GOOGLFrom the 0.618 retracement of the 2020/2021 rally to the 0.618 retracement of the 2022 pullback. I think the easy money in this name has been made for now.
ABEC trade ideas
GOOGL: Buy ideaOn GOOGL as you see on the chart we have a buy idea because we have the breakout with force the resistance line and the vwap indicator by a big green candle with a large green volume so it's mean that we will have a big probability to have an uptrend.Thanks!
GooGusd are you rdy for buy 🧨👌❤The big company Google has been using the downward trend of gold for days and for now it will have an upward trend for its shareholders.
Dear Americans who are Google shareholders, do not hold your shares until the price of $152.10.
The downward trend of Google will start from the price of $152.10, and for a long time, Google will sink into financial stagnation, and the expected decline for Bill Gates is $69.
These days, Bill Gates will sell Google shares as much as he can and will start buying when Google shares fall.
The Alpha in Alphabet Google
MACD Cross Historic Performance
July 2009 – 6 months – 48%
Sept 2010 – 5 months – 43%
Nov 2011 – 2 months – 19%
Jul 2012 – 3 months – 37%
Sept 2015 – 5 months - 31%
Mar 2017 – 3 months – 21%
Oct 2019 – 4 months – 25%
Apr 2020 – 5 months – 59%
Min return = c.19% over 3 months (least risky)
Max return = c.50% over 5 months
Average Overall = c.35% over 5 months.
Average return of the 8 past MACD crosses above is 35%. We have projected a modest 20% increase 2 to 3 months post MACD cross (Likely July/August bid). That’s IF we get the cross in then. Worth noting we are about 20% away from the ATH of $151. Keep in mind that a MACD cross is a lagging indicator so we try and anticipate the cross scenario.
Given the history of price in this long term parallel channel since Nov 2008, an incredibly idyllic scenario would be a revisit of the bottom of the channel or a revisit of the 50 month smooth moving average(SMA) in purple. If we ever revisited the 50 Month SMA or 200 week SMA I believe this would be a major opportunity, given this has only occurred 4 times in almost 15 years.
GOOGL Update: $100 Next TargetGoogle finally made it up past the 1.0 of this ABC retrace and hit a top of $125.96. It was carried by a boost from the almost $1 Billion in surprise revenue. However, what goes up must come down eventually. If this count is correct, then we have either topped or have only OMH to come before dropping to the $100 area marked by the box labeled i. This drop coming up, I believe will be a ((C)) wave of another a wave. For this reason, i think the next drop will be swift and not give people the chance to react. MACD seems to reflect this line of thinking because price made another high on NEGATIVE DIVERGENCE . This is a HBD indicator that price is about to reverse to the downside.
A-waves of any degree can by slightly unpredictable and usually start out very strong. If this line of thinking is correct on my part, then we should see another low on the MACD indicating a new A wave.
There is a turquoise label (ALT count) on the chart indicating we could still get OMH.
Either way, once we get more price action, I will be able to have more accurate end targets. For now, my primary thought still remains that we are about to head much lower regardless of the path we take to get there.
Bonam Fortunam,
--Tyler
Google: Reversal Incoming?Here we are looking at GOOGL on the Daily TF...
Currently, there is a lot of factors aligning on the GOOGL chart, which is the type of confluence I look for when evaluating trade opportunities. The first factor that I'm looking at is the horizontal resistance line as shown on the chart. This resistance stretches from it another local high made months prior. This should act as strong resistance. The second factor I'm looking at is that there is a time count of 7 consecutive green daily candles, which is something I look to pair with a strong resistance zone (as previously mentioned). The third and final factor that aligns on this chart is a potential topping tail being put it. This hasn't confirmed yet, but there is a strong chance that it will.
I will continue to monitor this chart, and provide timely updates as I see fit!
Cheers
Short-Term Technical Analysis:(GOOGL) for the Next Few Weeks!In this trading idea, we delve into the current state of Google (GOOGL) and explore the indications of an overbought condition. With a careful examination of technical indicators, it becomes apparent that a sell-off may be imminent in the near term. The analysis suggests the possibility of Google entering a range-bound phase or even experiencing a continued downward trend. Traders and investors should pay close attention to key support levels as the stock navigates through the next zone, as they may provide valuable insights for potential entry or exit points
GooglRising wedge here..
Won't go over the overbought nonsense, they are all overbought at this time.
