Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 20, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 20, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🏦 Fed Holds Rates, Warns on Tariffs
Fed kept interest rates steady on June 19, cautioning that tariffs could stoke inflation and slow growth. Inflation projections were raised from 2.7% to 3.0%, while growth estimates were revised lower to 1.4%
🌍 Middle East Risk Drags Markets
Global stocks fell and safe-haven assets surged after U.S. futures weakened amid heightened tensions in the Israel–Iran conflict. Yields were mixed: gold weakened and bonds gained, while oil held steady near seven-week highs
📈 Treasury Yields Edge Higher
Despite safe-haven demand, U.S. 10‑year yields ticked up as markets absorbed the Fed’s updated rate outlook. The yield curve remains elevated ahead of next week’s $38 bn auction of long-dated notes
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, June 20:
(No major U.S. economic reports)
Markets will be driven by Fed commentary follow-ups and geopolitical headlines over the weekend.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #geopolitics #fixedincome #inflation #charting #technicalanalysis
SPY trade ideas
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-18 : GAP Potential PatternToday's GAP Potential pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ may GAP a bit higher at the open, then move into a melt-up phase, trying to identify resistance, then roll into a topping pattern and move downward.
I believe the recent "rollover" of the markets (initiating last Friday with the Israel/Iran conflict) is still dominating the markets and news related to the ongoing conflict could drive a moderate pullback in US assets.
Headed into the Juneteenth holiday (Thursday, June 19), I suggest traders prepare for the US markets to move into somewhat of a SETTLEMENT mode today - where traders don't want to hold too many open positions into Friday's trading.
Additionally, Gold and Silver could move into a very strong upward price move over the next 4-5+ days. So be prepared for metals to hedge risks when the US stock market is closed.
BTCUSD seems to be struggling into the FLAG APEX. I'm waiting to see if my FLAG count is correct and if we get the breakdown in BTCUSD as I expect.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
(No) IdeaWhy the handle of "The Uncertain Trader"? Let's check the daily SPY (S&P 500 ETF) chart just after the close of 17 Jun 2025;
I've got no idea where this thing is going.
Thus the handle.
No one has any idea where this is going. If they insist they do they are selling you something. In the words of Brad Hamilton, "Learn it. Know it. Live it".
However, one must form a hypothesis to trade from, right or wrong. And TradingView has excellent tools to do so AND a FREE social network to share such theories.
Back to SPY, I have my suspicions;
SPY closed at 597.53, below it's all-time high of 611.39 (gray line and box) from Feb 19 and above it's 200 day simple moving average of 577.41 (purple line and box). Besides some support at 595.48 (arrow), which is way too close to be useful, and maybe resistance at Wed's high (also too close), there's really no other obvious support or resistance. So, it's ~14 points to the solid resistance at that significant high and ~20 points to support. If one goes long it's 20 points to be proven wrong, 14 points to the good and where the trade will likely stall - not a good reward to risk. Going short is a little better, with 20 points to support with 14 points of risk, but still a rather meager reward to risk.
And now factor in an FOMC meeting tomorrow (Wed 18th). SPY could easily hit one of those marks (2.3% up, 3.4% down), or both, tomorrow afternoon.
The (safer) play is to hold off, stay neutral, and let SPY resolve this, up or down. Let it test/hold it's all-time high or it's 200-day.
Again, I have no idea where this is going - just my theory.
And please, read the following and, again, "Learn it. Know it. Live it";
My ideas here on TradingView are for educational purposes only. It is NOT trading advice. I often lose money and you would be a fool to follow me blindly.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 18, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 18, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
💼 Business Inventories Flat in April
U.S. business inventories held steady in April, indicating stable consumer and wholesale demand. That suggests production won't need to cut sharply in the near term, supporting GDP outlook
🏭 Industrial Production Slips
Industrial output declined 0.2% in May, signaling ongoing weakness in factory activity amid less favorable global trade conditions .
