Crowdstrike still trying to breakoutCrowdStrike ( CRWD ) made a ~50% retracement off highs after last quarterly earnings reported declining sales acceleration and mediocre guidance. Sales is still up 84% YoY, which is awesome, but has steadily decelerated since Oct 2018 when it was up 149%.
After the retracement, the stock climbed back up to make a new high before falling back once again to the same support area at the 50% retracement .
A double-bottom formed, but the pivot (middle high) was not confirmed by higher volume . However, you could look at the previous all-time high as a new pivot and look for volume to confirm. It would likely come after a better-than-expected earnings result (with hopefully an acceleration in sales).
The 10d ATR (x2.7) stop is at 10.55%, but I'd use a tighter technical stop at the previous pivot of 144.29. The tight stop is more likely to fail, but if it falls back to that point its better to cut losses short as something is wrong. But the tighter stop lets you use a position size of R16.03. Adjust R based on your confidence level, how much you are willing to lose when the crowd strikes back (sorry).
Buy Point: 153.90
Stop Loss: 144.29 (6.24%)
Position Size: R16.03
