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Tesla on the Edge – Key Support or Deeper Drop?📉 Tesla on the Edge – Key Support or Deeper Drop? 🔥🔍 Tesla is in freefall, dropping nearly 9% today. The stock has plummeted from its highs near $500, now testing the critical $220-$200 support zone. 📊 Key Levels to Watch: 📌 Holding $220 could trigger a relief bounce towards $275+. 📌 A breakdown below $200 could open doors to $160-$180, or worse. 🔎 What’s Happening? Tesla, along with X and SpaceX, is under intense scrutiny amid political pressure, regulatory battles, and even cyberattacks. This aligns with the broader market uncertainty, as Bitcoin struggles to reclaim $79,478. 👀 Elon Musk is in the spotlight, facing global resistance, from social media wars to business challenges. Could this spell opportunity or more downside for Tesla? ⚡️ Will TSLA rebound, or is it heading even lower? Let me know your thoughts below! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 #Tesla #TSLA #ElonMusk #StockMarket #Trading #TechStocks
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by FX_Professor
Tesla Wave Analysis – 10 March 2025 - Tesla falling inside sharp impulse waves 5 and (C) - Likely to fall to support level 212.00 Tesla falling inside the sharp downward impulse wave iii, which started earlier from the round resistance level 300.00 (former support broken in February). The price earlier broke the support trendline of the daily down channel from December – which signalled the acceleration of the active impulse waves 5 and (C). Tesla can be expected to fall to the next support level 212.00 (former monthly low from October) and the target for the completion of the active impulse wave 5.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by FxProGlobal
Tesla Stock Analysis: Finding Support at $172?I stare at the chart, tracing my finger along the screen, connecting the dots—the 2020 low, the 2024 low. A rising trendline emerges, like a bridge between two cliffs, steady but not invincible. So here we are. $172. That’s where the trendline whispers support. But is it really support, or just an illusion we want to believe in? The Logic Behind the Line Drawing a trendline isn’t just some artistic endeavor; it’s about psychology, repetition, and history. If enough traders see it, believe it, and act on it, then it becomes real. That’s the paradox of technical analysis. The trendline at $172? It’s not just a number—it’s where fear meets hope, where buyers might show up to defend Tesla. But then again, what if this time is different? Macro and Tesla-Specific Concerns Tesla is no longer the untouchable, high-growth behemoth it once was. EV competition is intensifying, interest rates are still squeezing consumer financing, and let’s be honest—Elon’s distractions (from X to AI) don’t exactly scream "full focus on Tesla." Investors hate uncertainty, and right now, Tesla has plenty of it. Then there's the earnings slowdown. Margins are under pressure. Price cuts have fueled demand, but at what cost? If Tesla can’t maintain its high-profit margins, the stock might deserve a lower multiple. The market isn’t rewarding growth-at-all-costs anymore—it wants efficiency, profitability, and stability. And let’s talk about the market itself. The S&P 500 has been on a historic run, and if it corrects, Tesla—being a high-beta stock—will likely get hit harder. Tech stocks aren’t flying as they did in 2020-2021. The Fed isn’t cutting rates aggressively, at least not yet. So, does Tesla hold the line at $172, or do we see an inevitable flush lower before real buyers step in? What’s the Play? Alright, let’s assume Tesla does test $172. What happens then? A bounce? Sure, it could. But a strong bounce? That’s the real question. If buying pressure isn’t convincing, if volume isn’t there, then support is just a temporary floor before another leg down. If $172 doesn’t hold, where’s the next stop? I’d be looking at $150, maybe even the psychological $140 level. That’s where things get really interesting—where long-term bulls either double down or panic sets in. But let’s flip the script. What if Tesla does hold here? What if it bounces, regains momentum, and starts reclaiming key moving averages? Then suddenly, we’re back in play for $200, $220, maybe even beyond. The Bottom Line I’m watching $172 like a hawk. If it holds with conviction, I might take a shot. If it doesn’t, I’ll wait. No need to be a hero. One thing I’ve learned in this game? The market doesn’t care about my lines. It cares about liquidity, sentiment, and the bigger picture. And right now, Tesla is at a crossroads. Time to see which way it moves.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by luislin88