🌐 Geopolitical Pressures Persist
Heightened tension in the Middle East continues to pressure risk assets. Investors remain focused on safe-haven flows into gold, Treasuries, and defensive equities, with analysts noting the risk backdrop remains tilted to the downside
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Wednesday, June 18:
8:30 AM ET – Housing Starts & Building Permits (May)
Measures new residential construction — leading indication of housing sector health.
8:30 AM ET – Initial Jobless Claims
Tracks the weekly count of new unemployment filings — useful for spotting early labor-market weakening.
2:00 PM ET – FOMC Interest Rate Decision
The Federal Reserve is expected to hold steady. Market focus will be on any commentary that hints at future tightening or easing plans.
2:30 PM ET – Fed Chair Powell Press Conference
Investors will parse Powell’s remarks for guidance on rate paths, inflation trends, and economic risks.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is for educational/informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #housing #Fed #geo_risk #charting #technicalanalysis
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 6-17: Top Resistance PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will move into a type of topping pattern, attempting to identify resistance, then roll away from that resistance level and trend downward.
I suggest the news related to the conflict between Israel & Iran may continue to drive market trends with traders moving away from uncertainty near these recent highs.
Silver makes a big move higher. Gold will likely follow later this week or early next week.
BTCUSD moves into a sideways FLAGGING pattern - possibly attempting a BIG BREAKDOWN event over the next few weeks.
Overall, the markets look like they are poised for a very big move - just waiting for the GREEN LINK (GO).
Stay safe. Protect capital and HEDGE.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Statistical Tendencies in Market StructureMarket Disorder
Involvement in financial markets occurs for a variety of reasons, including speculation, hedging, liquidation, automation, and rebalancing. These are executed by a broad range of participants, such as funds, banks, algorithms, and retail traders. These operate across different timeframes and objectives. The same information could lead to different interpretations and execution.
This creates structural disorder. The market does not behave in a clean or deterministic manner. Behaviour is shaped by overlapping flows, unknown motivations, and shifting expectations. While each trade is executed with intent and structure, the collective result of these actions creates disorder. From the perspective of a technical trader, outcomes could appear no different from randomness. In practice, this is experienced as noise or inconsistent behavior.
Randomness in Market Theory
Traditional financial models like the Random Walk Hypothesis (RWH) suggest that price movements are random and not influenced by past behavior. In other words, markets exhibit no memory and each price change is statistically unrelated to the prior ones. In case this would be true, no historical data or technical method would provide a reliable basis for forecasting future prices. In such a market, price behavior would be indistinguishable from statistical noise. Apparent trends would arise by coincidence, and no persistent trading edge could be developed.
A visual example of a chart based on a random walk. Price evolves through multiplicative steps without memory, reflecting the assumptions of the Random Walk Hypothesis.
Multiple experiments have shown that when traders are presented with randomly generated charts, they tend to perceive them as genuine market data. This reflects a common cognitive bias: the tendency to perceive structure even where none exists. Much of what is interpreted as meaningful could be the result of psychological projection, pattern recognition, or hindsight bias applied to what is essentially noise. Randomness can resemble market data, which makes it difficult to differentiate between valid and coincidental patterns.
Market Tendencies: Departures from Randomness
Not all aspects of market behavior conform to the random walk model. In particular, certain patterns appear to be consistent and do not fit the definition of pure randomness. These patterns are not statistical anomalies in the dismissive sense, but measurable and repeatable features of price action. It is from these deviations that systematic trading methods can be developed.
Volatility Clustering
Volatility clustering refers to the tendency for large price changes to be followed by more large changes, and for small changes to be followed by more small changes. This effect does not imply direction, but indicates that the magnitude of price changes tends to show persistence. This helps explain why markets transition between calm periods and phases of high turbulence, rather than constant variance. The behavior violates the random walk assumption that each price change is independent from the last.
A visual example of volatility clustering, with columns marking periods where rolling volatility exceeds a dynamic threshold.
This pattern is central to many econometric and trading models. It forms the basis for regime-based strategies and conditional volatility systems such as ARCH (Engle, 1982) and GARCH (Bollerslev, 1986). Mandelbrot (1963) first described the phenomenon in the context of financial turbulence.
