Rolling (IRA): TLT June 18th 145 Calls to July 144... for a .71/contract credit.
Notes: A continuation of my TLT covered calls (i.e., shares of stock + short call). (See Post Below). With the 145's converging on 50% max, rolling out to the July 144's (28 delta) for a .71/contract credit. Total credits collected of 7.13 versus a short call value of 1.49 = realized gains of 5.64/contract so far on the short call premium end of the stick since December.
TLT trade ideas
a hedge to taxes what to do with a %43.3 capitol gains tax
buy nontaxable assets like government bonds
when the demand for those bonds goes up so will TLT
this is on the weekly and the MACD and RSI both look like it is time to go long
when big money catches on to this method the options chain can go crazy
TLT is about to resume the down-trendDown-trend on TLT is about to resume with a target around 122, so I am excepting long side of a yield curve to go event further up and eventually exceed 3%. I like Lacy Hunt's arguments for deflation/not inflation in the long term. But as he also mentioned, it is a norm at the moment to expect a short term inflation pressure.
I believe a 5 wave structure is unwinding since 5th of April, 2020 on TLT chart, with 4th wave potentially just completed. Wave 2 had triangle structure, so wave 4 is expected to form a zig-zag , exactly is it actually happened. So it is ready for the next move down towards 122.
Watch TLT/JNK chart which I found very interesting, it gives an idea about a turning point when market is going to turn from risk to save assets. Most likely it will be in sync with completion of DXY correction (started in 2017), so both $ and bond will go up after then.
Treasury Bond ETF Smashes Into 50-day SMABonds have bounced in the last month, but now the bears may be coming back.
The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF jumped to its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) yesterday. It was the first test of the SMA since the beginning of the year.
Second, TLT moves in the opposite direction as the CBOE 30-year Treasury Bond Yield Index (TYX). Yesterday it held an upward-sloping trendline that began on January 4. Also notice how a kicker candlestick pattern may be taking shape, with a quick bounce from the low:
Finally, yesterday’s data could favor more downside in TLT because initial jobless claims, retail sales and Fed surveys suggested the economy is rebounding sharply. The numbers were so strong that the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate for Q1 growth was revised up from 6.2 percent to 8.3 percent.
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TLT Best buy for at least one yearThis chart shows a very clear and strong trend on TLT on a multi-year basis. Every time the price hits the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (1W time-frame), it finds a long-term Support and rises. This is accompanied by a MACD Bullish Cross. See who the Channel's Fibs are also playing their role as Supports. Can this be the new long-term Support in TLT's attempt to break above the 1.5 extension?
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TLT long explanation on my last videohere is more explanation of my last video that why we have 3 targets based on elliot waves. there are 3 elliot waves from small to big picture that gives us some classics theoretical targets.
does it mean we will reach all of them?
does we even pass them?
or we reject from here again?
all possible!!! if you are a trader more than even 1yr you know that ALL POSSIBLE! just trade based on your strategy, open point, risk/reward ratio, SL and TP.
Possible long TLT from 135$Possible long TLT and bottom. RSI super oversold on (D) even 17. Everybody is record short $$$ and record short UST and long reflationary trend and inflation. It's not constant, time for some deflationary move and flip. Sustained break and closed on weekly below 134$ gives us a right to claim TLT will drop further to 118-120$ to lower channel.