Tesla (TSLA) Reaching a Critical Level! Will This Reversal Hold?Market Structure Overview * TSLA has been in a downtrend channel, forming lower highs and lower lows. * It has now entered a reversal zone, potentially signaling a short-term bottom. Supply and Demand Zones * Support Zone: $217 - $230 (Reversal Zone) * Resistance Levels: $250, $270, and major resistance at $304.50. Key Technical Observations * Falling Wedge Pattern: The stock is testing the lower trendline support, indicating a potential breakout. * MACD Crossover: A possible bullish crossover is forming, suggesting momentum shift. * Stochastic RSI Oversold: TSLA is rebounding from oversold conditions, indicating potential upside. GEX Analysis & Option Flow Insights * IVR: 85.5 (Elevated Implied Volatility Rank) * IVx Avg: 103.6 * Call Walls (Resistance): * $250: Moderate resistance * $270: Strong resistance * $300: Major breakout level * Put Walls (Support): * $217: Strong support * $200: Extreme support level Trade Scenarios Bullish Case (Breakout Above $250) * Entry: Above $250 * Target 1: $270 * Target 2: $304.50 * Stop-Loss: Below $230 Bearish Case (Breakdown Below $217) * Entry: Below $217 * Target 1: $200 * Target 2: $190 * Stop-Loss: Above $230 Final Thoughts TSLA is currently in a high-volatility reversal zone. Watch for a breakout above $250 for confirmation of trend reversal, while a breakdown below $217 would signal further downside. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence before making trading decisions.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
If you are living in a TESLA Bubble, the HYPE is over...Some countries across of the world, specially in Europe, some people are vandalizing Teslas, google it, it's not being covered on mainstream news so it won't provoke an influence to other people do the same, i was going to buy the new Y model its beautiful and amazing, not anymore i don't want a swastika painted on the hood... used Teslas are mounting and prices of used Teslas are falling worldwide, the stock has been super overvalued due to hype, look at the market cap, no longer has a reason to stay there, the hype is finished, this stock is going for big correction. Im not in a short position, but i closed my longs. Elon should never got into politics.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by veelez7
1
Tesla I Tipping Point: Short Opportunity with Head & Shoulders Short opportunity on Tesla Based on Technical + Fundamental View -market structure -Head and shoulder pattern -Double top -Currently trading at supply zone which was a recent support and now an ideal place for a reversal to create the right shoulder of the bigger head and shoulder pattern - Daily time frame -Product Development Delays -Margin Pressure -Decreased average selling price - Increased Competition - Flat /Declining Sales - Leadership Concerns: Elon Musk's polarizing political activities and his divided attention between Tesla and other ventures (such as his involvement with OpenAI) have raised concerns among investors. Some analysts suggest that Musk's public perception may negatively impact consumer sentiment towards Tesla, leading to decreased sales and loyalty among customers. Technical view Double top Unlike the classic double top, where the second peak reaches or exceeds the height of the first peak, the Type III double top fails to reach the previous high. This failure signifies a significant shift in market sentiment and an increase in selling pressure than usal. Head and shoulder pattern - Pretty visible. Right shoulder is yet to be formed, Which makes an ideal place to SELL with a Risk Reward ratio. (Approx 1:6.4) Pro Tip Wait for a bearish candle stick pattern to execute trades on end of the day keeping stop loss somewhere above the supply zone. Target 1 - 307$ Target 2 - 271$ Target 3 - 237$ Stop Loss - 380.21$ Fundamental View Valuation Concerns: Tesla's stock is currently viewed as significantly overvalued, with a fair value estimate of $210 per share according to multiple analysts, including Morningstar and Firstrade. This valuation reflects a substantial premium over its current trading price, indicating potential downside risk for investors. Earnings Performance: Tesla's Q4 2024 earnings are anticipated to show continued improvement, with expectations of gross profit margins exceeding 20%. Analysts believe that the automotive segment's performance has stabilized after a challenging first half of the year, driven by increased deliveries and lower production costs. Market Dynamics: Despite strong demand for Tesla's vehicles, the company faces pressures from declining average selling prices due to price cuts implemented in 2023. This trend is expected to continue as competition intensifies in the electric vehicle (EV) market. Product Development: Tesla is set to launch new models, including an affordable SUV (Model Q) aimed at increasing market share in the lower-priced vehicle segment. Additionally, advancements in autonomous driving technology are critical for future growth, with plans to roll out Level 3 Full Self-Driving software in select states and regions. Analyst Ratings: The consensus among analysts remains mixed, with a combination of "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings. The average price target reflects a cautious outlook, suggesting that while there is potential for upside, significant risks remain due to valuation concerns and competitive pressures. Not an investment Advise