Momentum
Momentum refers to the observed tendency of markets to continue moving in the same direction over short- to intermediate-term timeframes. In statistics, this is shown as positive serial correlation in returns. In simple terms, recent winners tend to keep winning, and losers tend to keep losing.
A visual example of momentum, showing the slope of a linear regression line over a rolling window. Positive values indicate upward movement, negative values indicate downward movement.
Momentum contradicts the idea that price changes are independent and identically distributed. The effect has been extensively documented across markets and asset classes. Foundational research includes Jegadeesh and Titman (1993), Carhart (1997), and the cross-asset studies by Asness, Moskowitz, and Pedersen (2013). It is a key principle behind trend-following strategies.
Mean Reversion
Mean reversion describes the tendency of prices to return to a long-term average after deviating significantly. This behavior implies negative feedback: the further price moves from its mean, the greater the probability of a reversal.
A visual example of mean reversion, showing the deviation of price from its moving average. Baseline is centered at zero, with positives above the mean and negatives below.
This effect challenges the assumption that markets move without anchor. It is most evident in valuation-driven models, short-term overreaction trades, and statistical arbitrage. Empirical support includes long-term reversals (DeBondt and Thaler, 1985), medium-term autocorrelation (Poterba and Summers, 1988), and short-term corrections (Jegadeesh, 1990; Lehmann, 1990).
Conceptual Differentiation
These deviations from randomness have different statistical profiles. Volatility clustering reflects persistence in the magnitude of price changes. Momentum is defined by positive autocorrelation in returns, meaning recent trends tend to continue. Mean reversion is characterized by negative autocorrelation, where extreme moves are more likely to reverse. Together, these effects define some of the limited but viable edges that exist within an otherwise random market.
Strategic Implications for Trading
Comprehending these deviations from randomness helps clarify two broad categories of trading strategies, each shaped to exploit different forms of market behavior.
Momentum forms the foundation of trend-following strategies. These approaches are built on the premise that price movements often persist over time. Traders applying this logic aim to buy strength and sell weakness, anticipating that trends will continue. The core idea is that price is more likely to extend its current direction than to reverse. Common techniques include:
Breakout-Based Entries
Trend Pullback Trades
Continuation Patterns
Mean reversion, by contrast, serves as the basis for contrarian strategies. These methods are shaped around the observation that extreme price movements tend to reverse. Traders using this approach aim to sell strength and buy weakness when price diverges sharply from a perceived equilibrium. The underlying principle is that price tends to return toward its average following an overextension. Techniques include:
Fading Overextension
Range-Based Trades
Statistical Divergence Setups
Momentum and mean reversion coexist in markets, but their relative influence has variance. In some periods, one could dominate; in others, both have comparable effects. This balance shapes market structure. Recognizing this concept helps contextualize price action and adapt to the current environment.
Interpretation and Standardization
Many individuals enter the market with the misconception that technical analysis is a tool for predicting future price movements. However, its true value lies in interpretation. Technical charts provide information about structure and sentiment, which helps us take a reasonable bet. In a sense, there is a prediction based on the past, but with uncertainty. This interpretative approach, combined with a well-tested method, creates a solid foundation.
Markets are not a math problem with a fixed solution. If they were predictable, all variables could be quantified and outcomes automated with precision. In reality, even systematic approaches require discretion and adaptation. Markets are complex environments shaped by uncertainty and disorder. Even the most robust methods encounter both wins and losses.
It is also important to understand the role of perception. As humans, we are wired to find patterns, even in random data. We may focus on evidence that supports our expectations, see structure where none exists, or assume past events were obvious in hindsight. These tendencies often lead to overconfidence and unreliable interpretation. A related issue is overfitting, where methods that appear effective on historical data fail to translate. These may seem precise in hindsight but often lack the ability to generalize, usually due to selective parameter tuning or retrospective reasoning.
The solution is not added complexity, but standardization. To separate random movement from meaningful structure, chart interpretation must rely on consistent and objective criteria. A pattern is not meaningful in isolation but gains relevance when it departs from statistical norms. This must be combined with a probabilistic mindset, where each trade is treated as uncertain and evaluated as part of a broader process.