Now just just have to choose a winner with some low IV and bearish pattern..
Closed all the gaps in the 120's, volume has been falling off since breakout run
Target 117
Stop loss 124.50
Choose an Exp that you're comfortable with but I think this move will happen in the next 3 sessions
Long GOOGLong Google for target of 123+ minimum. Gave breakout with good volume. Stop loss last bar low
Google at major decision areaMove and hold above 122 and Google will see ATH again, possibly a new ATH near 180. Remain below 122 and lose the 2nd yellow line below it, and it's headed back down to recent lows and lower.
$GOOGL100SMA will soon cross above the 200SMA. The trend has been lovely last week. GOOGL finally broke out. My biggest LT position, right after cash.
Google golden crossPSA Google just printed a golden cross. Here's a GOOGL 1 day chart (16hr ext) 1 year view, with pi RSI indicator and Fibonacci MAI strategy. I'm posting this as a long that can be invalidated if GOOGL pulls back below it's SMA50/SMA200 for an extended period of time.
Alphabet Cl A (GOOGL) reported Q1 March 2023 earnings of $1.17 per share on revenue of $69.8 billion. The consensus earnings estimate was $1.06 per share on revenue of $68.9 billion. Revenue grew 2.6% on a year-over-year basis.
Alphabet Announces First Quarter 2023 Results
MOUNTAIN VIEW, Calif. – April 25, 2023 – Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG, GOOGL) today announced financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2023.
Sundar Pichai, CEO of Alphabet and Google, said: “We are pleased with our business performance in the first quarter, with Search performing well and momentum in Cloud. We introduced important product updates anchored in deep computer science and AI. Our North Star is providing the most helpful answers for our users, and we see huge opportunities ahead, continuing our long track record of innovation.”
Ruth Porat, CFO of Alphabet and Google, said: “Resilience in Search and momentum in Cloud resulted in Q1 consolidated revenues of $69.8 billion, up 3% year over year, or up 6% in constant currency. We remain committed to delivering long-term growth and creating capacity to invest in our most compelling growth areas by re-engineering our cost base.”
(source: Alphabet Inc. earnings release)
Keep it in your watchlistApparently price is forming a interesting bearish flag. I have no position here, earnings coming up on the 25th. Let's wait and see how the market reacts to earning call and then will see what to do.
Relational Technical Analysis of GOOGLProfessional traders controlled this sideways pattern that held higher lows before the break to the upside and gap up above the W bottom completion resistance, which is now strong support. Short-term profit-taking at the resistance overhead is something to prepare for now.
will Google head higher?Has Googles pullback from 150 finished and will it move higher from 108?
Looks like it made a double bottom ish pattern from Sept 22 to Mar 23.
Some good volume buying to back up the breakout/reversal, and any good news e.g. AI, digital revenues etc. will help. Negartive news e.g. Regulation, privacy laws etc. will act as headwinds.
Price is now above the 50 EMA so this could act as support.
AI adds power fuel to tech stocksCompany Name: Alphabet Inc (Google) Class C
Stock Code: GOOG
Overview: Alphabet is a holding company engaged in acquiring and operating various businesses. It operates through Google and other bet segments. The Google segment includes its primary internet products such as advertising, Android, Chrome, hardware, Google Cloud, Google Maps, Google Play, search, and YouTube. The other bet segments include Access, Calico, CapitalG, GV, Verily, Waymo, and X, among others. The company was founded by Lawrence E. Page and Sergey Mikhaylovich Brin on October 2, 2015, and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.
Based on financial data
Alphabet's price-to-earnings ratio (P/E ratio) has fluctuated over the past few years but has generally remained within a reasonable range, indicating positive earnings expectations from the market. Additionally, the company's price-to-sales ratio (P/S ratio) and price-to-book ratio (P/B ratio) have also remained stable, reflecting market recognition of the company's profitability and asset value.
In terms of valuation, we can observe that Alphabet's enterprise value has been growing over the past few years, increasing from 1.06 trillion USD to 1.83 trillion USD. This indicates optimistic market expectations for the company's future growth. The enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio also reflects the company's operational efficiency and profitability, and its stability suggests that the company's operational condition is favorable.
Alphabet's quarterly earnings have consistently surpassed market expectations for the most part, reflecting the company's stable profitability and strong operational performance. Particularly in the latest quarter, the company's earnings exceeded expectations by 8.04%, which is a highly positive signal that could trigger a favorable market response.