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by REUBEN_EUSTACE
4
TSLA at a Critical Level! Key Trade Setups for This Week Market Structure & Trend Tesla has been in a downtrend, but recent price action suggests potential support around $250-$262. The stock is testing a descending trendline, which could act as resistance. Bulls will need a strong breakout above this level to shift momentum. Key Support & Resistance Levels * Resistance Levels: * $295-$304 → Key level to reclaim for bullish continuation. * $400 → Major GEX Call Resistance zone. * $500 → 2nd Call Wall (Long-term resistance). * Support Levels: * $250-$262 → Current price zone, testing previous support. * $249.89 → Recent low, critical level to hold. * $200 → Strong GEX Put Support zone. Options & GEX Analysis * IV Rank: 90.3% (High volatility; options pricing is elevated). * Options Flow Sentiment: * Call Wall: $400 * Put Wall: $200 * Gamma Exposure (GEX): Negative, indicating market makers are hedging for potential downside. Indicators & Price Action * MACD: Momentum is attempting to shift positive, but still below the signal line. * Stochastic RSI: Overbought territory, indicating possible pullback before continuation. * Volume Analysis: Increasing buying pressure at key levels. Trade Setups * Bullish Scenario: * Entry: Above $270 for confirmation. * Targets: $295-$304, then $330+ if momentum continues. * Stop Loss: Below $250. * Bearish Scenario: * Entry: Rejection at $262-$270 resistance. * Targets: $250, then $200 if sellers take control. * Stop Loss: Above $275. Conclusion Tesla is at a decision point, sitting on a critical support zone with potential upside if it reclaims $270-$295. However, if sellers dominate, we could see a deeper move towards $250-$200. Gamma exposure suggests high volatility, so expect rapid moves. 🔹 This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
Effective inefficiencyStop-Loss. This combination of words sounds like a magic spell for impatient investors. It's really challenging to watch your account get smaller and smaller. That's why people came up with this magic amulet. Go to the market, don't be afraid, just put it on. Let your profits run, but limit your losses - place a Stop-Loss order. Its design is simple: when the paper loss reaches the amount agreed upon with you in advance, your position will be closed. The paper loss will become real. And here I have a question: “ Does this invention stop the loss? ” It seems that on the contrary - you take it with you. Then it is not a Stop-Loss, but a Take-Loss. This will be more honest, but let's continue with the classic name. Another thing that always bothered me was that everyone has their own Stop-Loss. For example, if a company shows a loss, I can find out about it from the reports. Its meaning is the same for everyone and does not depend on those who look at it. With Stop-Loss, it's different. As many people as there are Stop-Losses. There is a lot of subjectivity in it. For adherents of fundamental analysis, all this looks very strange. I cannot agree that I spent time researching a company, became convinced of the strength of its business, and then simply quoted a price at which I would lock in my loss. I don't think Benjamin Graham would approve either. He knew better than anyone that the market loved to show off its madness when it came to stock prices. So Stop-Loss is part of this madness? Not quite so. There are many strategies that do not rely on fundamental analysis. They live by their own principles, where Stop-Loss plays a key role. Based on its size relative to the expected profit, these strategies can be divided into three types. Stop-Loss is approximately equal to the expected profit size This includes high-frequency strategies of traders who make numerous trades during the day. These can be manual or automated operations. Here we are talking about the advantages that a trader seeks to gain, thanks to modern technical means, complex calculations or simply intuition. In such strategies, it is critical to have favorable commission conditions so as not to give up all the profits to maintaining the infrastructure. The size of profit and loss per trade is approximately equal and insignificant in relation to the size of the account. The main expectation of a trader is to make more positive trades than negative ones. Stop-Loss is several times less than the expected profit The second type