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TLT trade ideas

Is this unfinished running flat 4th wave rally? 4/12/2023 Recent upward movements in TLT Treasuries have sparked considerations regarding the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates. While there is a prevailing belief that the Fed has concluded its tightening cycle, indications suggest otherwise. Our analysis suggests that the current trend may represent a counter-trend rally, likely persisting until the commencement of the upcoming year. This observation prompts us to speculate that both traditional market indices and cryptocurrencies may experience further upward momentum, contingent upon critical levels. Employing straightforward Fibonacci tools allows us to pinpoint key levels for monitoring and analyze subsequent market reactions. The environment of diminishing volatility and the consolidation of price action may contribute to an appreciation of asset values into the initial stages of the coming year. However, it remains crucial to observe potential developments of rising divergences, potentially signaling a market reversal and subsequent sell-off in the latter half of 2024. This nuanced analysis underscores the importance of closely monitoring market dynamics, key levels, and potential divergences, ensuring a comprehensive understanding of the evolving financial landscape. Estonian :Viimased muudatused TLT riigivõlakirjades on tekitanud juttu selle üle, kuidas Föderaalreserv suhtub intressimääradesse. Kuigi paljud arvavad, et Fed on intressimääradega juba lõpetanud, näitavad meie uurimused, et olukord võib olla keerulisem. Hetkel tõus võib olla vastutuule ralli, mis kestab tõenäoliselt kuni järgmise aasta alguseni. Selline olukord viitab võimalikele võimalustele nii tavalistes turuindeksites kui ka krüptoraha turul, olenevalt olulistest tasemetest. Lihtsate Fibonacci tööriistade abil üritame tuvastada olulisi tasemeid, mida jälgida, et mõista ja analüüsida, kuidas turg reageerib. Praegune keskkond, kus volatiilsus väheneb ja hinnad käituvad ühtlaselt, võib tähendada, et vara väärtused tõusevad järgmise aasta alguses. Samas on oluline hoida silma peal muutuvatel mustritel, eriti tõusvatel erinevustel, mis võivad viidata turu pöördele ja müügilainele 2024. aasta teisel poolel. See analüüs mitte ainult ei aita meil mõista hetke turusuundumusi, vaid näitab ka meie valmisolekut teadliku ja ettenägeliku investeerimisstrateegia poole liikumiseks. Järgides neid suundumusi, hoiame kindlat pilku olulistel tasemetel ja võimalikel erinevustel, et meie investeerimisplaan oleks hästi läbimõeldud.
NASDAQ:TLT
by AssetWiz
Opening (IRA): TLT Oct/Nov/Dec Short Put LadderComments: Targeting the 16 delta strike here in successive expiries to generate free cash flow and emulate dollar cost averaging into 20 year+ maturity paper. October 20th 89: .77 credit. November 17th 87: .76 credit. December 15th 86: .84 credit. Since these aren't paying buckets of cash on a per contract basis, I'll look to manage these on extrinsic approaching worthless either by closing them out in profit or rolling for credit and duration to reduce my cost basis further.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): TLT Nov/Dec 86/84 Short PutsComments: Targeting the 16 delta strikes in November and December to erect rungs at strikes better than what I currently have on to emulate dollar cost averaging into 20 year+ maturity paper. November 17th 86: .83 credit December 15th 84: .79 credit Here, I'm fine with getting assigned and proceeding to sell short call against, but want to get in at the biggest discount the market will let me get away with because at some point, you know they're going to cut. Naturally, this may be months out in time ... .
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by NaughtyPines
Treasury Bond ETF $TLT Trade IdeaNASDAQ:TLT is showing bullish momentum in its price action. We see here that today, we closed above the previous high. The price seems to be entering the bullish gap area, and if it does continue the upward movement it could close the gap and reach $93 fairly quickly. $93 is also a resistance level, and we cloud also see a pullback in price around there. if NASDAQ:TLT however breaks out above that $93 resistance, we could see it move up into the 2nd bullish gap above and to the diagonal resistance level at around $96-97. This resistance level has been tested numerous times as per the chart. If the price is to continue moving up, it is important for the next daily candle to close in the green box area or above it. Key moving averages are sloping up, but the bullish MA crossover structure is not complete yet. Oscillators are also showing overbought so must be careful in the short term once and if we hit $93 in the short term. Hope this was helpful to the readers. Good luck with your trading!
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by Konstandinovic
$TLT 20 Year Treasury Bond ETF The NASDAQ:TLT , or the 20 Year Treasury Bond ETF, appears to be undergoing a significant shift in its trend dynamics based on your description. Here's a breakdown of what you're observing: 1. **Bearish to Bullish Reversal**: This indicates that the ETF, which was previously in a downtrend (bearish phase), is showing signs of reversing to an uptrend (bullish phase). Such reversals are often identified through technical indicators like moving averages, momentum oscillators, or trendline breaks. 2. **Parallel Downtrend Break**: The breaking of a parallel downtrend suggests that the ETF has moved beyond a previously established downward channel. This is a technical pattern where the price moves within two parallel lines downwards. Breaking out of this channel can be a significant bullish signal, indicating that the selling pressure is easing and buyers are starting to take control. 3. **Bullish Consolidation**: After the initial reversal, it seems the ETF is now in a phase of bullish consolidation. This typically involves the price moving sideways or slightly pulling back, which allows the ETF to stabilize after the initial surge in buying activity. This phase often precedes further upward movement as it suggests that buyers are still interested at these higher price levels, and the selling pressure is not strong enough to push the price back down. For a more detailed analysis, it would be beneficial to look at specific technical indicators such as Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), volume data, as well as key support and resistance levels. Additionally, fundamental factors impacting Treasury bonds, like interest rate changes, inflation expectations, and overall economic outlook, should also be considered to complement the technical analysis. Remember, while technical analysis can provide valuable insights, it's always important to consider multiple factors and viewpoints when making investment decisions.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by AlgoTradeAlert
TLT ~ Have US Yields finally topped? (Weekly / Nov 2023)NASDAQ:TLT chart mapping/analysis. Note: TradingView chart dividend adjusted. Price action bouncing off Golden Pocket (66% Fib) support Heavy trading volume = institutional activity (ie positioning?) Rejection wicks on previous weekly candles = selling pressure still present (correlation with long-end yields holding strength) Looking for re-test of lows + bounce to confirm double bottom support base established for bullish momentum. Inverse play = price action engulfs previous candle, completes gap partial-fill + taps overhead resistance aka descending trend-line (light blue dotted). Institutional short-squeezes could still be active - complimenting inverse play thesis. Failure to break above/below either trend-lines = price action continues to contract until eventually ripping in volatile fashion in either direction. Set alerts - monitor US yields - wait for trade to set up in your favour.
NASDAQ:TLT
by BlueHatInvestor