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Bitcoin Historical Volatility IndexBitcoin Historical Volatility IndexBitcoin Historical Volatility Index

Bitcoin Historical Volatility Index

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BVOL24H trade ideas

Bitcoin Trend as calculated through a Linear RegressionNumber probably go up now, if not number will go up around 7.5k/8ks. So, at most you may be risking a 20-30% draw down if you buy the dip now. So, that would be your risk, now how about reward? well, the sky is the limit when it comes to a hard capped sovereign, autonomous, censorship resistant, scarce Commodity with unique abilities pertaining to currencies, store of values and speculation. ( I know this shit is messy, but in terms of probability as defined by the bell curve in statistics, this trend regression can give us real odds of price reaching certain price ranges).
BITMEX:XBTLong
by Mr-TA
1
A lesson from Tesla's Bitcoin position..!These days everyone talks about Tesla closing 75% of its bitcoin position. Let's evaluate it and see if there is anything that we can learn from it: 1- A Perfect Entry: according to Tesla's earnings call average entry price was $31,620..! Considering 27829 was the lowest price of 2021 and bitcoin traded only 22 days below Tesla's average. 2- Missing opportunity to realize +100% gain in less than 1 year, Twice..! 3- Closing below Entry with 170 million USD loss: Tesla sold $936 million worth of Bitcoin at the price of $28,888! As you can see to be successful in Trading or Investing you need a perfect entry and exit strategy, but you should not forget that your gains are not yours unless you realize it! As you can see Tesla had the chance to make a 1.7 Billion USD profit in 2021, but they lost that opportunity and shareholders should pay for Elon's 1.5 Billion USD gamble..! Education: Minimal requirements for a good effective trading/Investing system: 1- Entry Criteria 2- Exit Criteria: Target, Stop Loss 3- Profit protection Plan: Trailing Stop loss The last one is very important because you should never let a winning trade turn into a loser one..! If your trading setup lacks any of the above-mentioned requirements, you will lose money even if you are Elon Musk..! Best
BITMEX:XBTEducation
by Moshkelgosha
5
another bearish BTC prediction based on R.Wyckoff distribution PSY—preliminary supply, where large interests begin to unload shares in quantity after a pronounced up-move. Volume expands and price spread widens, signaling that a change in trend may be approaching. BC—buying climax, during which there are often marked increases in volume and price spread. The force of buying reaches a climax, with heavy or urgent buying by the public being filled by professional interests at prices near a top. A BC often coincides with a great earnings report or other good news, since the large operators require huge demand from the public to sell their shares without depressing the stock price. AR—automatic reaction. With intense buying substantially diminished after the BC and heavy supply continuing, an AR takes place. The low of this selloff helps define the lower boundary of the distribution TR. ST—secondary test, in which price revisits the area of the BC to test the demand/supply balance at these price levels. For a top to be confirmed, supply must outweigh demand; volume and spread should thus decrease as price approaches the resistance area of the BC. An ST may take the form of an upthrust (UT), in which price moves above the resistance represented by the BC and possibly other STs before quickly reversing to close below resistance. After a UT, price often tests the lower boundary of the TR. SOW—sign of weakness, observable as a down-move to (or slightly past) the lower boundary of the TR, usually occurring on increased spread and volume. The AR and the initial SOW(s) indicate a change of character in the price action of the stock: supply is now dominant. LPSY—last point of supply. After testing support on a SOW, a feeble rally on narrow spread shows that the market is having considerable difficulty advancing. This inability to rally may be due to weak demand, substantial supply or both. LPSYs represent exhaustion of demand and the last waves of large operators’ distribution before markdown begins in earnest. UTAD—upthrust after distribution. A UTAD is the distributional counterpart to the spring and terminal shakeout in the accumulation TR. It occurs in the latter stages of the TR and provides a definitive test of new demand after a breakout above TR resistance. Analogous to springs and shakeouts, a UTAD is not a required structural element: CR - school.stockcharts.com
BITMEX:XBTShort
by MDkarimovic
The BTC longs bubble.BTC longs have went parabolic while BTC has been dropping through 2022. The longs chart is now starting to resemble something like a bubble chart. Just for fun, and as an experiment, here's a forecast of what it would look like if BTC longs were to continue to make a bubble like chart and complete in at the typical reversal areas of at (Or somewhere just over) the 423 fib. To draw the fibs here we're using a method similar to the ones that picked out the current high in SPX drawing fibs from the previous big range (2000 - 2008 crashes).
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLONGS
by holeyprofit