The content in this post is extracted from the book The Art of Technical Trading by StockLeave for educational purposes.
SPY S&P 500 ETF Potential W-Shaped Recovery Forming We may be witnessing the formation of a W-shaped recovery on the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) – a classic double-bottom structure that often signals a strong reversal after a period of correction or volatility. Let’s dive into the technicals and what this could mean in the sessions ahead.
🔍 The Technical Setup:
SPY recently tested key support around the $485-$500 zone, bouncing off that area twice in the past few weeks. This gives us the left leg of the W and the first bottom. After a modest relief rally to ~$520, we saw another pullback – but this second dip failed to break below the first bottom, a hallmark of the W-pattern.
As of today, SPY is starting to reclaim ground toward the $517-$520 resistance zone. If bulls can push through this neckline area, especially with volume confirmation, we could see a breakout that targets the $530-$535 area in the short term.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $490-$500 (double-bottom support zone)
Neckline/Resistance: $530
Breakout Target: $550 (previous highs)
Invalidation: A break below $490 with volume could invalidate the W-recovery idea and shift bias bearish.
📊 Momentum & Volume:
RSI is climbing back above the 50 level – bullish momentum building.
MACD shows a potential crossover forming, hinting at a shift in trend.
Watch for increasing buy volume as SPY approaches the neckline – that’s where the bulls will need to step up.
🧠 Macro & Earnings Angle:
Don’t forget – we’re entering a heavy earnings season and rate cut expectations are still a wildcard. A dovish tone from the Fed and strong corporate results could be the fuel that sends SPY higher to complete this W-shaped recovery.
🧭 Final Thoughts:
This is a high-probability setup if neckline resistance is broken cleanly. Wait for confirmation before going heavy – fakeouts are common in double-bottom scenarios. If we do get the breakout, we may be looking at a broader market rebound going into summer.
🔔 Set alerts near $525. A confirmed breakout could mean the bulls are back in charge.
SPY soars to new all time highsThere has been a lot of speculation about where SPY is going next. I believe a significant correction will happen in the near future. However, today SPY is creeping back into the strong uptrend it once had. Looking at chart patterns, SPY is building momentum once more and will be hitting another yet another all time high.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 26, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 26, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
💱 Dollar Mounts Decline on Fed Credibility Concerns
The U.S. dollar dropped to a 3½-year low against the euro after reports that President Trump is considering replacing Fed Chair Powell as early as September or October. The move fueled market concern about the Fed’s independence and prompted traders to raise the likelihood of a July rate cut to 25%, with nearly 64 bps of rate cuts priced in by year-end
📉 Markets Stay Cautious Ahead of Powell’s Testimony
Traders remain on edge as Fed Chair Powell’s Capitol Hill testimony continues. He reiterated caution, noting inflation risks tied to tariffs despite growing calls for easing, keeping interest-rate expectations in limbo .
📈 S&P 500 Nears All-Time Highs in Second-Biggest Bi‑Monthly Rally
The S&P 500 has notched its second-largest May–June rally on record (6.2% in May, further gains in June), bolstered by cooling inflation, easing Middle East tensions, and strong AI earnings momentum led by Nvidia. Bull-case scenarios could push the index to fresh highs
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Thursday, June 26:
(No major U.S. economic release—markets are focused on Powell’s remaining testimony and global risk dynamics.)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #inflation #geopolitics #technicalanalysis
SPY 15-Min — Weak-High Sweep in Play• Discount BOS at 603.95 → impulsive leg to 606.7 (0.886)
• Weak high tagged at 607.16 – expecting continuation to 1.382 ≈ 608.61 then 1.854 ≈ 610.92
• Invalidation if price closes below 605.45 session VWAP band
• Targets: 608.61 → 610.92
• Risk: stop 604.9 (below 0.5 Fib)
VolanX bias remains risk-on while micro structure stair-steps above the 9-EMA channel.
