TQQQ trade ideas
TQQQ strat , will watch closely for a potential re entry . As my previous idea states I am going to share my re-entry on the TQQQ strat this time .
There is some signs of bullish price action here and looks like we might pull off a wedge pop here soon . A wedge pop is when the price pulls back above the 10/21 ema's .
Personally the entry will be when the price closes above the TQQQ stop will be vs the low of that candle and or the 21 ema . Usually whichever is less . There is another signal too and that's the 50 sma . Which is currently above the 10/21 . I suppose you could participate in both events maybe if you wanted to play it safer you could take a smaller weighted position on this first signal and a larger one on the 50 sma ? Anyways everyone's preferences are their own and its important to know yours to respect risk tolerances .
will update if a position is taken , have set an alert above too ..
Sometimes the best position is no position . My Gameplan...We are in a confirmed downtrend now and I personally will eventually re-enter the market using the TQQQ . But regardless of your trading plan I think the main reason I decided to publish this one is to show that sometimes the best position is cash . I believe right now is one of those situations . I am now 95% cash .
I love the TQQQ , it out preforms most stocks and it is one of my first extensively back tested names. I like to back test manually using TV's chart replay function. In the case of the TQQQ , I have back tested several strategies dating all the way back to 2011, a lot of manual back testing and excel entries but I love it and its good muscle memory practice .
**With the TQQQ , you are betting on the market and not a company and it's a proven fact that the market likes to go up more than down :)
Essentially, my TQQQ strategy, that I favor, is to start attempting longs after we take back either the 50 MA or 10/21 ema's , with tight stops too . Furthermore, after a market correction that puts me in a cash position, when I get the correct signals, I will actually use my whole account to enter TQQQ. Then, if successful, sell half at 2R and follow the rest up with a trailing stop off the 21 ema . My scaling out system is simplistic and could probably be made more efficient but this is one of my most cherished strategies because it is truly my own and I model my swing trading after the same methodology. Obsviously , there are lots of very similar moving average systems that work pretty well worth looking into , mine is based quite a bit off Oliver Kell's " wedge pops/wedge drops . He is the winner of the 2020 investing championship btw, wrote a great book worth reading too with some savvy terms for his own terminology of chart events/signals.
But more to the point , I think that the TQQQ and or QQQ is a great tool for us to use to mange risk because when we lose the 21 Ema its time to get defensive and when we lose the 50 , even more so . This is for ALL our positions too, so even if you have no interest in trading the TQQQ , you can still use the market indexes to determine if you should be playing defense or maybe even going to cash. You should also know exactly what your risk management requires of you too with set rules written down and rehearsed for different market signals.
No one needs to know what will happen tomorrow to be a profitable trader , and picking a bottom is a risky business . So for me , ill wait for the market to tell me when it wants to potentially start a new uptrend and then I will pounce with a tight stop . If that doesn't work I will repeat and repeat and repeat , until it does work.
For me , what the QQQ and SPY are up to is the most important determining factor , everything else, like NEWS for example, is secondary and unnecessary for collecting profits or protecting your account . The most important thing , for me is what the market is telling us based on its moving averages and price structure .
I normally don't post my TQQQ entries but I have decided that coming out of this correction as I attempt to long TQQQ I will share.
For now , I will wait .
Support - Buy Box - Rocket ShipAs of now, this is a normal correction and I'm up 14%, riding the inverse (SQQQ)
The optimal long entry, considering a good risk/reward ratio, is yet to come. #patience
I will be closing my 'short' on TQQQ and entering long in my Buy Box. Buying in 33% of my intended position at a time as it enters the box, finishes consolidating and breaks out upward.
Happy hunting.
TQQQ Buying OpportunityPrice has pulled back from ATH of 153 to a major support of 127 and rallied back to 135 intraday.
I should not enter a long position until I have bullish confirmation that the uptrend is continuing.
Feds speak this Wednesday & Friday, if inflation is increasing at a faster rate than expected feds may begin to boost interest rates sooner then expected, if this happens it will have a negative effect on the market and possibly flush even lower.
What I See: Daily Chart
- Price Gapped Down & Pulled Back To 100 Day EMA (Yellow) Which Is Also Key Support Of 127 on Daily Chart & Wicked Off of It While Price Closed Directly on The Key Level Of 133.35 With Bears Still in Control
- We Have Seen A lot of Bear Momentum the Past 2 Days leaving us 2 possibilities Here...
1. Price Opens Above 133.35 Support & Rallies To 50 Day EMA (Blue) Acting as Resistance at The Same Key Resistance Of 137.50 Before Continuing Lower or Breaks Above the Key Resistance Of 137.50 & Continues Its Run
2. We Open Below the Support Of 133.35 & Continue Lower to Retest Support of 127 with a strong hold or possible break lower.
- Keep in mind gaps normal get filled especially in indexes & ETFs
- Fed Meeting on Wednesday & Friday meaning If Talks about raising interest rates sooner then expected is mentioned due to inflation that could have a negative short term impact on equity prices on the other hand if talks about holding interest rates stable due to inflation being controlled that could have a positive impact on equity prices.
TQQQ - Implied Range 170 - 132 - 109This beast of a 3X party has actually exceeded it's promises.
The NQ has returned far less than 66%.
A clear Divergence, where TQQQ's have bested the promised
land on Return.
This Instrument is trading within a large Range.
One that can continue to higher Targets prior to taking an
outsized Dump on the heads of chasers.
Every time we have sold a level, we end up having to sell it
higher to improve our overall positions.
Every time, without fail - only y release it again and patiently
wait for the next Micro to complete.
And although the correction to TQQQ will overperform to the
downside as well... we simply are not convinced it's done
tearing up sellers into what should be "Warning Season for
TECH."
132 - 170 appears to be the Implied Range for now.
It is difficult to choke off an $80K loss entering too soon.
It's wait and see here, break up and out of consolidation or
a larger retracement.
SOH until we see this break - 153.90 or Fail.
TQQQ - Sell to open 143.55Globex SELL - 143.55 x 2K - 1st Position
SEC warns on China's Listings transparency.
China remains the 800lb Gorilla in the room.
The rising wedge broke, only to be retested with
the required new ATH.
Big tech with the exception of FB/GOOG will be
lowering guidance, reducing EPS to compound prior
Q2 negative guidance.
AMZN YOY Warning stuck, AMZN has had difficulty
moving higher - ie. dead $.
Big Data will excel while Semiconductors come under
further Duress (SOXS SELL 40K)
Our Sell Position is to 4K shares, the target below
remains a break of the prior lows.
Geopolitical Risks remain high within the SCS/Taiwan
areana.
Interest Rate pressure will continue to build as the Yield
Curve's 10 - 30 spread is setting up to decline in Price as
Yields move higher into Fall.
FX is projecting a Higher DX, consolidating as Consumers
continue to increasingly Hoard Dollars.
TQQQ : AAPLA clear divergence is forming between AAPL, TQQQ, QQQ
July will be the High for NQ IMHO, it will see a large correction
beginning next week.
Semiconductor Sector has immense issues.
We could see a 20% decline in Tech as shortages will crimp
earnings as Input Prices are being rejected.
The NQ has the potential to make a new high, it must break
the Range posted earlier this morning or failure will occur.
A decline will be rapid, NQ always follows RTY.