Get started
Bitcoin Historical Volatility IndexBitcoin Historical Volatility IndexBitcoin Historical Volatility Index

Bitcoin Historical Volatility Index

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Seasonals Markets

BVOL24H trade ideas

XBT Short-Term 1H | Bear vs BullOnce again we look at Bitcoin (XBT) short-term. We have a recent bullish move... What happens next? Above the blue and grey lines the bullish move can continue. Immediate resistance is also found at the black line or MA200 ($16,483). Looking at these three levels, XBT needs to move above the $16,500/$16,850 price range to knock out the bears. Any trading below the blue line (~$16,615) can keep the bears alive and the drop resume. If this level are conquered, then the balls passes towards the bulls. More details on the chart. Still red... Namaste.
BITMEX:XBT
by AlanSantana
3
Points that warn #Crypto could have a huge short squeeze.Fibs and forecast/price estimate are mainly done just out of interest to see what happens. But there are various things to support a short squeeze may be setting up. Let's look at some things we can see in a short squeeze in a developing/developed downtrend and how they relate to BTC. Squeezes often a preluded by ranges. People given time to decide it's a big level. Think a low is in. Then think the breaking of this level is highly significant and will tell them the direction of the near term trend. Has to be time to establish important level. Obvious devastating news. When a trend is turning usually there are reasons everyone knows it will continue. Like the El Salvador news at the top, the FTX news may mark the bottom. Everyone needs to know the move is continuing. There needs to have been time to establish an important price. Mis forecasts of the low. Bug failure of implied important support and w/ news everyone will understand is bearish. It becomes a short squeeze by attracting shorts. Our spike low comes in butterfly form. A known false breakout pattern which also has the properties of the last move always being the strongest, usually supported by news. Shorts before this bull pattern fails may be very untimely. Butterflies come at highs/lows, if working. The idea of a Cryptocrash and it being inevitable this is going lower is deeply rooted now. But for us to not have some significant bounce around this level would be improbable. From very early on there were ways to define this 15K area as somewhere we could bounce/range. I think BTC has made an important break and this break has increased the chance its in a multi yr bear market - but if it is, it can easily have 6 month + bull traps and in these types of traps stocks often double. Something volatile like BTC could easily do a few 100%. I think there's speculative value long here with stops under the low to get out the way early if there's a run-away train - but more importantly, I think this is a risky area to be short w/ wide stops. If shorting, I'd think it's best to use tight stops. The conditions for a short squeeze are all here. Terrible news in the headlines, a narrative established over time beat down in hours. A big exit from bulls and rush in of bears. All concurrently coming on levels a bounce always seemed probable.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDSHORTS
by holeyprofit
22
Long live the crab4hr timeframe let’s gooooo We have net more shorts than longs since 10 Nov. (larger stakes* in fewer hands for the longs, and fewer stakes in more hands for the shorts). *not relative to portfolio size Fun fact: google trends “sell BTC” interest is at an ATH for last 90 days, while “Buy BTC” prints a nice 5 wave Elliot down from a 9th November ATH. We also see Open Interest declining while PA crabs. We can take that to mean less liquidity for the underlying asset (BTC). Declining volume is same story. OI moving with trend supports trend, while divergent OI indicates less buyers or sellers to open new positions/ are opening offsetting positions. So what does declining OI mean when PA crabs? A larger move is imminent (more probable). Why? Less liquidity = sensitivity to volatility. No because that symmetrical triangle formation. Like isn’t that a bear pennant? TA contrarian here.. I think price will pump. Maybe 17.8k? I’m not making any calls. Just saying, smart money is in the longs and them shorts gonna get lemonaded. Okay sorry for leading you on with this TA but I’m distracted right now so wrapping it up here. not trading advice
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLONGSLong
by MiserableToppings
6
BTC (possible) Macro CountA possible bottom could be in for BTC. It could still go lower somewhere in 2023 but I would expect a multi-month 5-wave to take the price higher first. Also we have a massive multi-week bullish divergence on the RSI. If it did a 5-wave up then come back lower it would = ABC + X + ABC = WXY. (I'll post an example below). Remember this is a weekly chart so we could have some shorter timeframe stabs lower but I expect the weekly chart to hold this .786 area.
BITMEX:XBTLong
by thekevin
3
Indecision is the enemy of success.The most successful traders have one thing in common: they know when to pull the trigger. They don’t hesitate. They don’t second-guess themselves. They make a decision and they stick to it. Indecision is the enemy of success. It’s what causes trading losses. If you can’t make a decision, you’ll never make any money in the markets. The trick is to not let indecision steal your opportunity. When you see a good trade setup, don’t hesitate. Take action and be confident in your decision. Remember, even if it turns out to be a wrong decision, it’s better than no decision at all. Follow Me For More 👉 @MarketsCoach
BITMEX:XBTEducation
by UnknownUnicorn33550147
Downtrend did resume, and what's next? The chart would be self-explanatory. Here we are rebounding from FE 0.886. I marked 1.000 and 1.114, respecting the H & S. This article is tagged as "short," but beware of possible extensive upside moves. Better be cautious until the candle crosses down the arcs' crosspoint (at least in a lower timeframe). By the way, this is an update for my most notorious chart. While my previous analysis has astonishingly been trolled, the chart didn't take care of what they felt- Like it or not, this is the fact.
BITMEX:XBTShort
by jackrabbitrage
19
Weekly candle to close red suggesting trend continuation Gann Square, the built-in smart tool of TradingView, is provided with many fans and arcs. Every single one of them, if properly plotted, is considered to serve as S & R. Not to mention their crosspoints. In this chart, I applied it so that only the strong movements (progressive waves in the E.W. Theory) in the trend direction penetrate the arcs and the crosspoints. So if the weekly candle closes red, the arc resistance is confirmed together with the trendlines, making any upside to mark HH more difficult (implying a continued downtrend). Let's check this scenario. Although this is not textbook theory but my empirical analysis, the light-green shaded zones act as resistance zones like the Ichimoku cloud. Considered in conjunction with the low of 17600, we would see a large or small rebound there. However, a move beyond 25k, especially over 28k, within one or two weeks is almost unlikely, given the overhead crosspoints and the likely continued macro downtrend. Gan Fan 1 x1 (thick black) may serve as support. Watch 16500 if 17600 support is lost.
BITMEX:XBTShort
by jackrabbitrage
27