Educational only – not financial advice
#SPY #SMP500 #OrderFlow #Fib #VolanX #WaverVanir
SPY- Premarket readPre-Market Read – June 23
AMEX:SPY
Premarket High: 595.15
Premarket Low: 592.15
Bias: Leaning Bearish
Price got rejected again at that 600–602 zone — that’s been a wall.
All the EMAs (9/50/200) are stacked tight, which usually means something’s brewing.
Institutions bought heavy down around 572–579 — they’re already green, so they might start selling into strength.
I’m expecting chop between 593–595 off the open.
I’ll probably wait out the first 15 min and let the ORB build.
If we break out, I’m watching both sides, but I lean put.
579 spy incoming?I posted this a week or so ago. I think we are finally going to have the momentum, or lack thereof, to make it down to fill the rest of that gap. I have noticed that large gaps that leave a small gap below(you must adjust the indicator to show it) almost always get filled before continuing up. This 579 level also matches up perfectly with the 20ema on the weekly which should provide further support. I will be looking for this level all week while being aware of any short squeezes that could occur on the way down. Will definitely go long at this 579 level as I think we will have a very green July.
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 23–27, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 23–27, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🌐 Geopolitics Add to Risk Aversion
The S&P 500 is up about 0.9% so far in June, but analysts warn it’s facing a “precarious” phase amid renewed Middle East conflict and looming U.S. tariff deadlines in July–August. Elevated oil prices could fuel inflation, while fiscal and debt ceiling pressures weigh on sentiment
🎙️ Powell Heads to Capitol Hill
Fed Chair Powell will testify before Congress this week. His remarks on inflation and rate outlook—particularly regarding the Fed’s recent dot-plot revisions and monetary policy uncertainty—will be central to market direction
📈 Nike, FedEx & Micron Earnings Under Focus
Key corporate earnings (Nike, FedEx, Micron) could provide fresh insight into how tariffs and supply-chain disruptions are impacting major U.S. businesses
🛢️ Oil Prices Elevated
Oil remains range-bound at multi-week highs near $75–80/bbl following U.S.–Israel military action in Iran, which briefly spiked prices ~7–11%. Continued dependence on Middle Eastern supply may keep energy complex volatile
⚖️ NATO Summit Tightens Security Focus
NATO leaders meet in The Hague, marking an elevated global defense posture amid geopolitical uncertainty. Defense and aerospace stocks may remain pressured or volatile depending on summit outcomes
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Monday, June 23
9:45 AM ET: S&P Global Flash U.S. Services & Manufacturing PMI (June)
10:00 AM ET: Existing Home Sales (May)
📅 Tuesday, June 24
10:00 AM ET: Consumer Confidence Index (June)
Testimony: Fed Chair Jerome Powell appears before Congress
📅 Wednesday, June 25
10:00 AM ET: New Home Sales (May)
📅 Thursday, June 26
8:30 AM ET: Advance Q1 GDP (Final Estimate)
📅 Friday, June 27
8:30 AM ET: Core PCE Price Index (May) — Fed’s preferred inflation gauge
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before investing.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #geopolitics #Fed #oil #charting #technicalanalysis
SPY Breaks Rising Wedge! Gamma Wall Rejected. Jun 17SPY Breaks Rising Wedge! Gamma Wall Rejected — Bearish Momentum Building Into OPEX 🔻
🔬 GEX (Gamma Exposure) Sentiment Breakdown:
* Gamma Resistance Above:
* Gamma Wall / Call Resistance: $602
* $603–$604.50 = additional CALL walls (2nd & 3rd tier resistance)
* $606.37 = Local high; unlikely to reclaim without macro tailwind
* PUT Walls / Downside Zones:
* $597 = HVL + Key Flip Level
* $595 = 1st Major PUT Support (Highest negative NET GEX)
* $593 / $590 = deeper GEX-supported flush zones
* Options Flow Metrics:
* IVR: 19.4 (slightly below avg)
* IVx avg: 19
* PUT Flow: 91.5% 🟥
* GEX Sentiment: 🔴🔴🔴 (Bearish dealer positioning + skewed delta exposure)
* Interpretation:
* Heavy call rejection at $602 combined with high PUT flow suggests dealers are short gamma.
