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Bitcoin update = Neo, Red Pill or Green Pill? 08.13Hey guys 1PERCENT here, Bitcoin and alts are rising viciously and the market is showing a lot of positive signs. It seemed like Bitcoin wanted to go through some correction yesterday but the break of the monday mid range turned out to be a deviation and bitcoin came back to the range high. If you don't have a position right now it is best to wait for an important level to break. 1. Bitcoin breaks $47201 and retests, then long to the next resistance ($51570). 2. Bitcoin rejects the range high to form a triple top. Short till the range mid then the range low Since July the 20th Bitcoin showed a gain of 60% and many altcoins showed 100%+ gains. It's time to stay cautious since we are at a major resistance after a substantial run. Liquidity is low during the weekends which means there's more volatiliry. Please do be careful out there with proper risk management. Have a great weekend! Don't forget to push the like and follow button if you find the content useful ;)
BITMEX:XBT
by RVD_1PERCENT
Bitcoin, Tesla, and My approach to Technical analysis..!My approach to technical analysis: I try to find price patterns that are repeated in different assets and using correlation studies to see if they could be good matches. I believe tesla price patterns could be used as the best predictive indicator for bitcoin price patterns. What happens inTesla could be followed by Bitcoin with 2 months delay. Look at my analysis comparing Tesla and Bitcoin on April 9th, 2021. 4 days before the all-time high of Bitcoin I published an analysis with this title: (even recorded a YouTube video for this analysis) Learn From Tesla Experience: what do you think is more important? moving average itself or moving average slope? your answer to this question will save your capital in the market and will change the game forever..! while moving average is a delayed indicator, I believe its slope is a predictive indicator! Don't believe me, check how I predicted the market crash in EV makers before everyone else! While everyone fools themselves about the EV makers' stock price and talking about 7000 USD tesla price and for NIO, I was the one who predicted the crash in EV makers as early as February 18th, when tesla was 800 and NIO was 56. I predicted 32 for NIO and it slipped to 31.91. (please check the related links for evidence) Please review my Bitcoin analysis as well: 1st: Sep 12, 2020: Bitcoin could technically soar to 100k ( Bitcoin price 10457) 2nd: Oct 21, 2020: Do not trade Bitcoin invest in Bitcoin for the next 2 years. ( Bitcoin price: 12441) 3rd: Nov 10, 2020: short term in contrast with long-term ( Bitcoin price: 15186 4th: Nov 11, 2020: fresh out of consolidation: Bitcoin price 15861 5th: Nov 25, 2020: Next 10-12 months of Bitcoin: Bitcoin price: 19090 (target 50k-72k in less than 1 year) 6th: Nov 26, 2020: Should we panic? Bitcoin price 16508 7th: Jan 10, 2021: It May sounds crazy, but this is an opportunity to buy Bitcoin: bitcoin price 35565 8th: Jan 27, 2021: the more it consolidated the further it goes. Bitcoin price 31262 In conclusion, I believe the 100K scenario is less likely to happen soon! On the other analysis on January 9th, 2021 I compared these: Bitcoin vs Tesla: It is crystal clear that no asset class can beat Bitcoin’s gain of +500,000% in the last 10 years, but it is not the whole story. In the last 2 years, investors in Tesla have been rewarded 9 times! We should keep in mind that in the last 6 months, Bitcoin performs 50% better and in the last 3 months performs twice better as Tesla. It seems in 2021 Bitcoin will perform better than Tesla. Bitcoin mining demands energy while Tesla’s vision is to revolutionize the energy consumption in the world. Tesla performs better than all the big names in the stock market in the last decade and also beats Bitcoin in the last 2 years. With current momentum, it could pass Apple in terms of market cap in several months unless something extraordinary happens. Last world: keep both in your portfolio..! unless something extraordinary happens. This is the key, why I changed my views on both of these assets! They Both lost their momentum..! Fixed or Dynamic Approach: What Is a Posterior Probability? A posterior probability, in Bayesian statistics, is the revised or updated probability of an event occurring after taking into consideration new information. The posterior probability is calculated by updating the prior probability using Bayes' theorem. In statistical terms, the posterior probability is the probability of event A occurring given that event B has occurred. What Does a Posterior Probability Tell You? Bayes' theorem can be used in many applications, such as medicine, finance, and