In terms of revenue composition, Alphabet's revenue primarily comes from Google Services, and this segment has been experiencing continuous growth, increasing from 168.63 billion USD in 2020 to 253.53 billion USD in 2022. Among the various regions, the United States contributes the largest share of revenue.
Technical Analysis
In terms of technical indicators, RSI, Stochastic %K, CCI, ADX, AO, BBP, and others are all displaying neutral signals, indicating a balanced buying and selling situation in the market for Alphabet stock.
However, momentum indicators and MACD are showing buying signals, suggesting that there is still some upward potential in the overall trend.
Looking at the moving averages, the majority of short-term and long-term moving averages are indicating buying signals, indicating a possibility of an upward movement in the short term.
The Ichimoku Cloud baseline and Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) also display neutral and buying signals, further reinforcing this expectation.
In pivot point analysis, various pivot points provide us with insights into possible price ranges and key levels for the stock.
In classic, Fibonacci, Camarilla, and Woodie's pivot point models, the resistance levels are generally higher than the current price, indicating potential upward movement in the future. Additionally, the support levels in all pivot point models are significantly lower than the current price, suggesting relatively lower downside risk for the stock in the short term.
Comprehensive Analysis:
From a financial performance standpoint, Alphabet demonstrates stability, strong profitability, and growth potential. Its primary revenue source, Google Services, has shown continuous growth from $168.63 billion in 2020 to $253.53 billion in 2022.
From a technical analysis perspective, although technical indicators show a neutral market sentiment, the buy signals from momentum indicators, MACD, and most moving averages suggest a potential upward trend in the stock. Additionally, pivot point analysis indicates upward potential with limited downside risk in the short term.
Moreover, from a fundamental standpoint, if the Federal Reserve delays interest rate hikes or adopts a dovish policy, it may keep borrowing costs relatively low, promoting capital expenditure and investment, which could positively impact Alphabet's revenue growth and stock price. Enhanced consumer purchasing power would further drive advertising spending and demand for digital services.
In conclusion, considering the strong financial performance, earnings and revenue, and technical analysis, I have a positive outlook on Alphabet's stock. Additionally, I recommend monitoring the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on June 14th and the upcoming Q2 earnings report scheduled for July 25th to stay informed about market trends.
Is GOOG ready for bullish continuation?GOOG has had a good month thus far rising about 9% and relatively strong compared with
QQQ ( black line on chart) as shown on this one-hour chart. The past couple of days it has
rested in consolidation at the upper volume shelf on the profile. The stochastic RSI has the
lines low below the oversold /undervalued line of 25 and "curling up" suggesting they are about
to cross. The 24 hour running average volume indicator shows stable volume at a level higher
than April. No matter it may be overextended, GOOG has consolidated to base the next leg
up. Its high liquidity and low spreads make for a long entry of stock or call options.
Hearing a bit too much about GOOGL being "cheap"In spite of bullish sentiment, I see a rising wedge bear flag pattern and a measured move
with a downside target of ~$72 which is a drop of approximately 40%.
Google (GOOGL) Elliott Wave Impulsive Structure IncompleteShort Term Elliott Wave View on Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) suggests it ended wave 2 pullback at 103.68. Wave 3 higher is currently in progress with internal subdivision as a 5 waves impulse with extension. This is often called nesting impulse. Up from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 107.49 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 103.97. The stock resumes higher in wave ((iii)) with internal subdivision as another impulse in lesser degree. Up from wave ((ii)), wave i ended at 105.56 and wave ii ended at 104.11 Wave iii ended at 109.7, pullback in wave iv ended at 107.72, and wave v higher ended at 110.15 which completed wave (i). Stock then pullback in wave (ii) which ended at 106.70.
Google has resumed higher in wave (iii) again. Up from wave (ii), wave i ended at 113.83 and dips in wave ii ended at 111.75. Stock resumes higher in wave iii towards 117.92, and pullback in wave iv ended at 115.85. Final leg wave v ended at 118.48 which completed wave (iii). Expect wave (iv) pullback to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing for further upside. Potential target for wave (iv) is 23.6 – 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of wave (iii) which comes at 113.9 – 115.7. Near term, as far as pivot at 103.7 low stays intact, expect the stock to extend higher.
GOOG Medium-term position analysis
Company Name: Alphabet Inc (Google) Class C.
