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(GET READY) The expected move for FOMC in SPYThe expected move for FOMC in SPY After making new all-time highs on Friday, December 6, we have been consolidating back to the 30 minute 200 moving average. You could see how we’ve been chopping around sideways along the 35 EMA back to the 30 minute 200 moving average. So we are just above that 30 minute 200 moving average yesterday we closed directly above it with the 35 EMA directly above that and so far this morning we are above those two levels. We are in that down gap from Monday, going into Tuesday so possible level of resistance around 607 and then we have the one hour 200 average at the very bottom of the implied move. So the implied move is between 600 to 609 and on tomorrow’s contract for Thursday 599 to 610. I’m taking a little short break from making videos because they are very time-consuming and in December in this month with everything going on I just don’t have time to make them, but I will be getting back to that in January and for now I’ll still be posting these still charts GL, y’all
AMEX:SPY
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-17: Momentum Rally PatternToday's Pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will rally higher - possibly attempting to find a top. What I find interesting is the big rally in the QQQ/Nasdaq yesterday. Possibly, the Momentum Rally phase hit the NQ yesterday. Overall, I'm still looking for the markets to attempt to roll into a topping pattern. So, I'm staying very cautious of any big market moves right now. Yes, if you look at the QQQ/NQ, it looks like the markets are in liftoff mode (bullish), but other data suggests the markets are actually weakening and pulling into a reversion phase. Gold and Silver will likely find a base/bottom soon. I picked up some Call options on SILJ and GDX recently anticipating the potential rally move. Bitcoin is well beyond a 100% measured move higher. Even though I believe Bitcoin can rally to 112k - 115k, I'm urging traders to stay cautious (still). My data suggests the markets are weakening and possibly moving into a pullback/reversion phase. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
SPY Technical Analysis and GEX Insights for Dec. 16 1. Technical Analysis (Daily & 1-Hour Timeframes) Daily Chart (Longer Timeframe): * Trend: SPY remains in an upward channel but is showing signs of exhaustion near the upper trendline. * Resistance: * 609–610: This is the upper channel resistance where price may face selling pressure. * Support: * 586.15: Immediate support level from previous consolidation. * 580: A key zone to watch if selling accelerates. * Indicators: * MACD: Bearish divergence on the daily, signaling potential weakness. 1-Hour Chart (Shorter Timeframe): * Trend: SPY is currently pulling back after rejecting a supply zone near 609. * Resistance: * 608–609: The major resistance area. * Support: * 602: Closest support level. * 597.28: Critical support aligned with GEX levels. * MACD: Bearish crossover, suggesting downside momentum in the short term. 2. GEX Analysis Key GEX Levels: * CALL Walls (Resistance): * 606: 2nd CALL Wall, acting as significant resistance. * 610: 3rd CALL Wall, the upper boundary of price action. * PUT Walls (Support): * 604: 2nd PUT Wall – current area of congestion and potential bounce zone. * 600: Highest negative GEX, providing the strongest support below. Options Oscillator Insights: * IVR: 7.3% – Low implied volatility makes options cheap for directional trades. * PUTs: 47.7% activity signals notable bearish positioning, adding downside risk. 3. Trade Setups Bearish (Short Bias): * Entry: Near rejection at 606–609 resistance. * Target: First target at 602, extended target at 600 PUT support. * Option Strategy: * Buy PUT options (604 strike or ATM PUTs). * Use a Bear Put Spread: Buy 605 PUT, Sell 600 PUT to reduce premium cost. Bullish (Bounce Play): * Entry: If SPY holds above 602–604 PUT Wall support with bullish volume confirmation. * Target: 606–609 CALL resistance. * Option Strategy: * Buy CALL options (604 strike, 1-week out). * Use a Bull Call Spread: Buy 603 CALL, Sell 608 CALL for a cheaper setup. Directional Bias for This Week: * SPY leans bearish in the short term if it fails to reclaim 606–609. Watch for a potential drop toward 602–600 PUT support. * A bullish bounce could occur at 602 if volume confirms support strength. Short Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY's Potential Reversal at New York OpenThe market is always moving towards stop loses. Price is always seeking them out and the Market-Description: In this analysis, we're observing the SPY chart on a 15-minute timeframe as it approaches the New York Open on Monday. The chart illustrates a potential retracement back up towards the most recent bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG), which is creating liquidity for the market to potentially move further down. Key Observations: Bearish Fair Value Gap: Identified as a critical zone where price may react, providing a potential entry point for short positions. Liquidity Creation: The retracement towards the FVG is seen as a mechanism for liquidity creation, setting the stage for a possible downward move. Trend Break and Reversal: After the initial downward move, we anticipate a break in the trend, leading to a reversal back towards the upside. This prediction is based on past observations and aims to provide insights into potential market movements. Traders should watch for any current Fair Value Gaps and monitor price action closely as the market unfolds.
