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Bitcoin Historical Volatility Index

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BVOL7D trade ideas

Rising wedge...?Obviously an incomplete pattern, but if the plays out here are the levels I will be watching. 1. Fib 1.127 is a historically consistent top for BTC on several TF's. Ending here would have strong confluence and make a bearish harmonic as well as a rising wedge. 2. Once the harm retraces to the 050 target, I would expect to see drop below the R. wedge LTL, retest, then continuation to the r wedge tgt around 63k. 3. To make the bottom pattern, I will look for stink buys between 60,800 and 59,500. 4. If 60k doesnt hold, the next support is around 53k. IF a head n shoulders pattern is to develop, then the high from 3/14 could be the left shoulder and the high that could print around 78k could be the head. In that case we would look for support around 61k as the shoulder level. A H&S pattern with these numbers would have a target of around 53k also. Pretty much all of this is speculation and hypothetical, so until we get more candles Im neutral on any outcomes. As far as I know, we could go parabolic from here. :)
BITMEX:XBT
by MtGoxFX
BTC 100k END OF 2025 IDEAI'm back, Let me get straight to the point on my macro view (shortened version), From this point on I think we actually reclaim some levels in the mid 20's, retest lower 20's and then BOOM the real bull trap to upper 20's maybe even lower 30's. They think we are back. Cascading Liquidations. We now wick to sub 10's. You wont be able to catch this wick but it will be devastating for everyone, real capitulation event. After that storm weathers we are quite, everyone is dead. The rest is easy we pump over 100k. (Best opportunity is to buy here personaly bcs you just wont catch that sub 10k wick). Will post some short term traades in the future, day trade type of stuff so stick with me, See you on the other side brothers.
BITMEX:XBT
by dakaUSD
5
Bitcoin Major Update Daily Timeframe Here is the latest update for you panda fam base daily timeframe ! 🐂 With just a quick glance at the chart, you already know what can happen 😉 You are simply distracted with noise on lower timeframes while settling whether to sell your holdings, but you should try backtest this data using the most recent bull run from 2020. The PBr keylevels + Price Action Fractals #2 are on their approach to consolidation for a solid uptrend, as you can see in the details of both charts using my unique strategy ( PBR keylevel ). Absolutely, this can be invalidated at any point, but the puzzle is almost complete to materiazlied our insight and on the way by 85% for potential impulsive up. The final confirmation will occur if the price of bitcoin breaks over major trend resistance and sits within our range of a clear uptrend. So, get ready ! 🚀 If you don't hold, you will never become rich. I wish you luck as you continue to diversify your assets and grow your income streams. 💎
BITMEX:XBTLong
by CryptoxPanda
Bitcoin Shorts Increase Per Cradle Reversal Pattern On March 27 I went on a kindred spirit's idea titled: 12 Things That Suggest BTC is a Speculative Bubble I posted this comment: "I don't want to impose. Therefore I'll ask the author for a posted chart since the the March 14 high on BTCUSD Shorts. Thanks On the current hourly chart it looks like a cradle. Someone is rock'n the cradle! YEAH! Notice how low the volatility was, aka a Bollinger band squeeze since the low on March 25 approx 13:00 EST until today approx 09:00 EST. Then notice what occurred next. BOOM, short positions exploded upwards!" Earlier today I posted it and it appears to have disappeared. Therefore I decided to post it here. As this chart indicates per my markings since bitcoin's peak on the March 14 2024, I believe a cradle reversal pattern has formed at the low of wave 2 or B(pink circle). I decided to post it based on the 4 hour time frame.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDSHORTS
by noble1ones
2
BTCUSD And Understanding what is RealityHey Guys, filming this one from the South of France before off to Monte Carlo Later! As we said previously, the rally up to early resistance on BTCUSD was fended away, as we suspected. If you are sitting on your hands waiting (diamond hands) You may be sat for a long time... ANY market needs a reason to rise. Markets tend to take longer amount of time because economic stimulus has to change. Anyhow, this is what we are looking for now!
BITMEX:XBTLong
by WillSebastian
5
Can Btc reach the full target of this simple bullflag?Amazing price action lately for bitcoin as it is now breaking up from a bullflag with a full measured move target from the flag of $64808. We can also see that if the current candle closes similar to the shape its in now that we would have a 3 green soldier candlestick pattern on our hands which most often s signals a bullish continuation. Of course there can always be exceptions to the bullish continuation but those are always a low probability. Let’s see if we can reach this full breakout target of this recent bull flag before any significant pullback takes hold. If we do we may just surpass the first top of the last bull run and be very close to nearing the current all time high *not financial advice*
BITMEX:XBT
by DrDovetail
Follow up to BTC Longs Bubble In 2022 I posted my theory the BTC longs chart had bubble like tendencies. I was partly correct. I forecast longs would spike and then drop. They didn't spike. Did drop. My forecast here was based on the expectation people would close out longs near the low and there'd not be much participating in the rally. That's how things realistically go. Social media will pretend otherwise - but that's what happens. Here, most BTC bulls exited at the low. That's the realities of market pressures. It's easy to say you'll hold when things are high. Hard to hold when we're dropping 20% in a day and major exchanges look like they're going to go down in a domino effect. Now I'd venture a forecast the BTC longs will begin to rocket again - anti-correlating with price downtrending.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLONGSLong
by holeyprofit
BTC is going to reach new ATH around $75k-$90k in January 2024First off, Bitcoin is in a very strong bull market since 2009 so likelihood of new ATHs is always higher than not-reaching ATH ever again. Throughout 2022 Bitcoin was in a clear correction / pullback phase after 2021 distribution. Market got cleared out of leverage with Luna, FTX, 3AC, etc. fiascos and built ground for a new wave of a bull market. Bull market started in 2023 with no signs of distribution so will likely continue. Price is very close to ATH and given 10 Jan 2024 ETF deadline its about time for big emotional swings no matter whether ETF gets accepted or denied. MA50 D1 acted as a support in 2023 bull market so it's very likely it will act as a support again and price is very unlikely to break through it down. Other than that price is consolidating in a clear abc Eliott Wave correction below strong $42000 resistance, once it breaks out there is no real resistance until ATH. Also, price is in a clear Eliott Wave ending diagonal pattern since a couple of months and ending diagonals in BTC bull markets tend to break up with strong impulsive movements. All cards are lined up there is a huge likelihood of ATH soon with ETF deadline being a catalyst for the move. BTC is a very strong buy now.
BITMEX:XBTLong
by rafbie
5
BTC short-term is going to drop from $42700 to $40k.We are in a bull market and through Dec 2023 clear a, b, c correction is being made. Wave a and b are clearly done. Wave c looks like a textbook ending diagonal pattern with waves 1, 2, 3, 4 already done and now we are in the middle of wave 5. The drop won't stop until price reaches $40k level. It's a good trade with a very high likelihood of success and amazing risk to reward. $42700 is a good place to short with a stoploss at $43900 (above wave 4) and take profit $40k.
BITMEX:XBTShort
by rafbie
1