* If SPY closes below $597, gamma exposure flips net negative — potential acceleration into $595/$593.
🧠 15-Minute SMC Breakdown:
* Current Price: $598.00
* Structure Overview:
* Clean rising wedge break
* Two CHoCHs confirmed at top → shift from bullish to bearish control
* Price broke into demand box (~$597–$598), testing support
* Volume spiked on breakdown = institutional participation confirmed
* Trend View:
* Uptrend is broken.
* Now entering potential distribution-to-downtrend transition phase
🧭 Trade Scenarios:
🟥 Bearish Breakdown Setup (High Probability):
* Trigger: Clean breakdown below $597
* Target 1: $595 (GEX Put wall)
* Target 2: $593 / $590
* Stop-loss: Above $600.50
Gamma flip + SMC structure shift supports downside. Dealer flows likely exacerbate drop under $597.
🟩 Bullish Reclaim Setup (Low Probability):
* Trigger: Reclaim of $602 with volume
* Target 1: $604.50
* Target 2: $606.50 (high)
* Stop-loss: Below $597.50
Only possible with major market strength, such as dovish Fed cues or macro catalysts.
📌 My Thoughts:
* SPY is showing signs of weakness across the board — structure, options flow, and volume confirm sellers stepping in.
* Put flows are extreme (>90%), so bounces may be brief and used to reload shorts.
* This is not a dip to buy blindly — best play is momentum PUTs under $597, tight risk control.
* Ideal setup for zero-day or 1DTE options trades with defined exits.
📉 Conclusion:
SPY failed to hold $602 Gamma Wall, rejected hard, and now tests $597 support. With options sentiment flipping negative and SMC structure breaking down, a drop to $595 or lower is increasingly likely.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage risk and trade based on your plan.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 17, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 17, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📈 U.S. Retail Spending Holds Firm
May’s retail sales were flat month-over-month, defying expectations of a slowdown. Core retail sales (ex-autos) edged up +0.2%, signaling resilience in consumer purchases—an encouraging sign for economic momentum
🤖 Tesla’s Robotaxi Buzz Accelerates
Tesla stock surged after a weekend robotaxi video surfaced ahead of its planned Austin launch. A viral clip showed a Model Y “robotaxi” navigating traffic autonomously, sparking fresh investor enthusiasm despite safety debates
📊 BoJ Holds Rates; Dollar Edges Higher
Japan’s central bank left policy unchanged at 0.5%, maintaining its dovish bias. This lifted the dollar slightly versus the yen, drawing focus to global interest-rate divergence
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Tuesday, June 17:
8:30 AM ET – Retail Sales (May)
Consumer purchases are tracked, excluding autos. Monitor if activity stays steady despite inflation and rate pressures.
9:15 AM ET – Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization (May)
Provides insight into factory activity and plant usage—a gauge of economic health amid global slowdown concerns.
10:00 AM ET – Business Inventories (April)
Shows stock levels held by wholesalers and manufacturers. Higher inventories with weaker sales may signal slowing demand.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-16 : Up-Down-Up PatternToday's Up-Down-Up Pattern suggests the markets will transition into a moderate upward trending price bar - which is quite interesting in the world we have today.
War and a big weekend of events, protests and other new items could drive market trends over the next few days.
Still, the SPY Cycle Pattern for today is an Up-Down-Up - which suggests last Thursday was an Up bar, last Friday was a Down bar, and today should be an Up bar.
The Gold/Silver pattern is a POP pattern in Counter-trend.
I believe the US markets are benefiting as a safe-haven for capital as the global turmoil drives global investors to seek safety and security for their capital.
That means as long as the world continues to spin out of control, the US markets and the US-Dollar will act as a moderate safe-haven for capital.
Gold and Silver should also benefit from this global chaos.
Bitcoin is benefiting from the strength of the US markets (and the technology sector) as well.
Let's see how this week start to play out. I'm waiting for some more news.
Could be very interesting this week.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver