What Is a Death Cross?What Is a Death Cross?
The death cross is a technical chart pattern indicating the potential for a major sell-off. The death cross appears on a chart when a stock’s short-term moving average crosses below its long-term moving average. Typically, the most common moving averages used in this pattern are the 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
What Does the Death Cross Tell You?
The death cross occurs when a short-term moving average (typically 50-day SMA) crosses over a major long-term moving average (typically 200-day SMA) to the downside and is interpreted by analysts and traders as signaling a definitive bear turn in a market. (I use EMA )
Looking back over the most punishing bear markets of the past century, it seems the death cross holds up best once the market has already lost 20% of its value. In those instances, investors who fled stocks minimized their losses. But for smaller corrections of less than 20%, the temporary appearance of the death cross may be reflecting losses already booked, and thus indicates a buying opportunity.
On June 23, Bitcoin was trading between 28800-33300 (-55% to -45%)
This may sound old news today, But It was not on May 19 when I published the post, and predict this 35 days before it happened!:
One important question:
If bitcoin trades do not follow a purely algorithmic approach, how did I predict the Top at 63810.01 on the correct day??? and calculate the death cross, 35 days before it happened???
Reference:
www.investopedia.com
