33L trade ideas
Lululemon ($LULU) Set to Lay-off 128 EmployeesLululemon Athletica ( NASDAQ:LULU ), the Vancouver-based apparel retailer, has announced the closure of its distribution center in Washington state by the end of the year, resulting in the layoff of over 100 employees. The company cited business optimization efforts as the reason behind the closure. According to a WARN notice filed with the state's Employment Security Department, the Sumner distribution center will be shuttered, and 128 jobs will be cut beginning June 21.
The move comes as Lululemon ( NASDAQ:LULU ) experiences slowing demand for its premium athleisure in North America, which has resulted in lower orders for sportswear and apparel firms due to excessive inventory levels at sporting retailers.
Lululemon ( NASDAQ:LULU ) has stated that some of the employees affected by the closure will be retained and relocated to other facilities, including the recently opened distribution center in the greater Los Angeles area. The retailer had entered into a new lease for an approximately 1.26 million-square-foot distribution center in Ontario city in California in 2021, which will expire in 2039, according to its annual filing.
Lululemon ( NASDAQ:LULU ) also owns a distribution center in Groveport, Ohio, while leasing the majority of its other facilities located across the United States, Canada, and Australia. The company's shares have dropped more than 31% so far this year.
LULU Pure Speculation - will support hold?Looking back on LULU's price history, it once dropped similar to this, both price and RSI, and the dip/correction was copied using the bars pattern and applied here.
The pattern fits perfectly with the blue support line.
I am not long or short this security, I simply want to track my hypothesis.
$LULU demand zone on the hourlyI am considering stepping in at $326 if it reached and observe it for an hour and look for signs of reversals. It might break and retest the demand zone. The scenario fails if it remained below 326 and closed the day below it.
It was beaten down after its earnings and it is possible for a rebound.
Not a financial advice. Do your DD.
LULU to $160 by end of the yearLULU to $160 by end of the year. My Chinese Man-Servant showed me that he bought LuLu a few weeks ago. So I slapped him. That is the only reason I have this junk on my radar. Lulu just completed a Bear Flag pattern on the Monthly. It broke out of it in March. Don't hold this train wreck into "higher for longer".
Lululemon: Unwarrented Selling Offers Excellent OpportunityNASDAQ:LULU Lululemon Athletica's Q4 performance exceeded expectations, with revenues rising 16% and gross margins growing by 4.3%. However, increased competition and price-conscious consumers have led to a decreased market cap and short-term headwinds.
Gross margins remain at 58% leading the industry and showing the prominence of the brand.
Lululemon has had great success internationally and continues to grow in Mainland China, and continues to remain a prominent brand in the United States.
Full-year diluted EPS came in at $12.20, jumping 83% y/y. With a P/E ratio of 30.57x, this entails a great deal of underlying intrinsic value.
During the year, Lululemon opened 56 net new stores, ending the year with 711 stores, showing no signs of slowing down and continues to innovate forward to keep up with competitors. While the retail environment in the United States has been recently challenging, I believe that the long-term fundamentals of the company outweigh any short-term headwinds, and the recent selloff provides an excellent opportunity for value.
I encourage potential investors to remain unemotional in volatile price action, and trust the fundamentals and management of a prominent brand and a very cash-positive business.
My one year price target remains at the technical support level of $515 with an upside of 44%.
Lululemon ($LULU) Plunges 18% on Disappointing OutlookLululemon Athletica Inc. ( NASDAQ:LULU ) encountered a tumultuous Morning trading trading session on Friday, with shares plunging 18.47% following the company's release of guidance that failed to meet analysts' expectations. Amidst challenges in its Americas business and a notable shift in U.S. consumer behavior, the Vancouver-based activewear retailer painted a cautious picture for the upcoming quarter and full year.
Lululemon ( NASDAQ:LULU ), a prominent name in the activewear industry, experienced a stark decline in its stock price on Friday, as investors grappled with the company's subdued outlook for the near future. Despite reporting impressive earnings and revenue figures for the holiday quarter ending January 28, Lululemon's forward guidance fell short of Wall Street's estimates, triggering a sharp sell-off.
CEO Calvin McDonald acknowledged the evolving dynamics in the U.S. consumer landscape during the company's earnings call, attributing the slower start to the year to shifting consumer preferences and constraints in sizing and color options. While international sales, particularly in China, displayed robust growth, concerns lingered over stagnating sales in the Americas region, signaling potential challenges ahead.
Analysts had anticipated stronger revenue and earnings projections for both the current quarter and full year, but Lululemon's guidance painted a more conservative picture, citing uncertainties in consumer behavior and market conditions. The company's outlook, which forecasts modest top-line growth and diluted EPS figures below consensus estimates, raised apprehensions among investors about the sustainability of its growth trajectory.
Technical Outlook
Lululemon ( NASDAQ:LULU ) stock is currently trading below its Moving Averages indicating selling pressure on the ticker, further ascertaining to the thesis, is the weak Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 26 indicating the bears are pushing the share price lower.
LULU Lululemon Athletica Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought LULU before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LULU Lululemon Athletica prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 470usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-7-19,
for a premium of approximately $39.50.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Re-Entry - Buy LULU - 5th wave pivot identifiedRe-entered Lulu here at 446. The continued downward trend followed the ABC subwave from the previous entry (white circle) and now has the support of the bottom of falling wedge pattern. Price reversal and pivot from the end of wave 4. Buying (again) today with 1% allocation. Open @ 446.5 TP @ 509 c.14%
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Strategy:
Based on Elliot wave theory, pivot points and classic chart patterns. The 5th wave pivot strategy identifies the last impulse of the Elliot wave sequence. The 5th wave can be equal to the 3rd wave or extend to the 1.618 Fibonacci level.
Entry: A position is taken when a pivot point is reached at the end of the 4th corrective wave and the price reverses. This position is also confirmed by bouncing from the lower bound of a chart pattern or from price support level.
Exit: TP is taken from top of wave 3 or the previous resistance level.
Bullish Breakout on LULU above 466LULU is entering a really important level here and is close to breaking out of a ~3 month descending channel. As a result, I would expect a strong move at breakout if we get one and a swift move to 483 with a high chance of testing 491 in the next few trading sessions.