economics. In finance, Bayes' theorem can be used to update a previous belief once new information is obtained. Prior probability represents what is originally believed before new evidence is introduced, and posterior probability takes this new information into account. Posterior probability distributions should be a better reflection of the underlying truth of a data generating process than the prior probability since the posterior included more information. A posterior probability can subsequently become a prior for a new updated posterior probability as new information arises and is incorporated into the analysis. Dec 2017- March 2018: What happened in the next 9 months: Trends are important, but their time frame is more important..! A bullish rally is defined as reaching higher highs..! Any bullish moves in bitcoin should be considered as a temporary correction unless bitcoin closes above 63760..! can you benefit from a temporary move? of course yes..! if you can detect them why not..! Links: youtu.be www.investopedia.com
BITMEX:XBT
by Moshkelgosha
5
Triangle Wave X scenario invalidated but this is still BearishThe proposed triangle scenario for wave X has been invalidated since the most recent pump went above to wave (a) But this does not confirm any bullish count. As a matter of fact an alternative scenario where wave X is likely a flat correction is in play especially when wave C is looking like a diagonal which fits all the criteria for a complex flat correction. I ve looked into the lower counts as well and the recent pump does not suggest an impulse because there are many truncated corrections during the pump. One last mark up to 44-45k Then we go to 2018 highs at a minimum just like Lumber Futures
BITMEX:XBTShort
by GerardWalker
3
What Is a Death Cross?What Is a Death Cross? The death cross is a technical chart pattern indicating the potential for a major sell-off. The death cross appears on a chart when a stock’s short-term moving average crosses below its long-term moving average. Typically, the most common moving averages used in this pattern are the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. What Does the Death Cross Tell You? The death cross occurs when a short-term moving average (typically 50-day SMA) crosses over a major long-term moving average (typically 200-day SMA) to the downside and is interpreted by analysts and traders as signaling a definitive bear turn in a market. (I use EMA ) Looking back over the most punishing bear markets of the past century, it seems the death cross holds up best once the market has already lost 20% of its value. In those instances, investors who fled stocks minimized their losses. But for smaller corrections of less than 20%, the temporary appearance of the death cross may be reflecting losses already booked, and thus indicates a buying opportunity. On June 23, Bitcoin was trading between 28800-33300 (-55% to -45%) This may sound old news today, But It was not on May 19 when I published the post, and predict this 35 days before it happened!: One important question: If bitcoin trades do not follow a purely algorithmic approach, how did I predict the Top at 63810.01 on the correct day??? and calculate the death cross, 35 days before it happened??? Reference: www.investopedia.com
BITMEX:XBT
by Moshkelgosha
3
btc comeback and Rising market of cryptocurrenciesAs you can see in the picture .. bit price by reaching the Fibonacci gold zone In golden number with a long shadow in The first daily candle of a fake break Done and the next day, daily candle break out and continue to climb Given but reaching the golden zone of Fibo From historic roof to 3-month floor ,,, Rejected price .. now or Have to wait for a pullback to this area and breakout Next and midline failure in the long-term channel ,,, or the price will reach the 38.2 Fibo short-term line And let's see how you react to this support It catches ... Of course .. bullish candle due to attack to Prices by buyers and daily formation of Doji ,,,. In the short term, bitcoin seems to be on the rise ... Of course, if China and elephants each person ,,, will not remember India .
BITMEX:XBTShort
by vahidlesani21
1
Red Pill or Green PillHey guys! 1PERCENT here. Its still hard to find a good trade so I'm waiting this out for a clear direction I personally think the RR is better for the shorts right now and the bulls will have their chance once we reclaim the range high of January. The bears could start partying once bitcoin breaks the yellow trendline which will lead us to 36.4k. In the longterm, the crypto market still seems optimistic and I think that IF we do get a dip its shopping time. Stay safe out there and always keep your stop losses if you're trading. Keep your dreams real. 1PERCENT
BITMEX:XBT
by RVD_ONEPERCENT