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Bitcoin Historical Volatility Index

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$BTC - Is a Double Bottom coming ?Is a Double Bottom coming in for #Bitcoin at 17K level ? Or will Macro conditions push it away even further to the downside in terms of percentages from ATH on this Bear Market Bottom? What's your speculative price target for this bear market bottom ? It may happen that #Bitcoin's negative price action for now is just a retesting time-phase for the broken megaphone pattern, otherwise this is the start of downfall from a fake out occuring last week(friday+weekend) Stay away from Longing ALTS for the short term as nothing is clear for now! #BTC.D is increasing as well, however coming under a lot of resistances after continuously falling for days in a row TRADE SAFE! Note that this is not financial advise ! Please do your own reasearch before partaking on any trading activities based soly on this idea. There is no fun time when markets are falling, especillay when Macro is on a terrible state
BITMEX:XBT
by Mr_J__fx
Bitcoin Short Term Bear, Long Term Bull-Build short position against BTC until options expire (June 30th) after this I expect downside to increase sharply -US markets look horrific & FED tightening cycle (FED hikes, high inflation (demand destruction), Bonds already tightened market, oh yeah.. and Quantitative tightening) To soon to call BTC bottom at $12,500 USD?? - 80% drawdown from Cycle top (April, was cycle top in my opinion, even though we made a higher high) - Fully think FED will be forced to stop QT and quickly pivot from stop hiking rates to reducing rates -the rate of tightening has been unprecedented > FED too late > FED hike too much too fast > we slow down to fast > FED need more liquidity in system NOW! > money printer go " Exponential BbbRRRRRrrrrrrrRRRrrr " > LOTS of LIQUIDITY NOW > up only.....(Start of Hyper inflation cycle this time????) = Bitcoin's true test? :)
BITMEX:XBTLong
by merchtank19
1
Bitcoin Leveraged Longs At Historic RecordsThis chart of BITFINEX:BTCUSDLONGS represents the total number of Bitcoin held in margin positions on the exchange Bitfinex. This is only the data for one exchange but I make the assumption that as a data point it represents the state of the trading ecosystem as a whole. What this data shows is that despite the drop in price (or rather because of it) traders have been apeing into the dip with larger amounts of leverage than ever seen before. This could mean one of two things: Traders using high amounts of leverage will get rewarded for taking on high risk if the price rebounds Traders using high amounts of leverage will be liquidated and create an even more rapid cascade of price decline if the price continues to fall Time will tell... do these traders taking on excessive risk get to win? Another question: if so many people are buying to DCA and/or speculate... why is price falling?
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLONGS
by norok
6
Printing money out of bits..!I published this post privately on May 9th,2022, when Bitcoin was above 33K, now I want everyone to have access to it. Most speculative assets in the stock market are trading below their tops before the Pandemic Crash in February 2020. For instance: Facebook was a trillion-dollar company on September 1st,2021, and now is a 551 Billion dollar company, almost 15% below the pre-pandemic levels. or Netflix which is an 80 billion dollar company was 163 billion dollars before the pandemic and surged to 306 Billion dollars! But why did I choose these 2 examples? First, Because the Total crypto market cap today is 1.48 Trillion almost equal to FB+NFLX at their top..! and it is -51% below its top: The second reason was to show you similarities between NFLX and its competitors which end up very bad for all of them. increased number of online streaming providers Like Apple TV, Amazon Prime, HULU, Disney, ...etc and the limited number of users..! The same is true in the crypto world, total crypto projects were 2810 before the pandemic and now it is 10397, almost quadruple in 2 years..! But only 300 million people around the world invested or use cryptocurrencies! While 7.6 billion of the world's population use 180 fiat currencies, 300 million use 10397 crypto projects..! isn't it funny??? While those who promote Cryptocurrencies criticize central banks for "printing money out of thin air", they do the same thing and print money out of bits. There is a possibility that bitcoin and other cryptos experiencing an 80-85% depreciation which had happened twice in the past..! Keep in mind trading crypto for the short term could be very different from the long-term outlook..! There is one undeniable truth, there never will be a bailout in the cryptocurrency market..! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
BITMEX:XBTShort
by Moshkelgosha
6
BTC and Risk ManagementAs you will have seen, various asset classes have been PLUNDERED amongst poor market sentiment. As I discussed, this is an INEVITABILITY. You will not escape it and it is certainly not going away. If you were prepared BEFORE hand you will be OK. IF you were not so prepared you may be a little worried. But you can always learn and move on so that next time you are prepared. The Markets are simply a swing of variance. What do I mean by that? Well It means you have highs, lows and everything inbetween. Your job as a Trader is to last in any times and flourish. You will deal with DD - this is NOT a problem if you are prepared beforehand. Of course this requires a plan referring to your MAX position size VS your equity. It also involves how many times you are willing to go long and where you will do so. As you can see, if you had used SPLIT positions and DCA methods accordingly you could spread out your risk. If you do so at appropriate sizes based on the inevitable fact the market is going to swing down amongst poor sentiment, you would be able to survive it calmly with no panic at all. So, plan your Trading BEFORE these things happen. Learn key Risk management methods as this makes up a very large part of Trading. If you do not have a plan it simply will not work. I hope that helps. Plan AHEAD so you are not caught out.
BITMEX:XBTLong
by WillSebastian
5
How does smart money work? How does smart money work? You are deceived because you are stupid. Longs on Bitfinex are growing, while Bitcoin is falling endlessly. They buy your savings and failed long positions for pennies. You trade x20, they trade x3. You can't wait a month for a 100% profit with x3 leverage, they can wait a year for a 50% profit. This is the difference that ordinary traders cannot understand. They dream of turning $100 into a million, but they don't realize that it's almost impossible. Exaggerated risk only seems like a chance, in fact, it kills your opportunities as soon as you take this risk. I trade only by algorithms and no more than x5. Think about it!
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLONGS
by sholi_software
2
What I think about itThe dependence of the price movement on the situation on the world stock markets is traced, where the first news on the agenda now is the conflict in Ukraine and the second is the Fed's actions to stabilize the economy and fight inflation. So I believe that large investors consider BTC as a highly profitable asset-shelter from inflationary risks, but in a situation where there is some certainty regarding the fate of the main stock indices, otherwise they choose traditional protective instruments (government bonds, gold, etc.) I expect an increase in the value of BTC after the view of market participants is directed from foreign policy conflicts to stock markets, macroeconomic indicators and the general state of the economy, because it is at this moment that investors will look for opportunities not only to save but also to multiply their capital, i.e. the yield should exceed the current inflation, which is expected to be at maximum levels this year. Well time will tell if i'm right or not
BITMEX:XBT
by vladimir00505