XLE BullishnessTaking XLE buy based on sector performance and nice technical analysis.
Usoil has been pushing bullishly with high volatility in the summer, increased travel, and typically higher gas prices in summer months. expecting significant increase through rest of 2020.
overall had nice textbook break of weakly high.
price created a bullish structure above highs and broke impulsively, confirming the breakout.
XLE trade ideas
Black Gold is not doneBlack Gold finally broke out from the 3 month cup handle pattern as mentioned last week! Although weekly chart was showing bearish, it was a bullish flag because the lows never broke. This week the momentum continues upward possibly in a big way. Extremely Bullish! Once it breaks 56.75, 59 will be the next target. XOM, SLB, NOV are yummy plays.
Energy breakout ~ June 2021Technical Analysis
We have been in a strong uptrend (pink segment line) since November, which I have divided into 3 ranges.
We have tested the top of "Range 2" 3 times, and we are now breaking out. Either we continue into "Range 3", or we could potentially test the pink trend line once again (ghost feed representation)
Macro
Tomorrow jobs report could be a market moving event, as the Fed has made a drastic change in its action plan, which consists of reacting to data (reports such as these), instead of reacting preemptively as it has done in the past.
XLEChart pattern: Bull flag
Entry: 54.06 $ (this would end the secondary downtrend of the correction)
Stop: 51.18$
Target: 60$-65$
Stopmanagement: SAR Parabolic 4h Chart default settings
Risk:Reward-Ratio: > 2:1
Intermarket-analyses: The recent CPI data indicates that we are in an inflationary environment which cannot be solely explained with the basis effect. The energy sector was always a valid hedge against inflationary forces and compared to gold and silver it is not that strictly dependable on the development of the US10Y. The further depreciation of the dollar should also act as a tailwind for the energy sector as they both are inversely correlated.
XLE - people are bullish.... but...A lot of people are bullish in Oil just like a lot of people were bearish when Oil was over $140 and Bearish when Oil was down a year ago.
You have to look at your chart and trade when you are confident.
I was confident in Late march and in November.
Right now, I prefer to stay aside and wait for the fog to clear. IF it is bullish, there will be plenty of chance to trade.
XLE Upside Idea XLE is seeing a bullish crossover on the macd on the daily timeframe and holding pivot support. I believe we can see a bounce off these levels and test the previous high. With reopening in focus and strong performance in energy in the recent week (also earnings of big energy names such as XOM on friday) we can see a potential quick rise in energy stocks.
energy and oil can go crazy so after listening to powel today i saw many things
people don't want cash
they want bonds, they want stocks, they want housing
I think the amount of buying we will see will be crazy and the inflation will go up. i don't necessarily invest like i believe there is inflation but there is
Powel basically said let inflation go up not a problem
oil can go crazy bc it is a measure of inflation in gas prices in a way and the supply chain issues are still bad
i think XLE can see $55-$65 soon
I think oil goes crazy into the summer and chills in highs during summer and then I need more information to talk after that
anyways I think everything is crazy bullish
I don't think anything is in bubble territory yet
watch for more "GME" situations crazy NFT prices and fear in the fed
besides that our so far %90 earnings beats says it makes sense for us to go higher
good luck traders :)
XLE Long September 50 CallsJumping into XLE here.
Oil will need to rebound if the market intends to press on, and we see this as a highly likely scenario.
We also had a very nice bounce off the 50% Fibonacci line, as well as a confirmation of support on the 50 EMA.
With a bullish market and multiple entry factors, this looks like a perfect setup for a 10/20% option return.
Feel free to follow this thread as we will be posting updates as this thing moves like all of our trades.
Good luck, All!