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REAL ALT SEASON Around the Corner, but first BTCThis is the BTC USD LONGS Open Interest Chart, you cannot trade it but it can act as an indicator to your overall thesis on the market. It shows where Bitcoin has bottomed in the past, had its runs, and where ALTS tend to flourish (once BTC peaks, $ flows to ALTS) Use it as info to support/counter your thesis, not as a trading tool. My opinion is that we will eventually peak, LONGS will dump, meaning BTC price will pump. Thoughts for now! Stay frosty friends. Vatsik
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLONGSLong
by cryptovatsik
The curious case of a massive Bull Rally in all marketsThis is not a crypto analysis , I have more holdings in stock market than in crypto so that's what I care about. But the curious case here is the situation in BTC long contracts. It's at a historical high , so high that the indicators at the bottom have no place to go anymore and they are all signaling a downturn in these long contracts. SO why does this matter? Because since July 2021 the BTC market is almost 1:1 correlated with stock market. That is because with mining power leaving China the crypto domination now are in the hands of the USA or Wall Street to a certain degree. The biggest investors of crypto are big funds and VCs in the US and they are dictating the price. And since then, this particular BTC Long contract chart is in a negative correlation with the stock market. As we have come to an end in this massive rise in long contracts what will happen next is a big upwards move in BTC, SPX and NDX. At this point no rhetoric about recession, interest rates, war, uncertainty etc. won't matter. This is like seasons, spring will come no matter what. And here it is!
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLONGSLong
by Kryptolinks
3
BTCSHORTS: BTC rally stalls; a bigger capitulation may be neededBTCSHORTS chart seems to have found a temporary support & may reverse up for a bigger BTC capitulation to continue in the 2nd part of May. We may see a rally in June up to late July. Then another in 4Q2022 leading into Jan2023. All risk assets tumbled Wednesday 18May into the worst down day since pandemic despite DXY $ index & TNX 10-yr yield retracing, increasing the odds of a STAGFLATION. (a stalling economy with rising interest rates which is really bad). The 10-yr yield not only shows the health of our economy but also inflation expectations. For now, inflation is still rising but economic growth & consumer demand is already decreasing. There is still no catalyst suggesting that the relief rally can be sustained. Not trading advice
BITFINEX:BTCUSDSHORTS
by xtremerider8
1
Summer SadnessI've taken into account the last two bear markets, as being a victim myself of one of them, the highest probability of price action is this crude representation. 2014 Sucked, lasted about a year and a half, 2018 sucked too, lasted from feb 2018 to jan/feb of 2019 before any signs of relief. The bear market signal usually starts the following year after the halvening in Q4, this is where people try to time the top and get rekt because they never took any profit off the table for whatever reason and go into extreme pain mode followed by emotional hibernation. Volume at these lower levels will be the key for the swing traders here along the bulls release under the 200 day MA will be fighting against a river, sell pressure will always be against them, while the bears are playing a btc settlement layer accumulating btc on the back end to sell on a bull market. Unfortunately there is only temporarily relief for the bulls in a bear market, event driven catylists will continue to push the market down as fear creeps into the minds of the weak. With vol so low people are on edge and selling for a -% is a good idea *you not down until you sell* just don't look at the charts for a while and go have some fun. If your gunna trade play with the momentum not against the grain this shit will rekt you. Based on last bear market we can expect two fake out events followed by two crater events, my cash will be deployed between 12.5k and 18k between Nov. to Feb. I am patient and that is the key realizing btc price action off an ATH always dips -80-87% if I am wrong I am out with that bc it means this stupid supercycle is dead and we can just infinitely continue the shenanigans "Protect meh homies" -KewlKat
BITMEX:XBT
by kewlkat
XBT: Bearish Flag BreakdownBitcoin looks to be consolidating into a bearish flag - with most weaker coins falling out of favor and possible new regulation on the horizon this does indeed look like a distributional pattern. Trades off the resistance trend line selling off harder than support buying. This looks like a bearish flag to me and we are looking for some fundamental catalyst such as a banning of cryptocurrencies by the United States to spark this significant sell off. It is possible what comes out of this is a cleaner crypto space (think 10 year time frame) but in the intermediate term it looks difficult to be bullish. MACD looks to have topped a while ago, and the more recent signal suggests a breakdown is already occurring.
BITMEX:XBTShort
by quantitativetendies