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TLT trade ideas

Bear Flag in Bond ETF?Bonds have been in a steady downtrend all year. And now, after a period of consolidation, the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF may be set to continue lower. This main pattern on this chart is the modest rebound over the last three weeks. Given the preceding four months of downside, it could be a classic bearish flag. The current drop also represents a potential break of the flag, which could bring sellers from the sidelines. Second, notice how the stochastic oscillator recently jumped to its most overbought reading of the year. Third is the low price of $111.90 from late 2018. Will traders look for that level as support? Finally, macro conditions may favor downside in TLT. Yesterday brought strong U.S. consumer confidence and higher European inflation. Today featured robust manufacturing data. Non-farm payrolls are due Friday, followed by CPI on June 10 and the Federal Reserve meeting on June 15. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more. Important Information TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. You Can Trade, Inc. is also a wholly owned subsidiary of TradeStation Group, Inc., operating under its own brand and trademarks. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates. Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
NASDAQ:TLT
by TradeStation
1
TLT may return to 132-135 neutral zone as a flight to safety.TNX 10-yr yield may have peaked out as investors rotate to the safety of bonds in the 120-114 accumulation zone. TLT has completed a big M-pattern stopping at almost perfect FIBO levels. This ABC wave has already made a 300% retracement from the ATH of 173.89 made last 9Mar2020 before pandemic striked. The 132-135 zone will be some sort of neutral area for determining inflation or deflation. It is also the neck zone of the M-pattern. As it fell quickly from this zone, the rebound will also be very fast looking at the volume profile that has a large space in between. 5 impulse waves & 3 ABC corrective waves have end this EW cycle & a new cycle shall begin as TLT returns to the baseline of my slanted FIBO CHANNEL where wave 3 had started at Feb2011. Not trading advice
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by xtremerider8
TLT - 2 Hour PThe 20 Year ETF Bond has declined significantly in 2022. Longer-term I anticipate 6% as the Primary PO for the 10 Year Note. TLT will head well below 100 into October 2023, breaking 92s will provide an immediate break - an immense break. ______________________________________________________ Sub 50 is an absolute on Mid Curve to 6%. Declining from 173.69 to 112.62 is simply the 1st in a Series of lower lows ahead. I do, however, anticipate a counter-trend to 2.12 to 2.26. TLT remains the JUNK ETF, chased by the inexperienced traders seeking safety. Hopefully, this herd is beginning to see the Cliff ahead as the Bond Buffalo will be run up the plains mesa to their ultimate deaths. 132 should limit the Upside ST.
NASDAQ:TLT
by HK_L61
TLT - Target Hit !!! 🥳🎈🎈I first called this back in September that TLT would hit $113 (then $114) and now in May my target is hit. This was another call where I received comments that the chart doesn't matter because XYZ but really the chart does matter as this was just a 1:1 zig zag correction. So what next? Well... I dont know currently because a fibonacci projection is just a landmark for a potential reversal. It doesn't itself prove a reversal though there will probably be a lot of short covering in this area. Also just below @ 111.9 there is a low from 2018 and there will be short covering there also which could potentially be a bottoming area. However, from a charting perspective this can still go lower. There has been nothing noteworthy for the bullish case as yet. And I had a charting comment on a previous page that questioned how indicators could be so oversold but not produce a bounce. And well the reason for that is because this could be a new trend unfolding. It is worth noting though that the RSI here is slightly lower than previous low and there could be a reversal. But all this depends on what type of wave this is currently. The potential C wave has been much steeper than than the A and that could mean it will form a 1:1.618 which would see it hit $95. Or if there is a shakeout reversal at the lows here than that may prove to be a good buy signal. I'll wait and see. Not advice.
NASDAQ:TLT
by dRends35
8