confirmed by bullish divergence on MACD and Stochastic RSI. * In case of a breakdown, consider aligning trades with PUT-heavy zones below $595 for downside continuation. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your due diligence and manage your risk effectively.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
Bearish Engulfing Reaction on First Round of New TariffsTrump plans new tariffs: 25% on Canadian and Mexican imports, 10% on Chinese goods, starting Saturday (Feb 1, 2025). Citing fentanyl and immigration concerns, the move threatens $1.6 trillion in North American trade, shaking markets and weakening regional currencies. Trump's tariffs during his first term caused significant market volatility. Major tariff announcements, particularly against China, led to sharp declines, such as the Dow's 724-point drop in March 2018. Stocks of companies with China exposure, like Caterpillar and Boeing, were hit hardest. Conversely, signs of trade agreements or de-escalation often led to market rebounds, highlighting investor sensitivity to trade policy uncertainty. Right now I believe we are in the beginning phase of the tariff dispute where retaliation ("tit for tat") headline risk remains heightened as we wait for the official response from Mexico, Canada, and China. This I believe will put continued pressure on AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:IWM until there is a de-escalation off-ramp. SPY bear target to 590.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Audacity618
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For Jan 31 : GAP PotentialAs we move into the end of January 2025, I'm still watching for technical failure near these higher levels. On Monday, we saw a huge breakdown in the markets just days after my Jan 21-23 Top prediction. Now, as we are moving into the Feb 9-11 DeepV base/bottom pattern - I've been expecting the markets to move into a downward trending phase - which has not happened yet. The way I see the markets right now and how I would offer a general interpretation of the trend is "struggling to find/set a new trend". In other words, the markets are really congested in a wide range. I believe the markets will attempt to move downward after today's opening GAP higher. I believe the markets are going to continue to struggle to find support and trade in a downward-sloping consolidated price range until Q3/Q4:2025. I believe the markets are reacting to earnings and continued support right now, but that will ultimately resolve as a breakdown phase over the next 60+ days - leading to the multiple BASE/BOTTOM patterns my cycle research suggests will happen. So, I continue to explain what I see in the context of the broader cycle phases. Gold and Silver may rally a bit today - but we have a CRUSH pattern on Monday - so try not to carry any positions over the weekend. BTCUSD is struggling to move away from very strong consolidation. It is also setting up multiple Excess Phase Peak patterns. I believe we need to be patient as BTCUSD struggles to find a new trend. Right now, I see more downside potential than upside potential. I would offer one warning about today. Today's opening GAP will likely prompt a breakdown in price (moving downward) as we head into next week. I believe next week will be very volatile. Buckle up. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
2
750 dolla spy.gm, wanted to share my outlook on the stock market today. --- fear is accelerating. uncertainty is going parabolic in a way we haven’t seen since the covid crash. people are running. insiders are exiting. the herd is collectively turning bearish. but i’m bullish. --- here’s exactly why: -quantitative easing is coming back. -rate cuts are on the horizon. -the us dollar is depreciating. -economic expansion is inevitable. -the artificial intelligence boom is just getting started. --- while most people fumble their bag up here, drowning in fear, we look for significantly higher prices into 2026. --- ps. i left out upside targets and timeframes because none of that matters at the moment. only the structure does. if you like the structure, use it. don't give me any credit. i don’t need it. if you make a dolla this next year, donate a tenth of it to someone who needs it more than you. the universe will handle the rest. 🌙
AMEX:SPY
by notoriousbids
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 7 20AMEX:SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 7 2025 Alright, y’all, ATH’s are back in the trading range today. We have a downtrend line off of ATH’s midway through the range and then ATH’s, and 612 as the top of the implied move for the day. Underneath we have the 35EMA -which we bounced on yesterday - and the 30min 200 for support. Under all of that we have the 50 Day Moving average. Easy Trading range today. Bullish moving averages but they are close together and that means that could change.
AMEX:SPY
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
SPY Analysis for February 7thTechnical Overview: 1. Price Action: SPY has been consolidating near the $605 zone, with a slight bullish bias as it approaches key resistance levels. 2. Support Zones: * $600 (psychological level and prior support). * $595 (secondary support, aligned with PUT Support). 3. Resistance Levels: * $610 (previous high and close to the second CALL Wall). * $620 (highest positive NETGEX / Gamma Wall, strong resistance). Indicator Insights: * MACD: Slight bullish crossover but showing limited momentum. * Stoch RSI: Climbing but nearing overbought territory, indicating potential pullback. * Volume: Gradually increasing during the last sessions, suggesting accumulation. GEX Analysis: * Puts: 68.4% dominance, highlighting significant bearish sentiment. * Calls: Reduced exposure; however, strong Gamma Wall at $620 indicates upside cap. * Key Observations: * The proximity to PUT Support around $595 indicates strong defensive positions from bears. * A breakout above $610 could trigger rapid movement toward $615–$620 due to lighter gamma resistance in this range. Trade Suggestions: * Bullish Scenario: * Entry: Above $610 with volume confirmation. * Target: $615–$620. * Stop Loss: Below $600. * Bearish Scenario: * Entry: Below $600, aiming for $595 or lower. * Target: $590. * Stop Loss: Above $605. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always perform your due diligence and manage risk accordingly before making trading decisions. Market conditions can change rapidly, so monitor updates and real-time data during the session.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
Technical Analysis for SPY (30-Minute Chart) - February 5Market Structure Analysis * SPY is consolidating near the $599-$600 level after a recent bounce off the $590 support zone. This indicates a short-term range between $595 and $601. * The MACD is flat and slightly bullish, suggesting indecision but with a potential upward momentum if buyers sustain pressure above $600. * The Stochastic RSI is near the overbought zone, signaling caution for potential pullbacks or consolidation. GEX (Gamma Exposure) Insights * Put Wall: Significant put support at $590, indicating strong downside protection. * Call Resistance: Notable resistance at $610 and $615, suggesting a challenging path for SPY to break above these levels in the current session. * Gamma Bias: With 71.8% puts, the market sentiment leans bearish, but the strong gamma support at $590 suggests limited downside. Directional Bias * The GEX data and technical levels indicate a neutral-to-slightly-bullish bias as long as SPY holds above $595. If the price breaks below this level, expect increased bearish momentum. Trading Suggestions 1. Call Option Strategy: * Buy a 7 DTE call option if SPY breaks above $601 with strong volume. * Entry: Above $601 * Target: $605-$610 * Stop-Loss: Below $599 2. Put Option Strategy: * Buy a put option if SPY breaks below $595 with increased selling volume. * Entry: Below $595 * Target: $590-$585 * Stop-Loss: Above $597 Key Levels to Watch * Resistance Levels: $601, $605, $610 * Support Levels: $595, $590, $580 Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your research, manage your risk, and consult a financial advisor before trading. The GEX indicator updates every 15 minutes; check real-time data for informed decision-making.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
Rally Over? The Perfect Storm for a Major Pullback—Not Forever Two years of relentless upside just met its first real threat: 25% tariffs on Mexico & Canada, 10% on China, and global backlash that isn’t fading anytime soon. Friday’s pause wasn’t hesitation—it was the market bracing for impact. I hope I'm wrong but this does seem like the perfect setup for a multi-week (or longer) correction. Most stocks won’t be spared, just some will bleed slower. While short-term turbulence looks inevitable, the long-term picture remains strong. The U.S. is tackling its debt aggressively, and once the dust settles, we’ll likely see the economy emerge stronger—setting the stage for another leg higher. #S&P500 #MarketShift #BearishShortTerm #BullishLongTerm
AMEX:SPY
by Papi_Jammin