AMEX:SPYShort
by CapitalGainz33
1
A Bullish Setup with Fair Value Gap in Play Time to Tap Into the Reversal? As we approach a critical juncture on SPY, the charts are presenting a fascinating opportunity for those tuned into price action and market structure. The recent price behavior suggests we may be at the cusp of a significant reversal, and a potentially bullish setup is starting to take shape. Let’s dive into why I believe SPY is primed to tap into the fair value gap (FVG) above, and why this may be the perfect time to look for long positions. The Reversal Is in the Air After a recent pullback, we’re seeing key technical indicators point toward a possible reversal. Price action has been testing critical support levels, and momentum is showing signs of slowing down, setting up the conditions for a bullish pivot. But what truly stands out here is the fair value gap (FVG) formed below the current price. For those familiar with the concept, a fair value gap is an area where price has moved too quickly through a range, leaving an imbalance between buy and sell orders. These gaps often get filled as the market seeks to restore equilibrium. Filling the Fair Value Gap – The Bullish Potential Looking closely at SPY’s chart, we’re seeing the potential for price to either tap into the fair value gap below or close above it, signaling a strong move to the upside. If we see a push past recent resistance levels, this could trigger a gap fill on the bullish side, with price aiming for a higher target. Here’s what we want to watch for: Reversal Confirmation: A close above the current resistance level would confirm the potential for the bullish move. Look for a clean break and retest to validate the strength of the move. Fair Value Gap Fill: As mentioned, price may want to fill the gap to restore equilibrium. If this occurs, it could serve as a solid entry point for long positions, with targets set to the upside. Entry Strategy – Calls Look Attractive Once the reversal is confirmed and the fair value gap is filled or cleared, it’s time to look for long positions. SPY has a history of making swift moves, and with momentum in our favor, a well-timed entry could provide solid returns. For those who prefer options, consider buying calls as an efficient way to tap into the bullish potential. Look for a strike price near the next significant resistance level to capitalize on the move, and make sure to manage risk appropriately with stop-loss levels. What to Watch Next Keep an eye on the following key levels: Immediate Resistance: The first resistance area to watch will be around . A breakout above this level could signal the start of the bullish leg. Fair Value Gap Zone: If SPY taps into the fair value gap, expect a pullback followed by a potential rise. The gap filling could set the stage for a more sustainable move upward. Wrapping It Up The current setup on SPY is compelling, and it’s important to stay vigilant as price action unfolds. With a potential reversal on the horizon and the fair value gap acting as a key technical level, the next move could be a strong one. Be ready to take advantage of the upside if we see a confirmation of this bullish shift. As always, use proper risk management, and stay informed of any macroeconomic events that could influence market sentiment. Happy trading, and let's see where SPY takes us next!
AMEX:SPYLong
by CapitalGainz33
MERRY CHRISTMAS AND A HAPPY NEW YEAR TO ALL MY SPYLOVERS !!!Two weeks ago, I projected some very common behaviors that candles exhibit after a long rally. If you compare the two types of candles I marked on the left-hand side, notice how candle models "A" and "B" have very different body structures. Candles "A" have a more volumetric medium-sized body, which indicates strength. However, we are not exempt from their natural pullback, which, to complete one trend cycle, broke the structure itself upward. Candles "B" are smaller than Candles "A," allowing us to distinguish the significant weakness in the uptrend. The price starts to lose momentum, and consequently, we can expect it to take a pause before falling. After projecting the two scenarios where SPY was positioned two weeks ago, we were able to predict both future movements correctly: When the price reached historical highs, it paused or consolidated, showing descending candles (see the magenta arrow). Later, a volumetric candle confirmed the drop. Within the two scenarios, I marked two possible levels where the price would fall. The rebound occurred correctly at the second level, a historical resting zone where the price has been since October. This analysis is entirely based on price action and historical zones. It's essential to stay alert to institutional and liquidity zones to ensure the most accurate analysis possible. Now we are in the final week of the year, and historically, markets tend to react bullishly. But the question is: Will it be different this time? In my opinion: I believe the price can reach new historical highs, as it is demonstrating with strong bullish pressure candles. At this moment, I think we are at a good support level located at the previous resistance of our entire bullish channel. I believe the price will re-enter the channel and resume the sequence it has been following within the overall bullish structure. This concludes my analysis of SPY for now. Let's see what the next few days bring as we continue monitoring the market. If you'd like to see this analysis in English, follow me on TradingView under the username: rockermike111. Wishing you an excellent 2025 filled with great news and continued growth in your market studies! May your learning progress year after year! Sending you a big hug and wishing you a Happy 2025! TRADE SAFE!