Stock Ticker: GOOG.
Fundamental Overview: Alphabet is a holding company engaged in acquiring and operating various businesses. It operates through Google and Other Bets segments. The Google segment includes its primary internet products, such as advertising, Android, Chrome, hardware, Google Cloud, Google Maps, Google Play, search, and YouTube. The Other Bets segment includes businesses like Access, Calico, CapitalG, GV, Verily, Waymo, and X. The company was founded by Lawrence E. Page and Sergey Mikhaylovich Brin on October 2, 2015, and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.
Financial Performance and Valuation: Alphabet's price-to-earnings ratio has fluctuated but remains within a reasonable range, indicating positive market expectations for earnings. The company's price-to-sales and price-to-book ratios have remained stable, reflecting market recognition of its profitability and asset value. Its enterprise value has grown from 1.06T USD to 1.83T USD, indicating optimistic market expectations for future growth. The enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio suggests strong operational performance.
Earnings and Revenue: Alphabet consistently exceeds market expectations for earnings. In the most recent quarter, its earnings surpassed expectations by 8.04%, eliciting a favorable market response. Revenue primarily comes from Google Services, which has shown continuous growth from 168.63B USD in 2020 to 253.53B USD in 2022. The United States contributes the most significant portion of revenue.
Technical Analysis: RSI, Stochastic %K, CCI, ADX, AO, BBP indicate a neutral signal, suggesting balanced market sentiment. However, momentum indicators and MACD present a buy signal, indicating potential upward movement. Moving averages, Ichimoku Cloud Base Line, and Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) also display buy signals, reinforcing this expectation. Pivot point analysis suggests potential upside as resistance levels exceed the current price, with support levels indicating relatively lower downside risk in the short term.
Comprehensive Analysis:
From a financial perspective, Alphabet demonstrates stability, strong profitability, and growth potential. Its primary revenue source, Google Services, has shown continuous growth from $168.63 billion in 2020 to $253.53 billion in 2022.
Technically, while market sentiment appears neutral based on indicators, the buy signals from momentum indicators, MACD, and the majority of moving averages suggest a potential upward trend. Pivot point analysis also indicates upward potential with limited downside risk in the short term.
Moreover, from a fundamental standpoint, if the Federal Reserve delays interest rate hikes or adopts a dovish policy, it may keep borrowing costs relatively low, promoting capital expenditure and investment, which could positively impact Alphabet's revenue growth and stock price. Enhanced consumer purchasing power would further drive advertising spending and demand for digital services.
In conclusion, considering financial performance, earnings and revenue, and technical analysis, I have a positive outlook on Alphabet's stock. Additionally, I recommend monitoring the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on June 14th and the upcoming Q2 earnings report scheduled for July 25th to stay informed about market trends.
Trading Strategy:
Trading Direction: BUY
Entry Point: $109~$125
T1: $150
T2: $190
S1: $109
S2: $100
Stop Loss (SL): $85
Expiration date: September 1st.
Google Update: Drop IncomingI'm not going to spend much time on this because it is the same as most other charts. Look at my AAPL chart I posted today, and you can see the resemblances. We hit my target box, for OMH, & on negative divergence. I expect Google to drop just as I do for AAPL, META & MSFT. META for a different reason though, one which I will be posting next.
In short, I hope you're protected from the downside at a minimum.
Bonam Fortunam,
--Tyler
$GOOGL - Breakout above long term EMA - UpdateJust updating this idea as previously laid out.
The set up laid out at the end of last month is working out just in line with the idea.
The price is currently trading in the vicinity of the 1st target.
As previously put forth, at this price range, the bears are likely to step in and, at least, pose an obstacle to the more recent bullish spell in this market.
One thing that long position holders / trend followers could do here to hedge against that risk would be to take half of the profits which this trade is currently yielding.
As usual, the future will tell if our idea holds until the price hits target 2, and the future, as I keep on stressing out every time I got the chance to :), is unpredictable.
Manage risk, manage risk, manage risk, manage risk ...
Cheers,
Tenacious Tribe - Backtested Trading Strategies & Studies
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GOOGLELast idea on 9sept 2022 the first bounce area was 91.40 (it went lower till 84)
What do i see now:
-Hidden bearish divergence
-2 Resistance trendlines (now around 121.61) and there's heavy resistance around 123.18
-On the Daily chart it's also in the oversold area (But this chart is the Weekly one)
