BVOL24H trade ideas
BTC/USD - Bitcoin volatility at the lowest point in 2018The Bitcoin Volatility Index - which is comparable to the VIX - is now at the lowest point in 2018. This is very bullish for the market right now. Low volatility, high short interest, improving fundamentals in the market (like MAs turning up, MA bullish crosses, improving ichimoku cloud, and so on) - these all point to substantial higher prices in the time ahead.
Long BTC.
Best of luck with your trades/investments.
HODL is the cultic philosophy, not a strategy!!!!
Let's face it: whales, orcas, dolphins, sharks... etc are much more financially educated! period.
Those crypto-economy engineers are playing with the volatility rules of math, while 90% of the TV readers have no clue what does volatility means!
The crypto economy comes from two words: cryptography (APPLIED MATH) and economics (MONEY).
People tend to forget the “economic” part of this equation.
In the world of math&money there is no place for philosophy and classic TA.
This is a data-driven world.
Crypto Data never sleep, data streaming 24/7, data creates a metadata, meta creates the logic, logic establishing intelligence, intelligence & knowledge enabling strategies!
ibb.co
Shown above are annualised 'Sortino Ratios' based on the previous 90 days of log returns calculated from volume weighted average daily prices. See this paper for a more detailed description of the Sortino ratio .
In fact, 2017 will never come back. Do your math! Use the right data in your analysis, proper metrics, indices and the computations adopted for the crypto economic reality of 2018!!!
ibb.co
Shown above are daily BTC log returns calculated from volume-weighted average prices. A time-series model is fit to the set of returns and the projection along with 95% confidence interval (orange) is shown. The projection can be thought of as a stochastic process where 95% of the trajectories lie within the orange bars. The time-series model is attempting to fit an autoregressive or moving average model. In other words, the model assumes that past returns are indicative of future returns.
This is how TA should look like in 2018!
HODL is a cultic philosophy, rather than strategy!!!
Let's face it: whales, orcas, dolphins, sharks... etc are much more financially educated! period.
Those crypto-economy engineers are playing with the volatility rules of math, while 90% of the TV readers have no clue what does volatility means!
The crypto economy comes from two words: cryptography (APPLIED MATH) and economics (MONEY).
People tend to forget the “economic” part of this equation.
In the world of math&money there is no place for philosophy and classic TA.
This is a data-driven world.
Crypto Data never sleep, data streaming 24/7, data creates a metadata, meta creates the logic, logic establishing intelligence, intelligence & knowledge enabling strategies!
ibb.co
Shown above are annualised 'Sortino Ratios' based on the previous 90 days of log returns calculated from volume weighted average daily prices. See this paper for a more detailed description of the Sortino ratio .
In fact, 2017 will never come back. Do your math! Use the right data in your analysis, crypto related indicators, proper metrics, crypto indices and the computations adopted for the crypto economic reality of 2018!!!
ibb.co
Shown above are daily BTC log returns calculated from volume-weighted average prices. A time-series model is fit to the set of returns and the projection along with 95% confidence interval (orange) is shown. The projection can be thought of as a stochastic process where 95% of the trajectories lie within the orange bars. The time-series model is attempting to fit an autoregressive or moving average model. In other words, the model assumes that past returns are indicative of future returns.
BTC Volatility Is At An All-Time Low!!!Mathematically, volatility is measured as the standard deviation, or variance, among returns over a given period.
BTC make steady, small moves have low volatility.
Trading during periods of low volatility can be a challenge! However, there are still also plenty of large daily trading opportunities out there, but they may require a bit more digging to identify.
Traders must rely on market catalysts such as reports, news items to trigger short-term volatility for particular gains.
Personally, I'd follow those scenarios in context of risk management (just to be on the safe side)
1)
2) cdn.discordapp.com
Time to Translate BTC Volatility into Returns!
High volatility means that the price of BTC can change dramatically over a short time period in either direction.
The next 24 hours the volatility is about to jump up!!!
This will shows us that the recent BTC price action is about to reach a turning point.
Here's an overall view of my chart, for low volatility reference.