includes strategies based on technical analysis. The number of transactions here is significantly less than in the strategies of the first type. The idea is to open an interesting position that will show enough profit to cover several losses. This could be trading using chart patterns, wave analysis, candlestick analysis. You can also add buyers of classic options here. Stop-Loss is an order of magnitude greater than the expected profit The third type includes arbitrage strategies, selling volatility. The idea behind such strategies is to generate a constant, close to fixed, income due to statistically stable patterns or extreme price differences. But there is also a downside to the coin - a significant Stop-Loss size. If the system breaks down, the resulting loss can cover all the earned profit at once. It's like a deposit in a dodgy bank - the interest rate is great, but there's also a risk of bankruptcy. Reflecting on these three groups, I formulated the following postulate: “ In an efficient market, the most efficient strategies will show a zero financial result with a pre-determined profit to loss ratio ”. Let's take this postulate apart piece by piece. What does efficient market mean? It is a stock market where most participants instantly receive information about the assets in question and immediately decide to place, cancel or modify their order. In other words, in such a market, there is no lag between the appearance of information and the reaction to it. It should be said that thanks to the development of telecommunications and information technologies, modern stock markets have significantly improved their efficiency and continue to do so. What is an effective strategy ? This is a strategy that does not bring losses. Profit to loss ratio is the result of profitable trades divided by the result of losing trades in the chosen strategy, considering commissions. So, according to the postulate, one can know in advance what this ratio will be for the most effective strategy in an effective market. In this case, the financial result for any such strategy will be zero. The formula for calculating the profit to loss ratio according to the postulate: Profit : Loss ratio = %L / (100% - %L) Where %L is the percentage of losing trades in the strategy. Below is a graph of the different ratios of the most efficient strategy in an efficient market. For example, if your strategy has 60% losing trades, then with a profit to loss ratio of 1.5:1, your financial result will be zero. In this example, to start making money, you need to either reduce the percentage of losing trades (<60%) with a ratio of 1.5:1, or increase the ratio (>1.5), while maintaining the percentage of losing trades (60%). With such improvements, your point will be below the orange line - this is the inefficient market space. In this zone, it is not about your strategy becoming more efficient, you have simply found inefficiencies in the market itself. Any point above the efficient market line is an inefficient strategy . It is the opposite of an effective strategy, meaning it results in an overall loss. Moreover, an inefficient strategy in an efficient market makes the market itself inefficient , which creates profitable opportunities for efficient strategies in an inefficient market. It sounds complicated, but these words contain an important meaning - if someone loses, then someone will definitely find. Thus, there is an efficient market line, a zone of efficient strategies in an inefficient market, and a zone of inefficient strategies. In reality, if we mark a point on this chart at a certain time interval, we will get rather a cloud of points, which can be located anywhere and, for example, cross the efficient market line and both zones at the same time. This is due to the constant changes that occur in the market. It is an entity that evolves together with all participants. What was effective suddenly becomes ineffective and vice versa. For this reason, I formulated another postulate: “ Any market participant strives for the effectiveness of his strategy, and the market strives for its own effectiveness, and when this is achieved, the financial result of the strategy will become zero ”. In other words, the efficient market line has a strong gravity that, like a magnet, attracts everything that is above and below it. However, I doubt that absolute efficiency will be achieved in the near future. This requires that all market participants have equally fast access to information and respond to it effectively. Moreover, many traders and investors, including myself, have a strong interest in the market being inefficient. Just like we want gravity to be strong enough that we don't fly off into space from our couches, but gentle enough that we can visit the refrigerator. This limits or delays the transfer of information to each other. Returning