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TLT trade ideas

The "TLT" Bonds (Updated)Auctions have been releasing offering higher rates as of late. Our previous target of 61% retracement has been rejected so far. On the 1 hour, the previous high was broken with no new lows being made. On the 15 min we are at a light support. I would like to see a stronger support, however, due to recent auctions and higher yields, I could see more bonds being bought soon even with the Fed tapering. Let's see what happens. Yields normally fall when the price of bonds rise. This could be bullish for investors.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by Redimere_91
TLT EPISODE V: BURRY-dHe's apparently no longer short after opening positions near the local bottom Here I want to see how real our breakout is It's clearly broken the (dotted white) breakout line with a backtest The (royal blue) median line from the ABC fork has acted as a resistance and it's above that It's again above the 50day moving average which has golden crossed the 200 and all is well; with the sequence 50/100/200 being supportive in that order below price In summary I believe this breakout is real, and can see there is decent volume on the breakout Also there have been significant inflows into the TLT fund recently TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by Great_Reset_Investing
TLT EPISODE VI: Full TiLTSo if price keeps running in the orange fork, by getting above the median it would become bullish: and that's the level we're trying to clear right now After that it needs to get over the median line in the larger purple fork which price has been running in for some time These also coincide with key resistance levels The final target is around 190/200 as previously described I expect all targets to hit within 6 months But there are no guarantees in trading or markets of course TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by Great_Reset_Investing
20 year plus bond etfSince mid July, The price of the 20 year plus Bonds has touched or tested the top orange line about 8 times and has retraced 61% more times than not. Bonds going as low as $148 would meet the 200 ema and would be a retracement of 61% of the previous low. The previous has been broken. Let's see where the next level of support is. If this falls, the Yields should rise. Normally, stocks fall "for the most part" when this happens. Let's see if this holds true!
NASDAQ:TLTShort
by Redimere_91
Short Bonds - why, and market review Simple chart - There is a small dotted green line up top showing you divergence in the RSI. You can see what happened, Bonds went way up. Now we have a much bigger divergence the other way in red. So this sell off that saw the ES touched the 4500 area three times this week reminds me of the September low at 4250 same price action - which thrust up 500 points. Both the Nasdaq and E Mini Futures returned to almost exactly 50% Fib weekly retracement - not luck, not a sell off in my opinion but just enough to confuse and liquidate a bunch of people. I am short vol through a long position in SVXY outright and short bonds through TLT through 154 PUT options. The market is off the lows but most likely there will be an opportunity Monday to get in. My upside target 4620 on the ES Futures to take these positions off - however I think we can go to ALL TIME HIGHS before puking epically - as the Fed taper is happening but we'll only get the details at Dec 15th Fed meeting. If we get back to 4500 area in the ES - I will look to take a long positions through Futures, however did want that risk on over the weekend. The orange arrows are a measure of volatility. Six hour chart.
NASDAQ:TLTShort
by Maximilianned
1
Do you feel lucky...well do ya? 🤠Look at the chart...then look at your portfolio...then look at the chart again. Where do you think TLT is heading? Every time JNK/TLT touched the trendline, a TLT rally followed it, 4 times in the past 13 years. Do you think it will happen a 5th? 30Y at zero is something like ~200 on TLT, this is the best ROI trade right now IMO. Yes it will take a year or two, and if it happens sooner, then great! :) No need to make comparisons to 1929...too many different factors at play. However, we also had a similar setup when YoY inflation was high back in 2007 with housing at all time highs... and remember where that ended up? ;) Not saying anything will happen next week...but as a long term investor this is my bid over the next year. If 13 year downward trendline breaks on JNK/TLT, I'm out of TLT...but until then...
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by logica
6