AMEX:SPYLong
by RocketMike111
SPY - Red Alert Major Sell SignalStocks continue to rise in thin trading and some continue to expect higher highs. When looking at indices that are not top-loaded with the AI Tech Giants, they are clearly in decline. And now, my long-time, most favorite signal is starting to flash. The Failed Three Week test of the high. Should SPY close below 607.81 on Friday, This intermediate sell signal will kick in. On an Elliott Wave perspective, many have been calling tops for more than a year now yet the market continued to extend and extend and extend. And many expect the good times to keep rolling on as the incoming President views stock market prices as a reflection of his success. Yet one can't ignore rising interest rates, that will continue extending. As such, my two main trades for 2025 are rising rates and falling stocks. Happy New Year.
AMEX:SPYShort
by AssetDesign
$SPY Trend Analysis DarkPoolsChart Overview: Instrument: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) Timeframe: 4-hour chart Indicators on Chart: Moving Averages: Two moving averages, possibly the 8 EMA and 21 EMA, are visible and used for trend analysis. Dark Pool Levels: Represented by white dashed lines. Fibonacci Extensions: Horizontal levels plotted as profit targets. Trendlines: Yellow Lines: Represent a rising channel encompassing long-term price movement. Red and Green Lines: Form a triangle pattern suggesting potential price breakout. Volume Indicators: (Not directly visible, but implied in analysis as crucial.) Key Observations: Dark Pool Levels: A level around 605 (BA SW 605). Another level at 586.16 (BB SW 585). These levels often indicate significant institutional trading activity and are likely areas of support/resistance. Triangle Breakout: Price has broken out of a triangle pattern (green and red lines), indicating bullish momentum. The breakout occurred after a strong push above the 597.12 - 596.11 zone, confirmed by the candle close. Trend: The price is trading above both EMAs, which signals bullish momentum. The broader channel suggests an upward trend with potential consolidation at the top. Targets: Fibonacci-based profit targets are clearly defined at: 607.50 610.00 612.50 615.00 The first target (607.50) aligns with a critical resistance zone, suggesting potential short-term profit-taking. Support Zones: The previous triangle breakout zone (around 596.11) serves as a strong support. The lower dark pool level (586.16) provides additional safety if the price retraces significantly. Trade Idea: Entry: If not already entered, consider a pullback entry near the 597-596 range, which aligns with the EMAs and breakout level. Profit Targets: 607.50: Partial profit-taking area; first resistance. 610.00: Secondary target if bullish momentum sustains. 612.50: High-probability target if momentum accelerates. 615.00: Final target aligning with the Fibonacci extension. Stop Loss: Close below 596: Invalidates the bullish triangle breakout. Final Stop: Close below 586.16 (dark pool support), marking a shift to bearish momentum. Risk Management: Position size based on risk tolerance. Risk-to-reward ratio should ideally exceed 1:3, considering a stop at 596 and initial target at 607.50. Additional Notes: Volume Confirmation: Ensure the breakout is supported by a volume surge to validate institutional involvement. Dark Pool Activity: Watch for price action near 605 (BA SW) as it could act as temporary resistance.
AMEX:SPY
by thedarkpooltrader
SPY On The Rise! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for SPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 590.89 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 598.49 My Stop Loss - 586.83 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYLong
by AnabelSignals
1
SPY CORRECTION END 2024 - 2025As we can see, there has been a correction since the presentation of the FOMC meeting, with a break in the bullish structure we had in the indices. SPY broke bullish structures in 2-hour and 4-hour timeframes, and we should recover the daily channel to maintain an upward movement in the daily timeframe. Como podemos ver tenemos una correccion desde la presentacion de la reunion de la FOMC, con una ruptura de las estructura alcista que teniamos en los indices, SPY rompio estructuras alcista en temporalidades de 2horas, 4 horas y deberiamos recuperar el canal de la diaria para mantener un movimento alcista en la temporalidad de la diaria.
AMEX:SPY
by alexpv73