to the topic of Stop-Loss, one should pay attention to another pattern that follows from the postulates of market efficiency. Below, on the graph (red line), you can see how much the loss to profit ratio changes depending on the percentage of losing trades in the strategy. For me, the values located on the red line are the mathematical expectation associated with the size of the loss in an effective strategy in an effective market. In other words, those who have a small percentage of losing trades in their strategy should be on guard. The potential loss in such strategies can be several times higher than the accumulated profit. In the case of strategies with a high percentage of losing trades, most of the risk has already been realized, so the potential loss relative to the profit is small. As for my attitude towards Stop-Loss, I do not use it in my stock market investing strategy. That is, I don’t know in advance at what price I will close the position. This is because I treat buying shares as participating in a business. I cannot accept that when crazy Mr. Market knocks on my door and offers a strange price, I will immediately sell him my shares. Rather, I would ask myself, “ How efficient is the market right now and should I buy more shares at this price? ” My decision to sell should be motivated not only by the price but also by the fundamental reasons for the decline. For me, the main criterion for closing a position is the company's profitability - a metric that is the same for everyone who looks at it. If a business stops being profitable, that's a red flag. In this case, the time the company has been in a loss-making state and the size of the losses are considered. Even a great company can have a bad quarter for one reason or another. In my opinion, the main work with risks should take place before the company gets into the portfolio, and not after the position is opened. Often it doesn't even involve fundamental business analysis. Here are four things I'm talking about: - Diversification. Distribution of investments among many companies. - Gradually gaining position. Buying stocks within a range of prices, rather than at one desired price. - Prioritization of sectors. For me, sectors of stable consumer demand always have a higher priority than others. - No leverage. I propose to examine the last point separately. The thing is that the broker who lends you money is absolutely right to be afraid that you won’t pay it back. For this reason, each time he calculates how much his loan is secured by your money and the current value of the shares (that is, the value that is currently on the market). Once this collateral is not enough, you will receive a so-called margin call . This is a requirement to fund an account to secure a loan. If you fail to do this, part of your position will be forcibly closed. Unfortunately, no one will listen to the excuse that this company is making a profit and the market is insane. The broker will simply give you a Stop-Loss. Therefore, leverage, by its definition, cannot be used in my investment strategy. In conclusion of this article, I would like to say that the market, as a social phenomenon, contains a great paradox. On the one hand, we have a natural desire for it to be ineffective, on the other hand, we are all working on its effectiveness. It turns out that the income we take from the market is payment for this work. At the same time, our loss can be represented as the salary that we personally pay to other market participants for their efficiency. I don't know about you, but this understanding seems beautiful to me.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by Be_Capy
What if it’s a bottom?What if it’s a bottom? The price had two gap-ups during the bull market, and both of those gap-ups have been fully filled. The current price has returned to the final resistance line, which acted as support after breaking out of a triangle consolidation pattern. Therefore, no matter how bad the sentiment around Tesla is, seeing how it has already dropped so sharply in such a short period, I’m thinking it might be a good time to buy now. Many people might laugh at this, and mentally it’s a scary zone, but from a chart perspective, it feels like an attractive price to buy. Today, I personally took a bold step and made a purchase, but if it falls further, I’m looking at a worst-case scenario of $170. By then, there will likely be a lot of people underwater, and it could take a long time to reach the previous high. However, if that happens, I plan to buy 2.5 times the amount I currently hold. Tesla has always been a tough stock, but this time, with variables upon variables, along with Tesla’s business and political issues, it’s truly chaotic. I hope everyone makes a profit. (Just my personal opinion)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by GiraffePiWorld